REPASS PROJECT #16-1257 TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED

Hello. This is __________________________ from ___________, an independent public opinion

research firm. May I please speak with (NAME ON SAMPLE SHEET)? We are conducting a
short research poll of local issues in your area and would like to ask you some questions.
This survey may be monitored for quality assurance purposes.
(IF ASKED HOW LONG IT WILL TAKE, RESPOND: About 15 minutes.)
(IF NECESSARY, SAY, "We are only interested in your opinions and are definitely not selling
anything.")

SECTION 1: SCREENING
1. First, have I reached you today on a cell phone or a landline?
CELL PHONE

1
2

LAND LINE

ASK Q2, SKIP Q3,

CONTINUE WITH
Q4

2. Is your principal phone you use a land line or a cell phone?

CELL PHONE
LAND LINE

1
2

3. Are you in a safe place where you can take a survey over your cell phone?
YES
NO

1
2

RESCHED
ULE

1
2
4. Are you employed by a news organization, an elected official, or as a high-level
employee of government?
YES

NO

YES, registered

1
2

3
4
5. Are you currently registered to vote in Nevada?

NO, not registered

TERMINAT
E

TERMINAT
E

6. What are the chances you will be voting in the November elections for president, U.S.
senator, and other offices? Are you one-hundred-percent certain to vote, quite likely
to vote, only somewhat likely to vote, or not that likely to vote?
100% certain to vote
Quite likely to vote
Only somewhat likely to vote
Not that likely to vote
Not sure
________________________________________________
Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
Page 1

%
95
5
----

SECTION 2: MOOD OF VOTERS

7. Please tell me how interested you are in November's elections, using a scale from
one to ten, on which a "ten" means that you are very interested in November's
elections and a "one" means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any
number from one to ten. (RECORD NUMBER 1-10. IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.")
10
78%

9
8%

8
6%

7
8%

DK
--

8. And, just in general, how do you think things are going in America are things
moving in the right direction, or are things off on the wrong track?
RIGHT DIRECTION
WRONG TRACK
DONT KNOW

%
33
59
8

9. And, just in general, how do you think things are going in Nevada are things moving
in the right direction, or are things off on the wrong track?
RIGHT DIRECTION
WRONG TRACK
DONT KNOW

%
48
41
12

1
10. Which of the following issues are the two most important issues facing the America?
(READ CHOICES. RANDOMIZE. ACCEPT TWO.)

Economy, Jobs
Terrorism, ISIS
Government gridlock, Special interest
influence
Health Care
Immigration
Taxes and spending
Environment, Climate Change
OTHER: specify______________________
DONT KNOW

%
50
35
26
22
21
19
17
4
--

11. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure (vol)

%
49
46
4

12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Brian Sandoval is doing as Governor of
Nevada?
%
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Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
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Approve
61
Disapprove
24
Not sure (vol)
16
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Harry Reid is doing as United States
Senator?
%
40
53
7

Approve
Disapprove
Not sure

14. Now thinking about the November election for U.S. senator, would you vote for the
(ROTATE:) Democrat or the Republican?
%
46
42
12

Vote Democratic
Vote Republican
Not sure (vol)

15. In thinking about the next president that well be electing, which of the following two
statements comes closer to your point of view?
(IF "BOTH," ASK:) I understand that you feel that they are both important, but if you
had to choose the ONE statement that comes closer to your point of view, which
would you choose?
Statement A: Someone who will bring major changes to the way government
operates even if it is not possible to predict what the changes may be
Statement B: Someone who will bring a steady approach to the way government
operates even if it means fewer changes to how things are now
Statement A/bring major changes................
Statement B/bring a steady approach..........
Neither (VOL) ...............................................

%
50
44
6

SECTION 3: FAVORABILITIES
5

RANDOMIZE

16.

Now I am going to read you the names of some major

figures in the political world. For each I read, please tell
me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion. If you
have heard of the name but have no opinion, just say so
and we will move on.
IF FAVORABLE: Is that strongly favorable or just
somewhat favorable?
IF UNFAVORABLE: Is that strongly unfavorable or just
somewhat unfavorable?
FAVORABLE

UNFAVORABLE

Strong
ly

Somewhat

Somewhat

Strong
ly

Heard
of,
No
Opinio
n

________________________________________________
Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
Page 3

Never
heard
of

No
Answe
r

17.Barack Obama

37

16

37

--

--

18.Dean Heller

14

28

16

15

21

19.Brian Sandoval

25

42

14

20.Harry Reid
24
18
9
44
4
-21.Hillary Clinton
28
18
7
45
2
-22.Joe Heck
22
25
15
28
8
2
30
23
12
32
3
-23.Bill Clinton
24.Catherine Cortez Masto
23
20
18
25
10
3
25.Donald Trump
22
20
7
47
4
-1
25. When it comes to the candidates running for president this yearhow would you rate
the quality of the selection you have---excellent, very good, about average, not so
good, or terrible?
%
8
13
28
27
22
2

Excellent
Very good
About average
Not so good
Terrible
Not sure (vol)

