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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Introduction ................................................................................................................................................. 1
Overview of Airline................................................................................................................................... 1
Key Simulation Objectives ........................................................................................................................ 2
Team Organization ................................................................................................................................... 5
Peer Evaluation ........................................................................................................................................ 5
The Strategic Planning Process ............................................................................................................... 5
The Airline Manual................................................................................................................................... 7
Section 1: The Airline Case ....................................................................................................................... 9
Section 2: Airline Operations Guide ...................................................................................................... 25
Detail of Menu Choices .......................................................................................................................... 27
STARTUP .......................................................................................................................................... 28
DECISIONS ....................................................................................................................................... 32
ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................................................ 46
COMPANY ........................................................................................................................................ 50
INDUSTRY ........................................................................................................................................ 57
Section 3: The Strategic Planning Process ............................................................................................. 65
Analyzing an Industry ............................................................................................................................. 65
Establish Goals and Objectives .............................................................................................................. 66
Organizing Your Team ........................................................................................................................... 67
Record Keeping ...................................................................................................................................... 69
Functional Decision-Making .................................................................................................................. 71
Finance ............................................................................................................................................... 71
Marketing ........................................................................................................................................... 81
Human Resources ............................................................................................................................... 83
Operations / Planning ......................................................................................................................... 84
Appendix .................................................................................................................................................... 89
Guide to Common Costs and Values ...................................................................................................... 89
Worksheets and Analysis Forms ............................................................................................................. 92
Glossary................................................................................................................................................ 107
Index ......................................................................................................................................................... 111
Print Date 3/20/2013
Dr. Jerald Smith is Professor Emeritus of Business Strategy and Policy at Florida Atlantic
University. He is the author of eight simulation games spanning many interest areas in
Management and Marketing. He has taught a broad range of courses at the undergraduate,
masters, and doctoral level. He was one of the first to teach a course on the Internet as a host for
professional MBA's who are on the go. Dr. Smith has consulted for Fortune 100 companies in
diverse areas such as ethics training, supervision, and has helped formulate strategic initiatives
for these companies. He is the author of numerous articles. Visit Dr. Smith's homepage at
http://www.fau.edu/~jrsmith
Michael Deighan is a co-author on the new web-based editions of Airline, Entrepreneur, and
HRManagement. His expertise, insight, and creativity proved invaluable and made it possible to
convert these models to their current web-based versions. Michael joined Interpretive
Simulations in 1989 as lead software developer, and is now Chief Technology Officer. He is coauthor on a number of Interpretive simulations: PharmaSim, AutoSim, BizCafe,
StratSimMarketing, StratSimManagement, StratSimChina, ServiceSim, CountryManager, and
MarketShare. In addition to developing software, he has been teaching computer programming
classes at Piedmont Virginia Community College, in Charlottesville, Virginia, since 1990.
Michael received his B.A. in German and Economics from Washington and Lee University, and
an M.A. in German from the University of Virginia.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Simulation games such as Airline: A Strategic Management Simulation becomes realities only
because of the cooperation of many people and organizations. We wish to acknowledge some
of the individuals and groups that gave their time and expertise in the development of this
simulation.
Special thanks go to many kind people. Bryce Appleton, former CEO and owner of Midstate
Airlines, for his willingness to teach us the commuter/regional airline business.
A special thanks to the management team at Florida Atlantic University's College of Business
and Graduate School of Business for encouraging simulation technology including Dean
Dennis Coates.
We also appreciate the many professors in the academic field who believe in the unique
benefits of learning through simulations, including Thomas Hudson, Joseph Peyrefitte, Mark
Meckler, Peter Goumas, Joe Wolfe, Bernie Keys, Marshall Schminke, Howard Feldman,
Wayne Koprowski, Herman Wassons, Ron Ryan, Jenniver Ettling, Chunyan Yu, Ron Spense,
Steve Harrington, Miguel Hidalo, Douglas Marshal, Jaou Merkt, Tina DeBrass, Margaret
O'Rouke-Kelly, Pierre Louis Agnes, Jerry Terrell, David Ackerman, John Myhre, Virginia
Smiley, Ronald Levy, William March, Cliff Ingari, Chris Graham, J. Bakki, Seema Pissaris,
T. K. Hudson, Risa Morimoto, Stephan Tvorik, Ron Ryan, C. Daniel Prather, Eric LAU,
Ann Lombardi-Butt, Joseph Cacciola, P. Jegede, Pinky Au, Dave Swanson, Kim Milnes,
Michael Wright, Tim Rogers, Guido Harling, Sharon Frank, Jennifer Malarski, Dave
Swanston, Laura Hart, John Cipolla, Edward Conrad, Tim Bliss, Chad Depperschmidt, Lars
Askholm, Keith Mew, David Klein, Tara Radin, Robert Govers, Carole Bonanni, and Curt
Moore.
There are many others whose names were lost when we lost some files during one of Florida's
hurricanes. We are sorry and will add youjust let us know.
Most adopters of a simulation are a special breed. They understand the benefit of "learning by
doing" and are willing to suffer the pain as the authors try to get everything "right." They
know that a simulation is never finished but is a project in constant change and tuning.
Usually by the time we get everything "right," it is time to start on a revision to update the
information. This is very true in the airline business as new aircraft and strategies are in
constant change.
Special thanks go to Marshall Schminke who is our best critic and loyal fan, giving us many
corrections and suggestions down through the years, Vivek Patel for his technical assistance,
and Michael Forte for his expertise in the field.
INTRODUCTION
Welcome to the exciting world of simulation! Unlike most education
and training exercises, this simulation provides you and your team the
ability to practice managing all the aspects of running a business, in this
case, a regional airline carrier. You will have the unique opportunity to
make decisions, see how the decisions work out, and then try again.
Thus, you will get a "hands on" experience with manipulating key
strategic variables in a dynamic setting.
Overview of Airline
You will be managing a regional airline that will be competing with
other teams (up to a maximum of 12 total teams). This browser-based
application will give you the opportunity to design and implement a
strategy, make decisions in a team environment, and learn business by
experiencing it first-hand. It is strongly recommended that you
approach the simulation as if you were managing a regional airline in
the real world. In the real world, managers must make decisions
without perfect information, under conditions of uncertainty, and within
time constraints. Of course, it is also important that you understand the
rules of the simulation.
Each team will manage their own firm in the simulation. Typically, the
team's organization is left up to the members of the team. Teams are
expected to establish objectives, plan their strategy, and then make the
decisions dictated by these plans. Decisions are entered on-line in the
simulation. After all teams decisions are made, the simulation is
advanced, and all of the reports and research are updated. This process
is done for several decision periods. Airline has up to 12 possible
decision periods (simulated quarters). Your instructor will inform you
of the number of periods in your particular game.
IntroductionPage 1
It is recommended that you not use the "stab in the dark" method of
making decisions but rather to think carefully about the variables you
change and their particular impact. A thoughtful process will allow you
to better determine which elements are more effective in obtaining
desired results. Do not rely on information gathered from others who
have competed in the simulation in the past, as your instructor can
change the simulation environment for each class. All teams will make
a few mistakes throughout the simulation but mistakes happen in the
real world, too. Remember to keep your enthusiasm and competitive
spirit high and do not allow a few setbacks to affect your play.
Read Section 1
of the Manual
Learn How to
Operate the
Simulation
Implement your
Strategy
IntroductionPage 3
Enter Decisions
Advance to the
Next Period
Review Results
Repeat
NOTE:
You may find it helpful to print out some
reports and step back from the computer
from time to time. Analyzing information
and determining an integrated strategic plan
is a complex task. It is important to take
time and reflect on the information,
especially when working in groups.
Team Organization
Getting off to a good start is critically important in managing a firm or
participating in a simulation. Your team should be organized as soon
as it is formed. Specific duties should be assigned with each person to
be held accountable for his/her responsibilities. It is recommended that
you assign a "lead" person to head up the team, perhaps with the title of
President or CEO. This position could be assigned on a rotating basis
to give everyone an opportunity to take a leadership role.
If you do decide to operate as a self-managed work team, you should
consult your course textbook or other resources in order to learn how to
make it work. Picture your team functioning as a team, rather than as a
"group"can you visualize the difference?
Peer Evaluation
Your instructor may ask you to complete a written or online peer
evaluation either at mid-term and/or at the end of the semester. When
duties have been clearly assigned at the beginning, a peer
(performance) evaluation will be easy to accomplish. This evaluation
is to be completed without consultation with other team members. You
should be very honest in evaluating the performance of your team, as
your instructor will have insights from observing your team processes.
IntroductionPage 5
IV.
V.
Establish Goals and Objectives Which Will Accomplish the Desired Course of
Action
VI.
Prepare an Action or Strategic Plan that Describes How the Objectives Will be
Accomplished
VII.
VIII.
Establish a Control and Feedback System to Keep the Organization on Track with
the Strategic Plan
IntroductionPage 7
Qtr.
#
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
-7
Revenue
Passenger
Miles
4,259,321
3,976,427
3,492,145
2,897,566
2,680,345
2,344,965
2,202,798
1,983,388
Available
Seat
Miles
8,147,200
8,147,200
7,465,400
7,465,400
7,465,400
5,320,650
5,320,650
5,320,650
Yield per
Revenue
Passenger
Miles
0.350
0.375
0.389
0.464
0.500
0.415
0.437
0.486
Yield per
Available
Seat Miles
0.183
0.183
0.182
0.180
0.180
0.183
0.181
0.181
Load
Factor
%
52.3%
48.8%
46.7%
38.8%
35.9%
44.0%
41.4%
37.2%
Net
Profits
$22,234
$8,450
$3,520
($205)
$5,872
$2,156
$435
($6,310)
Fuel
Spot /
Contract
.96/.96
1.01/.93
.99/.94
.98/.96
.94/1.01
.92/1.00
.93/1.00
.95/.96
DECISIONS
MENU
*Generally, demand is
an expected firm
average under normal
economic and
competitive conditions.
As more companies
come to market with
different pricing /
schedules / amenities,
these averages will
probably hold. At some
point the market may
become saturated.
You'll want to monitor
this as companies enter
new markets.
Market
Type
Qtr. 0
Daily
Seat
Demand
per
Firm
Qtr. 0
Number of
Competitors
in Market
Round
Trip
Miles
18
600
36
400
18
340
36
360
36
400
3060
420
2030
600
Description
From your mini-hub to a regional hub that has a large number of heavy
manufacturing firms.
From your mini-hub to a medium city that has a major university and
extensive business services, with a stopover halfway out from the hub at
small but growing technology cluster. For simplicity, fares are the same
to either destination.
From your mini-hub to a medium city that has a new and growing
industrial park.
From your mini-hub to a foreign city not too far from the border that has
a diversified industry and tourist trade.
From your mini-hub to major resort/recreation area.
Regional airlines generally fly routes that terminate in larger cities that
have major airline connections. Passengers prefer nonstop flights at
convenient times and this factor can stimulate demand. However, since
the demand may be small at any particular stop, regional airlines will
often provide direct service (on the same plane) to a hub city, making
one or more stops along the way. Please see the generic route system
below to help you visualize the available markets and their
relationships.
ROUTE MAP FOR AIRLINE FIRMS
Regional Hub
C
600 MILES
600 MILES
340 MILES
Your Mini-Hub
360 MILES
420 MILES
400 MILES
400 MILES
D STOPOVER
Flight Scheduling
The number of flights per day is a crucial factor to the success of an
airline. Too few flights prompt prospective passengers to drive to the
nearest competing hub and too many can be too costly to maintain.
