Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Our reports, filings, and other public announcements may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These forward-looking statements relate to anticipated financial performance, managements plans and objectives for future operations, business prospects,
outcome of regulatory proceedings, market conditions and other matters. We make these forward-looking statements in reliance on the safe harbor protections provided under the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this presentation that address activities, events or developments that we expect, believe or anticipate will
exist or may occur in the future, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can be identified by various words such as expects, intends, will, anticipates, believes, confident,
continue, propose, seeks, could, may, should, estimates, forecasts, might, goals, objectives, targets, planned, projects, and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements
are based on managements current beliefs and assumptions and on information currently available to management that are subject to risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside of our control,
and could cause future events or results to be materially different from those stated or implied in this presentation. Specific factors that could cause actual results to differ from results contemplated by
forward-looking statements include, among others, the following:
competition in the markets we serve, including new entrants in these markets;
entry of potential competitors upon the expiration of non-competition agreements;
unauthorized use of our brand name;
risks associated with ownership of the ADT brand name outside of the United States and Canada by Tyco International Ltd., our former parent company (Tyco);
failure to enforce our intellectual property rights;
allegations that we have infringed the intellectual property rights of third parties;
failure to maintain the security of our information and technology networks;
interruption to our monitoring facilities;
an increase in the rate of customer attrition;
downturns in the housing market and consumer discretionary income;
our ability to develop or acquire new technology;
changes in U.S. and non-U.S. governmental laws and regulations;
increase in government regulation of telemarketing, e-mail marketing and other marketing upon cost and growth of our business;
risks associated with our non-compete and non-solicit arrangements with Tyco;
shifts in consumers choice of, or telecommunication providers support for, telecommunication services and equipment;
our dependence on certain software technology that we license from third parties;
failure or interruption in products or services of third-party providers;
our greater exposure to liability for employee acts or omissions or system failures;
interference with our customers access to some of our products and services through the Internet by broadband service providers;
potential impairment of our deferred tax assets;
risks associated with acquiring and integrating customer accounts;
potential loss of authorized dealers and affinity marketing relationships;
failure to realize expected benefits from acquisitions;
risks associated with pursuing business opportunities that diverge from our current business model;
adverse developments in our relationship with our employees;
potential liabilities for obligations of The Brinks Company under the Coal Act;
changes in our credit ratings;
risks related to our increased indebtedness;
capital market conditions, including availability of funding sources;
potential liabilities for legacy obligations relating to the separation from Tyco;
failure to fully realize expected benefits from the separation from Tyco; and
difficulty in operating as an independent public company separate from Tyco.
Given the risk factors and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement, we caution investors not to unduly rely on our forwardlooking statements. These risk factors should not be construed as exhaustive. We disclaim any obligations to and do not intend to update the above list or to announce publicly the result of any revisions
to any of the forward-looking statements to reflect future events or developments. If one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize or if our underlying assumptions prove to be incorrect, actual
results may vary materially from what we projected, including the market prices of our common stock during the term and after the completion of the accelerated share repurchase, the ability of the broker
selected by us to buy or borrow shares of our common stock, the ability to complete the share repurchases within the proposed timing or at all, the number of shares that ultimately will be repurchased, and
the uncertainty regarding the amount and timing of future share repurchases by ADT and the origin of funds used for such repurchases. Consequently, actual events and results may vary significantly from
those included in or contemplated or implied by our forward-looking statements. More detailed information about these and other factors is set forth in ADT's most recent annual report on Form 10-K, our
quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and in other subsequent filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
1
Introduction
Naren Gursahaney
Chief Executive Officer
Michael Geltzeiler
Chief Financial Officer
Alan Ferber
President, Residential
Luis Orbegoso
President, Small Business
Don Boerema
Senior Vice President and
Chief Corporate Development Officer
Agenda
Business Overview
Year One Progress and FY14 Outlook
Growing Our Business
Concluding Remarks
Q&A
Leading Player in Residential and Small Business Security & Automation Markets
Consistent Mid-Single Digit Revenue Growth, Industry-leading Profit Margins and Customer
Return Metrics that Drive Cash Flow Generation and Shareholder Returns
$11.0 Billion
4%-5% (1)
19%
(3)
Market Share
25%
13%
Rank in Market
#1
#1
Contribution
92% of RMR
8% of RMR
Source: ADT Segmentation Study; ADT Penetration Study; IMS Americas Market for Remote Monitoring Services.
Note: Markets include US and Canadian monitoring & services and installation/equipment revenues, unless otherwise noted.
(1)
Monitoring & services only, based on Bain HS&A national consumer survey estimate of household growth, 80% driven by automation services with premium RPU.
(2)
IMS Americas Market for Remote Monitoring Services , US and Canadian monitoring and services revenue growth.
