David Hartbarger

1. Title of Lesson: Introduction to Probability

2. Content Overview: Identifying likely outcomes and sample space
3. 2009 Virginia Standards of Learning
6.16 The student will compare and contrast dependent and independent events
4. Instructional Objective: Students will understand the likelihood of an event happening
given an event
5. Assessment Plan:
Learning Objective UKD# How will it be assessed?
Students will be able to understand U1 Whiteboards/Games
outcomes of an event.
Students will be able to determine D1 Whiteboards/ Exit ticket/ informal
the likelihood of an event. observation
Students will know how to K1 Whiteboards/Games
determine the probability of an
event happening.

6. Materials Needed:
Math Worksheets/Notebook
4x6 Index Cards
Dice
Marbles/Bags
7. Hook/warm up: What is the likely hood of me rolling a dice and getting a heads?
What is the likely hood of me rolling a dice and getting a 7? Or how about a 4?
8. Closure: What I want you to think about today and tonight is how you can use probability
to help you in your daily life.
9. Lesson Body and Sequence:
Time Allocated Mathematical Tasks Used, Teacher Anticipated student comments,
Thoughts/Actions/Questions Questions, Actions, and Strategies

4 min The class will start off with an
entrance slip. The teacher will have
two questions written on the board.
1.) What do you think Probability is?
Students will write down on the
index card their idea of what
probability is. Then will then write
down what they think is the
chance of rolling a 6 on a die. If
 2.) If I roll a dice, what is the chance
that it will land on a 6?
Students shall write down their
interpretation of what probability is
on their index card and then write
down the chance of rolling a six on a
dice. If students do not have an
answer for either than they may leave
it blank.
Students will put away their index
cards when finished to use the other
side as an exit ticket at the end of
class.
10 min Teacher will go over what theoretical
probability is as the chance that some
event will occur. The teacher will
convey that probability is a ratio of
favorable outcomes over the total
amount of possible outcomes and that
it is some number between 0 and 1.
Teacher will go over practice
problems on page 2 of math notebook
and students will walk the teacher
through the questions.
5 min Students will work on problems 11-
16 on page 3 of the math notebook.
Students should work individually on
the problems but may ask for help
from the person sitting next to them
or the teacher.
3 min Teacher will go over and check
problems 11-16 on the board.
Teacher will also address any
misconceptions or problems with
understanding that any student might
have. Teacher may ask students to
write their answer on a whiteboard
and hold them up for quick
assessment.
1 min Teacher will pass out dice and marble
activities for the students to play with
they do not know of the likelihood
of rolling a 6 or what probability
is, then they may leave it blank.
Students may ask what probability
is, but the teacher shall refrain
from answering till after the index
cards are put away.
Students will listen and ask
questions they may have about
likelihood of events happening and
the total number of events
possible. Students will answer
questions about the likelihood of
events happening. Students will
then answer questions on page 2 of
the math notebook as the teacher
goes through them.
Students shall complete questions
11-16 individually to the best of
their ability. If they have questions
they may ask for help from the
teacher or the person sitting next
to them.
Students will share their answers
for questions 11-16 as the teacher
goes over them. Students may
write their answer on the
whiteboard and hold it up for the
teacher to see.
Students will stay quiet and patient
as the materials get passed out.
 to better their understanding of
outcome of events.

8 min The teacher will divide the students
up into 4 groups. Two groups will be
doing dice probability problems and
the other two will be doing marble
probability problems.
(2 min) 1 die- What is the likelihood
of rolling a 4? Make a list of all
possible outcomes. Roll the dice and
tally your result after each roll.
Students will have two minutes at
each station. Students will answer
the question provided and then do
the activity to see if their answer
matches the actual results of
rolling the dice and or picking a
marble out of a bag. Students will
tally their results of the outcomes
at each station.

(2 min) 2 dice- What is the likelihood

of rolling a sum of 7 with the two
dice? (Think of how many ways you
can roll a 7). Make a list of all the
possible outcomes. Roll the dice and
tally your result after each roll.

(2 min) Marbles bag 1- You have a

bag of marbles of different colors. It
contains 1 clear, 7 red, and 15 blue
marbles. What is the probability of
picking a marble and it being clear?
Make a list of all possible outcomes
and tally your result after each pull.
Place the marble back into the bag
after each try.

(2 min) Marbles bag 2- You have a

bag of marbles of different colors. It
contains 4 clear, 8 red, and 9 blue
marbles. What is the probability of
picking a marble and it being blue?
Make a list of all possible outcomes
and tally your result after each pull.
Place the marble back into the bag
after each try.
 3 min Exit Ticket- Students will answer
three questions on the back side of
their index card before leaving the
classroom.
1. What is probability?
2. Give an example of an event that is
impossible to occur.
3. There is a 75% chance of it raining
tomorrow. Should I take an umbrella
with me to the JMU football game?
Students will answer the questions
posted on the board on the
backside of their index cards
before leaving the class. Students
should answer to the best of their
ability and may ask for
clarification for any of the
questions.

10. Diversity Plan: By using the whiteboards I hope to keep everyone engaged. This also
allows me to see exactly who understands and who does not. I can use this information to clarify
any misconceptions that students may have. They games provide a fun way for the students to
learn and to stay engaged. It also allows me to walk around the classroom and check in on
individual students and get a feel for how students are doing with the material.
1 die-What is the likelihood of rolling a 4? Make a list of all possible
outcomes. Roll the dice and tally your result after each roll.

2 dice- What is the likelihood of rolling a sum of 7 with the two dice?
(Think of how many ways you can roll a 7). Make a list of all the
possible outcomes. Roll the dice and tally your result after each roll.

Marbles bag 1- You have a bag of marbles of different colors. It contains

1 clear, 7 red, and 15 blue marbles. What is the probability of picking a
marble and it being clear? Make a list of all possible outcomes and tally
your result after each pull. Place the marble back into the bag after each
try.

Marbles bag 2- You have a bag of marbles of different colors. It contains

4 clear, 8 red, and 9 blue marbles. What is the probability of picking a
marble and it being blue? Make a list of all possible outcomes and tally
your result after each pull. Place the marble back into the bag after each
try.