ENGSTAT

Quiz 2

1. Which of the following pairs of events are mutually exclusive?

a. A: the odd numbers; B: the number 5
b. A: the even numbers; B: the numbers greater than 10
c. A: the numbers less than 5; B: all negative numbers
d. A: the numbers above 100; B: the numbers less than -200
e. A: negative numbers; B: odd numbers
2. One card is drawn from a standard 52 card deck. In describing the
occurrence of two possible events, an Ace and a King, these two
events are said to be:
(a) independent
(b) mutually exclusive
(c) random variables
(d) randomly independent.
3. Which of the following is NOT a possible probability?
a. 25/100
b. 1.25
c. 1
d. 0
4. A sample of 1000 persons screened for a certain disease is distributed
according to height and disease status resulting from a clinical exam
as follows: DISEASE STATUS

None Mild Moderate Severe Totals

|-------|---------|------------|----------|
Tall | 122 | 78 | 139 | 61 | 400
|-------|---------|------------|----------|
HEIGHT Medium | 74 | 51 | 90 | 35 | 250
|-------|---------|------------|----------|
Short | 104 | 71 | 121 | 54 | 350
|-------|---------|------------|----------|
300 200 350 150 1000
What would you estimate from the above table to be the probability
of being medium or short in height and having moderate or severe
disease status?
a. 600/1000 * 500/1000 d. 300/600
b. 300/500 e. 800/1000
c. 300/1000
5. Among twenty-five articles, nine are defective, six having only minor
defects and three having major defects. Determine the probability
that an article selected at random has major defects given that it
has defects.
a. 1/3
b. .25
c. .24
d. .08
(Question 6-9)The checking accounts of Save-More Bank are categorized by age of
account and balance in account. We are going to select an account at random
from this group of 2000 accounts.
Balance | | |
Age of Account | $0 - $99 | $100-$499 | $500 or more
---------------------------------------------------------------
less than 3 years | 700 | 100 | 400
3 or more years | 200 | 400 | 200
---------------------------------------------------------------
6. Then P($500 or more0 - 3 years) =
a) 6/7 b) 2/3 c) 1/3 d) 1/5 e) none of these
7. Then P[($0 - $99) or (3 years or more)] =
a) 9/10 b) 9/20 c) 3/4 d) 2/5 e) none of these
8. Then P($100 or more) =
a) 1/4 b) 3/20 c) 11/20 d) 3/10 e) none of these
9. What is the conditional probability that the account has a
balance under $100, given that it is less than 3 years old?
a) 7/9 b) 9/20 c) 3/4 d) 7/12 e) none of these

