AT FE

AÑO MES FOB_DOL PROMEDIO MOVIL SI ERROR

2008 1 344191
2008 2 549211
2008 3 305377
2008 4 179172 399,593 - 220,421 220,421
2008 5 200065 344,587 - 144,522 144,522
2008 6 324675 228,205 96,470 96,470
2008 7 337978 234,637 103,341 103,341
2008 8 344167 287,573 56,594 56,594
2008 9 332074 335,607 - 3,533 3,533
2008 10 338004 338,073 - 69 69
2008 11 417582 338,082 79,500 79,500
2008 12 222190 362,553 - 140,363 140,363
2009 1 197,475 325,925 - 128,450 128,450
2009 2 156,877 279,082 - 122,205 122,205
2009 3 351,851 192,181 159,670 159,670 Char
2009 4 388,502 235,401 153,101 153,101
1600000
2009 5 182,207 299,077 - 116,870 116,870
2009 6 130,808 307,520 - 176,712
1400000 176,712
2009 7 350,743 233,839 116,904 116,904
1200000
2009 8 227,091 221,253 5,838 5,838
2009 9 374,324 236,214 138,110
1000000 138,110
2009 10 756,979 317,386 439,593 439,593
800000
2009 11 872,919 452,798 420,121 420,121
2009 12 361,312 668,074 - 306,762
600000 306,762
2010 1 119259 663,737 - 544,478 544,478
2 400000
2010 420523 451,163 - 30,640 30,640
2010 3 358481 300,365 58,116
200000 58,116
2010 4 307652 299,421 8,231 8,231
2010 5 449059 362,219 0
86,840 86,840 2
0 4 6
2010 6 229968 371,731 - 141,763 141,763
Col umn C
2010 7 811716 328,893 482,823 482,823
2010 8 680032 496,914 183,118 183,118
2010 9 837172 573,905 263,267 263,267
2010 10 1407281 776,307 630,974 630,974
2010 11 1083151 974,828 108,323 108,323
2010 12 790478 1,109,201 - 318,723 318,723
 COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION
TOTAL 405509 23414348 0.48
3720 214810

Chart Title

FOB_DOL
1600000

1400000

1200000
4 6 8 10 12 14
1000000
Col umn C Col umn D
800000

600000

400000

200000

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION
MES 4 2008-2017
 AT FE
AÑO MES FOB_DOL PROMEDIO MOVIL ERROR
2008 1 344191
2008 2 549211
2008 3 305377
2008 4 179172
2008 5 200065
2008 6 324675
2008 7 337978 234,637 103,341 103,341
2008 8 344167 287,573 56,594 56,594
2008 9 332074 335,607 - 3,533 3,533
2008 10 338004 338,073 - 69 69
2008 11 417582 338,082 79,500 79,500
2008 12 222190 362,553 - 140,363 140,363
2009 1 197475 325,925 - 128,450 128,450
2009 2 156877 279,082 - 122,205 122,205
2009 3 351851 192,181 159,670 159,670
2009 4 388502 235,401 153,101 153,101
2009 5 182207 299,077 - 116,870 116,870 1600000
2009 6 130808 307,520 - 176,712 176,712
2009 7 350743 233,839 116,904 116,904 1400000
2009 8 227091 221,253 5,838 5,838
2009 9 374324 236,214 138,110 138,110 1200000
2009 10 756979 317,386 439,593 439,593
2009 11 872919 452,798 420,121 420,121 1000000
2009 12 361312 668,074 - 306,762 306,762
2010 1 119259 663,737 - 544,478 544,478 800000

2010 2 420523 451,163 - 30,640 30,640

3 600000
2010 358481 300,365 58,116 58,116
2010 4 307652 299,421 8,231 8,231
400000
2010 5 449059 362,219 86,840 86,840
2010 6 229968 371,731 - 141,763 141,763
200000
2010 7 811716 328,893 482,823 482,823
2010 8 680032 496,914 183,118 183,118 0
2010 9 837172 573,905 263,267 263,267 0
2010 10 1407281 776,307 630,974 630,974
2010 11 1083151 974,828 108,323 108,323
2010 12 790478 1,109,201 - 318,723 318,723
2011 1 438197
2011 2 448492
2011 3 505040
2011 4 464863
2011 5 777023
2011 6 976851
2011 7 488158
2011 8 1373436
2011 9 915526
2011 10 1365077
2011 11 1727461
2011 12 1286568
2012 1 391131
2012 2 882069
2012 3 1055072
2012 4 608262
2012 5 554792
2012 6 498858
2012 7 494601
2012 8 623067
2012 9 922404
2012 10 619081
2012 11 949023
2012 12 964971
 COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION
TOTAL 405509 23414348 0.48
3720 214810

