Carlyle A.

Thayer
86 Academic Papers to International Conferences and
Other Presentations on the South China Sea, 2010-July 2017.
1. The South China Sea Dispute: Developments and Key Challenges to the Regional Order,
Presentation to National Asian Security Studies Executive Education Program, The University of
New South Wales, Australian Defence Force Academy, Canberra, February 16, 2016.
2. Recent Events in the South China Sea and Future Challenges Opening Remarks to the Defence
Subcommitee of the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade, Parliament
House, Canberra, A.C.T., February 14, 2017.
3. The South China Sea: Lynchpin of the Shifting Strategic Balance, Presentation to International
Conference on South China Sea: Impact on Major Power Relations and Regional Security, co-
sponsored by the Centre on Asia and Globalisation, Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National
University of Singapore and the Australia-China Relations Institute, University of Technology
Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, February 10-11, 2017.
4. The Militarization of the South China Sea: Regional Implications, Presentation to Inaugural
Southeast Asian Trilateral Forum, Session III, Cooperation on Maritime Security, co-sponsored by
The German Marshall Fund of the United States and the Westerwelle Foundation, Novotel
Yangon Max, Yangon, Myanmar, February 25-26, 2016.
5. Managing Security Tensions in the South China Sea, Presentation to Session 3, Indo- Pacific
Maritime Security Conference: Challenges & Cooperation, co-sponsored by the National Security
College, Crawford School of Public Policy, College of Asia & Pacific, The Australian National
University and Embassy of Japan, Crawford Building, Canberra, March 16-17, 2016.
6. South China Sea: Maritime Security and Defence Cooperation, Presentation to Roundtable
with U.S. Congressional Delegation, Executive Education Program, The University of New South
Wales, Rectors Conference Room, Australian Defence Force Academy, Canberra, March 31,
2016.
7. South China Sea: The Strategic Implications of Chinas Artificial Islands, Presentation to
Conference on Conflict in the South China Sea, co-sponsored by the Council on Southeast Asian
Studies and Institute for Vietnamese Culture and Education, MacMillen Center for International
Area Studies, Yale University, New Haven, May 6-7, 2016.
8. Diplomatic Challenges in the South China Sea, Presentation to Master of Diplomacy, Asia-
Pacific College of Diplomacy, The Australian National University, Canberra, May 10, 2016.
9. Vietnam and the South China Sea, Presentation to Roundtable Discussion with Senior U.S.
Government Analysts on the South China Sea, Vietnam and Thailand, National Security College
Boardroom, National Security College, The Australian National University, Canberra, May 18,
2016.
10. South China Sea Issues and Human Rights in Vietnam, Presentation to the 23rd National
Conference of the Vietnamese Community in Australia, Dapto Ribbonwood Centre, Dapto, New
South Wales, June 11, 2016.
11. "The Militarisation of the South China Sea," Remarks to the media at the launch of
International Institute of Security Studies, Asia-Pacific Regional Security Assessment 2016: Key
Developments and Trends, Shangri-La Dialogue, Shangri-La Hotel, Singapore, June 3, 2016.
12. Military Modernization and Capacity Building in the Philippines and Vietnam, Presentation
to the 6th International Conference on the South China Sea, Center for Strategic and
International Studies, Washington, D.C., July 12, 2016.
13. The Role of Arbitration in the Settlement of Maritime Disputes in the South China Sea,
Presentation to the International Conference on the Law of the Sea, Legal Issues Relating to
Awards of the Arbitral Tribunal Established Under Annex VII of UNCLOS 1982, organized by the
University of Law Ho Chi Minh City and the Vietnam Lawyers Association, Reunification Palace,
Ho Chi Minh City, July 23, 2016.
14. The Militarisation of the South China Sea, Presentation to International Conference on The
Challenges to Peace and Security in the South China Sea, co-organised by the Malaysian
International Affairs Forum in collaboration with HELP University,. The Westin, Kuala Lumpur,
July 28, 2016.
