Professional Documents
Culture Documents
AND AFTER
REFLECTIONS ON THE LEGACY OF THABO MBEKI
EDITED BY
DARYL GLASER
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MBEKI
AND AFTER
Mbeki_FM1_4:Layout 1 9/27/10 9:44 AM Page iii
MBEKI
AND AFTER
REFLECTIONS ON THE LEGACY OF THABO MBEKI
EDITED BY
DARYL GLASER
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ISBN 978-1-86814-502-7
CONTENTS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS vii
ACRONYMS ix
GENERAL REFLECTIONS
MBEKI ABROAD
NOTES 263
CONTRIBUTORS 274
BIBLIOGRAPHY 278
INDEX 299
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
For their roles in inspiring, managing and copy editing this publication
I thank various members of the staff of Wits University Press, including
Julie Miller, Veronica Klipp and Pat Tucker. I thank too those – including
Abigail Booth, Gilbert Khadiagala, Shireen Hassim, Peter Hudson,
Tawana Kupe, Sheila Meintjes, David Shepherd and Ursula Scheidegger
– whose suggestions and organisational input made possible the
conference upon which this book drew. The conference was also made
possible by a grant from the University of Witwatersrand’s Faculty of
Humanities to its School of Social Sciences, gratefully received. I thank,
finally, the conference speakers, chapter contributors and anonymous
reviewers for supplying what lies at the heart of both the conference and
the book: intellectual stimulation and critical engagement.
ACRONYMS
xi
MBEKI
AND AFTER
GENERAL
REFLECTIONS
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DARYL GLASER
This being so, why should there be a book, now, about Thabo Mbeki
and his legacy? For one thing, public interest in Mbeki remains surp-
risingly strong – as evidenced, for example, by advance sales for books
about the former president. The interest is partly (still) in the man, even
as he sulks in retirement. Biographers, columnists and political scientists
have felt compelled to retool as amateur psychologists the better to
understand the former president’s psychic complexity. And Mbeki’s was
a consequential complexity: his sensitivity to racial slight directly influen-
ced government approaches to the AIDS pandemic and the crisis in
Zimbabwe; feelings of insecurity and even paranoia arguably lay behind
the former president’s efforts to run his political rivals out of town;
Mbeki’s contempt for those he considered of lesser ability than himself
doubtless fuelled his search for centralised command and control, his
secrecy, and his stubborn refusal of unsolicited advice (Gumede 2005:
163-4, 179-82; Gevisser 2007: 230-5, 284, 440-43, 740, 793; Johnson
2009: 178-221, 233-38, 340-67).
Just as ‘interestingly’, Mbeki seemed to be more than one man:
charmer of whites and race-baiter, technocrat and nationalist romantic,
free-market convert and developmental-statist, globaliser and Third-
Worldist, champion of the black bourgeoisie and bearer-of-warnings
about society’s descent into crass materialism. What made the man tick?
What else but fascination with this question could explain the turnout of
well over a thousand people to the launch of Mark Gevisser’s biography
of Mbeki, even as the president’s powers were waning?
There is more to his interestingness than that, however. There
remains a widespread sense that Mbeki cannot but have made a real
difference to the way South Africa is run even now – and that this
difference is not reducible to the aforementioned negative reactions to
his style and policies. The Mbeki period arguably encompassed South
Africa’s entire post-1994 democratic experience up to 2008. As
deputy-president Mbeki exerted considerable influence throughout
1989. In the later 1980s and early 1990s Mbeki figured prominently
in the negotiations that led to the democratic constitutional settlement
of 1994. In 1993 he was elected chairman of the ANC and in 1994
first deputy president of the Republic of South Africa. The ANC’s
Mafikeng Congress of December 1997 saw Mbeki elected as ANC
president. In June 1999, following the ANC’s second election victory,
he assumed office as president of South Africa. He held the ANC
presidency until his ouster at the party’s conference held in Polokwane,
in Limpopo Povince in December 20071 and the presidency of the
Republic until his resignation in September 2008.
Since he was long considered an ANC heir apparent by virtue of
being the son of Govan Mbeki and close associate of Oliver Tambo,
both ‘ANC royalty’, Mbeki’s ascendancy seemed inevitable to many.
Even so, he was not universally popular in the movement. He incurred
suspicion in its armed wing (Gevisser 2007: 293-7), fell out with
Communist stalwarts Joe Slovo and Chris Hani and found himself, in
the 1990s, challenged for pre-eminence by, among others, former trade
unionist Cyril Ramaphosa. Adroit in sidelining a string of potential rivals
he finally fell prey, politically, to the coalition that gathered around one-
time Mbeki man and former ANC intelligence chief Jacob Zuma.