With the exception of the resort and foreign runs, it is not practical to
fly only one or two round trip flights per day into a market; there would
be no passenger loyalty and the cost to maintain a station there would
be prohibitive. The careful balancing of flights and seats in a market is
an important decision for your firm as the passenger load percentage
(number of paid seats divided by total seats) is a major driver of
success. At current prices, the breakeven point for a flight is 45 to 55%
load.
NOTE:
One Beechcraft 1900
aircraft can cover
approximately 1800
miles per day.
When entering a market for the first time, your management team
should recognize that there is a certain "lag" effect of developing that
market. It may take one or more quarters to fully develop a market.
You will find that customers are NOT very "brand loyal" and look for
attributes such as frequency of service (which also translates into
number of seats provided in a market per day), and, to a lesser extent,
price of the fare.
You can differentiate yourself in individual markets by your frequency
of service (flights per day in a given market), seats flown per day in
that market, aircraft choice for that route, and fare sales (when desired).
Three or more round trip flights per day in a market is typical while two
round trip flights is minimally acceptable. The exception to this rule
are the Resort (R) and Foreign (F) markets; you may successfully serve
these markets with only one flight per day.
Airline Equipment
Your airline competes with other commuters as well as some national
airlines for modest numbers of passengers departing from a location.
This smaller market is reflected in the type of equipment flown. The
available aircraft range in size from 19-passenger propjets to 50passenger fanjets. Although some of the equipment dates back to the
1950's, newly developed commuter aircraft contain state-of-the-art
technology in materials, fuel efficiency, noise abatement, and
nonflammable cabin materials. Since there is an abundance of preowned equipment available as other, larger and more profitable airlines
traded up, the airline has a large choice of aircraft to choose from if
they decide to expand. The present fleet consists of three 19-passenger
Beechcraft 1900s.
Since there is no perfect aircraft for all markets, airlines have the
discretion of selecting from a variety of aircraft types. Smaller aircraft
work well on shorter routes, providing the convenience of multiple
flights per day, which is important in the AE markets. Larger, faster
aircraft are better for the longer routes, especially the resort and foreign
markets. While discount passengers are willing to fly in the
Beechcrafts, luxury customers insist on cabin-class service (i.e.,
standing head room, toilet, and a flight attendant on longer flights), and
have a preference for jets.
NOTE:
The composition of the
fleet of any airline
should reflect
corporate strategy.
Cost
(M)
# of
Seats
Cruise
MPH
Cabin
Class
Max.
Daily
Miles
Type
Quarterly
Lease
Beechcraft 1900
(Firm owns 3)
$2.0
19
268
No
1800
Prop
Jet
$80,000
British Aero 31
$2.2
18
253
Yes
1800
Prop
Jet
$82,000
Embraer Brasilia
$3.1
30
294
Yes
2000
Prop
Jet
$132,000
Saab 340
$3.4
34
272
Yes
1800
Prop
Jet
$144,000
Embraer ERJ135
$4.3
37
400
Yes
2400
Jet
$184,000
Aerospatiale ATR42
$4.4
46
300
Yes
2000
Prop
Jet
$185,000
Canadair CRJ100
$5.8
50
450
Yes
2400
Jet
$240,000
Notes
Financing Assets
Your company has several types of fixed assets: airplanes, ground
equipment (i.e., ground power units, tugs, de-icing equipment, baggage
carts, and trucks), maintenance hangars, office facilities, and
computers. In addition, preventive and corrective maintenance require
an inventory of spare parts that may include extra engines. This
inventory can tie up significant amounts of cash. Some fluctuation
occurs based on the size and the composition of the fleet.
Assets are financed through several channels. Aircraft may be leased
for a period ranging from 1 to 15 years. Leasing provides advantages
to an airline that does not have cash available for a loan down payment,
does not have sufficient collateral, or wants to use a specific type of
equipment for a limited period of time. Airplane leases may be either
operating or capital leases. Operating leases do not appear as assets on
the balance sheet and do not increase the value of the company to its
owners. A capital lease appears as an asset and as a long-term liability
on the financial statements.
Other financing options available to the airlines include conventional
loans, lines of credit, and stock issues. Loans require down payments
plus some assurances to the lender (collateral) that the payments can be
made. The typical loan period is 10 to 12 years.
Fledgling airlines frequently need a line of credit to finance current
assets and meet ongoing expenses (working capital). This is usually
handled by a line of credit (demand notes) that ranges upward from 2%
over the prime interest rate. As with other businesses, an inability to
meet current expenses can be the downfall of an otherwise solvent
commuter/regional airline. The risks in acquiring all of the necessary
funds are higher but a well-managed company may be able to finance
purchases for a lower cost of capital by issuing stock.
Fares
Airline fares are one of the more complex pricing systems in the free
enterprise world. All airlines post a standard fare for each portion of a
route in the Department of Transportation listings; this is known as the
"Y" fare. These fares are set artificially high and are used as a baseline
for discounts and to calculate portions of tickets that are issued in
conjunction with other airlines. In addition, airlines develop
promotional fare packages from time to time to introduce new service
or offset sluggish demand. In Airline, fare sales can be offered for one,
two, or three months. Promotional fares stimulate demand but reduce
revenues, sometimes creating a loss in that market. The competitive
market is very reactive to fare changes; thus fare reductions tend to be
copied by competitors and the benefits to a single airline are shortlived.
Approximately 75% of
the tickets sold are
booked through travel
agents or through
internet travel sites.
Fare prices must also align with a companys overall strategy. Thus,
pricing as a low-cost airline may help stimulate demand, but one must
also watch expenses very carefully. Pricing as a luxury / high-end
airline may improve your margin, but only if the service provided is
seen as enough of a benefit to be able to charge a higher price without
hurting demand. Positioning your company to provide improved
service will also require an upgrade to your fleet as customers will not
see your small Beechcraft 1900s as a luxury flying experience
(insufficient seating, no toilet, no cabin service).
Ticketing
Although many airlines maintain independent ticketing services,
approximately 75% of the tickets sold are booked through travel agents
or through internet travel sites. The fee for this service averages 10%
of the ticket price, and therefore it is common practice to forecast net
revenues at an amount that is 90% of the sales forecast for the coming
financial quarter.
Your company also subscribes to multiple airline listing services. This
results in the imposed additional variable cost per ticket of
approximately 1%.
As a member of the Airline Reporting Corporation (ARC) and by virtue
of bilateral agreements with major carriers, your airline currently has
interline ticketing and baggage arrangements with all major carriers.
NOTE:
Advertising and
Promotion budgets are
crucial to a firm's
strategy and are a
reflection of each firm's
target market.
Sales Personnel
Your firm does not have any sales force now due to its small size.
However, as you grow you may want to add salespersons. The cost of
each salesperson is $12,000 per quarter, which includes the employee's
salary, travel allowance, and fringe benefits. You will also incur an
automatic $3,000 fee for each sales person hired to cover hiring
expenses. Airlines employ a sales force to act as a go-between to
promote business with corporations and travel agents. One advantage
of building a sales force, in addition to increased sales, is the possibility
of greater volume of direct sales to corporations and tour promoters,
thus lowering the amount paid as commission to travel agents.
Organizational Chart
PRESIDENT
(also pilots a flight when necessary)
Chief Pilot
Chief of Maintenance
Accountant
Manager of Station
Operations and Passenger
Service
Dispatcher
Organization
Your airline is organized into five small
departments: operations, flight, maintenance,
passenger service, and administration. There is little
overlap between the areas, and employees must have
specialized training as required by regulatory
agencies.
These departments handle all functions, including
marketing, ticketing, and computer information
services.
Creating an efficient organization is
difficult for regional operators, as well as costly in
terms of personnel. Those airlines that are dual
designators with major airlines may receive services
such as ground operations or computer information
systems as part of the agreement. Remaining
autonomous is costly in terms of organizational
design as well as in attracting passengers.
major airlines are thought to have higher status. This may diminish the
effect of increased remuneration. Historically, your company has been
passive about the turnover problem and views it as a cost of doing
business. In some small cities, the airlines success in ground crew and
station personnel retention has been a function of the available job
markets in those locations.
Financial Statements
Each quarter your team will receive an income statement and balance
sheet, as well as cash flow, operations, and fleet status reports. Your
firms last quarterly income statement and balance sheet are provided
below for reference. There are quite a few line items on each report,
but here we will focus on a few of the most important issues.
NOTE:
Any remaining short- or long-term loan balance will
be shown on the current Balance Sheet.
.
Income StatementRevenues
Gross revenues equals the total revenue passenger miles flown
multiplied by your price less any fare sales offered in the previous
quarter. This represents all of the ticket proceeds from your
passengers. Below the gross revenue figure are two cost of sales items
commissions and refunds. Commissions represent the amount paid to
travel agents and internet travel sites. Refunds are the amount repaid to
passengers who are unable to fly due to equipment problems, weather,
overbooking, etc. The reliability factor represents the percent of
revenues that are unaffected by refund related issues. Net revenue is
calculated by subtracting commissions and refunds and adding interest
income to gross revenues. This is the total amount of revenues
generated from the last quarter of operations and what you have to run
your airline.
Income StatementExpenses
Airlines are expensive to operate. The largest portion of expenses is
direct flight expense which includes flight operations, fuel,
maintenance, and passenger service. Historically, direct flight expenses
represented approximately 65% of gross revenues, so these four items
are clearly very important to monitor. These expenses are directly
related to miles flown and currently average about twelve cents per seat
mile as shown in the table below.
ITEM
Flight Operations
Fuel
Maintenance
Passenger Service
Total
3.60
2.74
3.25
2.41
12.00
% of TOTAL
30%
23%
27%
20%
100%
There are two other major expense items to discuss. First is the cost of
owning / leasing the planes. This cost will show up as either a lease
payment or depreciation (and dont forget about interest on the loan if
youve financed the planes using that approach). The second major
expense item is administrative expense. As fleets become larger, costs
increase incrementally as management, support, personnel,
administrative space, and maintenance facilities are required.
Administrative expense varies based on the total number of seats in
your fleet. While these costs may change, the cost at the beginning of
the simulation is as follows:
NUMBER OF SEATS
076
77102
103134
135168
169199
200230
231279
> 279
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is where you will find the current book value of your
assets (primarily your plane and accounts receivable) and your
liabilities (primarily your accounts payable and loans). One of the key
issues with cash flow is that only 60% of your gross revenue each
quarter flows to your balance sheet as cash in. While 40% remains as
accounts receivable. Similarly, 70% of your expenses are paid each
quarter, and the remaining 30% shows up in your accounts payable on
the balance sheet. The following quarter, the remainder of accounts
receivable and payable is processed.
Conclusion
The owners of the Airline believe that they are at a crossroads. In the
new environment of increasing competition in their own routes and the
opportunities in new markets now available, there was no question that
their business was about to change dramatically. Staying on the same
course was unlikely to a path to success. While they do have access to
capital markets for either a loan or issuing stock, they are concerned
about the risk associated with taking on debt or the dilution effects of
selling stock on shareholder value.
The decision was important enough to get some advice from a
consultant, Dr. Peggy Golden, who was a certified pilot and had been
the CEO of a small but successful commuter operation. After several
days of studying the situation, Dr. Golden met with Jerald Smith,
current President of your airline to report her findings. (Editorial
remark: Later these two wrote the simulation and subsequently were
married.)
