Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2000
Table of Contents
Foreword
Executive Summary
10
12
15
15
16
16
17
17
19
20
STRATEGIC OUTSOURCING
21
A CLICKS-AND-MORTAR APPROACH
22
23
25
26
27
30
30
30
31
32
33
34
Methodology
35
PAGE 1
Foreword
The year 2000 will be a defining year for online retailing in Western Europe. The Internet is transforming retailing, creating new business models and new relationships between retailers and consumers. In Western Europe, the market is growing at a spectacular rate and there are few established
players the field is still wide open.
A tremendous battle is brewing over this valuable, unclaimed territory. Established European retailers
have the products, brands and offline customer base, but are struggling to keep pace with Internet
time. Many aggressive start-ups are being launched, unencumbered by legacy systems or behaviour
and possessing brands and consumer value propositions tailored to the Internet although some will
fail as they fight for shelf space online and struggle to deliver the flawless consumer experience. And
finally, well-known and experienced US online players are turning their attention to Europe, but are
finding that they have to adapt their approach to the very diverse European market. There will be a
few very big winners, and many losers, both online and offline.
This report describes the very rapidly changing market in Western Europe, outlines some of the strategic challenges facing online retailers, and provides some key lessons for successful online retailing.
The Boston Consulting Group has a continuing programme of research into the rapidly evolving
world of e-commerce. This report, The Race for Online Riches E-Retailing in Europe, is the culmination
of our extensive fact-gathering and analysis of online retailing in Western Europe. Our objective is to
understand the forces shaping the development of the market, and to help retailers create new
approaches and put them into action.
This study is unique because it is based on a comprehensive interview-based survey involving 546
European online retailers, in addition to other publicly available data sources. This bottom-up
approach based on real retailer revenues creates significantly more accurate market size and growth
estimates than top-down methodologies. In addition, it allows us to draw out the strategic implications
facing European online retailers. This report is the first of two volumes, and contains the public component of this study. The second volume provides detailed performance benchmarks and is available
only to companies that participated in the study.
For the purposes of this report, we examined the online retail markets of the United Kingdom,
Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Austria, Switzerland, Belgium, the Netherlands and the
Nordic countries of Sweden, Norway, Finland and Denmark. Reports focusing on these individual
markets have also been prepared to provide further insight into the dynamics at a more local level.
We would like to thank the many online retailers who participated in this study by generously
providing us with their data and experience. Special thanks to the project team members from BCG,
including project leaders Tomas Lindn and Kai Gruner, as well as Anu Ora, Fredrik Burling, Timo
Iso, Helena Johnson, James Vogtle and Martine Holmsen. We would also like to acknowledge the many
individuals from BCG offices throughout Europe who gathered and analysed information from each
country covered in this report. They include Jol Benzimra, Rolf Bixner, Giovanni Castellucci, Manuel
Ebner, Henry Elkington, Nicolas Kachaner, Mikael Lvgren, Antonella Mei-Pochtler, Anthony Pralle,
Stefan Rasch, Robert Borsi, Thibaut de Bretagne, Davide Jarach, Jrgen Pauquet, Filip Pintelon,
Bruno Soria, Huw Van Steenis and Jan-Paul Van Term.
We hope you find this report a valuable and insightful guide to a market in a state of very rapid
evolution.
Patrick Forth
Vice President
David Pecaut
Senior Vice President
Michael Hansen
Vice President
PAGE 3
Executive Summary
Online retailing in Western Europe is in a state of hypergrowth, expanding three-fold in 1999.
European retailers online revenue increased by more than 200% in 1999, outpacing growth in the
US market of 145%.
Total online revenue in 1999 was 3.5 billion and will reach over 9 billion by the end of this year.
Four categories, travel, computer hardware/software, books and financial brokerage, account for
three-quarters of the online market. These categories tend to be e-commerce-friendly and driven by
innovative players.
Existing barriers to online growth, such as access costs and consumer reluctance, are beginning to
crumble.
Online retailing will continue to grow at an exceptional rate. Total European online retail revenue
is expected to rise to 45 billion by 2002, a thirteen-fold increase from 1999.
The European online market lags the US market by 1.5 to 2 years.
Online retailing currently accounts for only 0.2 % of the total European retail market, while 1.2%
of retailing in the United States takes place on the Internet.
There is no single European online market it is a collection of diverse markets.
The markets vary widely on all strategically important dimensions, such as Internet penetration,
online retail penetration, growth rates, category splits, multichannel share and payment methods.
The development of online retailing in Europe, however, has clustered into four distinct groups:
Early adopter: Sweden clearly stands out with the highest online retail penetration in Europe, but
is relatively small in terms of market size.
Awakening giants: Despite lower online penetration, the UK and Germany are large economies and
together account for 60% of the online retail market.
Middleweights: France, Italy and Spain/Portugal are important retail markets but are further
behind in online penetration.
Small but connected: These countries the Netherlands, Belgium, Switzerland, Austria, Norway,
Finland and Denmark are smaller, but have moderate online retail penetration rates and are
growing rapidly.
Multichannel retailers currently dominate the online market, but are being outperformed
by pure-plays.
Multichannel retailers taking advantage of their strong existing brands and established customer
service functions account for two-thirds of the online market.
Pure-plays are, however, outperforming multichannel retailers and are experiencing growth rates
that are on average 25 percentage points higher.
The battle between US and European players for the European market has begun.
In general, European retailers have focused solely on their domestic markets. Total exports beyond
national borders account for only 7% of European online retailers revenue; exports out of Europe
generate just 2%. Given the borderless nature of the Internet, these retailers are vulnerable to
attack.
PAGE 4
Established online retailers from the US are targeting the lucrative European market and have
already captured a 20% market share, typically with pan-European business models. They are,
however, finding it difficult to adapt their approach to the diverse European market.
