CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

The 2016 Election: A Lead for Clinton with One Day to Go

November 2-6, 2016
Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no
attention so far?

A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Don't know/No answer

** REGISTERED VOTERS **
Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
67
71
71
62
22
23
18
26
7
5
8
8
2
1
3
3
1
*
*
1

Oct16e
%
74
19
4
3
*

Q2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 election for President this November -- would you say you will
definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election for President?
Definitely vote
Probably vote
Probably not vote
Definitely not vote
Already Voted (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

66
9
3
1
21
1

67
8
1
1
23
1

68
7
2
1
22
1

64
11
4
2
18
*

75
6
2
2
14
1

Q3/Q4. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for President and
Tim Kaine for Vice President, the Democrats, and Donald Trump for President and Mike Pence for Vice President, the
Republicans, would you vote for Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or Donald Trump and Mike Pence?
ASK IF DEPENDS/DONT KNOW: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine or more
toward Donald Trump and Mike Pence?

Clinton and Kaine

Trump and Pence
Other
Won't vote
Don't know/No answer

**** LIKELY VOTERS ****

47
6
88
41
43
86
7
42
5
5
1
8
1
1
1
2
4
2
3
7

47
44
5
1
4

Q6/Q7. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, would you vote
for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Gary Johnson or Jill Stein?
IF DEPENDS OR DONT KNOW: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Hillary Clinton, or more toward Donald
Trump, or more towards Gary Johnson, or more towards Jill Stein?

Clinton
Trump
Johnson
Stein
Other (vol.)
Won't vote (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

* LIKELY VOTERS INCLUDING LEANERS *

Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
45
6
85
38
41
84
6
40
5
4
2
9
2
1
2
4
2
2
1
3
1
1
1
1
4
1
3
7

Oct16e
%
45
42
5
4
1
1
3

Q8. Is your mind made up or do you think you might change your mind before the election?

Mind made up
Might change mind
Don't know/No answer

* LIKELY VOTERS WITH CANDIDATE CHOICE *

Total
Clinton Vtrs
Trump Vtrs
%
%
%
95
96
96
5
4
4
*
*
*

92
8
*

Q9. Would you describe your support for (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein) as strongly favoring
(Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein), or do you like (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill
Stein) but with reservations, or do you support (Hillary Clinton/Donald Trump/Gary Johnson/Jill Stein) because you
dislike the other candidates?
Strongly favor
Like, but with reservations
Dislike other candidates
Don't know/No answer

50
25
25
1

56
23
20
2

48
27
24
1

50
25
24
1

Q10. Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat
enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting?

Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic at all
Don't know/No answer

******** LIKELY VOTERS ********

48
53
51
25
24
26
11
9
11
15
12
10
1
1
2

49
24
11
15
1

Q10a. When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the 2016 presidential election?

In the last week

In the last two weeks
Earlier in October
In September
Before that
Don't know/No answer

* LIKELY VOTERS WITH CANDIDATE CHOICE *

Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
5
6
3
7
7
7
5
10
10
11
7
11
11
11
8
13
66
65
75
57
1
1
2
1

Q11. Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2016, who do you expect to finally win the 2016 presidential
election Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Depends (vol.)
Don't know/No answer

***** LIKELY VOTERS *****

Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
55
23
84
54
31
62
7
30
2
1
2
2
12
14
7
14

Oct16e
%
56
33
2
9

Q12. As you may know, a number of women have claimed that Donald Trump made unwanted sexual advances against
them at various times over the last thirty years. (Do/Did) Donald Trumps alleged activities involving unwanted sexual
advances against women make you more likely to vote for Donald Trump, less likely to vote for Donald Trump, or
(do/did) they make no real difference in your vote?
More likely
Less likely
No difference
Don't know/No answer

2
36
59
2

5
15
78
3

1
55
43
1

1
35
60
3

Q13. As you may know, the FBI says it has learned of additional emails that appear to be relevant to the investigation
into Hillary Clintons private email and server while Secretary of State. The FBI is reviewing these emails to determine
whether or not they contain classified information. (Do/did) these actions by the FBI make you more likely to vote for
Hillary Clinton, less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton, or (do/did) they make no real difference in your vote?
More likely
Less likely
No difference
Don't know/No answer

5
29
64
2

1
53
43
3

9
8
81
2

3
32
64
2

Q14. Which best describes you? Your vote for president in the 2016 general election will be the first time you have ever
voted, you voted for the first time earlier in 2016, or you have voted in elections before 2016.

First time voter

Voted earlier in 2016
Voted before 2016
Don't know/No answer

***** LIKELY VOTERS *****

Total Rep
Dem Ind
%
%
%
%
8
7
6
11
4
3
3
5
88
89
90
85
*
*
*
*

Unweighted
1,753

Weighted

Total Respondents
Total Registered Voters

1,456

1,368

424
495
557

315
375
337

Republican likely voters

Democratic likely voters
Independent likely voters