The Options
"I have studied your flight operations, finances, and marketing
strategies and can find strengths and weaknesses in each area. My
greatest concern is that your aircraft are not the best type for the 600
(round trip) mile markets and that you are not taking advantage of some
markets that are wide open," commented Dr. Golden.
Smith replied, "I am aware of this but the FAA has had us under
scrutiny lately. Our oldest Beechcraft needs updated instruments and
radios. In addition, one aircraft is 18 years old and all were purchased
"used." The oldest one is beginning to be more costly to maintain at
this point. You can see how maintenance problems with their
associated costs and the weather have kept us from flying at an optimal
level. We have cash problems that are exacerbated by overhead costs.
We need a certain level of support personnel to maintain a three-aircraft
fleet; however, we could add two more aircraft at little or no additional
overhead cost."
The president continued, "There are markets that are not currently
being served in our area and I think we could lease a couple of new
aircraft. But it takes from 6 to 12 months to get to the breakeven point
in a new market, and we just don't have the working capital for that. I
suppose that if we tightened our belts and tried to get some short-term
credit at a couple of banks in the small cities we serve, we could do it.
We can't grow because of our slim profits, and because we can't grow
we can't improve our profit picture. It seems like a vicious circle."
"I have evaluated the two options that are available to you," said Dr.
Golden. "Taking out a significant loan has the potential to provide
enough cash to improve your maintenance program and add a
substantial amount to your working capital. This would make your
firm much more attractive to a leasing company and you would be able
to lease some additional aircraft.
In fact, there are aircraft
manufacturers who have gotten very aggressive lately in order to sell
pre-owned aircraft that have been traded in for new planes; I think they
would be able to offer you good leases. Right now the going rate for a
pre-owned, newly refurbished British Aero 31 is $2.2 million and the
quarterly lease is $82,000."
Smith responded thoughtfully, "Yes, having a few hundred grand
would sure get us out of the hole and we would be able to take
advantage of some markets that are opening up. Giving up some
ownership position through selling common stock just sticks in our
craw a bit. On the other hand, there would be no interest payments to
make each quarter, which would lower financial risk and improve
profitability.
"If we keep the airline, what kind of strategies would you suggest?"
asked the president.
Golden responded "The possible strategies are about the same
regardless of who owns the Airline. The crucial thing is to maximize
the use of your equipment and serve markets that will provide you with
a greater than breakeven load. You may have to give up some markets
for which you have an emotional attachment because you have served
them for such a long time.
"The airline can remain small and the owners can have fun and some
sense of satisfaction out of it. You are both in your mid-50s and in
excellent health. You do have a positive cash flow and are making a
decent living. On the other hand, there is potential for growth in the
industry at this time. If the airline expands, the organization will have
to change in order to accommodate this new strategy; this would adhere
Sample Screen
Navigation buttons
Change the
Period # view
Firm name
and user info
Menu system:
six categories
& choices
Airline screen
display
SIMULATION
NAVIGATION
NOTE:
The navigation and general control buttons found at the top of the
simulation screen are: Back, Home, Print, Spreadsheet, Help, and
Logout. The Print button applies to the report currently on the screen.
For instance, if you click on the Print button when viewing the
Balance Sheet, the report will be sent to your default printer.
Clicking on the Spreadsheet button will allow you to download data
to a spreadsheet. Clicking on the Help button will open the
operations guide. The Back button lets you reach the last page you
visited and the Home button brings you to the homepage of the
simulation.
The box in the upper right-hand corner of the simulation screen has a
pull-down menu that lets you choose which quarter you would like to
view. It will automatically default to "current quarter" unless you
change it. Changing this will show you your results for previous
quarters once the simulation has been advanced. This can be helpful
for reviewing historical information.
STARTUP MENU
The Briefing provides a
quick introduction to the
Airline simulation.
Briefing
This option on the STARTUP menu will open a flash file that
summarizes a conversation between the previous owner of your airline
and a consultant who was brought in to assess the current situation.
The consultant has been brought in to offer for a fresh perspective on
the current situation facing the airline.
Startup Screen: Briefing
STARTUP MENU
The Case provides
background information
you will need to help you
read the reports and
make decisions.
Read the Case before
making your Startup
Decision.
Case
Under the STARTUP menu you will find a copy of the Airline Case.
The case presents information on your firm in a form similar to a
business school case and also serves as an introduction to the situation
at the start of the simulation. Remember that not everything discussed
in the case is immediately available to you. For example, you may not
be able to enter a decision in response to an incident unless your
instructor has activated that option. Please make sure to carefully read
the case before making any decisions.
NOTE:
The Authors strongly recommend that you read the Airline Case before entering any
decisions. Based on a small Midwestern airline that was faced with a "grow or go"
decision for their firm, it provides the environment for this simulation.
STARTUP MENU
Aircraft
This report gives detailed information about each aircraft available for
acquisition, such as purchase and leasing costs, number of seats,
cruising speed, and cabin class.
Click on an aircraft
name to view a brief
description and a photo.
Data shown on the
report (including the
cost to purchase or
lease) will not change
during the simulation.
Clicking into an aircraft name will open a detail report with a brief
description and photo of the selected aircraft.
The data and prices shown on this screen will not change during
simulation play
Aircraft Information Screen
STARTUP MENU
Be sure to read the Case
before making your
Startup Decision.
It is important to select a
name that could stand
the test of time and
perhaps even be
adaptable to a new
strategy should you later
decide to change your
strategy.
While any team member
can enter the company
name, only the leader
can finalize the decision.
Startup Decision
One of the most important decisions a company makes is naming the
business. It is important to select a name that could stand the test of
time and perhaps even be adaptable to a new strategy should you later
decide to change your strategy. In the simulation, once you have
selected a name and finalized your decision, you will not be able to
change it, except if your firm undergoes major restructuring and your
instructor allows it, so choose your firm's name carefully at simulation
startup.
When your team has thoughtfully agreed upon a name, the team leader
will need to enter the company name into the simulation decision
screen. When this has been entered and finalized, all remaining
simulation menu items will become accessible.
Startup Decision Input Screen
Glossary
The Glossary option provides a list of important terms (and their
definitions) for strategic management and competing in Airline. The
Glossary also appears in the Appendix of the student manual.
NOTE:
All costs that are quoted in this operations guide are
the costs at the beginning of the simulation. Demand
in a particular market may change at any time. Costs
are not fixed; they may increase or decrease without
notice, as the simulation progresses.
DECISIONS MENU
Decisions
The Decisions menu is where your team will enter its decisions each
period before advancing the simulation. The decisions will include
financial decisions, such as budgets for marketing and promotion, as
well as wages and financing acquisitions. If you fail to enter decisions
during a period, the automatic default will leave everything in place
from last period (same fare, same advertising and promotion budgets,
etc.).
If your instructor has selected this option, you will also make decisions
regarding incidents that are typical to the airline industry.
After you have formulated or revised your strategic plan, and analyzed
your previous results and the current state of the industry, enter your
decisions for the current period, using the links found here.
DECISIONS MENU
Fares
In the Fares decision screen, you will need to select the fare structure
(discount, normal, or luxury) and set a fare price (cents per seat mile
flown). Each fare structure has an appropriate corresponding fare
price range. Last quarter, the firm charged 35 cents per seat-mileflown for its fare but the airline is not very profitable at that level and
managers believe that fares could be increased one or two cents
without much decrease in demand. While the 35 cents fare has
generated enough revenue to cover the costs associated with the
current small fleet, as you purchase or lease additional planes, your
firm may require an increase in fares.
NOTE:
Fare price is an average
of all types of fares your
airline may have on a
"Seat Miles Flown"
basis.
DECISIONS MENU
Marketing
Advertise to let
customers know about
your company and
services.
If you offer an in-flight
magazine, the cost each
quarter is $500 per
aircraft.
Sales personnel help
expand your companys
presence by calling on
travel agents. Each
salesperson costs
$12,000 per quarter.
To fire a salesperson,
enter a negative value.
You may not hire or fire
more than four
salespersons per
quarter.
To enter the cargo
business, set a cargo
marketing budget of at
least $10,000.
You may enter the cargo
business at any time, or
not at all.
The team leader may
optionally lock decisions
to prevent additional
changes this period.
DECISIONS MENU
NOTE:
Advertising and
Promotion will be an
important part of
developing new markets.
DECISIONS MENU
Use the quality &
training budget to
improve employee
productivity and provide
customers with a better
experience
Be sure to increase the
quality & training
budget when expanding
your fleet.
Increasing compensation
decreases employee
turnover and attracts
better skilled workers.
You may provide
additional compensation
of 1-7% above
prevailing wages for all
employees or select
groups of employees.
Compensation
Compensation decisions include a quality and training budget and
adjusting wages and employee benefits by employee class. If you
wish to add a benefit only (with no wage increase), enter 0% into the
wage % increase box and select the appropriate radio button. Once a
given level of additional employee compensation is begun, you should
make every attempt to maintain it, since employee morale would be
hurt by increasing compensation one quarter and lowering it the next.
The quality & training budget amount provides additional employee
training beyond the legally required training of flight crews and
maintenance personnel. Average training and development costs are
$40 per employee per half-day workshop. In addition, you may
initiate quality programs on a department-by-department basis ($5,000
per quarter per department) or all at one time (which would be
considered a Total Quality Management system) at a minimum cost of
$20,000 per quarter. If you want to emphasize quality even more, you
may budget more than this amount. Once you start a quality program,
you should continue it indefinitely.
Other compensation
options include a stock
bonus and profit
sharing. While the stock
bonus does not affect
cash flow, it will add to
the shares outstanding
and may affect your
stock price.
The team leader may
optionally lock decisions
to prevent additional
changes this period.
DECISIONS MENU
Fleet
Increase maintenance
level to improve
reliability and your
passengers' in-flight
experience.
Luxury passengers
expect higher levels of
cleaning and
maintenance.
A fuel contract ensures a
fixed rate. Check the
Operations report for
spot and contract rates.
Acquire new aircraft to
expand into new routes.
A successful regional
airline will have a mix of
aircraft. See the STARTUP
Aircraft report for
equipment descriptions.
If you wish to downsize your fleet, click the "Change" button adjacent
to the specific aircraft you wish to terminate the lease or sell. When
the "dispose" input screen opens, make the appropriate selection from
the drop-down menu (keep, sell, terminate lease, etc).
NOTE:
The cost to sell an aircraft: 1% of book value; the cost to break a lease: $50,000 per
aircraft. If you want to convert a leased aircraft to a purchase, talk with your
instructor and he/she may refund the $50,000 lease disposal fee. Note however, that
any payments you have made while under the lease agreement will NOT be applied
toward your purchase.
DECISIONS MENU
NOTE:
NOTE:
DECISIONS MENU
To add or remove flights
on existing routes, or
offer fare sales, use the
"change" button.
Use the Market
Profitability Analysis to
project the effect of fare
sales on revenue.
All fare sales except
resort & foreign markets
revert to regular fare the
next qtr.
Total seats on a route is
the number of flights
multiplied by the seats
on the aircraft used.
To abandon a market,
cancel all flights for the
route.
Add a route to expand
into a new market. Be
sure to acquire aircraft
to serve additional
routes.
Each new route entered
costs $10,000 and is
charged to Passenger
Service Expense on the
Income Statement.
Use ANALYSIS Aircraft
Scheduling to review
your decisions. Be sure
not to fly your aircraft
beyond their capacity, or
leave them underutilized.
The team leader may
optionally lock decisions
to prevent additional
changes this period.
