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Economic and Political Weekly
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December 20, 1980 ECONOMIC AND POL:TICAL WEEKLY
Notes 4 See G S Aurora and Ward More- visited: Problems and Prospects"
house, "The Diemnma of Technologi- cyclostyled paper, np, nd (Ad-
[The author wishes to thank Acqueil cal Choice - The Case of the ministrative Staff College, Hydera-
Ahmad, S Bhaskar, Sekhar Chaudhuri, Small Tractor", Economic and bad, 1977).
Anil Deolalikar, Brijen K Gupta, and Political Weekly, Special Number, 6 Aurora and Morehouse, op cit,
Alan Heston for their comments and 1972, pp 1633-1644, and ibid, "The describe some of the struggles
suggestions and Michael Hiodinar, Dilemma of Technological Choice which PTL's promoters encounter-
Kamal Raina, and S C Sharma for their in India: The Case of the Small ed in trying to sell "unproven"
research assistance.] Tractor", Minerva (London), Octo- indigenous technology.
1 See Robert T Kudrle, "Agricul- ber 1974, for a discussion of the 7 Sumit K Pal and B Bowonder in
tural Tractors: A World Indus- conflict over indigenous and a paper on R and D in the elec-
try Study", Cambridge: Ballinger, foreign technology involving PTL tronics industry ("High Techno-
1975, for an account of the inter- and HMT.
national tractor industry.
logy and Development in India",
5 See, for example, Aurora and Futures: The journal of Forecast-
2 Implement and Tractor (42nd
Annual Statistics Issue), Novem- Morehouse, ibid; V V Bhatt, ing and Planning, August 1978,
ber 7, 1979, p 66. "Decision Making in the Public pp 337-341) have discussed this
3 An exception is Japan, where Sector: Case Study of Swaraj dilemma for a country like India
Tractor", Economic and Political in an advanced and rapidly chang-
smaller garden-type tractors are
widely used in intensive cultiva- Weekly, Review of Management, ing field of technology such a.s
1978; and S Bhaskar, "Swaraj Re- electronics.
tion of small plots.
Atul Sarma
The economies of the countries of ASEAN (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand and
Singapore) are characterised by heavy foreign investment, particularly from the United States and Japan
and in more recent times from other sources as well. This paper attempts to study the role of foreig
capital in the economy of these countries.
Section I examines the various forms such investment has taken and Section 1i attempts to evalu-
ate the overall impact of such investment, especially in the light of the proclaimed economnic objectives
set by the ASEAN countries themselves. Its conclusion is that though the inflow of foreign capztal might
have contributed to a relatively high rate of growth of national and per carpita incomes, there has been
little impact on the basic economic structures of these countries. This, the paper argues, has been
necessarily, so because foreign? capital can never stimulate long term economic growth.
been offered one gets the impression in Indonesia during 1960s was hindered
that all the ASEAN countries were by economic stagnation and political
TO attract foreign capital all ASEAN
vying with one another to attract largerinstability in the country during this
countries offer a large number of incen-
inflow of foreign capital into their yes-period. The decline in the inflow of
tives.' These incentives and concessions
pective countries. Largely as a responseforeign capital to Thailand during 1975
to foreign investors include tax-holidays
to the liberal policies pursued by thesecould be attributable to the reactions
and concessions, exemption from customs
governments for creating suitable climateof the foreign investors to the policy
duties, allowance for depreciation, remit-
for foreign investment, foreign inves-changes in respect of business ownership
tance of profit, dividend and interest,
tors displayed keen iiaterest in takingsuch as alien business registration law
payment for technical assistance, offer-
advantage of the market and resourceand alien-occupation law.5 All in all,
ing of land on advantageous terms,
potentials of the region. As a tesult, direct foreign investment formed a very
autonomy in employing foreign person-
increasingly larger sums began to flowhigh proportion of the gross domestic
nel and so on and so forth. Table 1 investment in most of the ASEAN
into the ASEAN countties. Table 2
brings out the extent of the impact of countries and constituted as much as
shows that net direct foreign investinent
tax holidays on post-tax profit in the
in most of the ASEAN countries grew31 per cent in Singapore in 1974.6
case of four ASEAN countries. As a
increasingly higher over the years. The With such inflow, the economies of
matter of fact, following the massive
Table also points up to two extreme the ASEAN countries came to be do-
tax concessions, the effective tax rate on
cases. Because of extreme openness in minated by foreign capital. It may be
corporate profit (tax rate after the ad-
Singapore the trend of inflow of foreign noted that Singapore had not imposed
justment for the concessions) was much
capital displayed continuous increase any restriction on the extent of foreign
lower than the standard rate; it varied
whereas in the Philippines there 'was ownership while the other ASEAN coun-
from 15-45 per cent among the ASEAN.2
a negative inflow.3 The sudden decline tries, through a number of restrictive
However, the concessions and the incen-
in the inflow of foreign capital into policies, had tried to control the extent
tives actually offered by the different
Indonesia during 1973 and 1974 might of foreign ownership. For example, the
countries were different in magnitude
be attributed to the recessionary forces Indonesian government insisted that
and intensity depending on the national
that emerged in the developed countries projects involving foreign capital should
priorities.
