Professional Documents
Culture Documents
AND PORTFOLIO
MANAGEMENT
EFFECT OF BREXIT ON AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY
PREPARED BY
AKSHAY 1411403
ARCHIT 1411406
SONAM 1411425
NAINA 1411434
AVINANDAN 1411449
AASTHA 1411465
SHIPRA - 1411471
Open
4,179.90
4,100.00
4,041.10
4,061.00
4,053.00
4,151.90
4,145.00
4,146.00
4,076.55
4,115.00
4,160.00
4,125.00
High
4,200.00
4,141.00
4,081.95
4,061.00
4,092.10
4,175.00
4,180.50
4,168.10
4,144.80
4,158.00
4,164.00
4,215.00
Low
4,145.55
4,089.20
4,040.00
4,004.10
3,866.60
4,120.45
4,125.05
4,109.00
4,065.70
4,093.45
4,062.00
4,112.10
Close
4,187.20
4,131.25
4,078.70
4,025.10
4,070.05
4,168.60
4,151.35
4,157.40
4,133.20
4,114.50
4,084.10
4,209.60
Volume
770,500
646,900
626,400
836,600
1,559,700
341,000
417,500
512,300
667,100
951,600
1,118,500
510,800
Adj Close*
4,158.28
4,102.72
4,050.53
3,997.30
4,041.94
4,139.81
4,122.68
4,128.69
4,104.65
4,086.08
4,055.89
4,180.53
ANALYSIS:
Date
Close
30 Jun, 2016
4,187.20
29 Jun, 2016
4,131.25
28 Jun, 2016
4,078.70
27 Jun, 2016
4,025.10
24 Jun, 2016
4,070.05
23 Jun, 2016
4,168.60
22 Jun, 2016
4,151.35
21 Jun, 2016
4,157.40
20 Jun, 2016
4,133.20
17 Jun, 2016
4,114.50
16 Jun, 2016
4,084.10
15 Jun, 2016
4,209.60
Ri =
PiPo
100
Po
Di = [Ri Rm ]
(Di)2
4151.35
-0.15
0.123
4157.4
0.59
0.854
4133.2
0.45
0.723
4114.5
0.74
1.013
4084.1
-2.98
-2.713
4209.6
0.01
5
0.72
9
0.52
3
1.02
6
7.35
9
-
Close price
22-Jun16
21-Jun16
20-Jun16
17-Jun16
16-Jun16
15-Jun16
SUM
-1.34
Mean = Sum
Ri / n - 1
Variance = Di^2
/ N-1
Standard
Deviation =
Date
23 June, 2016
Date
30-Jun16
29-Jun16
28-Jun16
27-Jun16
24-Jun-
9.65
2
0.26849230
2
1.93044081
3
1.38940304
2
Close price
4,168.60
Ri =
PiPo
100
Po
Di = [Ri Rm ]
(Di)2
4187.2
1.35
0.64
4131.25
1.29
0.57
4078.7
1.33
0.61
4025.1
-1.10
-1.82
0.40
6
0.32
6
0.37
7
3.31
9
-
Close price
4070.05
16
SUMOpen
2.87
4.42
Date
High
Low
Close
Volume
Adj Close
8
6/30/16
509.1
509.7
502.35
505.75
2334200
499.7321
6/29/16
504.5
507.25
499.3
504.95
1209500 498.9417
6/28/16
505
512.6
500.1
501
1518600 495.0387
Mean = Sum Ri /
0.7174868
6/27/16
499
509
499
504.65
1135600 498.6452
n-1
16
6/24/16
513
516.95
493.55
507.05
3567400 501.0167
Variance = Di^2
1.1069955
6/23/16
533.1
535
526.65
531.35
1027500 525.0275
/ N-1
6/22/16
540.8
542 03 530.55
532.75
1211900 526.4109
Standard 543.9
1.0521385
6/21/16
544.3
533
535
1344300 528.6341
Deviation
=
38
6/20/16
534
548.85
532.1
544.3
1592700 537.8234
6/17/16
533.1
542
532.3
535.25
946000 528.8811
6/16/16
537.05
543.35
530.5
533.1
1181300 526.7567
6/15/16
535
542
530
540.9
648900 534.4639
Maruti Suzukis shares were traded at a higher price before BREXIT. The risk involved with the
investment into the shares of the company was also high (1.389). Consequently, the returns were
also high (-0.268 - mean return).
After BREXIT the share prices came down as compared to the days before BREXIT. The price
per day was quiet low for a couple of days and the returns for the same on contrary, was higher
than the Pre-BREXIT days (0.717 mean return) and the risk also lowered (1.05). Hence, it can
be concluded that the Companys performance was affected positively by BREXIT.