Routes
The routes decision screen is where you will enter all decisions related
to the markets / routes you serve and whether or not to provide a sale
fare for a particular route. In addition, to help estimate the fleet
capacity necessary to serve these routes, you will be asked to also
select the number of daily flights to provide by choosing particular
aircraft for each flight. Using this information, the program will
calculate the total number of seats available to each market. Your
entries will also be used as the basis for aircraft scheduling provided in
the analysis menu (discussed later in the operations guide).
To enter changes to number of flights or seats offered daily, or to
promote your airline through a sale on fare prices for a particular
route, click into the "Change" button for that Route. Use the
dropdown box to select a fare sale. All fare sales except resort and
foreign markets revert to regular fare the next quarter. Therefore, if you
want to continue a fare sale for more than one quarter, it must be
entered EACH quarter.
To increase flights (and therefore seats) available to a market, choose
an aircraft from the list at the left and click on the Schedule button.
This will add an additional flight. You may cancel a scheduled flight,
by selecting the aircraft under scheduled flight and click on the
Remove button. To abandon a route completely, just cancel all
flights. As you adjust your decisions, at the top of the screen, the total
flights and available seats will be updated appropriately.
Enter a new Market by clicking the "Add a New Route" button. Click
on the drop-down menu and choose a new route. If adding more than
one Route, click back into the drop down menu and make your next
selection, repeating as desired. Remember that each new route entered
costs $10,000 and is charged to Passenger Service Expense when the
simulation is advanced.
If you have zero flights and zero seats available in a Route, when the
simulation is advanced, the Route will automatically be deleted from
your active Routes list.
DECISIONS MENU
To add a new
Route, click the
"Add a New Route"
button. Select the
market you wish to
add from the dropdown menu.
NOTE:
The chart at right
describes each sale
type and what their
effect would be on
the ticket price of a
400-mile flight.
Regular Fare
1-month Sale
2-month Sale
3-month Sale
Avg.
Ticket
Revenue
Discount
%
$140.00
0%
$124.44
11%
$108.92
22%
$93.33
33%
DECISIONS MENU
Corporate
Enter a
Performance
Budget amount (in
even thousands;
$1,000 Minimum).
Select the Social
Performance Area
to direct your
Budget funds.
DECISIONS MENU
To fund expansion, sell
stock or borrow against
your loan.
Sell stock by entering the
dollar amount you want
to raise, not the number
of shares you are selling.
Financing
Stock Sold: To sell stock, enter the dollar amount in the entry field;
funds become available immediately. You may never have less than
150,000 shares (your starting amount), as required by your corporate
charter. Maximum redemption per quarter is $500,000 or 10% of your
outstanding shares, whichever is less. You may repurchase stock
(starting in Quarter 4) by placing a minus sign before the dollar
amount you want to redeem.
Short-term Loan: Enter loan amount in the entry field. This 90-day
loan automatically renews each quarter unless you enter the full
repayment amount as a negative number. The interest rate at
simulation startup is 10% per annum or 2.5% per quarter.
Long-term Loan: Enter the loan amount in the entry field. To make a
payment (beyond the 2% automatic payment), enter that amount as a
negative. If you want to obtain a new loan AND pay off an old loan,
enter the net value. For example, old loan balance = $500,000. New
funds required: $750,000. Enter the difference, of $250,000. Longterm loan interest remains at 9% per annum or 2.25% per quarter.
92-day CD: Enter the dollar amount you wish to invest. Cash placed
in CDs will not be available for other transactions during the quarter in
which CDs are purchased. CDs expire the first day of the next quarter.
Interest paid on CDs is 5% per annum or 1.25% per quarter.
Pay a dividend by
entering a dollar amount
and/or declaring a 5%
stock dividend. Cash
dividends are not
permitted if you have
negative equity.
DECISIONS MENU
NOTE:
When you acquire new
aircraft, you must enter
the appropriate stock
and loan value(s) into
the Financing input
screen to finance this
purchase. The
simulation will not do
your financing for you.
DECISIONS MENU
Special: Incidents
Read the full Incident by clicking Read Incident, and the text will
open. Additionally, you may watch a brief movie about the incident
by clicking the Watch Video link.
Your response to the Incident may or may not have an effect on your
firm's sales or costs in the current or subsequent quarters. Once the
simulation is advanced, feedback on your response will be reported in
the simulation Newsletter, in addition to an announcement about the
current quarter's Incident.
NOTE:
There is no absolute
right or wrong response
to most incidents
although there may be
some responses that are
more correct than
others.
DECISIONS MENU
Decision Summary
ANALYSIS MENU
Analysis Menu
The Analysis menu consists of links to resources that will help you
analyze the current situation and predict the effects of decisions under
consideration. The Market Profitability, Aircraft Scheduling, and
Financial Analysis screens all display data which should help you
evaluate the results of your strategy.
ANALYSIS MENU
Market Profitability
Selecting a market /
route automatically
adjusts the round trip
miles; the operating cost
is calculated using your
current cost per seat
mile
Enter your fare per mile
and select a fare sale to
calculate revenue per
seat and the break-even
passenger load.
Use the analysis to
project the effects of
your pricing decisions.
Your fare (cents per mile) automatically displays along with the
estimated revenue per seat. If you wish to experiment with a fare sale,
click into the Fare Sale drop-down menu and make a selection
(Normal, One-Month Sale, etc.). Adjusted figures will automatically
be displayed. In addition, if you wish to experiment with an increased
fare price, you may enter a revised fare (cents per mile) and click
"Calculate."
Finally, your total operating cost is divided by your revenue per seat to
calculate the number of passengers necessary to cover your costs
(breakeven) on this particular flight.
ANALYSIS MENU
Aircraft Scheduling
The aircraft scheduling report can assist you with your routes
decisions (scheduling aircraft by market / route). For optimal
efficiency, each aircraft should fly as close as possible to its daily
maximum number of miles. Some aircraft may be a few miles over
(100) as long as other aircraft are a few miles short. Use this analysis
screen to ascertain the total miles per day you may fly.
This report can also be a helpful planning guide for quickly seeing
which markets are being offered the most flights and seats daily.
ANALYSIS MENU
Financial Analysis
This analysis will show the various cash sources and uses for the
quarter. In the interest of space, some items are combined (e.g.,
Commissions and Refunds). Note that depreciation is not included in
the Cash Flow Analysis (Outflow). This is due to the fact that
depreciation is basically an accounting entry for tax purposes and does
not impact cash at the time.
Enter your anticipated load factor % and click the "Calculate" button
to display your projected cash balance. Keep in mind that your actual
Cash Balance may be lower or higher than the balance shown here but
this analysis will help you estimate your financial needs for the next
quarter. Please refer to the financing decisions to review the different
methods available for raising capital.
Enter your
anticipated
Passenger Load
Factor % and
click "Calculate."
Your Projected
Cash Balance is
displayed here.
COMPANY MENU
Company Reports
The simulation begins in Quarter 0. The COMPANY Menu contains
financial statements, revealing the financial condition of your firm.
You take over the airline at the beginning of Quarter 1. The reports
you receive each quarter consist of an Income Statement and a
Balance Sheet, along with Cash Flow, Operations, and Fleet Status
reports. The format of Quarter 0 reports is identical to the reports you
will receive each successive quarter during simulation play.
You are purposely not given more past performance data than the last
quarter because the simulation represents a "new beginning" for your
airline. Major carriers are pulling out of markets and changing their
markets served daily, thus presenting new opportunities that were not
in the past.
COMPANY MENU
The Dashboard provides
a graphical
representation of
performance measures
You can access the
report from the
Company menu or by
clicking the stock price
in the upper right
quadrant of the
simulation screen.
Use the drop-down menu
to select a variable to
graph from an array of
graphing variables.
Dashboard
The Dashboard becomes available after the simulation has been
advanced one period and provides a graphical representation of
performance measures. Use the drop-down menu to select the
graphing variable you wish to view, such as: return on sales, return on
marketing, customer satisfaction, unit sales, revenue, cost of goods
sold, etc.
You can access the dashboard in either the COMPANY menu, or by
clicking the dashboard image in the upper right quadrant of the
simulation screen.
Drop-down menu
COMPANY MENU
Income Statement
COMPANY MENU
Balance Sheet
Liabilities include
accounts payable, shortterm loans, and longterm loans.
Equity includes common
stock and retained
earnings.
Common stock on the
balance sheet shows the
value of the stock when
it was issued. It is
different from the market
value, which is the stock
price multiplied by
shares outstanding.
Total assets should be
equal to total liabilities
plus equity; however,
due to rounding errors
the two totals may be off
slightly.
COMPANY MENU
Cash Flow
The COMPANY Cash Flow Statement will show the various cash
sources and uses for the quarter. In the interest of space, some items
are combined (e.g., commissions and refunds). Note that depreciation
is not included in the cash flow analysis. This is due to the fact that
depreciation is an accounting entry for tax purposes and not an actual
cash outlay.
NOTE:
The entry "70% of operating expenses" on the Cash Flow statement is 70% of
operating expenses LESS depreciation, since depreciation is not a cash expense.
COMPANY MENU
Use this report to review
and analyze your firm's
overall performance.
Operations
Revenue Passenger
Miles is the total
passengers on each
flight times the route
length times the total
flights each qtr.
Operations Report
COMPANY MENU
Sales Report
This report shows the total number of seats sold daily in each of your
market / route combination and the corresponding fare sale, if any. In
addition, the number of flights daily, number of available seats,
number of seats sold, and the passenger load for each market / route
are displayed. This report is a good place to start when analyzing the
performance of routes and fare sales. The seats sold and passenger
load can be used when working with the Market Profitability Analysis.
Fleet Status
This report provides a summary of your current fleet of aircraft by
serial number, along with information on their book value, quarterly
cost, and accumulated depreciation if applicable. Depreciation is
calculated at 1.75% of the cost of an aircraft and is applied to
purchases and to any aircraft acquired through capital lease agreement.
Aircraft depreciation is
calculated at 1.75% of
the purchase price per
quarter.
INDUSTRY MENU
NOTE:
The reports in the first
quarter have been prepurchased; you will see
the charge from these on
your company income
statement when the
simulation is advanced.
Industry Reports
Most airline industry research focuses on counting passengers and
reading timetables. However, there are certain studies that can be
more useful for planning purposes. The reports found under the
INDUSTRY menu include: Demand Forecast, Compensation, Fares,
Sales, and Marketing. Their costs vary from $1,000 to $16,000 and
are updated each quarter as conditions change. You may purchase any
or all of the reports. If you purchase all 5 reports, the total cost would
be $31,000. Costs for any report purchased will appear on your
Income Statement next quarter.
Most teams do not order enough market research to keep informed
about competitor's strategic moves. In a research study by the authors,
the data showed that the teams who do better on the simulation usually
bought the most market research.
INDUSTRY MENU
Newsletter
Cost: None
Cost: None
INDUSTRY MENU
Operating Statistics
Cost: None
INDUSTRY MENU
Demand Forecast
Cost: $1,000
This report provides the business conditions for the next four quarters.
Quarter 0 demand index is based on a starting index of 100. Future
forecasts of demand may be obtained by purchasing this report in
subsequent quarters. Remember that a forecast is a forecast, not a
certainty. Demand forecasts are updated each quarter and a new fourquarter forecast is made.
