Alyse Galvin for Congress, June 2018 1

To: Interested Parties

Fr: Lake Research Partners
Re: Alaska’s At-Large Congressional District Poll Results
Date: June 22, 2018

A new Lake Research Partners poll of likely general election voters in Alaska’s at-large Congressional
district shows Alyse Galvin and Don Young in a competitive race for the seat.1. Young’s job performance
has reached an all-time low in our 20 years of polling in Alaska. With almost one-quarter of voters
undecided, Galvin has room to move voters in her direction by communicating her strengths and positioning
herself as the best candidate to represent Alaska, drawing contrasts with Young, and demonstrating that
it’s time for a change.

Don Young Vulnerability

Our survey results show Don Young to be in a vulnerable position, evidenced by a poor job performance
rating and views voters express about Young.

A majority of voters say Young is doing a just fair or poor job (59%) as their member of Congress, and
voters are nearly three times as likely to say he is doing a poor job (28%) than to say he is doing an excellent
job (10%). Young’s job rating is even weaker among independent voters, with more than two-thirds (68%)
saying he is doing a just fair or poor job (34% poor), and even among Republican voters, over one-third
(36%) say he is doing a just fair/poor job.

Don Young Job Performance

Voters were also asked to rate how well certain words or phrases describe Don Young. The traits Young is
most associated with indicate that voters agree Young has been in office for too long and it’s time to move
on. The traits Young is most associated with include:

• “Has been in Washington too long” (51% very well; 73% well)
• “Not respectful enough to people” (33% very well; 53% well)
• “Too tied to special interests” (33% very well; 59% well)

1
Lake Research Partners conducted a live telephone survey among 540 likely 2018 general election voters in Alaska. The survey
was conducted June 7-12, 2018 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.2%.
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Views of Trump

Donald Trump currently has net-negative job performance (-14) and favorability (-8) ratings. A majority of
likely Alaskan voters currently rate Trump’s job performance as just fair or poor compared to two-in-five
voters who say he is doing an excellent or good job. In terms of favorability, 53% of voters have an
unfavorable impression of Trump compared to 45% who have a favorable impression. These results also
indicate that the political environment is much more favorable for a challenger than we’ve seen before.

Donald Trump Job Performance

Donald Trump Favorability

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Ballots

In an initial ballot with party affiliations, Alyse Galvin currently captures 36% of the vote, Don Young gets
40%, and 24% of voters are undecided. Galvin, an independent running in the Democratic primary, already
leads Young handily among independents (47% Galvin, 25% Young).

Initial Ballot

After a round of positive and negative messaging, Alyse Galvin pulls ahead in the race with 43%, Don
Young holds at 39%, and 17% of voters are still undecided. By this point of the survey, Galvin manages to
consolidate more of the Democratic vote (75% support) and secures a significant majority of support (60%)
among independent voters.

Final Ballot