15. Sovereignty Assertion in the South China Sea: Militarization and the Construction of Artificial
Islands, Presentation to International Workshop on the Legal Status of Islands and Rocks in
International Law and Practice in the East Sea, co-hosted by Pham Van Dong University and Nha
Trang University, Nha Trang City, Vietnam, August 18, 2016.
16. Hybrid Warfare: Chinas Use of Lawfare in the South China Sea, Presentation to Future
Strategic Leaders Program Congress, Hybrid Warfare 21st Century Grand Strategy?, Institute
for Regional Security, ANU Coastal Campus, Kioloa, NSW, August 25-27, 2
17. The Southeast Asia Claimant States, ASEAN and the South China Sea Dispute, Presentation
to International Conference on The South China Sea in the Broader Maritime-Security of the Indo-
Pacific, co-sponsored by the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam, Japan Institute of International
Affairs and The University of New South Wales Canberra, Australian Defence Force Academy
Canberra, 28-30 September 2016.
18. The South China Sea Dispute: Developments and Key Challenges to the Regional Order,
Presentation to Executive Short Course, Executive Education Program, National Asian Security
Studies Program, The University of New South Wales, Australian Defence Force Academy,
Canberra November 8, 2016.
19. Acquiescing to Chinas Assertiveness in the South China Sea: U.S. and Australian Policies of
Not Taking Sides, Paper presented to International Conference on the South China Sea jointly
sponsored by VOICE, US Pinoys for Good Governance, Pinoy Patriots United Movement,
Democratic Assembly for Vietnam, National Congress of Vietnamese Americans and Institute for
Maritime Affairs & Law of the Sea, University of the Philippines, Teehankee Rule of Law Center,
Ateneo Law School, Manila, The Philippines, March 27, 2015.
20. Chinas Land Reclamation and Lack of Self-Restraint: Implications for the DOC and Proposed
COC in the South China Sea, Presentation to the Foreign Service Institute, The Mabini Dialogue
Series, Carlos P. Romulo Library, Department of Foreign Affairs, Republic of the Philippines, Pasay
City, May 13, 2015.
21. Review of the Implementation of the 2002 ASEAN-China DOC and COC and Challenges,
Presentation to Seminar-Workshop on the Implementation of the 2002 ASEAN-China Declaration
on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea (DOC-SCS), ASEAN-China Joint Working Group
on the Implementation of the DOC, hosted by the Department of Foreign Affairs, Republic of the
Philippines, Manila, The Philippines, May 14-15, 2015.
22. Strategy and Maritime Power in a Contested Environment: National, Military, Maritime
Strategy and the South China Sea, Presentation to 66th Current Strategy Forum, U.S. Naval War
College, Newport, Rhode Island, United States, June 17-18, 2015
23. ASEAN and the South China Sea: A Dual Track Approach? Presentation to High-Level
International Workshop 2015, Managing South China Sea from ASEAN Perspective, Center for
Southeast Asian Studies, Jakarta, Indonesia, June 26, 2015.
24. The South China Sea Dispute: Developments and Key Challenges the Regional Order,
Presentation to the National Asian Security Studies Executive Education Program, The University
of New South Wales, Australian Defence Force Academy, Canberra, June 29, 2015.
25. Presentations to South China Sea Short Course, Prime Ministers Office, Bandar Seri Begawan,
Brunei Darussalam, August 11-12, 2015.
a. South China Sea General Introduction and Overview
b. Key Developments in the South China Sea (1992-2015)
c. Current Geostrategic Context: China and the South China Sea
d. Current Geostrategic Context: External Powers and the South China Sea
e. Current Geostrategic Context: ASEAN and the South China Sea
26. South China Sea: The Strategic Implications of Chinas Artificial Islands, Presentation to the
Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade, Parliament House, Canberra,
August 18, 2015.
27. South China Sea: The Strategic Implications of Chinas Artificial Islands, Presentation to the
Australian Institute of International Affairs (NSW), The Glover Cottages, Sydney, September 15,
2015.
28. Submarine Acquisitions in Southeast Asia: Vietnam Case Study, Presentation to Submarine
Acquisitions in Southeast Asia: Problems and Prospects Maritime Security Programme Workshop,
Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Marina Mandarin Singapore, November 13, 2015.
