Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SIMPLE
I.
AO
Y (consumo
de
Arroz
decenas de
toneladas
X1
(Precio
de arro en
francos por
Kg)
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
101.6
88.26
90.44
88.84
91.6
99.25
88.82
116.28
124.2
113.62
110.91
105.5
127.88
99.32
119.23
97.9
127.61
126.24
159.26
141.22
143.99
135.44
134.51
134.5
136.32
133.44
137.98
132.7
151.29
142.22
136.46
146.46
144.19
149.75
154.68
152.98
158.37
175.41
166.27
167.88
67.53
189.9
X3
(Renta
X2 (Precio de
nacional
del
las papas en
pais
en
francos
por
billones
de
Kg)
francos)
131.52
3.58
128.65
4.07
127.96
4.81
130.66
5.8
127.96
7.19
134.75
8.43
124.61
10.12
155.77
12.83
153.9
15.88
143.34
18.45
147.75
21.17
140.78
23.07
157.95
2.65
144.77
29.7
155.61
33.35
146.25
38.63
179.94
42.03
170.98
47.31
185.33
52.93
171.97
59.42
197.49
62.1
E (Estrato
poblacion
al)
1
1
2
2
1
2
3
3
2
1
1
2
2
3
3
1
1
2
2
1
3
X1
X2
X3
1978 101.6135.44
131.52
3.58 1
1979 88.26134.51
128.65
4.07 1
1980 90.44134.5127.96
4.81 2
1981 88.84136.32
130.66
5.8
127.96
7.19 1
1983 99.25137.98
134.75
8.43 2
1984 88.82132.7124.61
10.123
1985 116.28
155.77
151.29
1986 124.2142.22
12.833
153.915.882
1987 113.62
136.46
143.34
18.451
1988 110.91
146.46
147.75
21.171
1989 105.5144.19
1990 127.88
149.75
1991 99.32154.68
1992 119.23
140.78
157.95
144.77
152.98
23.072
29.7 3
155.61
146.25
2.65 2
33.353
38.631
1994 127.61
175.41
179.94
42.031
1995 126.24
166.27
170.98
47.312
1996 159.26
167.88
185.33
52.932
1997 141.22
67.53171.97
59.421
1998 143.99
189.9197.49
62.1 3
end
literal a
1)
*Con Y y X3
reg Y X3
P
3267636
3664620
4106758
4592483
5250695
6074133
L
1493.8
1549.1
1637.6
1727.6
1848.6
1963.5
1991
6887865 2036.2
1992
7848365 2070.8
1993
8168404 2065.4
1994
8392581 2055.9
1995
8972103 2093.78
1996
9420052
2707.61
5
K
2923424
3138054
3364006
4672090
6413699
8526639
1074484
0
1259703
9
1444443
2
1626004
0
1796236
2
1922653
8
1985 3267636
1493.800
2923424
1986 3664620
1549.100
3138054
1987 4106758
1637.600
3364006
1988 4592483
1727.600
4672090
1989 5250695
1848.600
6413699
1990 6074133
1963.500
8526639
1991 6887865
2036.200
10744840
1992 7848365
2070.800
12597039
1993 8168404
2065.400
14444432
1994 8392581
2055.900
16260040
1995 8972103
2093.780
17962362
1996 9420052
2707.615
19226538
end
Se pide:
a) Estimar e interpretar los modelos lineales simples: produccin en
funcin del trabajo y produccin en funcin del capital.
reg P L
reg P K
SS
df
MS
Model
Residual
1.29935486
.210394074
1
10
1.29935486
.021039407
Total
1.50974893
11
.137249903
lP
Coef.
lL
_cons
2.108793
-.3254219
Std. Err.
.2683409
2.028224
7.86
-0.16
Number of obs
F( 1,
10)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
P>|t|
0.000
0.876
=
=
=
=
=
=
12
61.76
0.0000
0.8606
0.8467
.14505
2.595151
3.350655
. reg lP lK
Source
SS
df
MS
Model
Residual
1.49443896
.015309971
1
10
1.49443896
.001530997
Total
1.50974893
11
.137249903
lP
Coef.
lK
_cons
.5191046
7.349121
Std. Err.
.0166151
.2646571
t
31.24
27.77
Number of obs
F( 1,
10)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
=
=
=
=
=
=
12
976.12
0.0000
0.9899
0.9888
.03913
P>|t|
0.000
0.000
.4820838
6.759428
.5561253
7.938813
Lineal simple
. reg P L
Source
SS
df
MS
Model
Residual
4.2567e+13
9.8477e+12
1
10
4.2567e+13
9.8477e+11
Total
5.2415e+13
11
4.7650e+12
Coef.
L
_cons
6042.919
-5320961
Log-log
Std. Err.