(3)
Bain HS&A national consumer survey, based on number of subscribers.
$14.4
$14.5
$15.9
$16.3
4% - 5%
$17.2
$18.0
$19.4
Residential
Security and Automation
Annual Growth (2)
3% - 4%
Small Business
Security and Automation
Annual Growth (3)
2006
2007
Residential
2008
2009
Small Business
2010
2011
2012
$21B total ADT addressable market once non-compete expires in September 2014 (4)
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Barnes Industry & Market Overview. Residential and Small Business data based on IMS Americas Market for Remote Monitoring Services.
Monitoring & services only, based on Bain HS&A national consumer survey estimate of household growth, 80% driven by automation services with premium RPU.
IMS Americas Market for Remote Monitoring Services, US and Canadian monitoring and services revenue growth.
ADT Segmentation Study; ADT Penetration Study; IMS Americas Market for Remote Monitoring Services; Bain analysis. Addressable market includes monitoring & services and
installation/equipment revenues for residential, fire, small and medium businesses in the US and Canada. Non-compete provisions with Tyco expire on September 29, 2014.
59%
Thousands
of Others
4%
4%
3%
Vivint
Monitronics
Protection 1
2% Slomins
2% Guardian
<1% MSOs Combined
Most Considered by
Consumers When Choosing
Their Security Provider (1)(2)
(% Residential Security Intenders Who Would
Consider Each Company for Security Service)
88%
41%
50%
Traditional 1
23%
Cable 1
6%
All Others
8%
Cable 1
20%
Traditional 1
5%
Cable 1
7%
5%
Telco 2
4%
Traditional 1
4%
(1)
(2)
(3)
Telco 1
14%
Traditional 2
Telco 2
13%
Telco 2
3%
National Scale
Reduces Sales
and Marketing
Costs
Local Scale
Reduces Cost to
Serve
Monitoring Centers
Other ScaleDriven
Advantages
10
Comprehensive Safety
and Automation
Product Solutions
Obsession with
Protection
Lifestyle
Connections
Automation and scheduling
Alerts
Energy
Industry-Leading
Innovation
Entertainment
Lifestyle
Smart
Meter
Life Safety
Energy
Savings from consumption
management and rate
reductions
Entertainment
Superior Customer
Experience
11
17,000 Employees
who are Security Experts
11 years
Average tenure of service technicians
7 years
Average tenure of install technicians
4 years
Average tenure of call center representatives
3 years
Average tenure of sales representatives
12
Direct
Indirect
Residential
National Sales
Center (NSC)
Authorized Dealers
Builder / HOAs
(Lead Generators)
Small Business
(SB)
Health
Affinity
(Lead Providers)
M&A
Grow customer additions
through acquisitions
Proven history of integration
capabilities
Large Bulk
Acquisitions
13
23%
4%
3%
10%
15%
49%
13.9%
1.4%
Lost to
Competition
1.4%
Voluntary
excl. Lost to
Competition
Cable/
Telecom
0.2%
3.9%
25%
16%
46%
48%
44%
Past 12M
1-3 Years
>3 Years
ADT
(1)
(2)
ADT
Stability
Cable/Satellite
Non-Pay
3.6%
Relocation
5.0%
FY2013
LTM Attrition
Other
Competitors
1.2%
Lost to
Competition(2)
Telecom
AlphaWise, Morgan Stanley Research, Survey of US Residential Security Market (2013, N=1,192).
Based on July 2013 internal survey results.
14
$4
$4
$3.0
$3
$2.3
$3
$1.8
$2
$2
$1
43.8%
$1
47.5%
51.1%
600
2007
2010
Recurring Revenue
2013
400
Resi. Direct
Trad.
Resi. Direct Pulse
200
Devcon
$0
Weighted
Average Cost
of Capital
SB Trad.
SB - Pulse
5%
10%
Large Bulk
Purchase
IRR (3)
Health
15%
20%
Consistent ~$1 billion of steady-state free cash flow generated every year
(1)
(2)
(3)
15
Agenda
Business Overview
Year One Progress and FY14 Outlook
Growing Our Business
Concluding Remarks
Q&A
16
Built
Momentum in
Pulse
Mike Geltzeiler
Chief Financial
Officer
Alan Ferber
President,
Residential
Luis J. Orbegoso
President, Small
Business
Kathleen McLean
Chief Information
Officer
Arthur Ordua
Chief Innovation
Officer
Small
Business
Growth
Successful
M&A
Execution
Returned
$1.4B of
Capital
Financial Metrics
Customer Additions
Attrition
Average Revenue Per
User (ARPU)
Recurring
Revenue
Pre-SAC
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA Margin
Cost to Serve
(CTS)
Steady-State Free
Cash Flow
Subscriber Acquisition
Cost (SAC)
Cash Tax Rate
Capital Structure &
Share Repurchases
M&A
18
Customer Additions
(Thousand Customers)
1,025
971
459
464
1,088
491
1,161
527
1,224
173
117
453
161
163
157
507
566
597
634
654
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Q1 2013
Y-o-Y
Growth
(1.3%)
Q2 2013
0.6%
Q3 2013
Q4 2013
4.5%
8.1%
19
Attrition
13.5%
13.0%
12.2%
Net Attrition as
(1)
Reported
Y-o-Y
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
+40bps
+30 bps
Net Attrition
Adj. for
(2)(3)
Recaptures
N/A
Vivint
(4)
+330bps
12.6%
Monitronics
(5)
+60 bps
T12M RMR of canceled subscribers divided by the T12M average total RMR. Net of dealer chargebacks (replacements contractually provided by dealers) and resale units (new subscribers
at a location with previously installed ADT system).