Mbeki’s ascendancy was in keeping with the prominent role in the
ANC of activists from the Eastern Cape, the area in which Bantu-speakers
first collided with white settlers in the 18th century – though the Mbekis
themselves were descended (on the paternal side) from the Mfengu, 19th-
century refugees from Natal dispersed by intra-African wars. The ‘Fingo’
stood out as Christianised and modernising outsiders amongst the Xhosa
and, indeed, were initially perceived as collaborators with the British; but
this group duly experienced the bitter taste of white power, in the Mbeki
family’s case in the form of downward social mobility from an earlier
near-gentry status. Mbeki was (quietly) accused of packing his Cabinet
and director-general posts with Xhosas (Johnson 2009: 557).
Ideology/world-view
For some of his critics and admirers alike, Mbeki was the quintessential
post-ideological figure: a man who wanted, above all, to get things
done, even if that meant deserting his movement’s socialist dogmas or
his predecessor’s feel-good rainbowism. This characterisation does not
seem quite right. Mbeki did jettison socialist goals (perhaps as early as
1979)2 and, indeed, for some on the left he was an ideologue of a
different kind: a ‘neo-liberal’ one, committed with a convert’s zeal to
a limited state, free trade and monetary orthodoxy (‘Call me a
Thatcherite!’, he invited an audience in 1996). This does not seem quite
right either. It is difficult to square with Mbeki’s bemoaning of selfish
materialism, his questioning of globalisation after the Asian financial
crash (Gevisser 2007: 740-1, 779-80) and his post-1998 affirmation
of the ‘developmental state’.
Mbeki was (is) a pragmatic ideologue. His pre-1994 role as an ANC
diplomat and publicist demanded that he maintain connections with
parties as diverse as Black Consciousness, Swedish social democrats,
American liberals and, later, the white South African establishment.
Attuned to the balance of forces, Mbeki could read the meaning of
white military power and Soviet decline. He eschewed the romantic
maximalism of guerilla comrades like Chris Hani. But his pragmatism
10
11
12
13
Governing style
Mbeki was the elected leader of a democratic state, one that has (at least
until the advent of recently proposed media restrictions) been amongst
the more plausible African exemplars of Huntington’s ‘third wave of
Democratisation’ (Huntington 1991). But to his many critics Deputy
President, later President Mbeki appeared to be an authoritarian figure
trapped (comfortably housed, some leftists might contend) in a liberal-
democratic (or ‘bourgeois’) institutional shell. He personified in these
critics’ eyes a politics of centralisation, paranoia, aversion to criticism
and indifference to the pain of his fellow citizens. Mbeki, from 1994, led
a centralising trend evident in, among other moves, the high-handed
imposition of the Growth, Employment and Redistribution (GEAR)
economic strategy in 1996, the top-down deployment of cadres to ANC-
controlled provinces and municipalities from 1997 and the creation of a
super presidency from 1999. His authoritarianism found expression in
broadsides against real or imagined critics, delivered at Tripartite Alliance
organisation conferences or in his online column, and directed sometimes
at individual citizens; and also in plotting, some of it involving the state
security apparatus, to sideline perceived rivals. Mbeki talked and, more
occasionally, acted in ways that seemed threatening to many in the media,
judiciary, opposition parties and organised civil society.
Part of the explanation for Mbeki’s undemocratic ways surely lies in
his ideological lineage. Marxism-Leninism and radical nationalism pulled
him, and the ANC, towards authoritarianism. The model proffered by
earlier Marxist-led anti-colonial movements legitimated a conception of
the ANC as the embodiment of a revolutionary mission and people. Both
ideologies encouraged a distrust of political pluralism, formal democracy
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16
17
18
How one rates Mbeki overall is, in this as in many matters, inseparable
from one’s values and affiliations. Mbeki won praise in two kinds of
circles. In the 1980s, 1990s and into the 2000s, he elicited widespread
admiration amongst representatives of business and white society for the
kind of persona he projected to them, sincerely or otherwise: the persona
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20
longer has its driver at the top. Many key black-nationalist figures saw
their careers eclipsed with that of Mbeki.
Mbeki’s most persistent ideological critics came from the Left, both
inside the ruling Tripartite Alliance – within which the SACP and the
Congress of South African Trade Unions (Cosatu) came to feel
increasingly marginalised – and from the civil-society and far left beyond.
All these critics held Mbeki responsible for what they perceived, with
some justification, to be a decisive shift to the right on economic policy
in 1996. The Left coupled the critique of Mbeki-ite neo-liberalism with
the charge that Mbeki imposed this policy change by fiat. Opposition to
neo-liberalism spawned a whole array of leftist social movement
organisations from the end of the 1990s, one that dovetailed with the
international anti-capitalist or ‘anti-globalisation’ movement. The most
successful of the left-activist social movement organisations, the Treat-
ment Action Campaign, had, of course, its own preoccupation: Mbeki’s
denial of life-saving treatment to millions of HIV/AIDS sufferers.