be in the form of joint venture, and
Looking into the details of the con- around this period.4 It may also be
noted that the inflow of foreign capitalsome of the important sectors such as
cessions and incentives that had actually
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ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL WEEKLY December 20, 1980
TABLE I IMPACT OF TAX HOLIDAYS ON POST TAX PROFITS independence, the sources became more
diversified, with the US and Japan ac-
Maximum Increase in Maximum Number of
Countries Post Tax Profit Rate under Years of Effectiveness of counting for the major share. In recent
Tax-Holiday (Per Cent) Tax-Holidy times there has been a further shift in
that US investors who used to rule the
Indonesia 80.2 6
Malaysia 81.8 10 roast in 1960s are now relegated to the
Singapore 60 to 66.7 15 second place and the Japanese investors
Thailand 18.8 to 38.9 13 have emerged dominant in most of the
ASEAN countries in 1970s. Further,
Source: 'Private Foreign Investment', Economic Bulletin for Asia and the Pacific, some new countries such as Australia
December, 1976, p 84.
have also emerged as potential investor
in this region. Indeed the Philippines
TABLE 2: NET DIRECT INVESTMENT
is the only country where the US inves-
(in millions of SDR)
tors have continued to be dominant. The
Year Malaysia Indonesia Philippines Thailand Singapoie domination of US' capital in the Philip-
pines can be attributed to the Laurel-
1967 43 -10 43
1968 30 -2 -5 60 26 Langley Agreement (1955) under which
1969 80 32 2 51 38 the US investors were treated on equal
1970 94 83 -25 43 93 footing, particularly in the exploitation
1971 100 139 -1 39 116 of the natural resources, with native
1972 105 191 -11 63 174
1973 114 13 46 65 222 investors. Even after the expiry of the
1974 311 -41 3 151 476 agreement in July 1974, a number of
1975 189 392 -1 71 561 compensating concessions continued to
1976 - - -5 625
be offered. The relative decline in the
US private capital inflow in the ASEAN
Source: Balance of Payment Year Book, Annual Issue, Dcember, 1977.
countries during 1970s has been due
TABLE 3: GROWTH RATES OF GNP AND PER CAPITA GNP mainly to certain non-economic factors
such as strained political relationships,
Growth Rate Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Singapore anti-US feelings and withdrawal of
(Per Cent) special privileges. On the whole, the
GNP US and Japan are the two countries
1960-73 4.5 6.1 5.4 7.8 12.9 which between themselves account for
1965-73 6.9 5.9 5.8 7.3 10.2 the major part of foreign capital in
ASEAN countries.
GNP per capita
1960-73 2.4 3.9 2.3 4.8 7.1
1965-73 4.5 3.7 2.6 4.5 9.4
However, the motivation of these two
Per capita GNP major investors in ASEAN countries,
in 1973 in US$ 130 570 280 270 1830 has not been the same. While US
investors were motivated by a desire
Source: World Bank Atlas, 1975 and World Tables 1976.