STOCKPRICEOFMAHINDRAANDMAHINDRA(DonebySonamTshering
Gurung1411425):
Thedaysfortheanalysisofstockpricestartfrom15thJune2016until30thJune
2016,whileexcludingthedayofBREXIT.
ANALYSIS:
Date
6/30/16
6/29/16
6/28/16
6/27/16
6/24/16
Close Price
505.75
504.95
501
504.65
507.05
6/23/16
6/22/16
6/21/16
6/20/16
6/17/16
531.35
532.75
535
544.3
535.25
6/16/16
6/15/16
533.1
540.9
AnalysisusingStandardDeviation
5 DAYS BEFORE BREXIT
Date
22-Jun-16
21-Jun-16
20-Jun-16
17-Jun-16
16-Jun-16
15-Jun-16
SUM
Close Price
532.75
535
544.3
535.25
533.1
540.9
Ri*100
-0.42
-1.71
1.69
0.40
-1.44
-1.48
-0.436
-1.724
1.675
0.388
-1.457
-
(Di)2
0.190
2.972
2.807
0.151
2.124
8.244
-0.86
-0.23
-1.75
-1.50
-
(Di)2
0.748
0.055
3.050
2.240
6.093
Di
Ri (MEAN) = Ri / (N - 1)
= -0.295423645
Variance = (Di)2 / (N 1)
= 1.64871009
5DAYSAFTERBREXIT
Date
30-Jun-16
29-Jun-16
28-Jun-16
27-Jun-16
24-Jun-16
SUM
Close Price
505.75
504.95
501
504.65
507.05
Ri*100
0.16
0.79
-0.72
-0.47
-0.25
Di
Ri (MEAN) = Ri / (N - 1)
= -0.062436244
Variance = (Di)2 / (N 1)
4
= 1.523191054
OPEN HIGH
LOW CLOSE VOLUME ADJ. CLOSE*
454.00
461.95 452.00
459.25
9,12,400
459.06
445.20
449.50 445.20
447.10
4,87,800
446.92
449.90
449.90 438.35
440.35
9,13,000
440.17
451.00
457.45 443.70
448.60
11,55,500
448.42
439.20
453.45 425.00
449.00
35,69,100
448.82
475.55
489.60 475.55
488.00
12,31,100
487.80
483.90
484.70 468.15
472.50
7,54,000
472.31
482.50
486.15 477.25
485.00
6,04,000
484.80
5
20 June, 2016
463.50
483.15 460.40
481.65
17 June, 2016
460.00
464.90 457.40
463.20
16 June, 2016
451.50
455.00 446.25
454.00
15 June, 2016
450.00
453.00 447.35
452.20
*Close price adjusted for dividends and splits.
9,06,700
7,17,500
6,08,900
5,26,700
481.45
463.01
453.82
452.02
ANALYSIS:
DATE
CLOSE PRICE
30 June, 2016
29 June, 2016
28 June, 2016
27 June, 2016
24 June, 2016
23 June, 2016
22 June, 2016
21 June, 2016
20 June, 2016
17 June, 2016
16 June, 2016
15 June, 2016
459.25
447.10
440.35
448.60
449.00
488.00
472.50
485.00
481.65
463.20
454.00
452.20
Close price
472.50
485.00
481.65
463.20
454.00
452.20
Ri =
PiPo
100
Po
-2.577
0.696
3.983
2.026
0.398
= 4.526
Di = [Ri Rm ]
-3.482
-0.209
3.078
1.121
-0.507
-
(Di)2
12.124
0.044
9.474
1.257
0.257
= 23.156
Ri (MEAN) = Ri / (N - 1)
= 4.526/5 = 0.905
Variance = (Di)2 / (N 1)
= 23.156 / 5
= 4.631
Standard Deviation = Variance
= 4.631
= 2.152
Date
Close price
23 June, 2016
488.00
Date
Close price
30 June, 2016
29 June, 2016
28 June, 2016
27 June, 2016
24 June, 2016
459.25
447.10
440.35
448.60
449.00
Ri =
PiPo
100
Po
2.718
1.533
-1.839
-0.089
= 2.323
Di = [Ri Rm ]
2.137
0.952
1.258
-0.492
-
(Di)2
4.567
0.906
1.583
0.242
= 7.298
Ri (MEAN) = Ri / (N - 1)
= 2.323 / 4 = 0.581
Variance = (Di)2 / (N 1)
= 7.298 / 4
= 1.825
Standard Deviation = Variance
= 1.825
= 1.351
Tata motors had higher share price before BREXIT and the risk involved with the investment
into the shares of the company was also high. The returns were also high (0.905 mean return)
and so was the risk (2.152).