T12M number of canceled subscribers divided by the T12M average number of subscribers, net of dealer chargebacks and resale units.
Net of relocated customers who re-enter contract with ADT at new location.
20
Vivint investor presentation, as of September 30, 2013.
Monitronics filings, as of June 30, 2013.
ARPU
Price Escalations
(% of trailing 12 months recurring revenue)
FY2013
YoY
$42.99
$38.87
Q4
2012
$43.36
$39.27
Q1
2013
$43.94
$39.66
Q2
2013
$44.20
$44.24
3.1%
4.6%
2.8%
$40.08
$40.31
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
2.8%
2.7%
2.8%
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
3.7%
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
SAC
$1,326
$1,197
$10
$1,187
28.2x
FY 2012
$1,273
$22
$1,251
$1,277
$32
$32
$1,294
$1,322
$1,245
28.8x
28.3x
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
$32
Upgrade Cost
29.9x
29.3x
Q3 2013
Q4 2013
Net Creation Multiple
(1)
22
(1)
Excludes upgrade costs associated with traditional customers upgrading to Pulse service. Estimated cost of $750-$800 per subscriber upgrade.
Cost to Serve
$18
$14
$13
(1)
(2)
Monitronics
(1)
Vivint
(2)
23
Attrition
Outlook
Continued penetration
in Residential
Dealer channel
optimization
Expansion in Small
Business and Health
Successful M&A
execution
Comment
New initiatives and
Pulse will help offset
the impact of the
housing recovery
SAC
Comment
Impact of Pulse take
rates offset by
initiatives to reduce
cost, holding creation
multiple relatively
constant
ARPU
Outlook
Comment
Outlook
Cost to Serve
Outlook
Comment
Outlook
Programmatic G&A
reduction
Initiatives in place to
streamline processes
and reduce cost
24
ADT Priorities
Accelerate innovation and enhance
leadership position in Residential
Invest in
Growth
Advantaged position as
industry acquirer/partner
of choice
G&A reduction
Balanced
Capital
Allocation
Dividend growth
Strategic M&A
Opportunistic share repurchases
25
Agenda
Business Overview
Year One Progress and FY14 Outlook
Growing Our Business
Concluding Remarks
Q&A
26
Customer Adds
ARPU
Customer Adds
Attrition
ARPU
Customer Adds
Customer Adds
ARPU
Cost to Serve
27
Prior Experience
Former Chief Strategy and Brand Officer and
Executive Vice President Operations at U.S.
Cellular
Co-founded Traq Wireless
Education
MBA from Northwestern University's Kellogg
School of Management
Bachelor of Arts from the University of
Michigan
28
Market Size
Market Growth
Market Penetration
Market Share
Rank in Market
Contribution
$11.0 Billion
4% -5% (1)
25%
19%
25%
(2)
#1
92% of RMR
59%
Thousands
of Others
Residential
Security &
Automation
2013E
Number of
Households
4%
4%
3%
Vivint
Monitronics
Protection 1
2% Slomins
2% Guardian
<1% MSOs Combined
Source: ADT Segmentation Study; ADT Penetration Study; IMS Americas Market for Remote Monitoring Services.
Note: Markets include US and Canadian monitoring & services and installation/equipment revenues, unless otherwise noted.
(1)
Monitoring & services only, based on Bain HS&A national consumer survey estimate of household growth, 80% driven by automation services with premium RPU.
(2)
Bain HS&A national consumer survey, based on number of subscribers.
29
Automation Growth
Leverage consumer insights to drive innovation
Net Customer
Additions Growth
Automation
Net Customer Additions
100%
market by 3x if
penetration reaches that
of other home services
83%
75%
64%
19%
1%
Wireless
Internet
HDTV
Landline Phone
Security
Home
Automation
31
Source: Industry Journals; penetration of home security from ADT 2010 Penetration study and 2008 Parks Associates.