29. The South China Sea Dispute: Developments and Key Challenges for the Regional Order?
Presentation to National Asian Security Studies Executive Education Program, The University of
New South Wales, Australian Defence Force Academy, Canberra, November 5, 2015.
30. Potential Flashpoints in the Eurasian Region: South China Sea, Presentation to Defence
Graduates Course, Australian Strategic Policy Institute, Dialogue, 4 National Circuit, Barton,
November 20, 2015.
31. The Code of Conduct in the South China Sea and Beyond: Foolish Consistency or Holy Grail?
Presentation to the 7th South China Sea International Conference, Cooperation for Regional
Security and Development, co-sponsored by the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam, Foundation for
East Sea Studies and Viet Nam Lawyers Association, The Imperial Hotel, Vung Tau, Vietnam,
November 23-24, 2015.
32. Fishing Fleets and Other Maritime Commercial and Scientific Activities, Presentation to
Session 2 Maritime Forces and Players, The 6th International South China Sea Conference,
Cooperation for Regional Security and Development, co-sponsored by Diplomatic Academy of
Vietnam, Foundation for East Sea Studies and Vietnam Lawyers Association, Pullman Hotel, Da
Nang, Vietnam, November 17-18, 2014.
33. Vietnams East Sea Strategy and China-Vietnam Relations, Paper delivered to the 2nd
International Conference on Chinas Maritime Strategy, co-sponsored by the Institute of Global
and Public Affairs, The University of Macau and Shanghai Maritime Strategy Research Center,
Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, held at The University of Macau, Macau Special
Administrative Region, Peoples Republic of China, September 19-20, 2014.
34. Navigating Uncharted Waters: Maritime Confidence Building Measures and the Expanded
ASEAN Maritime Forum, Presentation to Topic 3, EAMF: Enhancing Regional Maritime Security,
Freedom of Safety of Navigation through Practical Implementation of Confidence Building
Measures as well as Regional Instruments to Prevent and Manage Incidents at Sea, 3rd ASEAN
Expanded Maritime Forum, Furama Resort Hotel, Da Nang, Vietnam, August 28, 2014.
35. An Early Harvest Package for the Code of Conduct in the South China Sea, Presentation to
International Conference on the East Sea Disputes, sponsored by Ton Duc Thang University, Ho
Chi Minh City, Vietnam, July 25-26, 2014.
36. Vietnams Maritime Forces, Presentation to Conference on Recent Trends in the South
China Sea and U.S. Policy, 4th CSIS Conference on the South China Sea, Center for Strategic and
International Studies Washington, D.C., July 10-11, 2014.
37. The Paracel Islands Dispute: Geo-Strategic Issues and the Role of International Law in
Promoting Cooperation, Paper presented to international conference on Paracel-Spratly
Archipelagoes: Historical Truth, co-sponsored by the University of Da Nang and Pham Van Dong
University, Da Nang, Vietnam, June 19-21, 2014.
38. Beyond Territoriality: Managing the Maritime Commons in the South China Sea, Paper
delivered to Plenary Session 7, the 28th Asia-Pacific Roundtable, International Institute of
Strategic Studies, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, June 2-4, 2014.
39. Maritime Security and the 2014 ASEAN Agenda, Presentation to Public Forum on ASEANs
Role in Providing Maritime Security, CNAS Maritime Security Project, Center for a New American
Security, Willard International Continental Hotel, Washington, D.C., February 13, 2014.
40. South China Sea Developments in 2013: ASEAN Unity Restored, Sino-Philippine Tensions and
ASEAN-China Consultations on a Code of Conduct, Presentation to the 5th International
Workshop on The South China Sea: Cooperation for Regional Security and Development, co-
sponsored by the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam and Vietnam Lawyers Association, Melia
Hotel, Hanoi, Vietnam, November 11-12, 2013.
41. Resolving the South China Sea Dispute: Legal Regimes and Realpolitik, Presentation to
Workshop on The South East Asia Sea Dispute, Australian Business College, The University of New
South Wales, Kensington, NSW, November 30, 2013.