INDUSTRY MENU
Compensation
Cost: $2,000
Use this report to compare your quality training budget the industry
average. You can also compare your additional employee
compensation to that paid by each competitor. Keep in mind that the
type of service you offer will affect how much you should be spending
on quality. For example, a quality training budget that slightly below
industry average may not be a problem for a discount airline, while it
could be a sign of trouble for a luxury carrier.
INDUSTRY MENU
Fares
Cost: $4,000
INDUSTRY MENU
Sales
Cost: $8,000
The default report does not show the routes which are not served. To
view this information, use the "Change Report Options" button and
select "Show all markets". This report is an extremely important
research item and should be purchased each quarter. Comparing this
report with the Fares report may provide some insight into how fares
affect demand.
INDUSTRY MENU
Marketing
Cost: $16,000
SIMULATION
MENU
Logout
To end your session, simply click the Logout link (visible on all
screens) to exit the site.
Using more standard strategic language, a visual diagram of this process is provided below. As
the diagram illustrates, a strategic plan must combine internal and external analysis in the
context of the vision and mission of the company. The plan is then implemented through a
companys management team. As the plan is implemented, the strategy may be refined based
on changes in the underlying assumptions or in how the plan is accepted internally (by
employees and stakeholders) and externally (by partners and target markets).
VISION and MISSION
INTERNAL ANALYIS
STRATEGY
(Purpose of the
Organization)
I.
II.
NOTE:
The internal and external analysis answers the question, "Where are we now?" and establishes the foundation for
looking toward the future in preparing goals and objectives. The outline below can be used for the remainder of
the strategic plan.
III.
IV.
Objectives or Goals
Specifies what the firm is striving for, what it wants to achieve. It is highly
desirable that targets be established that are quantifiable and measurable. There
are ten areas for which objectives should be established:
Market Standing
Productivity
Worker Performance
Physical Facilities
Stockholder Responsibility
Profitability
Innovation
Manager Performance and Development
Public (or Social) Responsibility
Financial Targets
V.
VI.
VII.
Standard procedures
(Methods or operating plans that need to be established to implement the
objective/goal.)
The president should be chosen carefully. Choose someone who can provide the team with time
discipline and keep everyone working. The president must take the lead in planning meetings,
delegating work assignments, and other leadership duties. If the president is not working out,
the team may gently suggest a change. If someone tries any position and does not like it, the
team should be open to switching positions. In fact, if the accountant in the group takes the role
of financier, others won't learn some of the areas of accounting and finance that may come in
very useful later in their careers.
Airline is a sophisticated interactive simulation and should not be taken lightly by your team.
Success in the game, both in terms of the learning experience and company profits, is directly
related to the degree of organization and cooperation among company (team) members. Game
results are directly correlated to well-thought-out analysis and strategic planning in the decision
process. An early and complete familiarization with the contents of the student manual will
increase the chances of success; knowledge of the proper use of analysis forms (or the same
work accomplished on a personal computer spreadsheet) is imperative if one is to stay abreast of
the game.
Record Keeping
Your instructor will tell you which of the following organizational assignments will be required:
1. Organization Chart:
Prepare an organization chart to include your team members' names and include what
you think would be the next lower level of personnel on your chart (i.e., who would
report to each of your officers).
2. Corporate Strategic Plan:
Each company should prepare its objectives and goals; implementation strategy; and
operating plans and procedures for the firm. You may follow the format presented
earlier in this section or use one provided by your instructor.
3. Company Logbook:
Each company should keep a logbook of the important data accumulated while playing
the simulation. Logbooks are analogous to the written records that firms maintain during
the course of normal operations. All data, information, charts, copies of forms that were
turned in, graphs, and narratives should be included. Your instructor will inform you
whether this is to be turned in at the end of the simulation or be available during class
periods for spot checks.
4. Comparative Charts and Graphs:
It is often very helpful to have historical information organized so managers can spot
early trends and trouble spots. The following list is not all-inclusive but is offered as a
reference point of departure.
a) Cash position each quarter
b) Mileage flown as a percentage of maximum mileage available
c) Fare and industry average
d) Earnings, dividends paid, and stock price
e) Sales forecast and actual sales (by total passengers, dollar sales, and revenue
passenger miles)
f) Passenger load factor (this is a key indicator of success)
g) Yield per revenue passenger mile, cost per available seat mile, and yield per
available seat mile
h) Employee compensation, training expenditures, and turnover
i) Various expense categories should be carefully monitored against some
meaningful performance standard. Examples include: maintenance cost per
mile flown or passenger service cost per passenger handled; marketing
expense per sales dollar; administrative expense per passenger or per revenue
passenger mile.
Functional Decision-Making
Now that youve organized your team, let's discuss decision-making in each of the functional
responsibilities in more depth. These sections should be reviewed by the appropriate team
members to make sure they are thinking through all the dimensions of their responsibilities.
Other team members (especially the President) may also want to review these sections to better
understand how to integrate the different perspectives.
Below is a reference table that summarizes many of the key cost and cash flow issues with the
lease versus purchase decision. This table is based on relatively simple calculation and does not
take into account the present value of money nor future income streams. It assumes a 12-year
loan. A spreadsheet program (constructed by you) could give a more explicit comparison.
Leasing is a straightforward approach to acquisition. One benefit of purchasing is that you are
building assets on the balance sheet. However, this also requires obtaining extra capital to pay
the principal each quarter. The repayment of principal has no effect on profit and loss but does
require additional capital acquisition.
AIRCRAFT LEASE/BUY CALCULATIONS: Part 1
Col. 1
Col. 2
Col. 3
A/C TYPE
Quarterly
Lease Cost
(000)
Annual
Lease Cost
Col 1 x 4
(000)
Purchase
Price
$million
Beechcraft 1900
British Aero 31
Embraer Brasilia
Saab 340
Embraer ERJ135
Aerospatiale ATR42
Canadair CRJ100
80
82
132
144
184
185
240
320
328
528
576
736
740
960
2.0
2.2
3.1
3.4
4.3
4.4
5.8
Col. 4
Annual
Interest
Cost
Col 3 x .09
(000)
180
198
279
306
387
396
522
Col. 5
Annual
Depreciation
Col 3 x .07
(000)
140
154
217
238
301
308
406
Col. 6
Total
Interest &
Depreciation
Col. 4+ Col. 5
(000)
320
352
496
544
688
704
928
A/C TYPE
Beechcraft 1900
British Aero 31
Embraer Brasilia
Saab 340
Embraer ERJ135
Aerospatiale ATR42
Canadair CRJ100
After-Tax
Annual
Lease
Cost
Col 2 x .60
(000)
192
197
317
345
441
444
576
After-Tax
Interest +
Depreciation
Cost
Col 6 x .60
(000)
192
211
297
326
413
422
557
Lowest
First-Year
Difference:
Lease (L) vs.
Buy (B)
(000)
Equal cost
L by 14
B by 20
B by 19
B by 28
B by 22
B by 19
Asset Base
being
built each
year if
purchasing
aircraft
140
154
217
238
301
308
406
You need to
calculate
additional
cash flow
required if
purchasing
Sources of Cash
Should your decisions require obtaining additional capital, you have several options available,
including selling stock and obtaining a short or long-term loan.
Selling and Redeeming Stock
Your company may choose to raise capital by issuing common stock; it will be sold at the
closing price from previous quarter with funds becoming available immediately, during the
quarter in which the stock is sold.
If you have more cash than you can use for capital expenditures, you can also buy back shares of
stock starting in Quarter 4 (Quarter 5 decision). Maximum redemption is $500,000 per quarter
or 10% of your outstanding shares, whichever is less. The purchase price will be the closing
price from the previous quarter.
Keep in mind:
The market price of your stock is posted on your quarterly Operations Report and is the price
at which your stock will be bought or sold.
You may never have less than 150,000 shares (your starting amount) as required by your
corporate charter.
Your bank requires that you have no greater than a 3:1 debt-to-equity ratio as a condition of
your loans. Buying back stock may reduce your line of credit.
Stock price can be very volatile from quarter to quarter, so do not be discouraged by
temporary setbacks.
Do not make decisions with the single goal of increasing your stock price. You will be
"chasing" the stock price the entire duration of the simulation and not applying your strategy
in operating the firm. If you stay focused on your operating strategy, profits should follow.
Remember that the Earnings per Share figure (see: Operations Report) is affected any time
additional stock is issued. This is termed "dilution of stock value" but can be overcome with
improved earnings in future quarters.
If you give shares of stock to employees (Compensation Decision: Benefits), the number of
shares of stock will increase by the number required to make the stock-bonus payment.
$2,200,000
+ 400,000
$1,800,000
NOTE:
The bank will lend UP TO 80% of the value of an aircraft being purchased. Thus, you may borrow less than 80%
of the price of an aircraft, obtaining the balance through the sale of stock or cash on hand.
Short-Term Loans
Short-term loans are based on a 90-day demand note. You may expect the bank to renew ("roll
over") these notes every 90 days automatically. However, during certain "tight" fiscal
conditions, a bank may "call" the demand note for payment. For this reason, firms should be
very careful about borrowing long-term capital needs on a short-term (demand) note basis.
Repayment of short-term notes is your responsibility, i.e., the loan will automatically renew
each quarter unless you place the desired repayment amount in the decision input screen. Your
short-term interest rate will fluctuate with your firm's overall financial condition; it will be
posted on your Operations Report each quarter. Quarter 0 short-term loan annual rate is 10%.
Automatic Overdraft Loans
Any time the cash outflow is greater than cash income, the bank will automatically issue an
emergency loan for the exact amount of the overdraft; adding to the short-term loan balance
already in existence. The interest charged will be twice the usual short-term rate (20 to 22%) for
one quarter. The rate then reverts to the current short-term rate.
The interest will be charged the first day of the next quarter. You can determine quickly if you
have had an emergency loan issued because your cash balance will be zero. You are not
required to make a separate decision screen entry to pay off an overdraft loan, as it becomes part
of your current short-term loan. However, you can pay all, part, or none of it as your cash
position allows.
Uses of Cash
As mentioned previously, the largest potential use of cash is the purchase of aircraft; however,
cash may also be necessary to sustain operations, especially if operating at a loss. Two
additional uses of cash discussed below are dividends and purchase of a CD.
Dividends
The firm paid its shareholders $2,000 in dividends last quarter. A dividend payment will be
adjusted based on the amount of quarterly profits if the payment exceeds the profits OR if the
firm has negative retained earnings.
In addition to a cash dividend, your firm may declare a 5% stock dividend. This grants 5% more
shares to each shareholder without any direct cash cost to the firm. The number of shares
outstanding will be adjusted on the firm's quarterly report. By law, if you have negative retained
earnings (no profit), your dividend will be canceled. Remember that declaring a stock dividend
will increase the total number of shares and can dilute the earnings per share.
It should be noted that the shareholders are the owners of the firm and expect dividends as
soon as it is prudent.
A dividend payment request will be cancelled if the firm has negative retained earnings or
the firm has a loss.
Do not declare a large dividend at the end of the simulation to make your firm "look good."
Your instructor will be looking for such end-gaming tactics.
will NOT be available as cash during the quarter in which CDs are purchased. Thus, if you have
a cash flow problem, it is possible to need an emergency overdraft loan while you hold a
certificate of deposit. Since the cost of a loan is greater than the interest paid on a CD, it is not
wise to borrow funds just to purchase a CD. Another alternative for using excess cash is to pay
off any short-term and/or long-term loans. You should not finish the simulation with a large
cash balance AND bank loan balances.
Additional Items on the Income Statement
Please refer to the case for the most important issues regarding these financial statements.
