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MARKOV CHAINS
MICHAEL TWITO
July 21, 2018
1 Introduction
In this note we take a closer look on recurrent states and the regenerative
nature of the chain.
2 Claims
Claim: If a and b are two positive recurrent states then
ExTa+
ExTb+
holds with probability 1. We also have the special case of this for δa , that is
t
1X 1
lim 1{Xn = a} = (2)
t→∞ t
n=1 ExTa+
1
so that PTa+ −1
1 Ex[ k=0 1{Xn = b}|X0 = a]
+
= (4)
ExTa ExTa+
then +
a −1
TX
ExTa+
Ex[ 1{Xn = b}|x0 = a] = (5)
n=0 ExTb+
Claim: Whenver f = (fi )i∈Ω is a bounded vector and where P is the tran-
sition matrix of the chain
hπa , P f i = hπa , f i
holds.
Proof. Start with the definition
X
hπa , P f i = πa (x)(P f )(x).
x∈Ω
We note that X
(P f )(x) = hPx∗ , f i = f (y).
y∈Ω
Pr[Reaching x from the state reached at Xn requires > (k − 1)n steps|X0 = y, ..., Xn 6= x]
By our first statement we know that
Pr[X0 6= x, ..., Xn 6= x] ≤ 1 −
2
The second probability is simply
Hence,
Pr[Tyx > kn] ≤ (1 − )Pr[Tyx > (k − 1)n] ≤ (1 − )k
Holds for every k ≥ 0 Now trough the fact that
X
ExTyx = Pr[Tyx > t]
t≥0
owing the fact that Pr[Tyx > t] decreases with t we may write
X X
ExTyx = Pr[Tyx > t] ≤ nPr[Tyx > kn]
t≥0 k≥0
We have assigned each t ∈ [kn, (k + 1)n] the weight Pr[Tyx ≥ kn] which is
larger.Owing to summetion of geometric series we have that
(1 − )k < ∞
X X
nPr[Tyx > kn] ≤ n
k≥0 k≥0