You are on page 1of 1

Nature: 'We'll redefine the wild'

We all want to live in a world where species such as tigers, the great whales, orchids and coral reefs can
persist and thrive and I am sure that the commitment that people have to maintaining the spectacle and
diversity of life will continue. Over the past 50 years or so, there has been growing support for nature
conservation. When we understand the causes of species losses, good conservation actions can and do
reverse the trends.

But it is going to become much harder. The human population has roughly doubled since the 1960s and will
increase by another third by 2030. Demands for food, water and energy will increase, inevitably in
competition with other species. People already use up to 40% of the world's primary production (energy)
and this must increase, with important consequences for nature.

In the UK, some familiar species will become scarcer as our rare habitats (mires, bogs and moorlands) are
lost. We will be seeing the effects from gradual warming that will allow more continental species to live
here, and in our towns and cities we'll probably have more species that have become adapted to living
alongside people.

Sport: 'Broadcasts will use holograms'

Globalisation in sport will continue: it's a trend we've seen by the choice of Rio for the 2016 Olympics and
Qatar for the 2022 World Cup. This will mean changes to traditional sporting calendars in recognition of the
demands of climate and time zones across the planet.

Sport will have to respond to new technologies, the speed at which we process information and apparent
reductions in attention span. Shorter formats, such as Twenty20 cricket and rugby sevens, could aid the
development of traditional sports in new territories.

Transport: 'There will be more automated cars'

It's not difficult to predict how our transport infrastructure will look in 25 years' time - it can take decades to
construct a high-speed rail line or a motorway, so we know now what's in store. But there will be radical
changes in how we think about transport. The technology of information and communication networks is
changing rapidly and internet and mobile developments are helping make our journeys more seamless.

These driverless cars will be safer, but when accidents do happen, they may be on the scale of airline
disasters. Personal jetpacks will, I think, remain a niche choice.

Health: 'We'll feel less healthy'

Health systems are generally quite conservative. We'll spend more on health but also want stronger action
to influence health. Some of that spending will go on the problems of prosperity - obesity, alcohol
consumption and injuries from extreme sports.

By 2030, mental health may at last be treated on a par with physical health. Medicine may have found smart
drugs for some conditions but the biggest impact may be achieved from lower-tech actions, such as
meditation in schools or brain gyms for pensioners.

You might also like