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Escala de tiempo Valores Previsión Límite de confianza inferior

2010 373.7
2011 402.6
2012 360.6
2013 330.3
2014 306.4 450.0
2015 264.7 400.0
2016 240.5
350.0
2017 291.9 291.9 291.9
300.0
2018 224.9 168.7
2019 204.8 250.0 148.2
200.0

150.0

100.0

50.0

0.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Va l ores Previ s i ón
Lími te de confia nza i nferi or Lími te de confianz
Límite de confianza superior Estadística Valor
Alpha 0.13
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 0.63
SMAPE 0.07
MAE 21.79
RMSE 28.67
291.9
281.1
261.4

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019


Va l ores Previ s i ón
Lími te de confia nza i nferi or Lími te de confianza s uperi or
AÑO PRECIO
2010 373.7 CRECIMIENTO
2011 402.6 450.0
2012 360.6 400.0
2013 330.3 R² = 0.8003896001
350.0
2014 306.4
300.0
2015 264.7
2016 240.5 250.0
2017 291.9 200.0
2018 238.535804 150.0
2019 219.440532 100.0
2020 208.644429
50.0
2021 198.461234
0.0
2022 189.202006 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2015 2016 2017
CREC

Forecasting Moving averages - 1 period moving average


Enter
Enter the
the past
past demands
demands in
in the
the data
data area
area

Num pds 1 To change the number of periods use the scrollbar, do not change the cell itself

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis


Period Demand Forecast Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err
Period 1 306.4
Period 2 264.7 306.4 -41.7 41.7 1739.6 0.2
Period 3 240.5 264.7 -24.2 24.2 584.0 0.1
Period 4 291.9 240.5 51.4 51.4 2638.5 0.2
Total -14.5 117.2 4962.1 0.4
Average -4.8 39.1 1654.0 0.1
Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 70.44251054
Next period 291.866667
ot change the cell itself

Forecasting
350.0

300.0

250.0

200.0
Value

150.0

100.0

50.0

0.0
1 2 3 4
Time

Demand Forecast

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