Not all strategies for geographic expansion will be the same. Online retailers need to consider the
type of product on offer (does it only have a local appeal, or can it be marketed globally?) and the
fulfilment requirements (can the product be delivered easily or is it a complex process?).
PAGE 5
1644(1)
Internet Transactions
Minitel Transactions
1200
1125
976
600
324
Spain/Portugal
Norway
Finland
Denmark
43
Belgium
48
Austria
57
Switzerland
66
Netherlands(2)
77
Italy
90
Sweden
119
France
171
UK
182
Source:
The Boston
Consulting
Group survey.
Germany
218
Notes:
(1) French Minitel
sales 1999 were
1320 million.
(2) BCG estimate
based
on data from
Blauw New Media
Consulting.
280
215
170
145
210
110
210
420
185
200
160
220
The European online retail market is only a tenth the size of the US market, which in 1999 reached
36 billion and represented 1.2% of all retail sales.2 At its current rate of growth, online retailing in
Europe lags behind the US by 1.5 to 2 years. European growth rates will likely follow the US example
and decline as the market grows, although its strong position in mobile technologies and interactive
television will stimulate further expansion.
Included in the online market volume are European sales of European online retailers and imports from outside Europe. This figure would expand to
4.8 billion if Frances Minitel were included. For the purposes of this study, Minitel is excluded from all estimates, since it represents a channel with
significantly different characteristics from Internet-based online retailing.
(2)
For all comparisons with US online retailing, see The State of Online Retailing 2.0, July 1999, a Shop.org study conducted by The Boston Consulting Group.
(1)
PAGE 7
Market size estimates are based on a bottom-up methodology of summing up the revenues of all major online retailers. In addition
to detailed data from the 546 retailers who participated in the survey, The Boston Consulting Group collected all publicly accessible
revenue data on online retailers who were not part of the survey. Using this information on over 750 online retailers, BCG was able
to identify revenue data for 89% of the market size. The remaining share of the market was estimated for retailers who did not participate in the survey and disclosed no public data. This approach results in a significantly more accurate market size estimate than
top-down methodologies.
Note:
(1) Excluding automotive and collectibles/
auction categories.
(2) Given estimated US
penetration in 1999 at
1.2% and assuming
growth at present rate
for European countries.
Sweden
UK
Netherlands
Germany
Switzerland
Norway
Austria
Finland
Denmark
Belgium
France
Italy
Spain/Portugal
Source:
The Boston Consulting
Group survey;
The State of Online
Retailing 2.0, a
Shop.org survey conducted by The Boston
Consulting Group;
BCG analysis.
Europe
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.68
0.37
0.34
0.30
0.29
0.26
0.23
0.22
0.20
0.16
0.14
0.09
0.06
0.24
0.8
Growth Rates
1999 (%)
# Months
Behind
the US(2)
170
280
210
200
110
200
210
160
220
420
215
145
185
200
7
11
13
15
23
17
18
21
19
16
22
34
35
18
Internet penetration rates according to IDC, An IDC consumer survey: European Internet and eCommerce Ready for 2000? December 1999.
If Minitel sales are included, Frances online penetration is 1%.
(5)
Included in the volume for each country are the domestic sales of the local online retailers and imports from other countries into the respective country.
(3)
(4)
PAGE 8
Early Adopter
Source:
The
Boston
Consulting
Group
survey and
analysis.
Sweden
0.7
0.6
0.5
Small but
Connected
Awakening Giants
0.4
UK
Netherlands
0.3
0.2
Switzerland
Norway
Austria
Finland
Denmark Belgium
Germany
Middleweights
France
Italy
Spain/Portugal
0.1
0
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Small but connected: Belgium, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Austria, Norway, Finland and Denmark
claim a smaller position in the European online retail market as a result of moderate online retail
penetration rates and small market sizes.
France
Even before the arrival of the Internet, France exploited its telecommunications infrastructure for online retail transactions.
Since its launch in the early 80s, Minitel has become a prominent feature of daily life, with one in three people in France
using it. Dedicated terminals, which are hooked up to the phone lines, offer a wide range of services such as telephone directories, games and shopping. The system is easy to use and provides immediate connections with no waiting to boot up.
Minitel is, however, fairly rudimentary as it provides information in text form with very simple graphics.
If sales via Minitel were included as part of total online retail sales, France would be the clear leader within Europe.
Currently, there are more than 400 e-commerce sites in operation on the system generating revenues of 1.3 billion
for retailers.
At first, Minitels strong position appeared to slow down the emergence of Internet-based e-commerce. Now, it appears that
the opposite may be true, as Minitel has prepared the local population for online shopping. Cannibalisation has already begun
to take place; in 1999 Minitel revenues declined by 6% and Internet-based revenues took off, growing 215%. As a result, the
development of the Internet will force Minitel to focus on activities where it brings most value: efficiently fulfilling simple needs
such as catalogue orders and basic information requests.
(6)
For the purposes of this study, Minitel is excluded from all estimates, since it represents a channel with significantly different characteristics than
Internet-based online retailing.
PAGE 9
48
100
All remaining
retailers
Total online
market
100
Note:
(1) Excluding
the Netherlands.
75
Source:
The Boston
Consulting
Group survey.
13
50
13
26
25
Top 10 retailers
Top 11-25
retailers
Top 26-50
retailers
Note:
(1) Excluding
the Netherlands.
79
78
77
75
74
74
71
62
54
54
Others
48
44
42
56
58
39
80
Source:
The Boston
Consulting
Group survey.
60
46
46
Computer
Hardware/Software
Collectibles/Auctions
(Person-to-Person)
52
61
40
PAGE 10
Books
Food/Wine
Event Tickets
Consumer Electronics
29
Automotive
26
Flowers/Cards/Gifts
26
Toys
25
Music/Video
23
Home/Garden
22
Financial Brokerage
21
Travel
20
Apparel
38
chello:
An Innovative Pan-European Approach
Netherlands
Since its launch in March 1999, the Netherlands chello broadband NV, a subsidiary of UPC, is a European ISP actively
pursuing a pan-European approach. Their internationalisation strategy builds on three major elements:
Broadband technology in order to deliver high-speed access, providing a much richer, always on Internet experience to
the consumer.