to earn profits and expand into
new markets, the promotion of Japanese
public utilities, atomic energy, defence, 24.7 per cent respectiviely.7 The point
export was the most important consider-
mass-media, were closed to foreign to note is that even if the preference of
ation with the Japanese investors. US
capital. Similarly, of late, Thailand most of the ASEAN countries for joint
firms, facing tough competition in the
has passed the Alien Business Registra- ventures was satisfied, the hold of foreign
home market were keen to expand mar-
tion Law and the Alien Occupational capital did not get reduced because the
kets and enjoy more or less monopoly
Law under which the wholly foreign decision making authority still rested profits in the industrially backward
owned firms are directed to reorganise with the foreign participants. For exam-
developing countries; on the other
themselves in the form of joint ventures ple, even in Indonesia where more
hand, Japanese investors, facing shor-
with some Thai partners, with foreign aggressive policy for local participation tages of natural resource and labour
participation restricted to 60 per cent. had been pursued for long, it was at home, were in search of a continuous
On the other hand, in the Philippines, observed: "At the management levels, supply of inputs of the firms at home
while fully foreign ownership has been particularly, all members of the execu- and potential market for Japanese
allowed in 20 specific sectors, in the tive board are Japanese. When the
goods. As a matter of fact, Japanese
rest of the sectors foreign capital is not Indonesian partner insists on representa- investment in resource-rich ASEAN and
to exceed 40 per cent, and is entirely tion, they are generally given the posi- other similarly placed countries was used
barred in some sectors like retail trade, tion of director of general affairs or as an alternative to slow domestic deve-
rice corn industries and banking. How- personnel. The result of this concession lopment.9 One important survey high-
ever, in recent years, some of the prohi- is that in the events of labour and tax lighted the fact that Japanese foreign
bited areas such as banking institutions problems, the Indonesian is held res- ventures in agriculture, fisheries, fore-
have been opened up for foreign ponsible, while all other decisions stry and mining helped the country in
investment. regarding pricing raw material, quality achieving or exceeding the original tar-
Despite such restrictions, S3.1 per control, etc, are taken by Japanese gets set fori the delivery of the primary
cent of the total approved foreign capi- partner".$
products to Japan.' Thus it emerges
tal in Indonesia was invested in fully Prior to independence of these coun- that foreign private investors' search for
foreign owned enterprises and the ratio tries, the foreign capital originated from dividend or market or a continuous
for Thailand and Malaysia were 13.2 and the xespective colonial powers. Following supply of inputs for the industries at
2153
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Deceniber 20, 1980 ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL WEEKLY
(Percenage)
Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Singapore
1960 1973 1960 1973 1960 1973 1960 1973 1960 1973
Agriculture 53.92 40.88 39.97 30.48 32.16 36.41 44.04 34.29 6.06 2.56
Mining 3.69 8.35 4.74 5.19 1.12 2.94 1.04 1.81 na na
Manufacturing 8.35 9.23 8.77 15.42 18.77 21.27 11.62 17.67 9.16* 26.16*
Services** 34.04 42.07 46.52 48.91 47.95 39.38 42.94 46.22 84.78 71.28
Sources: As in Table 3
* Including mining
** Residual
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ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL WEEKLY December 20, 1980
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December 20, 1980 ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL WEEKLY
nistic methods of production. have been This ratio increased upto 34.1 per c ial institutions were reported to
struggling for mere survival. cent in 1972. Such increase was have invested in local institutions
comparatively higher in resource and the government was negotiat-
l)ase industries like textile (41 per ing(r with 12 more. In Malaysia in
Notes cent in 1968 to 45.6 per cent in 1970. outt of 89 insurance com-
1972), food (80.2 per cent in 1968 panies, 81 were incorporated abroad.
I For details see:
to 97.3 per cent in 1972), Iron In Indonesia, 8 foreign banks had
(i) 'The Role of Foreign Private and Steel (7.2 per cent in 1968 to
l)een granted licence by mid-1973.
Investment in Economic Deve- 24.8 per cent in 1972). See Bald- In Thailand. apart from 6 major
lopment and Co-operation in wiin W L and Maxwell M D (eds) iivesting banks, at least four with
ECAFE countries', Economic "Thle Role of Foreign Finanicial foreign equity participation began
Survey for Asia and for East, Assistance to Thailand in- the operation in 1974.
March 1970. 1980s", Lexington Book, 1975.
13 "The Far East and Australsia",
(ii) Stikker D V and Ryokichi H, 10 Yugin hoho (Quarterlv News for 197.3 pp 383.
'The Impact of Foreign Private the Export-Import Bank of Japan)
Investment' in ADB Survey, March 1969, as quoted in 'The 14 For details, see:
South East Asia's Economvj it Role of Foreign Private Investment (i) Virawan A, 'Foreign Invest-
1970s, pp 370-42. and Co-operation in ECAFE Coun- ment in Developing Countries:
(iii) Qtuarterly Economic Review tries' op cit. Thailand ' in Drysdale P (ed)
(QER) of Indonesia, Malaysia, 11 In Singapore, Shell had propose(d "Foreign Dircet Investment in
Singapore and Brunei, the an] expansion programme worth Asia and Pacific Region"
Philippines, and of Thailand Sinigapore $ 600 million. There was pp 235.
anid Butrma; various issues. also a proposal of Singapore $2,000 (ii) Baldwin W L and Maxwell M D
million from Sumitomo Chemicals, op cit, pp, 143.