After BREXIT the share prices fell comparatively. The price per day was low for almost a week
and the returns for the later was also lower (0.581 mean return) and the risk also lowered
(1.351). Thus, we can say BREXIT had a negative impact on Tata Motors share prices.
Clos
e
98.3
5
99
8
28-Jun16
27-Jun16
24-Jun16
23-Jun16
22-Jun16
21-Jun16
20-Jun16
17-Jun16
16-Jun16
15-Jun16
98.9
5
97.3
5
96.2
5
99.2
99.9
102.
3
99.7
98.7
5
99.4
103
Close
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
Di = Ri - Ri
(mean)
Di^2
98.35
-0.66
-1.68
2.822
99.00
0.05
-0.97
0.946
98.95
1.64
0.62
0.385
97.35
1.14
0.12
0.014
96.25
4.09
4.167
Mean = sum Ri / n - 1
1.023206826
1.041720434
Standard Devation =
1.020647066
Close
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
Di = Ri - Ri
(mean)
Di^2
99.90
-2.35
-2.361
5.576
102.30
2.61
2.593
6.721
99.70
0.96
0.947
0.896
98.75
-0.65
-0.669
0.448
99.40
-3.50
-3.510
12.323
103.00
-2.93
25.964
Mean = sum Ri / n - 1
-0.585052288
5.1928988
Standard Devation =
2.278793277
INTERPRETATION
Ashok Keylands shares were traded at a higher price before BREXIT. The risk involved with the
investment into the shares of the company was also high (2.27). Consequently, the returns went
down (-0.585 - mean return).
After BREXIT the share prices came down as compared to the days before BREXIT. The price
per day was quiet low for a couple of days and the returns for the same on contrary, was higher
than the Pre-BREXIT days (1.02 mean return) and the risk also lowered (1.023). Hence, it can
be concluded that the Companys performance was affected positively by BREXIT.
10
Close
30-Jun-16
3,180.
29-Jun-16
85
3,145.
28-Jun-16
00
3,025.
27-Jun-16
50
3,054.
24-Jun-16
60
3,055.
22-Jun-16
95
3,068.
21-Jun-16
60
3,048.
20-Jun-16
75
3,048.
17-Jun-16
65
3,028.
16-Jun-16
20
3,023.
15-Jun-16
40
3,066.
70
Date
Close
30-Jun-16
29-Jun-16
28-Jun-16
27-Jun-16
3,180.85
3,145.00
3,025.50
3,054.60
1.14
3.95
-0.95
-0.04
0.12
2.93
-1.98
-1.07
0.014
8.565
3.904
1.139
11
24-Jun-16
SUM
3,055.95
4.09
13.62
2
mean = sum Ri / n - 1
1.023206826
3.40542406
0.84537911
Close
3,068.6
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
0.65
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
0.636
Di^2
0.404
21-Jun-16
0
3,048.7
0.00
-0.012
0.000
20-Jun-16
5
3,048.6
0.68
0.660
0.436
17-Jun-16
5
3,028.2
0.16
0.143
0.021
16-Jun-16
0
3,023.4
-1.41
-1.427
2.037
15-Jun-16
0
3,066.7
0
SUM
0.08
2.898
mean = sum Ri / n - 1
0.015301161
0.579518446
0.761261089
INTERPRETATION
HERO MOTOCORPS shares were traded at a higher price before BREXIT. The risk involved
with the investment into the shares of the company was low (0.5795). Consequently, the returns
were also low (0.0153- mean return).
12
After BREXIT the share prices came down as compared to the days before BREXIT. The price
per day was quiet low for 3 consecutive days and the returns for the same on contrary, was
higher than the Pre-BREXIT days (1.023 mean return) and the risk increased (0.84. Hence, it
can be concluded that the Companys performance was affected positively by BREXIT.
And the company absorbed the volatility of the markets pretty well.