26.And, if the next election for president were held today, with (ROTATE TOP TWO:)
Donald Trump as the Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton as the Democratic
candidate, and Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump
Hillary Clinton
Gary Johnson
(Jill Stein Not on ballot)
Depends (VOL)
None (VOL)
Other/Write-in (VOL)
Would not vote for President (VOL)
Not sure

%
41
44
8
1
3
--3

27. If the election for president were held today, with only (ROTATE) Donald Trump and
Mike Pence as the Republican candidates, and Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the
Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote? (AUG 2016)
Donald Trump and Mike Pence

%
44

Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine

47

Depends (VOL)
Neither (VOL)
Other/Third Party/Write-in (VOL)
Would not vote for President (VOL)
Not sure

1
3
1
1
4

ASK Q28, SKIP Q29,

CONTINUE WITH Q30
ASK Q28, ASK Q29, SKIP
Q30, CONTINUE WITH Q31
SKIP TO Q31

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Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
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1
-1
1
1
--

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Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
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28. Would you definitely vote for (INSERT ANSWER FROM Q27), probably vote for (INSERT
ANSWER FROM Q27) but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning toward
voting for (INSERT ANSWER FROM Q27)?

Definitely vote for candidate ...........

Probably vote for candidate .............
Just leaning toward voting for
candidate ........................................
Not sure .........................................

Clinton
(330)
%
85
6
9

Trump
(307)
%
84
11
5

--

29. Would you say your vote is more FOR Hillary Clinton or more AGAINST Donald Trump?
n=330 Clinton voters only
More for Hillary Clinton..........
More against Donald Trump...
Some of both (VOL).............
Not sure (VOL).....................

%
60
33
7
1

30. Would you say your vote is more FOR Donald Trump or more AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
n=307 Trump voters only
More for Donald Trump................
More against Hillary Clinton.........
Some of both (VOL)...................
Not sure (VOL)...........................

%
45
48
6
1

31. Thinking about the presidential debate----did you watch it, just read and hear about
it, or know very little about it?
Watched it
Just read and heard about it
Know very little about it
Not sure (VOL)...........................

%
80
13
7
1

RANDOMLY SPLIT SAMPLE ASK Q32, ASK Q33

32. Leaving aside who you may thought did best---what was the most important thing
you take away from this debate about Donald Trump? What stood out to you?
(PROBE UNCLEAR RESPONSES)
____________________________________________________________________________________
33. Leaving aside who you may thought did best---what was the most important thing
you take away from this debate about Hillary Clinton? What stood out to you?
(PROBE UNCLEAR RESPONSES)
____________________________________________________________________________________

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Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
Page 6

34. Leaving aside whether you agree or disagree with Donald Trump, how much
confidence do you have that he would be able to handle the job as president of the
United States---a great deal, quite a bit, just some, very little, or not at all?
A great deal
Quite a bit
Just some
Very little
Not at all
Not sure (VOL)

%
22
14
13
11
39
1

35. Leaving aside whether you agree or disagree with Hillary Clinton, how much
confidence do you have that he would be able to handle the job as president of the
United States---a great deal, quite a bit, just some, very little, or not at all?
A great deal
Quite a bit
Just some
Very little
Not at all
Not sure (VOL)

%
32
15
13
14
26
1

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Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
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And, moving on
36. What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections -(ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by
Democrats?
Republican-controlled Congress
Democrat-controlled Congress
Not sure

%
45
43
12

37. The candidates in the election for U.S. senator are (ROTATE:) Joe Heck, the
Republican, and Catherine Cortez Masto, the Democrat. If the election for senator
were being held today, would you vote for (ROTATE:) Joe Heck or Catherine Cortez
Masto? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well as of now, do you lean more toward Joe Heck or
Catherine Cortez Masto?
Joe Heck
Joe Heck (lean)
Catherine Cortez Masto
Catherine Cortez Masto
(lean)
Not sure

%
46
1
45
1
7

SKIP TO Q39

38. When it comes to your vote for (INSERT PREFERENCE FROM Q37 - Joe Heck/Catherine
Cortez Masto) which of the following statement comes closest to your reason that you
are supporting this person? READ LIST:

I agree with this persons positions on the issue

and think (he/she) would be a good Senator
I want this party to be the majority in the
Senate
I am opposed to the other candidate and do not
want him/her as senator
Or, some other reason
DO NOT READ Not sure/no opinion (VOL)

Cortez
Masto
(318)
%

Heck
(332)
%

47

50

24

23

22

20

7
1

6
2

39. Turning to the race for president, and, thinking some more about just about Donald
Trump. How would you rate Donald Trump on the following qualities, using a fivepoint scale, on which a "5" means a very good rating, a "1" means a very poor rating,
and a "3" means a mixed rating? (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.")
Very Good
Rating
5
4
%
%
Being knowledgeable and experienced enough
to handle the presidency
Being easy going and likable
Being honest and straightforward
Having the right temperament