919.1277
1803696
t
6.57
-2.95
Number of obs
F( 1,
10)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
=
=
=
=
=
=
12
43.23
0.0001
0.8121
0.7933
9.9e+05
P>|t|
0.000
0.015
3994.974
-9339846
8090.863
-1302075
. reg lP lL
Source
SS
df
MS
Model
Residual
1.29935486
.210394074
1
10
1.29935486
.021039407
Total
1.50974893
11
.137249903
lP
Coef.
lL
_cons
2.108793
-.3254219
Std. Err.
.2683409
2.028224
Number of obs
F( 1,
10)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
P>|t|
7.86
-0.16
0.000
0.876
=
=
=
=
=
=
12
61.76
0.0000
0.8606
0.8467
.14505
2.706694
4.193742
SS
df
MS
Model
Residual
1.49443896
.015309971
1
10
1.49443896
.001530997
Total
1.50974893
11
.137249903
i)
lP
Coef.
lK
_cons
.5191046
7.349121
Std. Err.
.0166151
.2646571
t
31.24
27.77
Number of obs
F( 1,
10)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
=
=
=
=
=
=
12
976.12
0.0000
0.9899
0.9888
.03913
P>|t|
0.000
0.000
.4889904
6.86944
.5492188
7.828801
. reg lP t
Source
SS
df
MS
Model
Residual
1.4620664
.047682534
1
10
1.4620664
.004768253
Total
1.50974893
11
.137249903
lP
Coef.
t
_cons
.101115
14.953
Std. Err.
.0057745
.0424989
t
17.51
351.84
Number of obs
F(
1,
10)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
=
=
=
=
=
=
12
306.63
0.0000
0.9684
0.9653
.06905
P>|t|
0.000
0.000
.0882487
14.85831
.1139813
15.0477
. reg lL t
Source
SS
df
MS
Model
Residual
.256641644
.035544563
1
10
.256641644
.003554456
Total
.292186207
11
.026562382
lL
Coef.
t
_cons
.0423639
7.281408
Std. Err.
.0049856
.0366931
t
8.50
198.44
Number of obs
F(
1,
10)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
=
=
=
=
=
=
12
72.20
0.0000
0.8783
0.8662
.05962
P>|t|
0.000
0.000
.0312552
7.199651
.0534725
7.363166
. reg lK t
Source
SS
df
MS
Model
Residual
5.3559543
.189900113
1
10
5.3559543
.018990011
Total
5.54585442
11
.504168583
lK
Coef.
t
_cons
.1935309
14.65624
Std. Err.
.0115238
.0848127
t
16.79
172.81
Number of obs
F(
1,
10)
Prob > F
R-squared
Adj R-squared
Root MSE
=
=
=
=
=
=
12
282.04
0.0000
0.9658
0.9623
.1378
P>|t|
0.000
0.000
.1678544
14.46727
.2192075
14.84522
Y
27.8
29.9
29.8
30.8
31.2
33.3
35.6
36.4
X2
397.5
413.3
439.2
459.7
492.9
528.6
560.3
624.6
X3
42.2
38.1
40.3
39.5
37.3
38.1
39.3
37.8
X4
50.7
52
54
55.3
54.7
63.7
69.8
65.9
X5
78.3
79.2
79.2
79.2
77.4
80.2
80.4
83.9
X6
65.8
66.9
67.8
69.6
68.7
73.6
76.3
77.2
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
36.7
38.4
40.4
40.3
41.8
40.4
40.7
40.1
42.7
44.1
46.7
50.6
50.1
51.7
52.9
666.4
717.8
768.2
843.3
911.6
931.1
1,021.50
1,165.90
1,349.60
1,449.40
1,575.50
1,759.10
1,994.20
2,258.10
2,478.70
38.4
40.1
38.6
39.8
39.7
52.1
48.9
58.3
57.9
56.5
63.7
61.6
58.9
66.4
70.4
64.5
70
73.2
67.8
79.1
95.4
94.2
123.5
129.9
117.6
130.9
129.8
128
141
168.2
85.5
93.7
106.1
104.8
114
124.1
127.6
142.9
143.6
139.2
165.5
203.3
219.6
221.6
232.6
78.1
84.7
93.3
89.7
100.7
113.5
115.3
136.7
139.2
132
132.1
154.4
174.9
180.8
189.4
*Construya un intervalo
crecimiento del consumo
de
confianza
para
la
tasa
de
Interpretacin
Conforme el ingreso se incrementa indenidamente, el gasto en alimentos se acerca a su
valor asinttico de 1895 dlares.
Nivel crtico del ingreso
Mnimo: 40
Umbral del consumo
Gasto de consumo= 0 + 1
( 1x )
( 401 )
Gasto de consumo=2.939,96
Interpretacin
Conforme el ingreso se incrementa indenidamente, el gasto en alimentos se acerca a su
valor asinttico de 1895 dlares.
Nivel crtico del ingreso
Mnimo: 40
Umbral del consumo
Gasto de consumo= 0 + 1
( 1x )
Gasto de consumo=2.939,96
( 401 )