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GreatLakesEnvironmentalResearchLaboratory
Changing water levels can have both positive and negative impacts
on water dependent industries such as commercial shipping. Seen
here, a large cargo vessel waits in the Poe Lock in Sault Ste Marie,
Michigan. NOAA water level data plays a critical role in the operation
of the locks. Credit: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Michelle Briggs.
What are current Great Lakes Great Lakes Water Levels, 1980-Present
water levels?
184.8
184.4 Superior
184.0
183.6
183.2
177.0
606
Lake Superior
184
602
183
598
182
Surface Water Elevation (meters, IGLD85)
177
580
176
576
Lake Erie
175
572
174
173 568
75
246
74
242
Past
1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Future
Observations Forecasts
}
95% 3month ahead forecasts 95%
5% }
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J
monthly average water level
2016 2017
longterm mean water level 50% Forecast for February
(18602015)
for past 13 months
5% through July 2017
The uncertainty expressed in the forecast shown above is based on observed weather patterns and Great Lakes water levels, along with NOAA
Climate Prediction Centers regional forecasts. The 5% and 95% bands are expected to contain the observed water level 90% of the time.