A low, flat all you can surf service fee (including all telecommunications charges), moving away from the traditional payper-minute models used by the majority of European ISPs. This model attracts heavy Internet users and encourages longer
stays online.
Aggregated online shopping sites at local, national and international levels as well as news, community services and entertainment all in local languages.
By December 1999, chello had attracted more than 100,000 subscribers from across Europe including the Netherlands,
Austria, Belgium, France, Norway and Sweden.
Even within product categories, retailer concentration is generally low across Europe, with the top
three players often accounting for 20-40% of category sales. On a country-by-country basis, however,
the concentration is much higher, with the three largest players by category typically generating
6070% of sales.
There are, however, some exceptions to this low concentration of retailers across the continent. The
book category is more concentrated as a result of Amazons emerging success in Europe. High concentrations in immature categories such as tickets, auctions and automotive are driven by a small number of early movers who have acted fast and captured significant market share in their home markets.
Similarly, there are currently few pan-European portals and aggregators to help direct traffic beyond
national borders. The vast majority of portals in Europe are focused on a local audience. Typically,
each of the five top portals in Europe (Yahoo, AOL, MSN/Hotmail, T-Online and Altavista) reaches a
range of 1020% of all European Internet users in one month. In the US, the equivalent portals reach
between 3080% of all Internet users. Indeed, European portals are almost completely absent from
the pan-European market four of the top five portals are US-based.
1,200
980
Note:
(1) Includes
automotive referral fees only.
900
Source:
The Boston
Consulting
Group survey;
BCG estimate
based on data
from Blauw New
Media Consulting
(Netherlands
figures).
714
600
525
415
480
398
224
300
181
154
151
119
47
Apparel
Consumer
Electronics
Event Tickets
Home/
Garden
Flowers/
Cards/Gifts
Toys
Automotive(1)
19
Food/Wine
19
Music/Video
36
Collectibles/
Auctions
135
39
Financial
Brokerage
280
Books
Computer
Hardware/
Software
Travel
155
135
950
205
350
260
175
280
275
200
330
450
PAGE 11
3.5
Computer Hardware/Software
1.6
Books
1.2
Music/Video
0.8
Travel
Consumer Electronics
Event Tickets
6
5.3
Financial Brokerage
0.3
0.2
Food/Wine
0.1
# Months
Behind
the US(1)
15.2
15
9.2
14
5.1
14
1.8
1.8
2.3
26
5.0
31
<0.1
N/A
Toys
0.1
0.5
11
Flowers/Cards/Gifts
0.1
N/A
N/A
Apparel
0.1
Home/Garden <0.1
Average
PAGE 12
US Penetration
Rate 1999 (%)
0.24
0.3
16
0.1
14
1.2
18
The underdevelopment of many product categories as shown by the dominance of four categories
indicates a tremendous opportunity for online retailers to move into unclaimed markets and establish
positions of strength. An examination of category growth rates shows that players are beginning to
pursue these opportunities, resulting in spectacular growth rates in some of the smaller online
categories such as collectibles/auctions (950%) and automotive (450%). These great differences in
growth rates will cause the category split to look quite different by the end of year 2000, with
collectibles/auctions, in particular, gaining share.
The online penetration rates for each category also vary widely. Financial brokerage is leading, capturing over 5% of the total market, while computer hardware/software follows with 3.5%. Both have
already achieved penetration rates that make the online business an important share of the entire category. Many other categories, however, have yet to register penetration rates above 0.1%.
Penetration rates will rise very quickly, especially in categories where products and services can be
delivered via the Web such as computer software, music, videos, books, newspapers and gambling.
Indeed, online fulfilment will pose a serious threat to those who rely on traditional retail models and
will create opportunities for those who own the content.
As mentioned earlier, an analysis of penetration and growth rates reveals that Europe lags behind the
US overall by 1.5 to 2 years, although on a category-by-category basis, the lag varies greatly. Categories
with a higher penetration rate do not necessarily have a shorter lag time, since category maturity in
Europe generally follows the US pattern. In some smaller categories such as toys and music/video,
where US online penetration is low, the lag time is shorter. Europe is even slightly ahead of the US in
the food/wine category. Online penetration of consumer electronics and event tickets, on the other
hand, is particularly far behind the US, lagging by 2 to 3 years.
(7)(8)
Crumbling Barriers to
Continued Online Growth
There are clearly still some significant structural and attitudinal barriers to further rapid development
of online retailing in Europe. These barriers, however, are beginning to crumble as all players
regulators, access providers, providers of enabling technology, venture capitalists, retailers and
consumers recognise the full potential of the Internet.
50
Telecommunications charges
44
33
40
40
30
38
28
35
34
29
23
30
32
27
30
25
24
24
23
18
19
13
20
14
11
5
5
US
Spain/Portugal
France
Switzerland
Belgium
Germany
Austria
10
Italy
10
Nordic
10
Netherlands
11
UK
10
Note:
(1) Based on 20
hours of Internet
use per month.
Assuming 20
one-hour
telephone calls,
13 during the
week (3 in peak
hours, 10 in
non-peak hours)
and 7 during the
weekend.
Source:
The Boston
Consulting
Group analysis.
PAGE 15
Telecommunications companies and Internet service providers, however, are beginning to offer more
surfing-friendly packages. For example, free ISPs such as Freeserve in the UK have increased growth
in the online population dramatically. Yet these models do not address per-minute telephone charges.
More recently, companies such as the Dutch broadband ISP, chello, and the British cable operator,
Telewest, have begun to offer Internet access at a flat all-you-can-surf rate, which covers both ISP and
telecommunications charges.