Potential impact
Housing
Market
Technology
Development
(Units in Millions)
Customer
Demand
Demographic Trends
4.2
4.0
4.1
2009
2010
2011
4.5
4.9
5.1
5.5
(1)
(2)
Per ADT customer survey response to question why start monitoring?; n=1440.
National Association of Home Builders (September 2013).
32
Automation
Net Customer Additions
(1)
(2)
20%
Home
Security
80%
Home Security
and Automation
33
Needed to Win in
Automation Market
Automation
Net Customer Additions
ADT?
34
54%
54%
48%
49%
39%
35%
35%
27%
27%
23%
19%
19%
11%
8%
8%
1%
1%
0%
0%
FY 2011
13%
13%
11%
FY 2011
FY 2012
Direct New Only
(Excluding Devcon)
FY 2012
FY 2013
New
Resale
Directand
New
Only
(Including
(Excluding Devcon)
Devcon)
FY Q4
2013
2013
Dealer
New and Resale
(Including Devcon)
Dealer
Pulse Customers have 25% Higher ARPU and Better Retention Characteristics
35
Additional peripherals
Benefits
Automation
36
Automation
Net Customer Additions
491K
527K
453K
$44.61
$41.10
$42.57
29.6x
29.5x
28.2x
2011
2012
2013
Avg. New
Customer
Credit Score
714
715
718
(1)
Funding &
Incentives
Termination of a
Major Third Party
Lead Generator
Staffing &
Operational
Support
Dealer
Rationalization
Pace of Pulse
Adoption
Automation
Training &
Nurturing
Execute
Reach &
Frequency
38
Automation
Net Customer Additions
Home Insurance
Lead generation
Lead generation
Broadband
Energy
Lead generation
Lead generation
Leverage broadband
infrastructure
Early access to movers
Retail
Lead generation
ADT Everywhere
Distribution opportunities
including peripherals
Enable innovation
39
Automation
Net Customer Additions
-15bps
40% of
Disconnects
38% of
Disconnects
Voluntary
Improve lifecycle
management
Drive Pulse adoption
+60bps
34% of
Disconnects
36% of
Disconnects
FY2012
FY2013
-5bps
27% of
Disconnects
26% of
Disconnects
Relocations
Non-Pay
Leverage data to
increase resales and
recaptures
Enhance attractive
customer metrics
through tighter credit
screening
40
Customer Life
Attrition Risks
Proactive
Customer Experience
& Retention
Programs to
Lengthen Lifecycle
Automation
Net Customer Additions
Non-Pay Risk
Relocation Risk
Welcome /
On-Boarding
Auto-Pay Adoption
Upgrade Campaigns
41
Automation
Net Customer Additions
Initiatives
Increase Pulse take-rates across all
channels
Pulse Customers
Non-Pulse Customers
0
12
18
Months After Installation
24
42
(1)
Initiatives
Faster detection of potential relocations
and planned response through more
vigilant customer tracking processes
Net
Relocation
Disconnects
Recapture
Resale
FY 13 Relocation Disconnects
43
Automation
100%
55%
94%
45%
6%
New Sales
Revised customer credit screening will impact Direct channel gross additions in the
short term but provide a dramatic improvement in overall non-pay attrition over-time
44
Customer Adds
Increase net customer additions
Dealer channel optimization
Targeted customer retention initiatives
ARPU
Increase partnerships
Invest in Pulse to capitalize on premium
ARPU and better retention characteristics
Attrition
45
Customer Adds
ARPU
Customer Adds
Attrition
ARPU
Customer Adds
Customer Adds
ARPU
Cost to Serve
46
Prior Experience
Former President of the Global Detection and
Alarm segment of United Technologies
Corporation (UTC)
Former President of Lenel Systems International,
a division of UTCs Fire and Security segment
Education
MBA from Northwestern Universitys Kellogg
School of Management
B.S.M.E. from the University of Cincinnati
47
Competitive Landscape
Number of Addressable Small Businesses(2)
Market Size
Market Growth
Market Penetration
Market Share
Rank in Market
Contribution
$2.4 Billion
3%-4% (1)
50%
13%
100%
90%
7.0M
3.5M
No Security
80%
70%
60%
SelfMonitored /
Unmonitored
Security
All Other
Players
50%
40%
#1
30%
8% of RMR
10%
20%
Professionally
Monitored
security
Monitronics
Vivint
Protection1
ADT
0%
Security Use
Source: ADT Segmentation Study; ADT Penetration Study; IMS Americas Market for Remote Monitoring Services.
Note: Markets include US and Canadian monitoring & services and installation/equipment revenues, unless otherwise noted.
(1)
IMS Americas Market for Remote Monitoring Services, US and Canadian monitoring and services revenue growth.