However, for the finance function (and possibly others), it may be important to understand some
of the other items as these can add up and be the difference between running the business at a
profit or loss.
Revenue Details:
If other sources of income become available during the simulation, the net income after
expenses will be shown under the category "Other Profits or Losses" on the Income
Statement. If you have more than one additional source of income in a quarter, both will
be totaled in this figure.
The winter quarter is particularly difficult to keep an airline on schedule; you may expect
your usual reliability to be reduced about 2 to 4% during the winter quarter (Quarters 4,
8, and 12).
Commissions paid to travel agents are 10% of the ticket price; however, not all tickets
are sold through agents so the commission expense will be calculated at about 9% of the
gross revenues (at the beginning of the simulation).
Refunds must be made when passengers are not able to fly as a result of equipment
problems, weather, overbooking, incorrect ticketing, employee discourtesy, or baggage
problems. This airline has a reliability factor of about 92%, which means that about 8%
of its flights are affected in some manner. The reliability for the quarter will be printed
beside the "Refunds" figure on your firm's Income statement each quarter. Following is
an example of the method used to compute the reliability rate:
Expense Details:
Flight Operations include crew cost, dispatching and weather services, baggage/mail/cargo
handling, and aircraft handling on the ground.
Passenger Service expenses includes the cost of the reservation and ticketing service, ticket
counters and terminal baggage service, and rent of terminal passenger areas. The $10,000 cost
associated with opening a new market is charged to passenger services.
Insurance costs are based on the total seats in the fleet and the size of the aircraft. The cost of
$10,260 is based on simulation startup figures using following calculation: 3 aircraft with 19
seats each = 57 seats x $180 (at startup) per seat per quarter = $10,260. Larger-capacity aircraft
have a higher insurance rate. Any aircraft in the fleet with more than 30-seat capacity are
charged $300 (at startup) per seat per quarter. Insurance costs can change at any time during
simulation play.
Marketing Expenses include Advertising and Promotion Budgets as well as the salaries for
outside Salespersons at $12,000 per quarter. All three of these items will be included in the total
for "Marketing Expenses" on the Income Statement.
Hiring/On-the-Job Training Costs
The total cost of replacing an employee due to turnover is $3,000. This amount includes the
cost of termination of the former employee; selection, interviewing, and hiring costs; on-the-jobtraining (OJT) costs; and the cost of lower productivity by the new employee during the early
quarters of employment. Three factors will affect employee turnover: additional employee
compensation, training, and reliability.
Interest Expense is the cost of your short-term and long-term loans. Interest is calculated on
loan balances. If an overdraft loan was needed, its interest cost will appear the quarter after the
loan was required. The reason for this is the loan was granted on the last day of the quarter and
is due to be paid off in the following quarter along with all interest due.
The total interest expense shown on the Income Statement and will consist of:
Short-term loan interest
+ Previous Quarter's Overdraft loan interest
+ Long-term loan interest__
= Total Loan Interest Expense
Lease Payment represents the amount due for all aircraft that are leased. If you obtain
operating leases, the aircraft will not appear on the balance sheet as an asset (as it will under a
capital lease agreement).
Depreciation is the total current depreciation calculated at 1.75% of the cost of each aircraft
owned per quarter. This seemingly low rate takes into account the salvage (resale) value of the
aircraft at the end of any given number of years of use. In addition, the facilities and equipment
account is depreciated at $5,000 per quarter.
Other Expenses refers to expenditures that may occur from time to time but do not fit into other
categories. This includes the brokerage fee when selling an aircraft or the fee to break a lease
and other costs associated with your Incident response selection. There is often more than one
item making up the "other expense" total.
Taxes are calculated at 40% of profits. If a firm has losses, the tax credit will carry forward in
the amount of the losses. Therefore, a quarter in which you use up all your tax credits may show
less tax expense than usual, as the 40% rate will apply to the non-sheltered profits only. While
the 40% rate may appear high, it includes not only income taxes, but property tax, licenses, and
VAT in the areas where that tax is in effect.
INDUSTRY
/
=
$
$
INDUSTRY
/
=
$
$
INDUSTRY
$
/ $
=
INDUSTRY
/
=
$
$
INDUSTRY
/
=
$
$
INDUSTRY
/ 80 =
/
=
INDUSTRY
ADDITIONAL MEASURES
Prepared By ________________________________________ Industry ___ Co ____
Your instructor may ask you to calculate these additional measures as well. There are no
industry numbers available in simulation reports for comparison.
ASSET TURNOVER
Gross Revenue
Divide by: Total Assets
DEBTTOASSETS
Net Profit
Divide by: Gross Revenues
GROSS MARGIN
Gross Revenue
Less: Commissions
Less: Refunds
Less: Flight Operations
Less: Fuel Cost
Less: Maintenance Cost
Less: Passenger Service
Sub-total Gross Margin:
NET WORKING CAPITAL
Total Current Assets
Less: Total Current Liabilities
/
=
$
$
$
/ $
=
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
= $
Marketing
The marketing budget, airfares and cabin service have been covered previously in the case and
operations guide. However, it is worth revisiting a few issues regarding analyzing current
market served and adding (or exiting) a market. These decisions will often be done working
with the manager of operations who often has insights on operating efficiency and load factors.
Analysis of Markets Served
Your overall strategy will be reflected in your decisions regarding which markets to serve, and
how many flights to schedule with which size aircraft. You may "mix" the types of aircraft
serving a market. For example, you may schedule two flights with a 19-seat aircraft and two
flights with a 30-seat aircraft for a total of four daily flights and 98 daily seats in market number
X (19+19+30+30 = 98). This is easily accomplished using the simulation by selecting the
aircraft for a particular market / route combination.
Adding a Market
In addition to your current markets (A, B, C, D, and E), you may begin service in any market in
the simulation at any time. The cost to open a new market is $10,000. This cost is
automatically charged to Passenger Service Expense on your quarterly Income Statement. The
new market is opened immediately; there is no waiting period. The $10,000 charge is processed
when the simulation is advanced to the next period; therefore you incur no cost should you
change your mind and add no flights in that market before the simulation is advanced. Your
aircraft are currently flying at their maximum mileage so if you want to add one or more
markets, or increase the number of flights in a current market, you must acquire more aircraft.
NOTE:
It takes two to three quarters to develop a new market and build a passenger base. Advertising and sales
promotion will be an important part of developing new markets.
Abandoning a Market
Your team may abandon a market at no cost. However, once you have abandoned a market and
want to reenter it, it will take the usual three quarters to again build up demand in the market.
There is no carry over effect. You will be charged $10,000 for opening the market again.
Operating Outside of Market Region
Due to longer distances involved when a firm operates out of its usual geographic region, there
may be slight additional costs of serving those markets. These costs include overnight expenses
for the crew, maintenance runs to airports without maintenance facilities, and purchasing fuel at
the destination regardless of the price at that location. Thus, direct flight expenses may be
slightly higher for markets served outside your region. While the additional expense is not
prohibitive, you should be aware of this possibility.
As the length of the flight increases (termed "stage" length), the average seat mile cost declines;
thus it is more efficient to operate aircraft over longer stage lengths. However, to simplify
financial reports, all of these factors are taken into consideration and an average cost per seat
mile is calculated. At the beginning of the simulation, each firm's region is assumed to be those
markets on the line corresponding to each firm's company number as shown in the MARKETS
SERVED table (below).
MARKETS SERVED (Quarter 0)
Markets (ABCDEFR) and Routes (1-51)
Served by each firm at simulation startup
Firm
#
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Miles
10
11
12
21
22
23
24
30
31
32
33
38
39
40
41
47
38
600
48
39
400
49
40
340
50
41
360
Market with
no Existing
Competition
E
5
7
13
15
18
25
27
34
36
42
45
51
400
The Closest
Foreign Market
Route no one
is Serving
F
6
8
14
16
19
26
28
35
37
43
46
52
420
The Closest
Resort Market
Route no one
is Serving
R
17
17
17
17
20
20
29
29
29
44
44
44
600
Fare Sale
One last note on fares. A fare sale stimulates demand but reduces revenues. The competitive
market is very reactive to fare changes; thus fare reductions tend to be copied by competitors
and the benefits to a single airline are short-lived. Teams should be very aware of the large
losses that could occur if the sale on fares is used in all markets during the same quarter.
Charter flights by tour operators keep the pressure heavy in Markets F and R thus fare sales are
expected by the public. Cabin Class aircraft and fare sales should be utilized in these markets.
While no airline is flying in the resort markets now, it is thought that demand can be developed.
Human Resources
The HR function is responsible for compensation decisions, quality and training budgets, crew
training and retention, and also should track reliability trends. Weve provided a little more
explanation of each below. The HR function may also be tasked with some of the record
keeping tasks for the group and other team process responsibilities.
Wage Increases and Additional Benefits
Wage increases are easy to enter in the simulation, but it is also important to understand the
implications of these increases. Several examples are provided below to illustrate the impact of
wage increases.
Quarter 0 quarterly wages are
computed as follows:
NOTE:
Minimum levels of
on-the-job training
for flight crews and
other employees are
mandatory and
become a cost of
doing business.
$40,000 (pilot)
+ $60,000 (manager)
= $100,000 (combined quarterly wage cost)
3 (aircraft)
x $100,000 (pilot and manager wages)
= $300,000
x
0.05 (5% wage increase)
= $15,000 (added cost per quarter)
x
=
x
=
3
$140,000
$420,000
0.04
$16,800
(aircraft)
(wages per aircraft operated)
(total wages for 3 aircraft)
(0.04% wage increase)
(added cost per quarter)
Stock-bonus Plan
The cost of the stock-bonus plan cost is set at $5,000 per aircraft operated. Employee
Compensation is charged for the cost of this stock. In addition, the "Stock Sold" amount on the
Cash Flow Statement shows the sale of the stock to the employee stock fund. The shares of
stock outstanding will also increase due to the sale of this stock.
The profit-sharing plan is based on 20% of the previous quarter's profits and the actual cost is
charged; if there are no profits, nothing is to be distributed, and therefore there is no cost.
Operations / Planning
The Operations and Planning function is responsible for analyzing all markets and service to
those markets for potential improvements in efficiency. This function will also be involved with
new route planning and aircraft procurement and disposal.
Scheduling and Aircraft Issues
Your existing fleet of three Beechcraft 1900s is serving several markets. Cabin service is not
provided; it is not practical on this type of aircraft, as it does not have enough headroom for
stand-up serving. The major advantage of this aircraft is its bullet-shaped fuselage; it has a
higher cruise speed than most of its competitors. While the current fleet of three 19-passenger
aircraft is serving the airline at the present time, increased demand will place a strain on your
fleet. Please review the case for a summary of the various aircraft options available to you in the
simulation.
The maximum mileage is calculated on a fleet basis; therefore, if the total mileage scheduled is
somewhat less than the maximum, you may be able to squeeze out one more flight. The
simulation will optimize your daily aircraft schedules and your schedule overall. It is your
responsibility to make sure the overall flight capacity is sufficient.
While there may be a slight decrease in maintenance costs if you fly less than 100% of the time,
if you exceed the aircraft's maximum number of miles (varies according to aircraft type: 1800
2400 per aircraft per day), you will be fined by the FAA. You may also expect additional
maintenance costs and "downtime," with the accompanying loss of passengers as flight
schedules are canceled. Use the Aircraft Scheduling report in conjunction with your routes
decisions to properly utilize your available aircraft. A small amount of additional mileage will
be accommodated to allow for minor mathematical errors on your part. Keep in mind that it is
good strategy to fly the maximum miles in order to more completely utilize your fleet.