(10)
PAGE 16
Once again, there are wide variances across Europe: Spain/Portugal and Italy are starving for capital, having per capita investment of only one-third
the European average, while the UK and the Netherlands enjoy investment per capita that is even higher than the US average. European Venture
Capital Association Yearbook 1999.
(14)
European Venture Capital Association Yearbook 1999, National Venture Capital Association Yearbook 1999.
(13)
PAGE 17
Strategic Implications:
Multichannel vs. Pure-Play Retailers
Multichannel retailers (those who operate both physical and virtual sales channels) and pure-play
retailers (those who operate only online) represent two different retailing generations and perspectives. Multichannels typically represent the incumbent retailers some of which operate bricks-andmortar shops and others which sell through mail order catalogues who are now venturing online.
Pure-play retailers, on the other hand, are new start-ups.
Currently, multichannel retailers in Europe hold two-thirds of the market, having already lost onethird of the online market to pure-plays.15 The pure-plays might very well be able to increase their market share even further; in 1999, they outperformed multichannel retailers with an average growth rate
that was 25 percentage points higher.
The relative strengths of multichannels and pure-plays vary amongst countries. A case in point is Italy,
where in the past, incumbents largely ignored the Internet. As a result, Italian incumbents lost more
than 60% of the online market. By contrast, pure-plays have made less of an impact in Switzerland,
capturing only a 16% share.
Pure-plays
100
61
40
38
35
Multichannels
30
28
27
70
72
73
24
84
60
62
Nordic
60
France
80
40
16
76
65
66% are
Multichannels
Across
Countries
Source:
The Boston
Consulting
Group survey;
BCG analysis
for the
Netherlands.
39
(15)
Switzerland
Spain/Portugal
Netherlands
Belgium
UK
Germany
Italy
20
Among multichannel retailers, mail order companies are disproportionately strong and account for, in some countries, almost half of all online sales
by multichannel retailers.
PAGE 19
The share split between multichannels and pure-plays varies even more significantly across categories.
In financial brokerage, travel and apparel, strong and determined traditional retailers have successfully leveraged their existing capabilities in moving online. In other categories, such as books,
music/video and auctions, pure-plays have been more successful in penetrating the market, due to low
entry barriers and a relative lack of activity from established players.
Tenure in the marketplace and existing brand awareness confer a temporary advantage on incumbent
retailers. They are, however, now at risk of losing out to new and nimble competitors who are moving
online and gaining significant market share.
Pure-plays
Source:
The Boston
Consulting Group
survey, BCG
analysis for the
Netherlands.
100
99
65
65
62
46
33
27
23
22
80
73
77
Multichannels
17
15
15
83
85
85
11
11
89
89
78
66% are
Multichannels
Across
Categories
67
60
54
35
35
Books
Music/Video
40
38
20
Home/Garden
Food/Wine
Financial Brokerage
Apparel
Flowers/Cards/Gifts
Travel
Consumer Electronics
Computer
Hardware/Software
Event Tickets
Toys
Automotive
Collectibles/Auctions
1
0
The US experience has given European retailers fair warning that a battle for the online retail channel is brewing. In the early stages of the American online market, pure-plays were able to capture a
significant share. Multichannels, recognising this serious challenge to their hold on the total retail
market, began to use their core assets such as brand, distribution systems and warehouses to gain
advantage. Mail order companies, in particular, seem to be particularly well-positioned as their entire
organisations and processes are designed for shopping-at-a-distance. The challenge for European
incumbents is to take the lessons learned from the US and apply them to head off the pure-play threat.
To date, few have done so.
PAGE 20
47%
Source:
The Boston
Consulting
Group survey.
40
Distribution of
Advertising Spending
Offline
30
The brand advantage of multichannel retailers is confirmed by how customers arrive at online retailers
sites. On average, 61% of customers arrive at an online
multichannel retailers site by simply typing in the URL
address, while only 46% of customers get to pure-play
sites in the same way. The fact that this gap is not wider
is a warning to multichannel retailers that pure-plays
are building brand awareness very rapidly. European
multichannel and pure-play retailers need to be prepared to invest very aggressively to build brand awareness if they are going to succeed over the long-term.
Online
20
10
8%
Multichannels
Pure-plays
Source:
The Boston
Consulting Group
survey.
Multichannels
22%
27%
2%
Shopping Sites
3%
8%
Ad Links
14%
7%
Affiliates
10%
Pure-plays
STRATEGIC OUTSOURCING
Successful online retailers will be those who not only build a compelling brand and a user-friendly
Web site, but who ensure that the whole value chain functions smoothly. Online retailers need to provide a superior end-to-end customer experience from the ease of navigation to the timely delivery
of orders.
To provide a full range of services, online retailers may need to look to outside suppliers either to
deliver the functions they lack or even more importantly to gain speed and flexibility. How they do
this depends on whether the retailer is a pure-play or multichannel, since each exhibits different outsourcing behaviour. Pure-plays tend to outsource more of their back office functions, often to
decrease time to market. Multichannel retailers tend to leverage legacy assets such as warehouses and
back office functions, but often outsource Web development and maintenance capabilities.
PAGE 21
Share of Companies
Outsourcing
Functions (%)
Multichannel
73
Pure-play
70
Source:
The Boston
Consulting
Group survey.
62
60
53
51
50
44
40
36
32
30
21
17
20
15
14
12
8
10
Development
and Maintenance
Analysis
of Traffic
Handling
Customer Orders
Web Site
Inventory
Payment
Processing
Delivery
Customer
Service
A CLICKS-AND-MORTAR APPROACH
Today, there is still a great divide between the offline and online worlds in Europe. Many multichannel retailers are reluctant to move to fully integrated multichannel management. Pure-plays, on the
other hand, often see their advantage as being unencumbered by a physical presence, a perception
that underestimates the importance of offline assets.
Increasingly, multichannel and pure-play retailers in the US are realising that both worlds can and do
add value for the customer. They are beginning to learn from one another and are migrating successful practices from one channel to the other. Retailers are increasingly operating in both worlds
and taking a clicks-and-mortar approach that combines the best of each channel.