42. ASEAN and China Consultations on a Code of Conduct in the South China Sea: Prospects and
Obstacles, Presentation to the International Conference on Security and Cooperation in the
South China Sea, sponsored by the Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences, ,
Radisson SAS Slavyanskaya Hotel, Moscow, Russian Federation, October 18, 2013.
43. Incorporating a Code of Conduct for the South China Sea into ASEANs Political-Security
Community: The Road Ahead, Presentation to Regional Conference on ASEAN and the South
China Sea: Achievements, Challenges and Future Direction, Cambodian Institute for Cooperation
and Peace, Raffles Le Royal Hotel, Phnom Penh, September 19-20, 2013.
44. Taiwans East China Sea Peace Initiative and ASEANs Code of Conduct in the South China
Sea, Presentation to Roundtable, 2013 East China Seas Peace Forum, co-sponsored by The
Prospect Foundation and Fu Jen Catholic University, Taipei, Taiwan, August 5, 2013.
45. South-East Asian Strategies and Approaches to the South China Sea: Implications for
Regional and Global Security, Presentation to Roundtable, Southeast Asia Section, Defence
Intelligence Organisation, Canberra, August 16, 2013.
45. U.S. AirSea Battle Concept and Chinese Asymmetric Challenges to Maritime Security in the
South China Sea, Presentation to 64th Current Strategy Forum, American Grand Strategy:
Power and Purpose in the 21st Century, U.S. Naval War College, Newport, Rhode Island, USA,
June 18-19, 2013.
47. South China Sea in Regional Politics: Indonesias Efforts to Forge ASEAN Unity on a Code of
Conduct, Presentation to Third Annual CSIS Conference on Managing Tensions in the South
China Sea, Center for Strategic & International Studies, Washington, D. C., June 5- 6, 2013.
48. The Philippines Claim to the UNCLOS Arbitral Tribunal: Implications for Viet Nam,
Presentation to International Workshop on The Sovereignty Over Paracel and Spratly
Archipelagoes Historical and Legal Aspects, Pham Van Dong University, Quang Ngai City,
Vietnam, April 27-28, 2013.
49. Securing Maritime Security in the South China Sea: Norms, Legal Regimes and Realpolitik,
Presentation to the Panel on Fault Lines and Security Dynamics Along Asias Lifeline,
International Studies Association, Hilton Union Square, San Francisco, U.S.A., April 6, 2013.
50. "Deference/Defiance: Southeast Asia, China, and the South China Sea," Presentation to the
panel Difference/Diffusion, Deference/Defiance: Unpacking China-Southeast Asia Relations,
International Studies Association, Hilton Union Square, San Francisco, U.S.A., April 5, 2013.
51. Chinese Assertiveness and U.S. Rebalancing: Confrontation in the South China Sea?,
Presentation to the panel The South China Sea: The New Crucible in U.S.-China Relations?,
Association for Asian Studies 2013 Annual Conference, Hyatt Manchester Hotel, San Diego,
California, U.S.A., March 21-24, 2013.
52. Can the Centre Hold? ASEAN in the Midst of China-United States Strategic Rivalry, Paper to
China in Transition, The Asan China Forum 2012, sponsored by The Asan Institute for Policy
Studies, The Westin Chosun Hotel, Seoul, South Korea, December 11-12, 2012.
53. Maritime Security and the Role of Naval Diplomacy in the South China Sea, Paper to MIMA
Conference on the South China Sea: Recent Developments and Implications for Peaceful Dispute
Resolution, The Maritime Institute of Malaysia, Royal Chulan Hotel, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia,
December 12-13, 2012.
54. Chinas 18th Party Congress: Implications for Sino-Vietnamese Relations and the South China
Sea, Trung tm nghin cu Trung Quc (Institute of Chinese Studies), Vietnam Academy of Social
Sciences, Hanoi, Vietnam, November 23, 2012.
55. United States-Vietnam-China Relations and the South China Sea, Institute of Southeast
Asian Studies, Vietnam Academy of Social Sciences, Hanoi, Vietnam, November 23, 2012.