Aircraft Acquisition
At the start of the simulation, you own three Beechcraft 1900, 19-seat aircraft. All aircraft
available for purchase are pre-owned but are in excellent condition. The key to aircraft selection
is in matching equipment to the market. This does not mean that you can't use aircraft above or
below their optimum mileage but the costs will be slightly higher if you do. All simulation
aircraft have very acceptable safety and maintenance records and there is no attempt in the
simulation to suggest that one aircraft that is "better" than another.
Aircraft with more than 30 seats require a special certification by the FAA and are required to
have a flight attendant. The paperwork to document compliance with these regulations can
result in increased staff. Compliance with regulating agencies is costly to airlines in terms of the
staff needed, the paperwork required, and the direct costs incurred. The labor cost of a flight
attendant is included in the operating cost of the larger aircraft available in the simulation.
Because there is a sufficient number of manufacturers of commuter aircraft, delivery time is
very short; you may order an aircraft for either purchase or lease and expect to put it into service
immediately. Used aircraft are selling very well and you can expect to sell your used aircraft
quickly, obtaining the cash in the same quarter in which they are sold. Some aircraft
specifications and guidelines are given in the table below.
NOTE:
The composition of the fleet of any airline should be in alignment with your corporate strategy.
AIRCRAFT SPECIFICATIONS
Beechcraft 1900
British Aero 31
Embraer Brasilia
Saab 340
Aerospatiale ATR42
Embraer ERJ135
Canadair CRJ100
British Aero 31
Embraer Brasilia
Saab 340
Embraer ERJ135
Aerospatiale ATR42
Canadair CRJ100
British Aero 31
Embraer Brasilia
Saab 340
Embraer ERJ135
Aerospatiale ATR42
Canadair CRJ100
Beechcraft 1900
NOTE:
Most manufacturers advertise that the breakeven load for their aircraft is in the 4555% range; this covers all operating costs but not fixed costs.
Firms should attempt to match markets, demand, and amenities with the type of
aircraft placed into service.
Disposal of Aircraft
Although it is somewhat costly to dispose of an aircraft that your firm has purchased or leased,
you should do so if the aircraft no longer fits your strategy. You may dispose of up to three
(leased or owned) aircraft per quarter. The cost to dispose of a leased aircraft is $50,000. An
owned aircraft will be sold at book value (cost less accumulated depreciation). A brokerage fee
of 1% of the book value of the aircraft will be assessed. The disposal costs will be shown as
"Other Expenses" on your quarterly Income Statement.
Aircraft Maintenance
Due to federal safety requirements, minimum equipment maintenance schedules are specified
and monitored by government agencies. In addition, each manufacturer provides a required
maintenance schedule based on the maintenance record of each model of aircraft. This requires
extensive record keeping. In addition, some airlines choose a maintenance program in excess of
Federal requirements to decrease unplanned, out-of-service time and to increase real and
perceived safety and reliability. Extra maintenance provides the same marginal benefits to the
company that an insurance policy might; it is difficult to determine the most cost effective level.
The fewer types of aircraft you have, the lower your maintenance costs will be. As different
types of aircraft are added, a greater number of parts must be stocked, mechanics must be
trained to work on a new type of aircraft, and specialized tools and equipment must be procured.
The Quality rating is a measure of how others perceive your firm and will be impacted by your
maintenance and HR decisions.
It should be noted that Level 1 is a very safe level of maintenance. Many airlines adhere to this
level and have very good safety and reliability records. However, other firms believe that higher
levels of maintenance enhance their overall reliability record and customer image. Recent
articles in aviation periodicals suggest that consumers are affected by the overall appearance of
the craft, including both aircraft exterior and cabin cleanliness. The firm has been operating at
Level 1.
Maintenance levels are described in the table on the following page.
There is no additional
cost.
Cost at simulation
startup: $2,500 per
aircraft per quarter.
Cost at simulation
startup: $3,500 per
aircraft per quarter.
Each aircraft type has a maximum daily mileage (from 18002400 per aircraft per day).
With the exception of resort and foreign markets, you need to fly more than one flight a day
in each market to provide reasonable connections.
Each market has a limited number of passengers; check for declining passenger load as you
add flights.
Total Miles Flown-Daily is a reflection of all of your trips in all of your markets. Whereas,
the "Maximum Mileage-Daily" is the number of miles your fleet may fly safely and
efficiently.
Your airline operates 80 days per quarter, which includes 5 weekdays and more limited
service on weekends. The Maximum Number of Seats in any market/route combination is
around 200.
It takes two to three quarters to develop a new market and build a passenger base.
Finally, remember that costs are relatively fixed in the airline business (e.g., it costs nearly
the same amount to transport one or nineteen passengers between two points). Sometimes
the difference between a profit and loss is one additional passenger per flight per day.
10% of the value of the ticket on 80% of gross revenues which calculates to
8% of gross revenues.
Insurance Cost
Hiring / On the
Job Training
Cost
Marketing
Expenses
Depreciation
Market
Research Cost
Interest
Income
5% per annum or 1.25% per quarter that is paid on your firm's CDs.
Lease Payment
Income Tax
Lease payments represent the amount due for all aircraft that are leased.
Since these are operating leases, the aircraft do not appear on the balance
sheet as an asset. Leases will be granted for an indefinite period, but there
is a $50,000 fee to cancel the lease and return the aircraft to the lessor. The
firm does not have any aircraft under lease at the start of the simulation.
40% of net profits.
LOAN INTEREST RATES
Short-term
Loan
Long-term
Loan
AppendixPage 89
Aircraft
Purchase Costs
Key
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
Cabin
Class
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Seats
19
18
30
34
37
46
50
ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
Administrative expense is a variable amount based on the total number of
seats in your fleet. While these costs may change, the cost at the beginning
of the simulation is as follows:
Number
of Seats
Administrative
Costs
076
77102
103134
135168
169199
200230
231279
> 279
Administrative
Cost per Qtr.
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
Plus $1,700 per seat
over 280
The increases in cost at various levels of fleet size are the result of extra
management, support personnel, administrative space, and maintenance
facilities required as fleets and firms become larger.
ACCOUNTING BALANCE
Accounts
Receivable
Accounts
Payable
MISCELLANEOUS EXPENSES
Cabin Service
Costs
Sale on Fares
Usually an entry of 1(which is 1/3 off ticket prices for one month.)
Flight
Attendants
Need one if aircraft has more than 30 seats. (This cost is built into "Flight
Operations" cost amount.)
Demand
Forecast
Cost to Sell an
Aircraft
1% of book value.
Cost to Break
a Lease
Cost to Enter a
New Market
Flight
Operations
Cost per Mile
Fuel Price
$10,000.
Level 1
No additional charges
Level 2
Level 3
AppendixPage 91
Company # ___________
2. List other services you think you might want to add in the future, if any (for example, you
will be given the opportunity to begin cargo service and auto rental in the simulation):
3. Describe your target market (the demographics of the segment of the population you want
to serve. (Example: Scot Air, the low price leader.)
4. List some advertising mottos, jingles, or lines you think your target market might relate to
(Example: "Fly Sublime, the On-time Airline."):
5. Describe the motif (cabin design, color schemes, aircraft paint design) you may use.
(Example: A recent airline chose the color blue and chose the name "Jet Blue.")
6. Describe any other factors that you want to consider in naming your business:
AppendixPage 93
Some considerations in naming your business and some right/wrong examples are
given below:
1. Is the name descriptive of what you do?
Pony Express vs. Trans-American Airlines
2. Is the name descriptive of your service?
Luxury Airline vs. Northeast Lines
3. Is the name an ego trip or does it contain meaningless names/words representing
the owners?
DWT Airlines (first initials of the owners) or We Three Airlines
4. Is the name distinctive, perhaps catchy, and easy to remember? Will it be
conducive to future advertising jingles and logos?
Eastern Econo Airlines vs. JanSanMark Airlines
5. Does the name lend itself to future changes in services or expansion of the
product line (i.e. cargo, charters)?
Petes Passenger Express vs. Americana Airlines
AppendixPage 95
LIST OF POLICIES
Most firms have an Employee Handbook, which describes all employee policies. This assignment
will accomplish the same objective except it is to be a concise list (not a book) of the policies you
have for your employees. It should cover everything of importance, including vacations, sick
leave, absence without notification, insubordination, promotion policy (promote from within or go
outside, and the circumstances for each), child care policy, etc.
It is suggested that you use a "bulleted list" to keep the total length reasonable. Write at a level
that even an employee without a high school diploma can understand it.
Submit ONE list per team. Keep a copy for your firm's records.
Co # ____
Reproduce as many copies of this form as needed. (Use additional pages if required.)
Please attach a print out of your quarterly decision summary to this document.
State any major change in your overall strategy (e.g., long-term objectives) and how it differs
from the original. (For quarter 1, please state your overall strategy.)
List each MAJOR decision or change in previous operating policy you are going to make this
quarter and give the rationale behind the decision:
AppendixPage 97
Mkt
Miles
Mkt
Miles
Mkt
Miles
Mkt
Miles
Mkt
Miles
Total Miles
this Aircraft
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Objective:
Total miles flown for each aircraft should be as close as possible to its maximum daily number
of miles. Some aircraft may be a few miles over (100) as long as other aircraft are a few miles
short. Fill in the form below to calculate the total miles per day you may fly per aircraft type.
Number of Aircraft in your fleet
X
=
Multiplied by maximum miles per day / per aircraft (max. varies from 18002400)
Equals your fleet total maximum miles per day
Use this worksheet as an alternative to the simulation analysis screen, Aircraft Scheduling.
AppendixPage 99
5. Does the firm have a prudent dividend policy? What would a committee of
stockholders say about this firm's treatment of its stockholders?
6. Did the team make decisions on a rational basis or did it often "stab in the dark"?
7. What are the firm's strengths and weaknesses?
What are the threats and opportunities facing the firm at this time?
8. At this point, is the firm a healthy, going concern? Is there any evidence of "end
playing" the simulation? Such evidence would include a large dividend payment at
the end, reducing all budgets, buying or selling stock to influence the stock price,
etc.
9. Was there any evidence of lack of teamwork in the firm? If so, what
communication, decision-making, and cooperation efforts need improving?
NOTE:
Most Instructors will penalize a team heavily if the team does anything at the end of the simulation that attempts
to make the firm look better. See Number 8 above.
11. Profit per passenger flown for all quarters being reported (total profits before
dividends divided by total passengers for all quarters): $ __________
12. Return on sales for the entire simulation (total profits before dividends divided by
total revenues): _______%
AppendixPage 101
13. Return on equity for entire simulation (Total profits before taxes divided by average
total equity):_______%
14. What was your average stock price for entire simulation? ____.___
15. What was your reliability at the end of the simulation? _______%
16. What was your employee turnover at the end of the simulation? ______%
17. How many quarters did you exceed the maximum mileage? _______
18. List your fare for each quarter:
Qtr.
Qtr.
1
2
3
4
5
0.___
0.___
0.___
0.___
0.___
7
8
9
10
11
0.___
0.___
0.___
0.___
0.___
0.___
12
0.___
19. Indicate any other factors that are relevant to this audit of your airline:
20. Indicate any other positive factors (strengths) that are relevant to this audit of your
airline:
AppendixPage 103
Your Name:
TOTAL:
$ 40,000
NOTE:
A fair, firm, and objective performance evaluation is a crucial function of the manager. While peer evaluation is
not an easy task, your instructor expects you to complete this task honestly.
