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DATE: 11/22/17
SUMMARY
Republican Roy Moore holds a 43-40 lead over Democrat Doug Jones
under a worst case weighting scenario where younger voters
turn out at a level equal to that in the 2014 general election.
Moore led 43-37 in the raw data.
UNDECIDED VOTERS
The worst of the storm is over and Moore holds a lead that at
worst case scenario is three points. He retains a strong
following and even many of those concerned about the scandal are
voting for him anyway. Joness leftist agenda, including his
strong and passionate advocacy for late-term abortions, has
defined him as a radical extremist out of touch with Alabama
voters. Once Thanksgiving and the Iron Bowl are out of the way,
Alabamians will begin focusing on this race with scandal
allegations fading in the rear-view mirror. If Jones isnt
leading now, theres no way hes going to come back once the
race returns to issues. Alabama is just too conservative a
state to elect a radical pro-abortion extremist, even over a
controversial candidate hated by the national party.
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