17
14
24
12

13
11
13
13

3
%

Very Poor
Rating
2
1
%
%

19
18
13
18

7
14
6
8

________________________________________________
Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
Page 8

44
43
44
49

Not
sure
9
%
1
1
-1

________________________________________________
Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
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40. And, thinking some more about just about Hillary Clinton. How would you rate
Hillary Clinton on the following qualities, using a five-point scale, on which a "5"
means a very good rating, a "1" means a very poor rating, and a "3" means a mixed
rating? (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.")
Very Good
Rating
5
4
%
%
Being knowledgeable and experienced
enough to handle the presidency
Being easy going and likable
Being honest and straightforward
Having the right temperament

40
19
13
33

17
14
14
16

3
%

Very Poor
Rating
2
1
%
%

15
20
18
17

9
11
7
9

18
36
49
26

Not
sure
9
%
1
1
1
--

41. Now I'd like you to compare Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on a few issues. For
each one, please tell me whether you think that Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump
would be better on that issue. If you think that both would be equally good or that
neither would be good on a particular item, just say so. Who do you think would be
better when it comes to (READ ITEM. RANDOMIZE) -- Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump,
or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?
(RANDOMIZE)

Dealing with the economy

Terrorism and homeland
security
Dealing with immigration
Standing up for American
interests
Changing the country for the
better
Being a good commander-inchief
Dealing with China and
Russia

Hillary
Better

Trump
Better

Neither
would be
good
%
4
7

Not sure
(VOL)

%
47
44

Both
equally
good
%
3
3

%
44
46
47
43

44
46

1
6

7
5

1
1

43

43

11

48

38

10

46

40

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Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
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%
1
2

SECTION 11: DEMOGRAPHICS

Thank you for your patience. Now some last questions about yourself for statistical
purposes.
42. First, what is your age?
(IF REFUSE: Can you tell us approximately how old you are?) (CODE 999 FOR FINAL
REFUSE.)
1
18 34
35 49
50 - 64
65+

%
20
23
28
29

43. Which of the following best describes your educational background?

%
1
14
30
28

Not a high school graduate

High school graduate, but no college
Some college, but not a college graduate
College graduate, but not post graduate
College graduate with some post graduate
study
Post graduate degree
DO NOT READ REFUSE
1

9
18
1

44. Which of the following ethnic groups describes you? You can stop me when Ive read
your group.
(READ LIST.)
2

1
3
5

White or Caucasian
Black or African American

7
Asian (includes Chinese,
Filipino Japanese, Korean, and
Vietnamese)
9
Native American or
Alaskan Native
11
Or, some other group
(specify)
12
_____________________
14

DO NOT READ REFUSE

4
6

%
72
6

8
4
10
1
13
14
15
2

45. And are you of Hispanic or Latino descent?

YES

%
18

________________________________________________
Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
Page 11

NO
DO NOT READ REFUSE

80
2

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TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
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46. Do you consider yourself progressive, liberal, moderate, or conservative?

PROGRESSIVE
LIBERAL
MODERATE
CONSERVATIVE
DONT KNOW
DO NOT READ REFUSE

%
12
20
27
38
3
1

47. Regardless of how you are registered, which party do you think of yourself as being
closer to or agreeing with more often, is it: the Democratic party, the Republican
party, or another party? Are you much closer to that party in terms of your beliefs or
just somewhat so?
DEMOCRAT, MUCH
DEMOCRAT, SOMEWHAT
REPUBLICAN, MUCH
REPUBLICAN, SOMEWHAT
ANOTHER PARTY, MUCH
ANOTHER PARTY, SOMEWHAT
OTHER (VOL): ___________
DONT KNOW
DO NOT READ REFUSE

%
34
12
28
13
6
4
1
2
1

48. Are you or is anyone in your household a member of a labor union or employee
association?
IF YES: Is that you, a member of your household or both?
YES, SELF ONLY
YES, HOUSEHOLD MEMBER ONLY
YES, BOTH SELF AND HOUSEHOLD
NOBODY IN HOUSEHOLD
REFUSE
1

%
11
6
2
81
1

49. Are you or is anyone in your household an owner of a small business?

IF YES: Is that you, a member of your household or both?
YES, SELF ONLY
YES, HOUSEHOLD MEMBER ONLY
YES, BOTH SELF AND HOUSEHOLD
NOBODY IN HOUSEHOLD
REFUSE
2

%
9
5
4
82
1

________________________________________________
Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
Page 13

50. Do you consider yourself to be working class, lower middle class, middle class, upper
middle class, or affluent?
WORKING CLASS
LOWER MIDDLE CLASS
MIDDLE CLASS
UPPER MIDDLE CLASS
AFFLUENT
OTHER
REFUSE

%
18
12
47
19
2
1
2

51. RECORD PARTY FROM SAMPLE:

%
44
45
2
9

DEMOCRAT
REPUBLICAN
INDEPENDENT
MINOR PARTY
Thats all the questions I have. Thank you for your time.
52. RECORD GENDER:

%
51
49

FEMALE
MALE
GEOGRAPHY
Las Vegas
Reno
Rural NV

%
60
19
20

REACHED ON
Landline
Cell phone

%
48
52

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Nevada Political Poll September 2016
TOPLINE DATA n=700 FINAL WEIGHTED
Page 14