56. Chinas Naval Modernization and U.S. Strategic Rebalancing: Implications for Stability in the
South China Sea, Paper to The South China Sea: Cooperation for Regional Security and
Development, 4th International Workshop on the South China Sea, co-sponsored by the
Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam and the Vietnam Lawyers Association, Ho Chi Minh City,
Vietnam, November 18-21, 2012.
57. The South China Seas Contested and Congested Waters, Presentation to Round Table, Asia-
Pacific Center for Security Studies, Honolulu, Hawaii, November 9, 2012.
58. Introduction to the South China Sea Dispute, Presentation to Grand Strategies in the Asia-
Pacific, Graduate Studies in Strategy & Defence, Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, School of
International, Political and Strategic Studies,, ANU College of the Asia & the Pacific, The Australian
National University, Canberra, September 26, 2012.
59. The United States and the South China Sea, Presentation to Grand Strategies in the Asia-
Pacific, Graduate Studies in Strategy & Defence, Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, School of
International, Political and Strategic Studies,, ANU College of the Asia & the Pacific, The Australian
National University, Canberra, September 26, 2012.
60. Vietnam, South China Sea Series II, Research Outreach Office, Bureau of Intelligence and
Research, U.S. Department of State, Washington, D. C., June 26, 2012
61. "Deference/Defiance: Southeast Asia, China, and the South China Sea," Paper to the
workshop The Deer and the Dragon: Southeast Asia and China in the 21st Century, cosponsored
by Southeast Asia Forum, Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, Stanford University and the
China Programme, Institute of Defence and Security Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of
International Studies, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, November 15-16, 2012.
62. Vietnam and the United States: Convergence but not Congruence of Strategic Interests in
the South China Sea, Keynote Address to The Fourth Engaging With Vietnam An
Interdisciplinary Dialogue Conference, Australian Night, co-sponsored by the Australian
Consulate General, Monash University, and the East-West Center, Wailana Room, The Hawaii
Imin International Conference Center, East-West Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, U.S.A., November 8-
9, 2012.
63. South China Sea, Presentation to Security Studies (Regional) Course, Australian Command
and Staff College, Weston Creek, A.C.T., October 25, 2011.
64. A New Wave of Chinese Assertiveness: Roping off Scarborough Shoal, Oil Leases in Vietnams
EEZ, Military Garrison on Land and Fishing Armada at Sea, Paper presented to the 2nd MIMA
South China Sea Conference on Geo-Strategic Developments and Prospects for Disputes
Management, sponsored by the Malaysian Institute of Maritime Studies, Double Tree by Hilton
Hotel, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, September 4-5, 2012.
65. From Aggressive Assertiveness to All Quiet on the East Sea Front: The South China Sea as an
Issue in China-Vietnam Relations, Paper to Conference on The South China Sea and Asia Pacific
in Transition: Exploring Options for Managing Disputes, sponsored by the Center for Strategic &
International Studies, Washington, D.C., June 27-28, 2012.
66. Sovereignty Disputes in the South China Sea: Diplomacy, Legal Regimes and Realpolitik,
Paper to International Conference on Topical Regional Security Issues in East Asia, cosponsored
by the Faculty of Asian and African Studies and the Ho Chi Minh Institute, St. Petersburg State
University, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation, April 6-7, 2012.
67. Do Confidence Building Measures Really Address the Major Challenges to Maritime
Security? Presentation to Maritime Confidence Building and Preventive Diplomacy, Joint
Meeting of the 36th Australia Council for Security Cooperation in Asia and the Pacific (AUS CSCAP)
Meeting and ANU Centre of Excellence in Policing and Security (ANU-CEPS) Maritime Expert
Networks Meeting, The Common Room, University House, The Australian National University,
Canberra, March 22-23, 2012.
68. Efforts to Ensure Maritime Security, Presentation to 2nd Tokyo Defense Forum Seminar,
organized by the Ministry of Defense, Galaxy Hotel, Chinzan-so, Tokyo, Japan, March 16, 2012.
69. "The Rise of China and Maritime Security in South East Asia," Presentation to 11th IDE Forum,
Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) Headquarters, Ark
Building, Akasaka, Tokyo, Japan, February 9, 2012.