(2)
Bain HS&A national consumer survey, based on number of subscribers.
Monitored Security
48
$2.4
$2.3
$247
$2.3
$231
$2.2
$224
$209
2010
2011
2012
2013
2010
2011
2012
2013
49
(1)
ADT Segmentation Study; ADT Penetration Study; IMS Americas Market for Remote Monitoring Services.
Investment in
Field Tools and
Resources
Increased
Level of
Accountability
Salesforce.com
investment
1200 iPads for the field
Model sales call
(1.0%)
Region realignment
FY 12
Forecasting tool
Revamped sales
processes
Recurring
Growth
RecurringRevenue
Revenue Growth
(%)(%)
6.9%
Technology Pulse
Small
BusinessSpecific
Marketing
FY 13
Optimizing media
Business Journals ads
Restaurant Stakeout
sponsorship
2.9%
FY 12
FY 13
50
(1)
34.2%
27.6%
10.0%
Pulse Customers
Non-Pulse Customers
0
(1)
(2)
12
18
Months After Installation
24
0.6%
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
Q4 2013
51
52
Store-Front
Clinical
Office
Mechanical
Retailers
Convenience
stores
Restaurants
Bars/grills
Doctor offices
Health clinics
Laboratories
Financial advisors
Tax preparers
Insurance agents
Auto service
stations
Small distributors
Needs
Employee theft
Shoplifting
Time and
attendance
Monitor premises
Secure high value
inventory
Secure and
monitor drug
inventory
Restricted areas
Compliance
Automated
reports (Audits)
Protect
confidential
information
Selective
employee access
to sensitive areas
Digital security
Ensure customer/
employee safety
Restrict access to
hazardous areas
Some have retail
components (gas
stations)
Market
Size
$350M
$375M
$190M
$400M
$190M
Customer
Value
High
Medium
Very High
High
Medium
Vertical
Examples
Products
53
Source: Bain analysis; ADT Segmentation Study; IMS Americas Market for Remote Monitoring Services.
Standardized Offerings
Account Management
Nationwide coverage
200 Branches
4,300 technicians
54
Optimize
Grow
Next 12 months
12-36 months
36-60 Months
Optimize customer
operations
Focus on
operational cost
reduction
Integrate solutions into
Pulse to drive business
efficiencies
Technology and
commercial partnerships
55
56
2010
13E-16E
CAGR
Access solutions
$10.4
Fire
5.0%
Medium
Business
2.5%
Small
Business
2.5%
Fire-NICET certified
$2.4
2013
2016E
Source: ADT Segmentation Study; ADT Penetration Study; IMS Data; Frost & Sullivan.
(1)
Includes US and Canada monitoring & services and install/equipment revenues.
57
Customer Adds
ARPU
Addressable market to open up significant after noncompete expires
58
Customer Adds
ARPU
Customer Adds
Attrition
ARPU
Customer Adds
Customer Adds
ARPU
Cost to Serve
59
Prior Experience
Former Chief Marketing Officer for ADT North
America-Residential and Commercial
Education
MBA and B.S. from Eastern Illinois University
60
$1.7B
$1.5B
Other
$1.3B
$1.0B
$1.1B
$1.1B
$1.2B
Alert USA
ConnectAmerica
Tunstall
Alert 1
2%
Life Alert
Philips
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis of the NA Telehealth Industry; Parks Associates; SDM; ABI Research; Credit Suisse.