Effective tax rate on corporate profit w7hich was expected to be com-
was - Malaysia - 45 per cent, (iii) Gupta S, 'Income Distribution.
pleted in 197.3 but, due to slow Employment and Growth: A
Siingapore - 45 per cent. Thailand nrogress it took more time. In the
15 per cent (on first 500 thou-
Case Studv of Indonesia'
Pilippines, of the-16 geographical IBRD Staff Working Paper
sand baht of net profit) to 25 per operations, at last there had reached No 212.
cent (on profit in excess of one the stage where operation could be
tmillion baht); Philippine - 35 per started before 1980. In Indonesia, (iv) 'Family Income and Expendi-
cent. See: 'The Role of Foreign ipto 1969, there were 28 contracts tuire: 1971' BCS Survey of
Private Investment in Economic involving US $ 30 million as bonus Households, Bulletin, No 34.
Development and Co-operation in pavment. Malaysia also made a few pp 151, cited in Hagiwara Y.
ECAFE countries', op cit, such contracts' See, QER related to 'Formation and Development
respective countries, variouis recent of the Association of South
:3 The privileged position of US in issues. East Asian Nations' The Deve-
the Philippines resulted in massive loping Economies December
outflow. See, Kaul, Manmohini 12 In Singapore, in 1973, 10 of the 197:3. Appendix, Table IV.
'Philippine Foreign Policy: Retro- already established institutions were pp 460-61.
spect and Prospect', India Quarterl encouraged to issue certificate of
Jan-March, 1977, pp 33-48. deposit dominated in Singaporean 15 The (lecline in Malaysia was due
currency, and some more banks were to sharp decline in prices and
4 'Private Foreign Investment', Eco- permitted to set up their branches adverse market situation for the
nomic Bulletin for Asia and the aind engage themselves in off-shore important traded commodities such
l'acific, December 1976, p 74. operations. Furthermore. during as natuiral rihbber, tin, etc. See.
1970-75, 28.86 per cent of the total 'Export Structture and Export Insta-
5 Applications to Board of Invest- foreign capital wvent into financial bilitv: The Case of Peninsular
nment (Thailand) came down from instituitions. In the Philippines upto Malayvsia' The Developing Econo-
111 in 1.975 (Baht 1950 million) to 1973. 16 foreign banks and finan- mies, September 1977.
107 in 1976 (Baht 1419 million).
See, QER of Thailanid and Bmrma.
VTol II, 1977, p 10. Also see, ibidI
NVol 1. 1975, p 8.
6 In the case of Singapore, it has
INDIAN INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT,
been estimated that to achieve a
growth rate of 5-7 per cent, Singa- BANGALORE
pore will require US $ 300-400
million of foreign capital every A limited number of copies of the paper and proceedings .
year. See, QRE of Malaysia, Singa- U Eu
pore and Brtnei, Vol 2, 1977, p20. of the National seminar on "Technological Choice in the Indian *
7 See (i) Carkar N (ed): "Foreign Environment" are available, at the concessional rate of Rs. 75!-
Investment an-d Economic Deve-
lopment int Asia"; (ii) Ryokichi HI. on a first come, first servcd basis, while stocks last. Th,e seminar '
'Changing. Pattern of Economic
Inter-Dependence in Asia: With was held in October 1977; the papers and proceedings have 3
Special Reference to the Relation-
ship between Developed and Deve- r ecently been publishead by Sterling Publishers, New Delhi. 3
loping Asian Countries", The
De.ekloping Ecotnomies, December The Fellowship Forum of the Instituite also brings out a
1973, p 344.
8 Panglaybiim J 'Business Relation journal called Abhipraya, for limited circulation.
Between Indonesia and Japan', The
Developing Economies, September All those interested in either of the above should write to
1974, p 294.
Vinod Shambhag, Editor, Abhinraya, Indian Institute of 0
9 It was found that Japanese firms
in Thailand consumed higher pro-
Management, 33, Langford Road, Bangalore 560027. 3
portion of local raw materials. In
1968, out of the total raw material
consumoed 20.8 per cent was local.
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