While the online world offers flexibility, broad choice, customisation and convenience, the offline
world adds the human dimension, supports impulse shopping and provides the physical presence that
consumers also crave in a shopping experience. In North America, more than 70% of Internet users
who have not yet purchased online stated that one of the main reasons for not shopping online was
that they wanted to see, touch or feel the product before buying it.16
The Gap and Office Depot are good examples of traditional retailers leveraging offline operations to
support the development of online efforts. They both offer Web access from their retail outlets so that
customers who cannot find a product in-store can find it online. They also encourage customers to
return items bought online to their shops, saving the customer the expense and bother of posting
returns back to the warehouse. The idea is to create a seamless and stress-free shopping experience
for their customers, essentially letting them choose which channel they prefer to use to shop, return
an item or gather information.
Meanwhile, pure-plays are also recognising the value of a real world shop-front. This has recently
led to several pure-plays partnering with or acquiring traditional retailers to establish this physical
presence. UK-based travel retailer ebookers.com, for example, has acquired several traditional offline
retailers across Europe in order to expand faster and gain the advantages of an offline presence.
While the clicks-and-mortar approach combines the best of online and offline worlds, it is an
approach that favours traditional retailers with an established store presence and known brand.
European retailers need to capitalise on this advantage by creating an online channel that complements their offline operations. Some cannibalisation of their offline retail outlets will occur, but the
ultimate rewards of being in both worlds will outweigh any short-term losses.
(16)
PAGE 22
France
3 Suisses is the second largest mail order company in France with a turnover of 1.2 billion that generates most its revenues
from its 1100-page catalogue which is published twice a year. The company has continually leveraged technology to find new
ways to interact with customers, first through telephone orders and then, in 1982, launching a site on Minitel, which today
generates 140 million in sales. The introduction of the Internet provided 3 Suisses with a new channel to exploit. It started
to sell via the Web in 1997 and today it is fully integrated with the companys IT systems. 3 Suisses has placed all 60,000
catalogue references online and updates the site regularly with information about stock availability. Such detailed information
and tracking also allows the company to accelerate fulfilment; 60% of orders are delivered within 24 hours.
In 1996, 3 Suisses started to develop a bricks-and-mortar network of 17 of its own boutiques and 3,000 affiliate shops. The
boutiques offer all services such as order pick-up (within 24 hours) at no extra cost, free returns, order taking and credit card
applications, while the affiliates focus solely on pick-ups and returns. As 3 Suisses focuses on selling at a distance, it has succeeded in combining new technologies and offline channels to develop the market and deepen customer relationships.
Switzerland
Comparis.ch is an innovative Internet pure-play company that uses an aggregator business model to enable consumers to make
the best possible choice for their health insurance, telecommunications services and banking needs. With a focus on creating
transparency and comparability, the site calculates, for example, how much the consumer would save if he or she changed
health insurance provider. The site also describes and compares various product features. Once the consumer has completed
the selection process, a quote from, for example, an insurance agent can be instanteously requested. Other product comparisons are being developed, including a comparison engine for long-distance telephone calls which calculates the cheapest
provider based on calling patterns. This concept of open comparison sites has the potential to provide significant consumer
value, but should concern product suppliers who will face price erosion and whose relationship to the customer is threatened.
PAGE 23
PAGE 24
Imports from Outside Europe Make Up A Significant Share of European Online Market
Online Retailing Revenue 1999 (%)
20
100
100
5
75
75
Note:
(1) Sales within
the Nordic
countries are
considered
domestic sales.
Source:
The Boston
Consulting
Group survey
and analysis.
50
25
Domestic Sales(1)
Intra-European Sales
Imports from
Outside Europe
Total Sales
in Europe
PAGE 25
Online retailers will not be able to sustain this domestic focus as the growth potential within each local
market is relatively limited. They cannot even expect to maintain their hold on local markets as international players attack with more scaleable and tested business models.
While European retailers have remained largely content to compete within their own markets, US
online retailers are moving in and have already captured 20% market share across Europe.
Approximately half of these sales come from local European sites of US retailers, such as
Amazon.co.uk or Dell.de; the other half come directly from US sites. Imports into Europe are four
times greater than intra-European trade and ten times greater than exports out of Europe.
The online markets of Germany, Switzerland and the Nordic region have relatively strong domestic
players, resulting in low import levels of 10-18%. Players in other markets are at risk as foreign online
retailers are generating a significant share of online retail revenue. Foreign retailers currently account
for 40-45% of online sales in the UK, the Netherlands, Belgium and Italy and over 60% in
Spain/Portugal.
The battle lines are being drawn. The year 2000 will be a critical year in determing which retailers will
succeed. Many strong US players are currently moving aggressively into the European market with
localised offerings. At the same time, several European start-ups are beginning to create brand awareness. In the travel category, for instance, how will the US players such as Travelocity and Priceline fare
against UK-based ebookers.com and lastminute.com? Both pure-plays and multichannel retailers need
to move very quickly to develop pan-European offerings as international players build their European
presence.
Sweden
Swedish pure-play online retailer dressmart.com, which focuses on selling apparel to businessmen who have little time to spare,
has pursued an international strategy from the beginning. Due to its focus on this small customer segment, dressmart.com has
realised that it has greater growth potential and can enjoy scale advantages by targeting the international market.
Launched in April 1999, dressmart.com already has operations in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands and
the UK, with further expansion planned. In the first year, the company expects half of its sales to come from exports, with an
increasing share coming from outside the Nordic countries. Armed with this aggressive international strategy, dressmart.com
has become one of the fastest growing online retailers in the Nordic region.
