EAAIO 6

EIMATOHIA

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(probability sampling) (non probability
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(Kish, 1995, Babbie, 1989, , 2001, -
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126 / OOO

(population).
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(sample size).
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(1985),
(1990, 1991), (1992, 2003),
(2002), (2001), Deming (1960), Fink (1995b),
Henry (1990), Kish (1995).
 O ; / 127

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128 / OOO

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2.500 3.000 ,
(exit polls)
10.000 .
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500, 4,47%,
2.500 2% 10.000
1%.
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 O ; / 129

(exit
polls).

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5% (
, 2001, , 2002).
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130 / OOO

...

1
e= , n .
n
95% -
95%
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50% . -
, 20% 80%, . ,
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. n=500 -
1 1
 =  = 0,0447 = 4,47% 95%.
n  500
1
( , 2001, -
, 2002):

1.
95%
n
100 10%
200 7,07%
300 5,77%
400 5,00%
500 4,47%
600 4,08%
700 3,78%
800 3,54%
900 3,33%
1.000 3,16%
 O ; / 131

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132 / OOO

35

30

25
%

20

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0
0 200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600 1.800 2.000
M n
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(systematic sampling)

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134 / OOO

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 O ; / 135

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(cluster sampling)
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