Device
Hub
Data Transmission
Data User /
Institutions
62
PERS-Driven Business
Product Evolution
Integrated
Health
solution
Seamless integration
PERS, automation, telehealth
Shared functionality:
PERS, automation, telehealth
Mobile
Monitoring
Non-Emergency
mPERs
Telehealth
Monitoring
mPERS
In-premise
only
Horizon II:
Bundle for Purpose
Horizon III:
Integrate with Lifestyle
PERs
Motion sensors (Video)
Heart rate Monitoring
PERs
Motion sensors
Glucometer, Medication (box/cabinet)
Weight Scale Monitoring
5
6
Bathroom
PERs
Motion sensors, Video
Device on/off Sensors
Cabinet/Fridge door sensors
Door/window sensors
PERs
Motion sensors, Video
Thermostat control
HR, BP, Glucometer Monitoring
Medication (box/cabinet) + reminders
Door/window sensors (front door sensor)
Door locks
TV access
PERs
Motion sensors, Video
MPERs
Mobile Health Tracking
Activity Monitoring and Alerts
Daily activity
Wake-up
Outdoors around
the house
Meals
6
64
Customer Adds
ARPU
65
Customer Adds
ARPU
Customer Adds
Attrition
ARPU
Customer Adds
Customer Adds
ARPU
Cost to Serve
66
Strengthen
the Core
Extend Our
Leadership Position
Bulk account
purchases
Dealer account
purchases
Invest in
Adjacencies
Strengthen functional
capabilities
Pulse penetration
Small Business
Increase scale
Health
Leverage synergies
Other adjacencies
Expand geographic
coverage
Examples
Pinnacle
Broadview/Brinks
iControl
Absolute
Devcon Security
Ideal Life
67
Increasing competitiveness of home security market place by well capitalized public companies
Interactive, internet-based technologies being deployed that drive complexity into business
Sunset of 2G wireless network by January 2017 will place financial pressure on all players
Scale / Density
25%
59%
Residential
Security &
Automation
2013E
Number of
Households
Thousands
of Others
Geography
4%
Vivint
4% Monitronics
3% Protection 1
2% Slomins
2% Guardian
<1% MSOs Combined
Capabilities
Synergies
Growth Engine
Strengthen
functional
capabilities
Increase scale
Leverage synergies
Expand geographic
coverage
Sales capabilities
Fire-NICET/NFPA certification
Enterprise selling
Marketing capabilities
Data analytics
Installation
Home entertainment
Service
Billing
Technology
Intellectual Property
70
Strengthen
functional
capabilities
Increase scale
Leverage synergies
Expand geographic
coverage
71
(1)
Health
Pulse Extension
Business
Health
Other Adjacencies
Vehicle
Pulse integration with voice
management
Asset management
Hardware
Industrial Design
Exclusive core elements
Entertainment
Actionable local content
Entertainment and Smart TV
integration
Monitoring
Solar, vehicle, healthcare
Identity Theft
72
Our M&A
Guiding
Principles
73
Due Diligence
Deal Process
Oversee M&A function &
champion acquisitions
Ensure alignment with strategy
Manage process and diligence
Prioritize opportunities
Determine valuations
Develop relationships with
potential target companies
M&A
Team
Finance
IT
Operations
HR
Sales
Legal
Integration Process
Integration
Leader
Finance
IT
Operations
HR
Sales
Customer
Experience
Customer Adds
Cost to Serve
75
Agenda
Business Overview
Year One Progress and FY14 Outlook
Growing Our Business
Concluding Remarks
Q&A
76
Prior Experience
Education
77
$4
$3
$2.8
$3
$2
$2.9
$3.0
$2.3
$1.8
$1.9
$1.9
66.5%
66.7%
$2
$1
$1
43.8%
44.4%
46.3%
47.5%
49.3%
49.8%
51.1%
$4
600
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Recurring Revenue
(2)(3)
EBITDA Margin
(2)(4)
Pro-Forma Pre-SAC EBITDA Margin
2013
400
Resi. Direct
Trad.
Resi. Direct Pulse
200
Devcon
$0
Weighted
Average Cost
of Capital
SB Trad.
SB - Pulse
5%
10%
Large Bulk
Purchase
IRR (5)
Health
15%
20%
Consistent ~$1 billion of steady-state free cash flow generated every year
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
78
Optimize Capital
Structure to Propel
Growth
3x Leverage Target
Attrition
Average Revenue
Per User
(ARPU)
Cost to Serve
(CTS)
Organic Customer
Growth
Return Capital to
Shareholders
Dividend Payout
Ratio of
40%-50%
Share
Repurchases
Strategic M&A
Subscriber
Acquisition Cost
(SAC)
+1.1 million
new customers
+40 bps
net attrition
Average Revenue
Per User
+3.7%
(ARPU)
Cost to Serve
(CTS)
+$0.58
per subscriber(1)
Subscriber
+0.8x
Acquisition Cost
creation multiple(2)
(SAC)
Cash Tax Rate
5%-7% to 2022
$2.4B share
Capital Returns
Implied FY2013
Trading Multiples(5)
repurchases(3)
Recurring
Revenue
$3,041 M
EV / LTM RMR
47.3x
EV / Pre-SAC
EBITDA
Pre-SAC
EBITDA Margin
67%
5.8x
EBITDA Margin
51%
EV / EBITDA
7.1x
Steady-State
Free Cash Flow
$939 M
EV / SSFCF
12.8x
Cash P/E
14.2x
2% dividend yield(4)
M&A
Note:
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
Devcon and
Absolute
Unless otherwise noted, all figures are before special items and are non-GAAP measures. For a reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measures please see the appendix.
Increase mainly due to dis-synergies and public company costs associated with Tyco spinoff.
Excludes subscriber upgrades.
Includes repurchases completed after fiscal year-end.
Based on a $41.00 illustrative share price, reflects increase in dividends announced after FY2013 year end.
Based on pro forma capital structure and a $41.00 illustrative share price.