PAGE 26
Global
Four Internationalisation
Plays Evolving
Building
Local Networks
Source:
The Boston
Consulting
Group
analysis
Global Game
Local
Product
Sweden
Buyonet.com is a software retailer that successfully leverages the combination of global reach and low cost of distribution via
the Internet. Its customers can select a wide range of software products, pay and immediately download the software onto
their computers. The company has adapted this offering for local markets, with sites and products available in numerous
languages and payment accepted in 22 currencies. As a result, Buyonet currently boasts customers in 130 countries and
generates more than 50% of its revenues outside Europe. This pursuit of an aggressive international strategy from the outset
has paid off and positioned the company to become a leader in software sales online.
PAGE 27
Building local networks: Luxury cars are an example of a global product with a high fulfilment intensity. Prospective car buyers generally prefer to test drive a car before they buy it, and cars require
ongoing after-sales service and maintenance. Business models for these product categories are likely
to benefit from international scale, but success depends more on local factors than is the case with low
fulfilment intensity products. Global players have to develop strong local networks, for example
through alliances with local partners, to meet customers expectations for service.
Global
Fleurop-Interflora:
Building Local Networks Worldwide
Fleurop-Interflora is the worlds largest and best-known flower ordering service. It processes some 30 million orders each year,
and is increasing its share of the online channel. Although there are variations in local preferences, flowers represent a
global product category which has benefited tremendously from the Internets ability to provide rich information with a
global reach.
Given the fragile nature of the product, this online presence must be complemented by an excellent local support and fulfilment capability. Customers often want to discuss flower types and colours, messages and delivery specifications with customer
service representative. And, the distribution of fresh flowers is time-critical and represents a significant share of the total cost
of flower greetings. Fleurop-Interflora has been extremely successful in meeting these needs by combining its online channel
with its local partner network of more than 56,000 flower shops in 140 countries.
The coming of age of the Internet has also had a remarkable effect on its service, enabling Fleurop-Interflora to change its slogan from flowers around the world to flowers within hours worldwide.
Localising of a global concept: Books are an example of the local product/low fulfilment intensity
category of products. Physical fulfilment is straightforward, usually via parcel post. Yet books are predominantly localised products, a reflection of local culture and language. Roughly 80% of books sold
are published in the local language, and while there are internationally popular titles, product
demand differs greatly across countries. A competitive business model would be one which is multilocal, leveraging an international brand, direct marketing and system know-how, while replicating a
similar formula in each country with the necessary local adaptation for product mix, consumer behaviour and fulfilment requirements.
US
Amazon.com, the US online retailing giant, has taken the first, critical steps toward extending its reach beyond North America.
In April 1998, Amazon.com acquired online bookstores in both the UK and Germany, creating Amazon.co.uk and Amazon.de.
Internationalisation is a challenge for Amazon since book buyers in any region want to buy books by local authors in their own
language. Amazons strategy of utilising its existing capabilities in technology, marketing, and customer knowledge while
adapting the product and service concept to local market conditions has proven extremely successful. In 1999, international
sales, mostly from Europe, are expected to account for a quarter of Amazons total revenues. This makes Amazon one of the
largest online retailers in Europe.
Local game: Products such as grocery items, which require strong local fulfilment capabilities and for
which customers have many local preferences, are well-suited for a narrowly focused online strategy.
In these kinds of plays, the advantages of an international presence in this category can be limited.
Online businesses capable of fulfilling local needs have the advantage and are well positioned to take
on international competitors.
PAGE 28
Sweden
Matomera, a subsidiary of Bergendahl Group, is a leading online grocery retailer operating in southern Sweden with a strong
focus on local capabilities. Together with an external logistics partner, Matomera has developed a high quality fulfilment concept with 100% of its orders arriving on time and 98% according to specifications. The grocer also offers its customers sameday delivery for orders placed before 11 a.m. and free delivery for orders above 60.
Realising that they are dealing with delivery-critical products that are targeted to local preferences, Matomera focuses on customers living within a 20 km radius of its distribution centre. By doing so, Matomera has been able to achieve cost-efficient
fulfilment operations, which are essential for the low-margin and distribution-intense online grocery retailing business.
While European online retailers still have limited experience and know-how in this area, they have to
adapt their existing business models to the realities of the online market. In effect, the majority will
need to scale up their operations. US competitors, on the other hand, will be able to leverage their
brands and learnings from the US market, but will need to adapt their business models to the
heterogeneous markets in Europe.
UK
ebookers.com aims to become Europes leading online low-fare flight specialist, building a pan-European capability through
aggressive acquisition of existing local companies. In the absence of an established pan-European travel brand, ebookers.com
believes it has a unique opportunity to become one by spreading brand recognition from localised hubs.
The strategy has three overlapping drivers: speed, local presence, and scale for bargaining power with airlines. Acquiring existing operations enables ebookers.com to build its brand quickly. It also brings them information about the local customer base
that is critical to creating a positive and complete customer experience in each country.
By creating both a bricks-and-mortar network across Europe as well as a multilingual online presence, ebookers.com leverages
its customer knowledge and relationships. As ebookers.com depends on selling airfares at cheap rates negotiated from airlines,
it needs strong airline relationships and, more importantly, buying power. Local acquisitions let ebookers.com benefit from
existing local relationships with airlines and, more importantly, a stronger, ultimately pan-European, negotiating position.
Better purchasing terms will be reflected in lower fares which, in turn, will attract more customers. The business model is a
good example of how to get the advantages of scale without sacrificing local touch.
PAGE 29
Italy
Fineco Online is the leading Italian online trader. As the brokerage subsidiary of the Italian banking group Gruppo BIPOP, the
company started its online activity in the first half of 1999, entering a young market which had a clear leader.
From the very beginning, Fineco Online saw the importance of fast market entry. The initial strategy was to price low,
supported by a massive marketing and advertising effort. The company set a very ambitious target in terms of the number of
customers (10,000 by year end), and has invested heavily in customer acquisition. Consequently, in the space of a few
months, it has succeeded in building a very strong online brand name.
