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Published, monthly-average, cash market prices for WTI crude at Cushing (NYMEX), Brent crude and Henry Hub and AECO gas.
Reservoir
Solutions /3
Vol. 13, No. 1
March—May 2010
PUDs—Cont. from Page 1 tive would be to book no PUDs,” said Mike Watford
Watford,
lived resource plays with a lengthy inventory of drilling CEO, on a conference call with financial analysts.
locations, such as our Woodford shale and Monument Ultra said it did not book any PUD locations in its
Butte plays,” the company said. Marcellus properties.
Pioneer Natural Resources Co. said that all of its Some companies issued statements disclosing
PUD reserves, which total 375 MMBoe, are scheduled reserves under the SEC rules and Society of Petro-
to be drilled before the end of 2014. The company leum Engineers Petroleum Resources Management
called the SEC rule a “controversial item,” but with 40 System guidelines. In two cases, the SEC regulations,
rigs scheduled to drill over the next several years, despite recent modernization, proved to be more
Pioneer said that it will be “fairly easy” to develop its restrictive than the SPE-PRMS considered the best
PUDs within the time frame. technical set of definitions.
EQT Corp.
Corp., with about 70 percent of its 3P reserves OAO Novatek
Novatek, an independent oil and gas company
in the Lower Huron/Berea shale play, said that its PUD in Russia, said proved reserves in accordance with SEC
reserves increased because of the elimination of the one- standards increased to about 6,900 MMBoe compared
offset rule but dropped to approximately 7,700 MMBoe under the PRMS.
because of the five-year Rosneft
Rosneft, Russia’s
rule. See article on Page largest oil company,
4 on EQT with discussion said its proved reserves
of PUD rules. under the PRMS stood
Despite increasing at approximately 23
PUDs 227 percent, billion BOE compared
Petrohawk Energy Corp. to about 15 billion BOE
said that it was “gov- under the SEC rules,
erned by development which it said took into
scheduling criteria of account reserves under
five years or less.” The duration-limited license
company told financial agreements.
analysts that “new SEC On the other hand,
reserve booking rules SEC reserves defini-
…added PUD locations tions allowed more
in some cases.” reserves than the SPE-
Petrohawk produces PRMS for Brazil’s
from the Haynesville, Petrobras
Petrobras. The national
Eagle Ford and oil company reported
Fayetteville shale gas an 8.5 percent gain in
plays. proved reserves for
A drilling rig operates in recently discovered
Noble Energy Inc.
the Marcellus shale. Most subsalt oil under SEC
said its 820 MMBoe of
operators there are rules while reserves
proved reserves re-
booking additional PUD fell slightly under the
flected an 18 MMBoe re-
locations under the SEC’s SPE-PRMS, reported
duction because of the
multiple offset rule. Photo Dow Jones in mid
five-year rule. Those
courtesy of Statoil. January. Also, the
reserves are expected to
be re-booked to proved company’s reserves
with future drilling. replacement index in
Range Resources Corp. recorded an average 1.2 offset 2009 was 110 percent under the SPE-PRMS and 264
drilling locations as PUD reserves for each of its proved percent under the SEC.
developed wells in the Marcellus shale play. The com-
pany also elected not to disclose probable and possible Reliable Technology
reserves in its filings with the SEC. SEC rules now allow producers to book proved
Public issuers now have the option to file reserves reserves based in part on the use of field-tested
using price sensitivities. Because of low gas prices, Bill technology that provides “reasonably certain” results
Barrett Corp. calculated and reported proved reserves with consistency and repeatability in subject or analo-
using the five-year strip price in a sensitivity analysis. gous formations.
Williams cited reserves based on forward-market gas- Ultra said that it uses “reliable technology—such
price scenarios. The company also disclosed probable as seismic wire line formation testing, geophysical logs
and possible reserves but said it would not file those cat- and core data—to assess and optimize the value of its
egories in its 10-K. Public issuers under the new rules resources, (but that) none of these technologies were
now have the option to file probable and possible reserves. used to affect a material change to reserve additions.”
Ultra Petroleum Corp. said it did not include any Chesapeake Energy Corp. said it used and developed
material additions attributable to the new SEC rules. reliable geologic and engineering technology to book
The company also said that PUD reserves are limited PUD reserves more than one location from production
to a three-year development period. in the Barnett and Fayetteville shales, but has booked
“The only thing we could do to be more conserva- only direct offset locations in all other asset areas.
4/ Vol. 13, No. 1
March—May 2010
Reservoir
Solutions
A mishmash of frac trucks cram together at this Lower Huron well site in Letcher County, KY, to prepare for EQT nitrogen-fracing
operations in the Big Sandy field last May. The granddaddy of all shale gas fields, Big Sandy has undergone a resurgence.
dry with no influx from water, initial production and analogous month production rates from the $1-
condensate or oil. Drilling with air production from horizontal and million horizontal wells are 200 to
is faster than with liquids, helps vertical shale wells. 900 Mcfd of gas.