Industry_____
Company #___
3. To what extent did the simulation help you understand the operation of an
organization from the viewpoint of top management?
5. To what extent did the simulation help sharpen your ability to analyze problems
and recommend solutions (i.e., decision making skills)?
6. What other skills did you learn because of the simulation and group decision
making that occurred?
7. How many hours per decision quarters did your team meet as a team (either faceto-face, phone, or via Internet: _____ hours at the beginning ______hours after
Quarter 4
8. How many hours per decision quarter should a team meet to make decisions?
_____ Hours
AppendixPage 105
9. How many hours per decision quarter did you spend (excluding team meetings) in
preparing for the team meeting or in doing outside work, gathering data, analyzing
data, working with a spreadsheet program, etc.?
_____ Hours
10. Please make any comments you feel (pro and con) about any of the incidents:
11. Please make any comments you feel (pro and con) about any other part of the
simulation:
12. Do you have any other suggestions concerning the simulation or the method in
which the instructor handled it?
13. Suppose that another student told you she was going to take this course next
semester. She has the choice between a course that has case studies only and a
course like this one that has a business simulation. What would be your advice
about course choice?
14. What would be your advice to her about the simulation if she were to take the
course with the simulation?
GLOSSARY
Available
Seat Miles
Flown
The AVAILABLE SEAT MILES FLOWN for all of your routes can be
calculated by multiplying the seats available per flight by the miles in the
particular market. Then add all the individual markets for the total.
Example: maximum miles per Aircraft per day x 80 flying days per quarter
x total seats in fleet.
Available
Line of
Credit
Breakeven
Load
Cost per
Available
Seat Mile
Current
ratio
The breakeven load for most small commuter aircraft is a 40 TO 50% load
factor, e.g., a 19-passenger craft would be 19 x .40 = about 8 full fare
passengers. This would include direct but not fixed costs of operating the
aircraft. Total costs would require 55% load or 19 x .55 = 11 passengers.
To determine your BREAKEVEN LOAD, divide the cost per Available Seat
Mile by the Yield per Revenue Passenger Mile. Quarter 0 example: 0.178
/ .35 = 0.509. Therefore a 50.9% passenger load is the airline's Breakeven
Point.
The COST PER AVAILABLE SEAT MILE is calculated by dividing total
operating costs (including commissions and refunds) by seat miles. This
will indicate how much it is costing to fly one seat one mile (whether
occupied or not).
A broad measure of liquidity calculated by dividing current assets by current
liabilities. The results should then be compared to the industry average. A
current ratio of less than 1 means that there are insufficient liquid assets to
pay current bills. Conversely, too high a current ratio (greater than 3) means
that too much cash is accruing and not being used to generate income
(longer-term investments, dividend payments to stockholders, and new
capital assets).
Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities
Daily Seat
Productivity
AppendixPage 107
Debt-Equity
Ratio
Employee
Turnover
Total employees at the end of the quarter and employees lost due to
turnover during the preceding quarter are shown on your firm's Operations
Report each quarter. To decrease employee turnover, the firm must pay
higher wages and increase the training budget.
Fuel Prices
FUEL PRICES are quoted for the open market in the current quarter (spot
prices) and for the three-month contract for next quarter. There is no
forecast for spot fuel prices as they are determined on a day-to-day basis
during the quarter.
Gross
Revenue
Interline
Ticketing
Interline ticketing and baggage arrangements can be made with all major
carriers. This agreement allows a small regional airline to issue tickets to
any destination at competitive rates and to offer the convenience of baggage
checked through to the final destination.
Line of
Credit
LINE OF CREDIT is the maximum amount a firm can borrow. This amount
differs as a function of the bank's credit practices at the time a loan is
negotiated and the firm's financial health and financial history. Normally,
the line of credit is equal to three times the total equity of the firm, but may
be less for firms with negative income. (See also: Available Line of Credit.)
Market
Overdraft
Loan
If the total cash available is not sufficient to meet cash demands, your bank
will automatically issue your firm an "overdraft" loan. This loan will cover
your cash shortage exactly and your Ending Cash will show a zero balance.
The interest for this loan is not charged until the following quarter.
Passenger
Load Factor
Return on
Assets
Return on
Equity
Return on
Sales
Shows the relationship of net profits to sales dollars. This is also known as
return on revenue and assists in the evaluation of both sales levels and
expenses.
Return on Sales = Net Profit / Revenue
Revenue
Passenger
Miles
(RPM)
Short-Term
Interest
Rate
The SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATE for each firm can differ, according to
the overall financial condition of the firm. At the start of the simulation, the
firm is being charged 2% over the current prime rate for short-term loans
(10%) and 9% for long-term loans. The firm's interest rates as well as the
prime rate could vary during the course of the simulation.
Yield per
Revenue
Passenger
Mile
AppendixPage 109
INDEX
A
accounts payable .................................................. 20, 75, 90
accounts receivable .................................................... 20, 90
aircraft
acquisition ....................................................... 37, 71, 85
disposal .................................................................. 37, 86
lease ...................................................................... 14, 37
lease, terminate........................................................... 37
leasing costs ................................................................ 13
maintenance ........................................ 13, 14, 19, 37, 86
maximum mileage ................................................. 84, 87
purchase prices............................................................ 90
scheduling.................................................. 39, 48, 81, 84
specifications ............................................................... 85
type.................................................................. 12, 21, 72
utilization ..................................................................... 14
ANALYSIS
Aircraft Scheduling ...................................................... 48
Financial Analysis ......................................................... 49
Market Profitability ..................................................... 47
B
balance sheet ........................ 14, 18, 20, 53, 71, 72, 78, 103
breakeven load ............................................................... 107
budget............................................................................... 70
advertising ....................................................... 16, 34, 64
cargo ...................................................................... 34, 64
marketing .................................................................... 81
promotional ..................................................... 16, 34, 64
quality and training ......................................... 36, 61, 83
social performance ...................................................... 41
total quality management system (TCM) .................... 36
training and quality programs ..................................... 83
C
cabin / food service .................................................... 33, 84
cargo business ......................................... See budget: cargo
cash flow ................................................... 20, 54, 71, 72, 76
CDs ........................................................................ 42, 75, 76
interest income ........................................................... 89
commission ....................................... 16, 19, 49, 52, 76, 107
COMPANY
Balance Sheet .............................................................. 53
Cash Flow..................................................................... 54
Dashboard ................................................................... 51
Fleet Status .................................................................. 56
Income Statement ....................................................... 52
Operations ................................................................... 55
Sales Report ................................................................. 56
cost
abandon market .......................................................... 81
aircraft disposal ........................................................... 86
aircraft maintenance ....................................... 37, 84, 91
D
decision aids ..................................................................... 46
DECISIONS
Compensation
wages, benefits, quality and training budget......... 36
Corporate
social perfomance budget, distribution of budget 41
Decision Summary ...................................................... 45
Fares
fare structure, fare, cabin / food service ............... 33
fares, cabin service ................................................ 33
Financing
loans, CDs, stock, dividends ................................... 42
Fleet
maintenance, fuel, acquisitions ............................. 37
Marketing
promotion / advertising cargo budgets, sales
personnel, in-flight magazine ........................... 34
Routes
schedule aircraft, flights, add or abandon market,
fare sale ............................................................ 39
Special
incident .................................................................. 44
demand ...........................................................10, 11, 15, 33
aircraft effect on ......................................................... 13
build up ....................................................................... 81
market ......................................................................... 70
stimulate / hurt ........................................................... 15
demand forecast .................................................... 3, 60, 91
demand index................................................................... 60
demand note .................................................................... 74
depreciation ...................... 20, 49, 53, 54, 56, 71, 78, 86, 89
aircraft, annual amount .............................................. 72
E
employee
IndexPage 111
training ........................................................................ 17
turnover ................................................................. 17, 55
wages............................................................... 17, 36, 83
enter decisions.................................................................. 32
expense
administrative........................................................ 20, 90
categories .................................................................... 69
direct flight ............................................................ 19, 81
fuel............................................................................... 20
hiring ........................................................................... 16
hiring sales personnel .................................................. 34
in-flight magazine ........................................................ 34
interest ........................................................................ 77
leasing.......................................................................... 20
marketing ........................................................ 34, 77, 89
new market ................................................................. 19
new route .................................................................... 39
operating ..................................................................... 54
operating outside market region ................................. 81
other ............................................................................ 78
passenger service ............................................ 19, 77, 81
quarterly ...................................................................... 52
F
fare sale ........................................ 12, 19, 39, 56, 60, 82, 91
fares .................................................................................. 15
effect on demand ........................................................ 63
financial ratio analysis....................................................... 79
FORMS / WORKSHEETS
Aircraft Scheduling Worksheet .................................... 98
Airline Debriefing Questionnaire ............................... 105
Airline Decision Log ..................................................... 97
Annual Report for Stockholders' Meeting ................. 103
Executive Bonus Recommendation ........................... 104
List of Policies .............................................................. 96
Management Audit Form .......................................... 101
Management Audit Worksheet ................................... 99
Naming Your Airline..................................................... 93
Passenger Bill of Rights ................................................ 95
interest
short-term loan ........................................................... 74
interest expense ................................. See expense: interest
interline ticketing ........................................................... 108
investment income........................................................... 75
L
lease
payment ................................................................ 78, 89
lease vs purchase ............................................................. 71
line of credit ....................................................... 14, 74, 108
loan
interest rates ............................................................... 89
long-term, short-term .................... 14, 37, 42, 74, 76, 77
overdraft ..................................................74, 76, 77, 108
short-term interest rate ............................................ 109
M
market characteristics ...................................................... 10
market research ............................................................... 57
maximum mileage ............... See aircraft:maximum mileage
menus
brief descriptions of .................................................... 27
pull-down .................................................................... 25
N
navigation buttons, green ................................................ 26
O
operations
guide ............................................................................. 7
other profits ..................................................................... 76
overhead .................................................................... 21, 34
P
passenger load factor ............................................... 55, 109
promotional fare .............................................................. 15
INDUSTRY
Compensation ............................................................. 61
Demand Forecast......................................................... 60
Fares ............................................................................ 62
Marketing .................................................................... 64
newsletter ............................................................... 1, 44
Newsletter ................................................................... 58
Operating Statistics ..................................................... 59
Sales............................................................................. 63
input screens .................................................................... 25
insurance policy ................................................................ 86
R
refund
lease disposal fee ........................................................ 37
refunds .............................................. 19, 49, 52, 54, 76, 107
reliability factor .......................................................... 19, 76
retained earnings ............................................................. 75
revenue passenger miles ................................................ 109
review
historical information.................................................. 26
S
sales personnel ................................................................. 34
hiring cost .................................................................... 16
simulation
navigation .................................................................... 25
SIMULATION
Logout.......................................................................... 64
STARTUP
Aircraft ......................................................................... 30
Briefing ........................................................................ 28
Case ............................................................................. 29
Glossary ....................................................................... 31
Startup Decision .......................................................... 31
stock
bonus plan ................................................................... 84
dilution of value ........................................................... 73
T
tax credit .......................................................................... 78
tax expense ...................................................................... 78
taxes ................................................................................. 78
income tax .................................................................. 89
team leader role ............................................................... 27
tools
decision-making .......................................................... 25
V
view previous decisions.................................................... 45
IndexPage 113