Finenco Online also understood that to move out ahead was not enough, it had to stay out ahead. And so it began a process
of continuous product and service development. After building a customer base, the company has started to broaden its
approach, shifting from a pure low price strategy to one which also offers a wide product range. Fineco closed 1999 as a
market leader both in terms of revenues and customer base.
PAGE 30
These capabilities, once established, can become powerful sources of competitive advantage. Since
they involve complex and time-sensitive internal processes, rapid fulfilment and superior customer
service are difficult for competitors to imitate. Customers value these capabilities, making them key
sources of customer satisfaction and loyalty.
UK
The food retailing category faces perhaps the greatest fulfilment challenge as fresh product delivery is time-critical and produce is easily damaged. Tesco, a leading British supermarket chain, has focused on finding an effective nationwide solution to
the challenge, and has managed to do so within its existing business.
Launched in early 1999, Tesco Direct began as an 11-store pilot within the London area, but as of January 2000, has been
was rolled out nationwide to 100 outlets attracting 250,000 customers. By the end of this year, the service will operate from
300 stores. The key element of Tesco Directs success is a fulfilment system that leverages the retailers bricks-and-mortar
infrastructure. The offline retail chain provides an efficient distribution system with both national reach and a strong local presence. Fulfilment is integrated seamlessly into existing procurement, stocking and delivery processes which remain virtually
unaffected by the online activities. Existing logistics systems and local presence reduce the potential for damages or delays in
the delivery process and underpin the customer proposition by offering fresh products, convenience and low costs.
Based on revenue projections for its 1999 fiscal year, Tesco is expected to be the largest online grocery retailer in the world.
France
Fromages.com is building on the worldwide reputation of French cheese to extend its reach beyond Frances borders.
Fromages.com has become the leading online specialist in French cheese. The site offers a limited selection of expensive, high
quality cheeses to connoisseurs around the world. Since the local online potential for such products is limited, Fromages.coms
sales are largely internationally-based, with more than 65% coming from the US and just 5% from domestic sales.
Their international success is underpinned by several elements: an efficient logistics system provided by a worldwide overnight
delivery partner which ensures that 80% of orders are delivered within 24 hours, and a strong focus on creating loyalty across
a geographically disparate customer group (50% of sales are repurchases).
It also plans to create an ambassador programme which provides incentives to customers who introduce their friends to the
service. Additionally, close co-operation with local authorities (like the US Food and Drug Administration) ensures easier
exportation of their products abroad.
PAGE 31
Germany
The consumer electronics and computer specialist Conrad has built scale through both its online and offline presence in a number of European countries. In its mail order business, Conrad established independent foreign companies to respond to the differing demands of the various markets. It also learned that country-specific design is especially important to build a sense of
familiarity with its customers.
It has applied this principle of local adaptation to its online operations. In every country, a native person is responsible for the
individual adaptation of the online range to the specific local conditions, standards, and customer needs. Web pages have
different content in different countries, although its external designs all reflect the Conrad corporate identity.
Conrad has already entered Switzerland, Austria, France and Poland successfully. By using common brand and company image
and adjusting to local needs, it has successfully scaled its operations to an international level.
Track
Note:
Based on company
data from France,
Germany, the
Nordic countries
and
the UK.
Source:
The Boston
Consulting
Group survey.
100
22
25
34
37
Do not track
50
51
53
50
49
47
56
59
80
78
75
66
60
63
40
44
41
Number of
repeat buyers
Number of individual
customers
Customer
age profile
Customers
by gender
Number of
visitors
Visitors per
time of day
20
Detailed knowledge of customers behaviour is vital in understanding how to create more value for
them. It offers the potential to increase customer loyalty through personalisation and by providing
services which create sticky relationships. This in turn can drive growth and improve the bottom line
by driving down customer acquisition costs and increasing repeat purchases, look-to-book ratios, margins and cross-selling opportunities.
Online retailers in the US realise that after they have drawn traffic to their sites, they must focus on
building stronger customer relationships. Todays European online retailers are generally not leveraging this opportunity. To achieve long-term economic success, European online retailers must place
greater emphasis than they currently do on gaining an in-depth understanding of their customers and
improving their ability to capture and use that knowledge.
PAGE 32
Germany
As one of the pioneers in German Internet banking, the Direkt Anlage Bank also wants to lead the way in setting new
standards for customer service. By concentrating on various customer segments such as heavy traders and active investors,
it aims to deepen its customer understanding in order to develop new products and services.
The bank operates a virtual community where customers and non-customers alike can register and log on. Currently, the community covers three areas information, research, and trading all of which include various services for different consumer
needs. Some of the recent additions include an Internet-based, interactive adviser for active investors, and a market
indicator with information about the current investment climate. This virtual community enables the bank to monitor the
customers activities, which is essential for successful one-to-one marketing.
Direkt Anlage Bank has been extremely successful in its customer-focused strategy. The bank has a rapidly growing online
customer base, with an increasing share of their transactions being executed online. Over the course of 1999, online securities transactions more than doubled and now represent over half of its total securities transactions.
(19)
Germany
Part of Gruner + Jahrs Electronic Media Services, Travel Channel is a pure-play online travel agency in Germany. In addition
to selling travel tickets online, Travel Channel is exploring opportunities for additional revenue streams and has recently entered
into exclusive sponsorship contracts with specialists in individual travel sectors.
One such partnership contract with Sixt gives the car rental agency a prominent placing on the Travel Channel car rental page.
Customers who want one-stop shopping for all their travel needs are encouraged to reserve their rental cars at Sixt. At the
same time, the customer remains in the Travel Channel site, even though he or she is using Sixts booking functions.
This co-operation benefits all parties: for customers through an easier shopping process, for Travel Channel through additional revenue in the form of sales commissions, and for Sixt car rental through increased sales. Travel Channel has been very successful in generating traffic and registered users, and has aggressive revenue growth aspirations.
PAGE 34
Methodology
This study of online retailing conducted by The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) had two main objectives:
To estimate the current size and growth of the business-to-consumer e-commerce industry in
Western Europe20 and to identify strategic key lessons for online retailers.