Chart Title
1600000

1400000

1200000

1000000

800000

600000

400000

200000

0
0 2 4 6 8 10

Col umn C Col umn D

COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION
MES 4 2008-2017

8 10 12 14

mn D
 AT FE
AÑO MES FOB_DOL PROMEDIO MOVIL PONDERADO ERROR ABS
2008 1 344191
2008 2 549211
2008 3 305377
2008 4 179172 400,422 - 221,250 221,250
2008 5 200065 315,854 - 115,789 115,789
2008 6 324675 219,080 105,595 105,595
2008 7 337978 244,686 93,292 93,292
2008 8 344167 298,844 45,323 45,323
2008 9 332074 337,128 - 5,054 5,054
2008 10 338004 337,783 221 221
2008 11 417582 337,469 80,113 80,113
2008 12 222190 368,353 - 146,163 146,163
2009 1 197,475 319,531 - 122,056 122,056
2009 2 156,877 261,152 - 104,275 104,275
2009 3 351,851 187,415 164,436 164,436
2009 4 388,502 245,016 143,486 143,486
2009 5 182,207 317,768 - 135,561 135,561
2009 6 130,808 296,821 - 166,013 166,013
2009 7 350,743 213,221 137,522 137,522
2009 8 227,091 231,632 - 4,541 4,541
2009 9 374,324 246,298 128,026 128,026
2009 10 756,979 316,897 440,082 440,082
2009 11 872,919 490,578 382,341 382,341
2009 12 361,312 707,691 - 346,379 346,379
2010 1 119259 639,291 - 520,032 520,032
2010 2 420523 392,393 28,130 28,130
2010 3 358481 300,278 58,203 58,203
2010 4 307652 320,390 - 12,738 12,738
2010 5 449059 353,660 95,399 95,399
2010 6 229968 376,922 - 146,954 146,954
2010 7 811716 326,071 485,645 485,645
2010 8 680032 517,440 162,592 162,592
2010 9 837172 613,605 223,567 223,567
2010 10 1407281 775,809 631,472 631,472
2010 11 1083151 1,025,931 57,220 57,220
2010 12 790478 1,135,102 - 344,624 344,624
PMP n=5 ERROR n=5 ABS n= 5

TOTAL 405509
3720
319,119 100,039 100,039
316,040 71,354 71,354 VALORES PMP
269,045 - 29,799 29,799 T3 ALFA 0.25
281,610 - 55,518 55,518 T2 TETA 0.35
311,594 - 26,189 26,189 T1 BETA 0.4
336,565 - 905 905
364,430 - 3,922 3,922
306,629 - 12,902 12,902 T4 P 0.16
296,173 35,021 35,021 T1 Q 0.22
259,929 72,514 72,514 T2 O 0.2
285,420 40,404 40,404 T5 B 0.09
270,243 - 47,525 47,525 T3 A 0.33
231,573 - 65,249 65,249
239,773 26,552 26,552
305,726 74,094 74,094
234,914 - 11,384 11,384
272,045 - 44,853 44,853
427,003 - 63,575 63,575
537,135 - 170,556 170,556
467,877 - 171,414 171,414
472,885 80,492 80,492
534,927 234,649 234,649
399,153 78,763 78,763
301,940 - 51,720 51,720
359,171 - 17,751 17,751
323,985 - 2,086 2,086
503,416 - 14,024 14,024
491,476 - 122,130 122,130
622,255 - 153,554 153,554
891,127 - 134,804 134,804
931,011 - 204,091 204,091
 PARA PMP COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION
23414348 0.48 MES 4 2008-2017
214810