Close
19,222.4
0
19,116.2
0
19,166.3
0
18,710.7
0
18,662.2
0
18,787.6
0
18,713.2
0
18,660.6
0
18,779.1
0
18,827.7
13
15-Jun-16
0
18,637.2
0
Date
30-Jun-16
29-Jun-16
28-Jun-16
27-Jun-16
24-Jun-16
SUM
Close
19,22
2.40
19,116
.20
19,16
6.30
18,71
0.70
18,66
2.20
Ri =
(P1P0)/P0*
100
0.56
-0.26
2.43
0.26
2.99
mean = sum Ri / n 1
0.74725
2
variance = Di^2 / N1
1.03501
1
standard devation =
1.01735
5
Di =
Ri Ri
(me
an)
0.19
1.01
Di^2
0.037
1.017
1.69
0.49
2.848
4.140
0.238
Di = Di^2
Ri Ri
14
*100
21-Jun-16
18,78
7.60
18,71
3.20
20-Jun-16
18,66
0.60
22-Jun-16
17-Jun-16
16-Jun-16
15-Jun-16
SUM
18,77
9.10
18,82
7.70
18,63
7.20
0.40
0.28
-0.63
-0.26
1.02
0.81
mean = sum Ri / n 1
0.16249
1
variance = Di^2 / N1
0.32302
3
standard devation =
0.56835
1
(me
an)
0.23
5
0.11
9
0.79
4
0.42
1
0.86
0
-
0.055
0.014
0.630
0.177
0.739
1.615
INTERPRETATION
Eicher Motorss shares were traded at a higher price before BREXIT. The risk involved with the
investment into the shares of the company was low (0.568). Consequently, the returns were also
low (0.162 - mean return).
After BREXIT the share prices came down as compared to the days before BREXIT. The price
per day was quiet high for a couple of days and the returns for the same on contrary, was higher
than the Pre-BREXIT days (0.74 mean return) and the risk also decreased (1.01). Hence, it can
be concluded that the Companys performance was affected positively by BREXIT.
15
Close
2689.95
2645.85
2624.4
2648.45
2678.8
2,632.1
21-Jun-16
5
2,636.2
20-Jun-16
5
2,617.9
17-Jun-16
0
2,581.4
16-Jun-16
0
2,567.1
15-Jun-16
0
2,603.5
5
Close
2689.95
2645.85
2624.4
2648.45
2678.8
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
Di = Ri - Ri Di^2
1.67
0.82
-0.91
-1.13
-
(mean)
1.56
-0.21
-1.93
-2.16
-
2.421
0.042
3.730
4.649
16
SUM
0.44
10.842
mean = sum Ri / n - 1
0.110760633
2.710620651
standard deviation =
1.646396262
Close
2,632.15
2,636.25
2,617.90
2,581.40
2,567.10
2,603.55
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
-0.16
0.70
1.41
0.56
-1.40
1.12
mean = sum Ri / n - 1
0.223283653
0.907170815
standard deviation =
0.952455151
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
-0.379
0.478
1.191
0.334
-1.623
-
Di^2
0.143
0.228
1.418
0.111
2.635
4.536
INTERPRETATION
BBAJAJ AUTOS shares were traded at a higher price before BREXIT. The risk involved with
the investment into the shares of the company was low (0.9524). Consequently, the returns were
also low (0.223- mean return).
After BREXIT the share prices came down as compared to the days before BREXIT. The price
per day was quiet low for 3 consecutive days and the returns for the same on contrary, was
higher than the Pre-BREXIT days (0.111 mean return) and the risk increased (1.64 Hence, it
can be concluded that the Companys performance was affected positively by BREXIT.
17
INDUSTRIAL ANALYSIS
5 days before
HERO MOTOCORP
Date
Close
22-Jun-16
3,068.60
21-Jun-16
3,048.75
20-Jun-16
3,048.65
17-Jun-16
3,028.20
16-Jun-16
3,023.40
15-Jun-16
3,066.70
TATA MOTORS
Date
Close
22-Jun-16
472.50
21-Jun-16
485.00
20-Jun-16
481.65
17-Jun-16
463.20
16-Jun-16
454.00
15-Jun-16
452.20
ASHOK LEYLAND
Date
Close
22-Jun-16
99.9
21-Jun-16
102.3
20-Jun-16
99.7
17-Jun-16
98.75
16-Jun-16
99.4
15-Jun-16
103
BAJAJ AUTO
Date
Close
22-Jun-16
2,632.15
21-Jun-16
2,636.25
20-Jun-16
2,617.90
17-Jun-16
2,581.40
16-Jun-16
2,567.10
15-Jun-16
2,603.55
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
0.65
0.00
0.68
0.16
-1.41
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
0.578
-0.070
0.602
0.085
-1.485
-
Di^2
0.334
0.005
0.362
0.007
2.206
-
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
-2.58
0.70
3.98
2.03
0.40
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
-2.651
0.622
3.910
1.953
0.325
-
Di^2
7.026
0.387
15.286
3.814
0.105
-
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
-2.35
2.61
0.96
-0.65
-3.50
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
