yanirahmawati@mb.its.ac.id Estimating Guidelines Seven guidelines to Estimates should be made by the person most develop useful work familiar with the task, with purpose to get the package estimate project done on time & on budget. 1. Responsibility Usually first line supervisor/technicians. 2. Use several people to The estimates will be given based on experiences estimate and best judgment. 3. Normal Condition Asking advise & give the responsibility to estimate 4. Time Units work packages to these people will directly make them have responsibility and have feeling that their 5. Independence roles are needed to get the project done. 6. Contingencies This approach will eliminate failures of project 7. Risk Assessment success.
YaniRahmawati / MB-ITS / MP / 2017
Estimating Guidelines Seven guidelines to Several heads are better than one. develop useful work Good estimates can be achieved by involving package estimate several people, in which the estimates are build by 1. Responsibility lots of experts. 2. Use several people to Building estimates by involving one person will lead estimate and tend to bias and errors. 3. Normal Condition 4. Time Units 5. Independence 6. Contingencies 7. Risk Assessment
YaniRahmawati / MB-ITS / MP / 2017
Estimating Guidelines Seven guidelines to Estimates should be based on NORMAL CONDITIONS, develop useful work efficient methods, and normal level of resources. package estimate 1. Responsibility Ex: 2. Use several people to Estimate time & cost in This data is used in estimate preparing catering for estimating the duration wedding ceremony 3. Normal Condition and cost for work package. project If the project manager 4. Time Units Producing 1000 meals want to fasten it, it will be usually (normally) takes 12 5. Independence done on the resource hours, and it also cost IDR scheduling. 6. Contingencies 50 million including materials and 100 7. Risk Assessment employees.
YaniRahmawati / MB-ITS / MP / 2017
Estimating Guidelines Seven guidelines to Determine the time unit that is used for standard. develop useful work The determination of time unit will be useful for package estimate network analysis. 1. Responsibility All task time estimates need consistent time units. 2. Use several people to The time unit can be hour, minute, day, week, shift, estimate etc. Project only need one type of time unit. 3. Normal Condition Ex1. The surgery (operation) project have to use 4. Time Units minute as time unit, since it related with patients life. 5. Independence Ex2. The project of 5 hotel building construction 6. Contingencies using day as time units. 7. Risk Assessment
YaniRahmawati / MB-ITS / MP / 2017
Estimating Guidelines Seven guidelines to Every task/activities in WBS has to be treated develop useful work independently, particularly in estimating the time package estimate (duration). 1. Responsibility Every tasks should be estimated individually, one by 2. Use several people to one, although there are some tasks/activities that are estimate planned to be done by similar department. This approach is essential to keep the planner/supervisor 3. Normal Condition to estimate each tasks as the way it is, not as the 4. Time Units whole process. 5. Independence 6. Contingencies 7. Risk Assessment
YaniRahmawati / MB-ITS / MP / 2017
Estimating Guidelines Seven guidelines to Work packages estimates should not include develop useful work allowances for contingencies. package estimate The estimates should assume normal or average 1. Responsibility conditions. 2. Use several people to Extra fund is essential for contingencies that can be estimate used to cover unforeseen events. 3. Normal Condition 4. Time Units 5. Independence 6. Contingencies 7. Risk Assessment
YaniRahmawati / MB-ITS / MP / 2017
Estimating Guidelines Seven guidelines to Identify any risk that may be appear during the develop useful work implementation. package estimate Risk: economic situation, the material/workforce 1. Responsibility availability, material deliveries, etc. 2. Use several people to Risk causes extra time and cost. By identifying the estimate risk, planners can add extra time & cost in their 3. Normal Condition estimation. 4. Time Units 5. Independence 6. Contingencies 7. Risk Assessment
YaniRahmawati / MB-ITS / MP / 2017
Methods for Estimating Top-Down Approaches Bottom-Up Approaches
YaniRahmawati / MB-ITS / MP / 2017
References Larson, E.W., and Gray, C.F., (2014), Project Management: The Managerial Process, 6th Ed., New York: McGraw-Hill Education. Kerzner, H., (2009), Project Management: A System Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling, 10th Ed., New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons. Project Management Institute (PMI) Standard Committee, (2013), A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK), 5th Ed., PMI.