To develop a set of performance benchmarks on a European level that could be used by retailers to
track and improve performance for business planning, and to compare their performance with that
of their competitors.
Performance benchmarks were calculated from the data collected through the survey. In estimating
the size and growth of the online retail industry for 1999, the BCG survey was a primary but not
the only source of revenue information. BCG also relied on public sources, interviews, company
reports and other online revenue proxies. To calculate online penetration, BCG estimated the offline
retail volume per category through information from retail trade associations and other public
sources.
The following section details the methodology used to estimate the size and growth of the online retail
industry.
For all countries except Belgium and the Netherlands, the market size estimate was based on a bottom-up methodology defined by adding retailers online revenue, including transactional, agency,
offline referral fees, affiliate fees, marketing and advertising, and customer membership revenues.
Estimates for gross transactional value of agency revenues were also calculated and included in the
overall market size. Data was collected for half year 1999 and estimates made for full year 1999.
The online market size in Belgium was based on a consumer panel of 5000 Internet buyers as well as
interviews with the major players in each category. The Dutch market estimate was based on market
estimates from Blauw New Media Consulting and were recalculated to estimate full year figures.
BCG obtained actual revenue data for 2.1 billion or 60% of the overall industry size estimate of 3.5
billion. A further 1.0 billion or 29% of the overall industry was obtained through estimates based on
publicly reported data on market share, traffic, number of orders and the like. The remaining 0.4
billion was estimated on the basis of the average size of the remaining retailers.
Scope and Categories of the Business-to-Consumer Market
Retailers in the business-to-consumer industry sizing included all online retailers with European
domain names, European retailers with dot-com domain names, and non-European online retailers
with sales in Europe.
Retailers were grouped into fourteen primary categories. The size estimate excludes revenues of
online malls, other aggregators, portals and shopping comparison sites, so as not to double count
primary retailer revenues.
Defining Revenue Streams
When referring to revenue, BCG included transactional revenues, broker/agency revenues, offline
referral fees, advertising/marketing revenues, and customer membership fees. Financial brokerage
revenues included commission, but not the gross transactional value of the shares traded. The gross
transactional value of agency sales for collectibles, event tickets and travel was included in the overall
number.
For companies with multichannel operations, only the revenues attributed to their online operations
were included. Similarly, for sites and companies that sell both to businesses and consumers, only the
revenues attributed to consumer transactions were included. In a few cases, the revenue split between
small and home-based businesses and consumer transactions had to be estimated.
(20)
Countries included in this study are Germany, the United Kingdom, France, the Netherlands, Belgium, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Switzerland, Austria,
Sweden, Denmark, Norway and Finland.
PAGE 35
Apparel/Sporting Goods
Automotive
Books
Collectibles (person-to-person auctions)
Computer Hardware/Software
Consumer Electronics
Event Tickets
Financial Brokerage
Flowers/Cards/Gifts
Food/Wine
Home/Garden
Music/Video
Toys
Travel
PAGE 36
Sub-Categories
For more information about this report, please contact your nearest BCG office
below or e-mail us at europe.e-commerce@bcg.com
A series of country-specific reports have also been prepared, examining the
development of e-commerce within each national market. These can be
obtained by contacting the local BCG office:
Austria
France
Spain
Am Hof 8
4 rue dAguesseau
Calle Alcal, 95
A-1010 Vienna
75008 Paris
28009 Madrid
Phone: 43-1-537-56-80
Phone: 33-1-40-17-10-10
Phone: 34-91-520-61-00
Fax: 43-1-537-56-8110
Fax: 33-1-40-17-10-15
Fax: 34-91-520-62-22
E-mail: bcg.paris@bcg.com
Belgium
Sweden
Boulevard de lImpratrice, 13
Germany
Hamngatan 2
Keizerinlaan, 13
Sendlinger Str. 7
S-111 47 Stockholm
1000 Brussels
80331 Munich
Phone: 46-8-614-5500
Phone: 32-2-289-02-02
Phone: 49-89-2317-4244
Fax: 46-8-611-5241
Fax: 32-2-289-03-03
Fax: 49-89-2317-4109
Denmark
The Netherlands
Zollikerstrasse 226
Amaliegade 15
J. F. Kennedylaan 100
CH-8008 Zrich
1256 Copenhagen K
3741 EH Baarn
Phone: 41-1-388-86-66
Phone: 45-77-32-34-00
Phone: 31-35-548-6800
Fax: 41-1-388-86-86
Fax: 45-77-32-34-99
Fax: 31-35-548-6801
Italy
Norway
Devonshire House
Mayfair Place
20121 Milan
0162 Oslo
Phone: 39-0-2-65-59-91
Phone: 47-23-10-20-00
England
Fax: 39-0-2-65-59-96-55
Fax: 47-23-10-20-99
Phone: 44-20-7753-5353
Finland
Portugal
Keskuskatu 1 A,
4th Floor
1269-044 Lisbon
00100 Helsinki
Phone: 351-21-321-4800
Phone: 358-9-228-661
Fax: 351-21-321-4801
Switzerland
United Kingdom
Fax: 44-20-7753-5750
Fax: 358-9-228-66-911
Amsterdam
Atlanta
Auckland
Bangkok
Berlin
Boston
Brussels
Budapest
Buenos Aires
Chicago
BCG
Copenhagen
Dallas
Dsseldorf
Frankfurt
Hamburg
Helsinki
Hong Kong
Jakarta
Kuala Lumpur
Lisbon
London
Los Angeles
Madrid
Melbourne
Mexico City
Milan
Monterrey
Moscow
Mumbai
Munich
New York
Oslo
Paris
San Francisco
So Paulo
Seoul
Shanghai
Singapore
Stockholm
Stuttgart
Sydney
Tokyo
Toronto
Vienna
Warsaw
Washington
Zrich