-2.419
2.534
0.889
-0.727
-3.569
-
Di^2
5.854
6.423
0.790
0.529
12.734
-
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
-0.16
0.70
1.41
0.56
-1.40
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
-0.229
0.628
1.341
0.484
-1.473
-
Di^2
0.052
0.394
1.797
0.234
2.171
18
MARUTI SUZUKI
Date
Close
22-Jun-16
4,151.35
21-Jun-16
4,157.40
20-Jun-16
4,133.20
17-Jun-16
4,114.50
16-Jun-16
4,084.10
15-Jun-16
4,209.60
EICHER MOTORS
Date
Close
22-Jun-16
18,787.60
21-Jun-16
18,713.20
20-Jun-16
18,660.60
17-Jun-16
18,779.10
16-Jun-16
18,827.70
15-Jun-16
18,637.20
MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA
Date
Close
22-Jun-16
1359.5
21-Jun-16
1366.85
20-Jun-16
1350.85
17-Jun-16
1344
16-Jun-16
1343.95
15-Jun-16
1355.55
SUM
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
-0.15
0.59
0.45
0.74
-2.98
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
-0.219
0.512
0.381
0.671
-3.055
-
Di^2
0.048
0.262
0.145
0.450
9.331
-
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
0.40
0.28
-0.63
-0.26
1.02
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
0.324
0.209
-0.704
-0.331
0.949
-
Di^2
0.105
0.043
0.496
0.110
0.900
-
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
-0.54
1.18
0.51
0.00
-0.86
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
-0.611
1.111
0.436
-0.070
-0.929
-
Di^2
0.373
1.234
0.190
0.005
0.863
-
2.57
0.073367658
2.144856477
standard devation =
1.464532853
75.070
19
5 DAYS AFTER
HERO MOTOCORP
Date
Close
30-Jun-16 3,180.85
29-Jun-16 3,145.00
28-Jun-16 3,025.50
27-Jun-16 3,054.60
24-Jun-16 3,055.95
TATA MOTORS
Date
Close
30-Jun-16 459.25
29-Jun-16 447.1
28-Jun-16 440.35
27-Jun-16 448.6
24-Jun-16 449
ASHOK LEYLAND
Date
Close
30-Jun-16 98.35
29-Jun-16 99
28-Jun-16 98.95
27-Jun-16 97.35
24-Jun-16 96.25
BAJAJ AUTO
Date
Close
30-Jun-16 2689.95
29-Jun-16 2645.85
28-Jun-16 2624.4
27-Jun-16 2648.45
24-Jun-16 2678.8
MARUTI SUZUKI
Date
Close
30-Jun-16 4187.2
29-Jun-16 4131.25
28-Jun-16 4078.7
27-Jun-16 4025.1
24-Jun-16 4070.05
EICHER MOTORS
Date
Close
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
1.14
3.95
-0.95
-0.04
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
1.067
3.876
-1.026
-0.118
-
Di^2
1.138
15.026
1.053
0.014
-
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
2.72
1.53
-1.84
-0.09
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
2.644
1.460
-1.912
-0.162
-
Di^2
6.992
2.130
3.657
0.026
-
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
-0.66
0.05
1.64
1.14
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
-0.730
-0.023
1.570
1.069
-
Di^2
0.533
0.001
2.465
1.144
-
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
1.67
0.82
-0.91
-1.13
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
1.593
0.744
-0.981
-1.206
-
Di^2
2.539
0.553
0.963
1.455
-
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
1.35
1.29
1.33
-1.10
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
1.281
1.215
1.258
-1.178
-
Di^2
1.641
1.476
1.583
1.387
-
Ri = (P1-P0)/P0*100
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
Di^2
20
0.482
-0.335
2.362
0.187
-
0.232
0.112
5.577
0.035
-
Di = Ri - Ri (mean)
0.787
0.576
1.134
0.135
-
Di^2
0.620
0.332
1.285
0.018
-
17.82
53.989
0.509240325
1.542533722
standard devation =
1.241987811
INTERPRETATION
AUTOMOBILE market were traded at a higher price before BREXIT. The risk involved with the
investment into the market of the company was also high (1.464). Consequently, the returns went
down (0.753 - mean return).
After BREXIT the market came down as compared to the days before BREXIT. The price per
day was quiet low for a couple of days and the returns for the same on contrary, was higher than
the Pre-BREXIT days (1.02 mean return) and the risk also lowered (1.2419).
Hence, it can be concluded that the effect BREXIT on the Automobile industry was not much of
a show. The risk and return of the industry was not changed much as it can be seen above.
21