10. Among twenty-five articles eight are defective, six having only
minor defects and two having major defects. Determine the pro-
bability that an article selected at random has major defects
given that it has defects.
(a) .08 (c) 1/3
(b) .25 (d) .24
(Questions 11-12) Suppose a loaded die has the following model:
Face 1 2 3 4 5 6
Probability 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
If this die is thrown and the top face shows an odd number,
11. What is the probability that the die shows a four?
a. 0 b. 0.1 c. 0.3 d. 1.0
12. What is the probability that the die shows a 1?
a. 0.6 b. 0.3 c. 0.1 d. 1.0
13. How may the standard deviation be expressed?
a. A point on a z-score scale.
b. A distance on a z-score scale.
c. An index on a squared numerical scale.
d. (a) and (c) are both correct.
e. (b) and (c) are both correct.
14. A probability function is a rule of correspondence or equation that:
a) Finds the mean value of the random variable.
b) Assigns values of x to the events of a probability experiment.
c) Assigns probablities to the various values of x.
d) Defines the variability in the experiment.
e) None of the above is correct.
15. What is a synonym or example of a variable?
a) constant
b) characteristic which takes on different values
c) number of ears on humans
d) parameter
16. A standard normal distribution has:
a. the mean equal to the variance
b. mean equal 1 and variance equal 1
c. mean equal 0 and variance equal 1
d. mean equal 0 and standard deviation equal 0
e. none of these
17. If Z is a standard normal variable, then the area to the left of
Z = 0.65 is:
a. 0.35 d. 0.2578
b. 0.2242 e. 0.7422
c. 0.65
18. What area under the standard normal curve falls outside the Z values
-2.5 and 2.5?
a. .0062 b. .9876 c. .0124 d. .4938 e. .5062
19. If the life of wild pheasants follows a normal distribution with a
mean of 9 months and a variance of 9, what percent of the population
will be less than 11 months of age?
(a) 34.13 (c) 74.86
(b) 84.13 (d) 62.93
20. If Z is the standard normal random variable, then P(Z > -0.38) is
 (a) .1480 (c) .3520
(b) .2960 (d) .6480
21. The distribution of lifetimes for a certain type of light
bulb is normally distributed with a mean of 1000 hours and a
standard deviation of 100 hours. Find the 33rd percentile of
the distribution of lifetimes.
a. 956
b. 330
c. 1044
d. 1440
e. none of these
22. Assume that the test scores of 600 students are normally distributed with a
mean of 76 and a standard deviation of 8. The number
of students scoring between 70 and 82 is:
a. 328
b. 164
c. 260
d. 136
e. 272
23. Rods produced by G&R Company are normally distributed with a mean of 66
cm. and a standard deviation of 2 cm. Rods are too long to be useable if
they are longer than 68.5 cm. What percentage of these rods are too long?
a) 0.1056 b) 0.1151 c) 0.3849 d) 0.3944
e) None of the above are correct.
24. A continuous variable:
a) may take on only integer values (e.g. 0, 1, 2, ...).
b) may take on only a finite number of different values.
c) may take on an infinite number of values.
d) must be any nonnegative real number.
25. The thickness of the individual cards produced by a certain
playing card manufacturer is normally distributed with mean =
0.01 inches and variance = 0.000052. What is the probability
that a deck of 52 cards is more than 0.65 inches in thickness?
A. .001 B. .006 C. .023 D. .036 E. .067

II Challenge Questions
McDonald's ran a campaign in which it gave game cards to its customers. These game
cards made it possible for customers to win hamburgers, French fries, soft drinks,
and other fast-food items, as well as cash prizes. Each card had 10 covered spots
that could be uncovered by rubbing them with a coin. Beneath three of these spots
were "No Prize" signs. Beneath the other seven spots were names of prizes, two of
which were identical. For example, one card might have two pictures of a hamburger,
one picture of a Coke, one of French fires, one of a milk shake, one of 5 Dollar,
one of 1000 Dollar and three "No Prize" signs. For this card the customer could win
a hamburger. To win on any card, the customers had to uncover the two matching
spots (which showed the potential prize for that card) before uncovering a "No
Prize"; any card with a "No Prize" uncovered was automatically void. Assuming that
the two matches and the three "No Prize" signs were arranged randomly on the cards,
what is the probability of a customer winning?
0.1 b. 0.15 c. +0.12 d. 0.18
A bag contains 10 balls numbered from 0 to 9. the balls are such that the person
picking a ball out of the bag is equally likely to pick anyone of them. A person
picked a ball and replaced it in the bag after noting its number. He repeated this
process 2 more times. What is the probability that the ball picked first is
numbered higher than the ball picked second and the ball picked second is numbered
higher than the ball picked third?
72/100 b. 3/25 c. 4/5 d. 1/6
Ami/t, Sumit and Pramit go to a seaside town to spend a vacation there and on the
first day everybody decides to visit different tourist locations. After breakfast,
each of them boards a different tourist vehicle from the nearest bus-depot. After
three hours, Sumit who had gone to a famous beach, calls on the mobile of Pramit
and claims that he has observed a shark in the waters. Pramit learns from the local
guide that at that time of the year, only eight sea-creatures (including a shark)
are observable and the probability of observing any creature is equal. However,
Amit and Pramit later recall during their discussion that Sumit has a reputation
for not telling the truth five out of six times. What is the probability that Sumit
actually observed a shark in the waters?
a. 1/36 b. 1/30 c. 5/36 d. 1/24