80
Cost
Component
FY2013 focus
Separation from Tyco
Establishing public
company capabilities
Cost to
Serve
(CTS)
Initiatives in Place
Subscriber
Acquisition
Cost
(SAC)
Cost to
Serve
(CTS)
2013
G&A
$483M
Customer Service
$212M
Maintenance
$179M
Revenue Share
$77M
Bad Debt
$49M
$1,000M
66.7%
$12.88
2016
82
(1)
Before special items and non-GAAP. For a reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measures please see the Appendix.
Subscriber
Acquisition
Cost
(SAC)
P&L
Portion
of SAC (1)
2013
Selling incl.
Commissions
$217M
Advertising &
Marketing
$171M
Installation
Cost
1x Reduction
$60M
51.1%
by 2016
$738M
$555M
150bps Improvement
($294)M
$1,447M
$1,277
by 2016
29.1x
83
Pre-SAC EBITDA
Direct and Dealer New RPU
Direct and Dealer SAC
T12M Disconnects Net of Price Escalation (trends with Net Attrition)
SSFCF is an
Important
Financial
Metric
Best proxy for analyzing the cash potential of existing subscriber base
Equalizes deferments and capitalization for cost of replacing attrition
Strips out amortization complexities and inconsistencies
Calculation now more aligned with key peers and enhances transparency
New Definition
Q4 T12M
FY2013
(4)
+Interest Paid
+Income Taxes Paid, Net of Refunds
+Reduction in Dealer CAPEX
SSFCF before Special (Prior Definition) (4)
Trailing Recurring Revenue
Gross Attrition
Recurring Revenue Lost to Attrition
$507
107
(2)
283
$895
$3,063
17.1%
$524
$85
2.8%
$439
654
$43.4
$341
$98
2.78x
$272
$555
$272
$283
Note:
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Start
with fundamental
metric (Pre-SAC
EBITDA)
Simplify
and relate to
key drivers
(attrition and
creation
multiple)
Q4 FY2013
$2,108
($1,159)
- Maintenance CAPEX(1)
($10)
$939
$259
14.3%
31.3x
$1,159
85
Scalable and
Flexible Sales
Channel
Attractive
Interest Rate
Environment
Recurring revenue
represents >90% of total
revenue, providing
stability and predictability
Provides flexibility in
downturns to reduce
spending on subscriber
acquisitions and limit
downside risk
Opportunity to lock-in
historically low interest
rates
Well Positioned
as Industry
Consolidator
Capital Return to
Shareholders
Opportunity to return
capital to shareholders
via share repurchases
and dividends
Increasing leverage to 3.0x provides flexibility to invest in organic growth and pursue
opportunistic M&A while also continuing to return capital to shareholders
86
2014-2015
2016+
Annually
~$1.7B
$0.0B
~$1.7B
~$1.0B
~$3.4B
~$1.0B
~$3.4 billion of capital available for M&A and shareholder return over the next 2 years and
~$1.0 billion annually thereafter to invest in acquisitions and return to shareholders
Note: Figures are illustrative. Free cash flow estimates and incremental capital from growing EBITDA estimates are
contingent on ultimate allocation between acquisitions and share repurchases.
(1)
(2)
87
Uses of Capital
M&A Criteria
~$0.3B
~$1.2B of share
repurchases
already completed
in FY 2014
~$3.4B
~$3.1B
~$1.1B
~$1.9B
Capital Available
Dividends
Payout ratio of
40% - 50%
Advantaged position as
industry consolidator, and
opportunity to return significant
capital to shareholders
(1)
FY 2013
Actual
Pro-Forma
Total Debt
$2,527
$3,376
$4.5B
EBITDA
$1,609
$1,690
$1.7B
Debt / EBITDA
1.6x
2.0x
2.6x
235
212
(9.8%)
187
(20.0%)
89
FY2014 Guidance
Levers
Operational
Customer
Additions
Attrition
ARPU
SAC
Capital Allocation
Cost to Serve
Note:
(1)
Special Items
Share
Repurchase
M&A
Outlook
Consistent growth
FY2013A
FY2014E
Recurring
Revenue
Growth %
4.8%
4% - 5%
EBITDA Margin %
(before special
items)
51.1%
50+ bps
Expansion
Steady-State Free
Cash Flow (1)
$939M
+5% - 10%
Growth
Expected to stabilize
$1.2B to date
Capitalize on advantaged
position as industry
consolidator
Unless otherwise noted, all figures are before special items and are non-GAAP measures. For a reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measures please see the Appendix.
Based on new definition of SSFCF.