eliminate lost circulation in low- Generally, high IP rates and Another critical view of shale
pressure formations, minimizes hyperbolic declines are characteris- gas reserves estimates is that there
formation damage and extends tic of well performance in shales is a weak correlation between IP
drillbit life. and estimates of future production and EUR. Without extensive
“The formation will not carry a from terminal declines are rela- production histories from laterals in
full column of fluid because of the tively lower than for those exhib- the Lower Huron, EQT relies on
low pressure, so straight air or an ited in conventional gas production. analogy and reservoir simulation to
air/foam mixture are our only Further diminishing the impact of overcome the challenges of decline-
options,” said Mike Butcher
Butcher, director terminal declines is that their curve predictions and high variabili-
drilling at EQT. associated, estimated cash flows are ties. Simulation results suggest
Those new drilling and comple- discounted at 10 percent per year as very low terminal decline rates in
tions applications are enabling the a present value using an the range of 2 to 3 percent per year,
company to develop previously unescalated price deck under the said EQT.
stranded gas from the Big Sandy’s U.S. Securities and Exchange This year, EQT has about 70
Lower Huron that would not have Commission. horizontal wells with at least two
been produced from existing vertical EQT estimates that the average years of historical production to use
wells. “Horizontal EURs are in the present value after taxes discounted as analogies as well as vertical wells
range of two to three times those of at 10 percent is more than $400,000 completed in the same formations
vertical wells,” said Puskar. per Lower Huron well. First- Please see EQT on Page 8
Per-well estimated ultimate
recoveries are between 0.75 to 1.50
Bcf of gas with recovery factors of
up to 40 percent per single lateral.
EQT—Cont. from Page 5 drill than it can reasonably expect Iraq—Cont. from Page 7
as analogs. EQT has also found that to drill over the next five years.” volume of oil, (so) they will be able
older Kentucky commingled wells, Although the five-year limit to book reserves.”
many producing since the mid restricts recognition of relatively
1900s, have terminal declines of less low risk reserves, it provides EQT
with an opportunity to continue to
More than meets the eye
than 3 percent annually. Other speculation focused on
“We feel comfortable that book reserves as it develops the
Huron fields year to year. The how sub $2-per-barrel compensation
completions in our Lower Huron fits in with expected returns
horizontals will result in similar company believes that it has many
probable locations that are much targeted by Exxon and other
terminal-decline behavior as the contractors. Thirteen of the 20 bids
vertical wells,” said Erin Elkin
Elkin, higher in quality than probables in
won in rounds 1 and 2 were service
director reservoir engineering. other plays. “Many of our probable
locations are actually ‘unbooked’ contracts with remuneration fees of
The continuity of the formation $2 or less per barrel.
and high degree of well control PUDs that we don’t have scheduled
to be drilled in the next five years,” In a model PFTSC, a contractor
reduces drilling risks in the Lower not only receives remuneration fees
Huron, which is both a technology said Elkin.
For year-end 2009, EQT’s but also maintenance fees and any
and statistical play. Well control pre-defined recoverable costs.
verifies sufficient in-place gas for probable reserves increased 69
percent to 5.6 Tcfe in part because Round 1 awards included recovery
drilling and allows EQT to high of bonuses paid up front while
grade reservoir areas of interest. 2.1 Tcfe of reserves from locations
that would have been classified as Round 2 did not, reported MEES.
The biggest obstacle for booking The full details of fees and
proved undeveloped reserves in the PUDs were booked as probable.
Proved reserves in its Huron/Berea billable expenses for the Iraqi
Lower Huron is the new SEC rule projects were not disclosed but if
restricting PUD classification to a play increased from approximately
1.56 Tcfe to 2.02 Tcfe at year end. included, they are additive to $2-
five-year limit. EQT said that it has per-barrel fees.
“many more locations available to For its annual reserves filing,
EQT relied on Ryder Scott as its Just how many barrels of oil or
third-party evaluator. Over the last cubic feet of gas will be counted as
Board of Directors reserves for 2010 remains to be
10 years, Ryder Scott has prepared
Don P. Roesle Dean C. Rietz
more SEC-case reserves reports seen. Contractors in Iraq under
Chairman and CEO Managing Senior V.P. SEC reporting rules don’t have to
John E. Hodgin Guale Ramirez than any other independent consult-
President Managing Senior V.P. ing firm. disclose historical production or
reserves separately by country unless
Fred P. Richoux George F. Dames
Executive V.P. Managing Senior V.P. Publisher ’s Statement
they account for 15 percent or more of
Larry T. Nelms Jeffrey D. Wilson Reservoir Solutions newsletter is total global proved reserves.
Managing Senior V.P. Senior V.P. published quarterly by Ryder Scott Co. Editor’s Note: This article is
LP. Established in 1937, the reservoir based on public-domain information.
Reservoir Solutions evaluation consulting firm performs
Ryder Scott makes no claims for the
hundreds of studies a year. Ryder Scott
Editor: Mike Wysatta multidisciplinary studies incorporate accuracy of public information. The
Business Development Manager geophysics, petrophysics, geology, firm has not evaluated PFTSCs for
Ryder Scott Company LP petroleum engineering, reservoir
1100 Louisiana, Suite 3800 simulation and economics. With 115 any companies cited in this article.
Houston, Texas 77002-5218 employees, including 81 engineers and Ryder Scott has working knowledge
Phone: 713-651-9191; Fax: 713-651-0849 geoscientists, Ryder Scott has the of PFTSCs in Iraq and experience in
Denver, Colorado; Phone: 303-623-9147 capability to complete the largest, most
Calgary, AB, Canada; Phone: 403-262-2799 complex reservoir-evaluation projects in analyzing service contracts for filing
E-mail: info@ryderscott.com a timely manner. reserves compliant with regulations.