70. "The Rise of China and Maritime Security in South East Asia," Presentation to IDE Policy
Seminar, Research Project on The Rise of China and India and the Implications for East Asia,
Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO), Tokyo, February
8, 2012.
71. The South China Sea Disputes and Their Impact on the Security Environment of Southeast
Asia: What Lies Ahead?, Presentation to the International Conference on the Political and
Security Implications of the South China Sea Dispute, co-sponsored by the Center for Asia-Pacific
Area Studies and the East-West Center, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, January 12-13, 2012.
72. Navigating the Currents of Legal Regimes and Realpolitik in East Asias Maritime Domain,
Paper to International Conference on Cooperation for the Safety of Navigation in East Asia: Legal
Arrangements and Political Implications, organized by the National Institute for South China Sea
Studies, Haikou City, Hainan Island, Peoples Republic of China, November 17-18, 2011.
73. Will the Guidelines to Implement the DOC Lessen Tensions in the South China Sea? An
Assessment of Developments Before and After Their Adoption, Paper to 3rd International
Workshop on the South China Sea, co-sponsored by the Vietnam Lawyers Association and
Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam, Hanoi, November 3-5, 2011.
74. China-ASEAN and the South China Sea: Chinese Assertiveness and Southeast Asian
Responses, Paper to international conference on Major and Policy Issues in the South China Sea:
European and American Perspectives, co-sponsored by Institute of European and American
Studies and Centre for Asia-Pacific Studies, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, October 6-9, 2011.
75. Managing Conflict in the South China Sea: ASEAN between a Rising China and a Status Quo
America, Seminar presentation co-hosted by the Uppsala Forum on Peace, Democracy, and
Justice and East Asia Peace Program, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden, September 12, 2011.
76. Conflict in the South China Sea: Derailing Chinas Peaceful Development, Seminar
presentation to PF Internasjonal Politikk Og konomi (Norwegian Polytechnical Association) and
Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO), Oslo, Norway, September 8, 2011.
77. Chinas New Wave of Aggressive Assertiveness in the South China Sea, Paper to
International Conference on Maritime Security in the South China Sea, Center for Strategic and
International Studies, Washington, D.C., June 20-21, 2011.
78. Security Cooperation in the South China Sea: An Assessment of Recent Trends, Paper to the
First Manila Conference on the South China Sea: Toward a Region of Peace, Cooperation, and
Progress, co-sponsored by the Foreign Service Institute, Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam and
National Defense College, Dusit Thani Hotel, Makati City, Metro Manila, The Philippines, July 5-
6, 2011.
79. South China Sea, Presentation, RAND Corporation, Washington, D.C., March 25, 2011.
80. The South China Sea as Chinas Core Interest: What Role for ASEAN? Presentation to the
ASEAN Studies Center, American University, Washington, D.C., Washington, D.C., March 23,
2011.
81. The South China Sea, Presentation, to Institute for National Strategic Studies, National
Defense University, Washington, D.C. March 23, 2011.
82. China, Vietnam and the South China Sea, Roundtable, Center for Naval Analysis,
Washington, D.C. March 23, 2011.
83. ASEAN, China and the South China Sea, Department for Public and International Affairs,
George Mason University, Virginia, March 22, 2011.
84. South China Sea Implications for ASEAN, Roundtable Discussion Session 2, U.S.-ASEAN
Business Council, Washington, D.C., March 21, 2011.
85. Recent Developments in the South China Sea: Implications for Regional Peace and
Prosperity, Paper presented to the 2nd International Workshop on the South China Sea:
Cooperation for Regional Security and Development, co-sponsored by the Diplomatic Academy
of Vietnam and the Vietnam Lawyers Association, New World Saigon Hotel, Ho Chi Minh City,
Vietnam, November 12-13, 2010.
86. Recent Developments in the South China Sea Implications for Peace, Stability and
Cooperation in the Region, Paper presented to the 1st International Workshop on The South
China Sea: Cooperation for Regional Security and Development, co-organised by the Diplomatic
Academy of Vietnam and the Vietnam Lawyers Association, Hanoi, November 27-28, 2009.