90
Small Business
Healthcare
Mid-single digits
M&A
Double digits
91
Agenda
Business Overview
Year One Progress and FY14 Outlook
Growing Our Business
Concluding Remarks
Q&A
92
25% residential
market share
6.5 million
customers with
>90% recurring
revenue
Attractive
incremental returns
Stabilize attrition
Optimize Indirect
channel
Opportunity to
Meaningfully
Improve
Margins
Clear Multi-year
Plan for
Success
Right
Leadership
Team to Ensure
Success
93
Q&A
2013 ADT LLC dba ADT Security Services. All rights reserved.
Appendix
2013 ADT LLC dba ADT Security Services. All rights reserved.
Non-GAAP Measures
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA), EBITDA margin, EBITDA (pre-SAC), EBITDA margin (pre-SAC), steady-state free cash
flow (SSFCF), and EPS at cash tax rates in each case before special items and/or pro-forma are non-GAAP measures and should not be considered
replacements for GAAP results.
EBITDA is a useful measure of the The ADT Corporations (the Company) success in acquiring, retaining and servicing our customer base and ability to
generate and grow recurring revenue while providing a high level of customer service in a cost-effective manner. The difference between Net Income (the
most comparable GAAP measure) and EBITDA (the non-GAAP measure) is the exclusion of interest expense, the provision for income taxes, depreciation
expense and amortization expense. Excluding these items eliminates the impact of expenses associated with our capitalization and tax structure as well as
the impact of non-cash charges related to capital investments.
EBITDA (pre-SAC) is a useful measure of the Companys success in retaining and servicing our customer base while providing a high level of customer service
in a cost-effective manner. The difference between Net Income (the most comparable GAAP measure) and EBITDA (pre-SAC) (the non-GAAP measure) is the
exclusion of interest expense, the provision for income taxes, depreciation expense, amortization expense, and subscriber acquisition related revenue and
expenses. Excluding these items eliminates the impact of expenses associated with our capitalization and tax structure, the impact of non-cash charges
related to capital investments, and the impact of growing our subscriber base.
In addition, from time to time, the Company may present EBITDA and EBITDA (pre-SAC) before special items, or on a pro-forma basis which are EBITDA and
EBITDA (pre-SAC), adjusted to exclude the impact of the items highlighted below. These numbers provide information to investors regarding the impact of
certain items management believes are useful to identify, as described below.
There are material limitations to using EBITDA and EBITDA (pre-SAC). EBITDA and EBITDA (pre-SAC) may not be comparable to similarly titled measures
reported by other companies. Furthermore, EBITDA and EBITDA (pre-SAC) do not take into account certain significant items, including depreciation expense,
amortization expense, interest expense, and tax expense, which directly affect our net income. Additionally, EBITDA (pre-SAC) does not take into account
expenses related to acquiring new customers. These limitations are best addressed by considering the economic effects of the excluded items independently,
and by considering EBITDA and EBITDA (pre-SAC) in conjunction with net income as calculated in accordance with GAAP.
96
97
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
$212
$222
$243
$239
$376
$394
$421
56
78
81
106
89
92
117
130
121
150
159
228
236
221
517
546
560
674
813
862
930
$915
$967
$ 1,034
$1,178
$1,506
$1,584
$1,689
18
11
(1)
35
28
14
$922
$973
$1,040
$1,231
$1,534
$1,609
$1,690
43.8%
44.4%
46.3%
47.5%
49.3%
49.8%
51.1%
Interest, net
EBITDA
98
2012
2013
$394
$421
92
117
236
221
862
930
$1,584
$1,689
11
(1)
14
$1,609
$1,690
396
387
$2,005
$2,077
(22)
$1,983
$2,077
66.5%
66.7%
$3,228
$3,309
(247)
(196)
$2,981
$3,113
Interest, net
EBITDA
99
(1) Pro-forma adjusts 2012 amounts for the higher level of dis-synergies and corporate costs incurred in FY2013.
Q4
FY2011
Q4
FY2012
Q4
FY2013
($M)
$93
$94
$96
Interest, net
21
22
32
64
51
$2,108
(997)
(999)
(1,159)
56
Maintenance capital
expenditures
(10)
(10)
(10)
$969
$971
$939
$235
$247
$259
241
$382
$390
$425
Q4
FY2013
$1,980
223
Q4
FY2012
$1,976
204
(1)
Q4
FY2011
14.1%
13.8%
14.3%
30.1x
29.3x
31.3x
$997
$999
$1,159
$390
$401
$431
104
94
96
$494
$495
$527
(1) Average T12M recurring revenue disconnected net of price escalations. Disconnects account for dealer chargebacks.
(2) Gross creation cost includes amount held back from dealers for chargebacks.
100
$1.88
0.99
0.01
$2.88
0.01
0.10
(0.11)
$2.88
(1) Calculated using a tax rate of (0.3)% for the twelve months ended September 27, 2013.
(2) Relates to the 2012 Tax Sharing Agreement between Tyco, ADT and Pentair.
101