There also crystallised a strand of robust liberal criticism of Mbeki
and his government. The white-led Democratic Alliance (DA) formed
one centre for this critique; media commentators, many of them black,
the other. These institutions and actors formed a kind of liberal ‘public
opinion’ that was determined to subject the government to a level of
scrutiny – and, in the case of the DA, to a Westminster-style adversarial
opposition – that many in the ANC and government appeared to
consider culturally disrespectful and racially insensitive.
Representing a spectrum that stretched from rightwing liberal
organisations like the Helen Suzman Foundation through to liberal-
left NGOs like the Institute for Democracy in Africa (Idasa), the
bearers of liberal public opinion lambasted the Mbeki government for,
among other sins, its ‘reracialisation’ of South Africa, cronyism and
incipient authoritarianism. Though Mbeki more or less observed
liberal-democratic constitutional ground rules, he came, for many of
21
The legacy of leaders lies not only in the quality of their innovation but
also in the quality of their custodianship. Mbeki was custodian of at
least two widely valued legacies: that of the Freedom Charter of 1955,
with its ringing commitment to non-racial and multiracial unity, popular
democracy and mass upliftment; and the 1996 Constitution, announcing
22
23
24
acknowledge the incivility of the latter, the nature and extent of which
has never been fully explained and which, too, violates human rights.
Nation-building arguably suffered more immediate injury under
Mbeki than did democracy. Much, of course, turns on how nation-buil-
ding is understood (leave aside whether it is a good idea in a globalised
world and a xenophobic country). Is it about forging a colour-blind polity
and society? A multicultural one, celebrating unity in diversity? Or is it
about cementing national unity around a majoritarian culture?
Mbeki probably understood himself to be forging a single nation
anchored in an African identity. The signifier ‘African’ is, itself, ambi-
valent. In his famous ‘I am an African’ speech, celebrated in this collection
by Calland and Oxtoby, Mbeki embraced a racially syncretic version of
its meaning; but even in that rendition the term African was counterposed
to European and Western. Other Africanists, like Malegapuru Makgoba
and Malema (and Peter Mokaba in the 1990s), vested African with a
more explicitly racial meaning, taking it to refer either to a racially
defined people or to their ways. At least in this racialised variant nation-
building depends less on whites accepting a non-racial civic-national
identity, or celebrating their European heritage as part of a multicultural
mix, than on their coming to terms with the fact that this is a black-
African continent – and that black Africans are now in charge. Whites,
in this version, can conceivably become African themselves, but only
by embracing black-African culture.
Coloureds and Indians find themselves in a still more complicated
place in the nation-building project. They are black according to a
convention in anti-apartheid politics going back to the 1970s and
according to employment equity and BEE legislation, but for many
nativists it is Africanness that counts and African means specifically
Bantu-speaking African. In the racial-Africanist scheme these mino-
rities, just like whites, are called upon to embrace the political and
cultural ascendancy of Africans defined in this narrower way.
25
26
27
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goods, the middle class’s debt-fuelled appetite for imported luxuries and
an internationally uncompetitive manufacturing sector. The economy
relies on primary product exports to earn foreign exchange and on
foreign investment to offset low domestic savings – dependencies that
leave it vulnerable to declining commodity prices, flights of ‘hot’ money
and currency fluctuation. Despite a long-accumulating surplus of
unskilled labour, there is a bias towards capital intensity in production
that is a legacy of apartheid-induced urban labour shortages, the
dominance of large companies and, from the 1980s, relatively high
formal sector wages. The apartheid era also bequeathed a legacy of
political and industrial unrest as well as a painfully narrow skills base.
In its neo-liberal phase (1996-c2000) the ANC government gambled
on being able to lift South Africa onto a decisively higher growth path
by limiting government spending, privatising or outsourcing state
services, withdrawing agricultural subsidies, stabilising the currency
through high interest rates and freeing up the movement of goods and
capital across South African borders. The hope was that the inevitable
export of capital and the competitive shock to textile, auto and farm
workers would be more than offset by burgeoning industrial exports
and inward investment.
The gamble largely failed. Many workers lost their jobs in manu-
facturing, mining and farming. Successful deficit containment yielded a
downside in new constraints on energy supply and deteriorating
infrastructure. Secondary-industrial export opportunities were con-
stricted by South Africa’s disadvantageous geographical location,
persistent local skill shortages (notwithstanding heavy investment in
public education), relatively high manufacturing wages and an often too
strong currency. With alternative ‘emerging market’ attractions in
Eastern Europe and China, and deterred by strong unions, political
uncertainty and crime in South Africa, foreign direct investment failed
to pour in as predicted. Instead, South Africa experienced premature
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30
How much of this record is Mbeki’s, how much the ANC’s? We are
back, here, to matters of ‘structure’ and ‘agency’. There can be little
doubt that Mbeki imbibed much of what other ANC cadres did, most
31
32
it during the peak of Mbeki’s authority between the late 1990s and the
early 2000s (Gumede 2005: 167-8, Johnson 2009: 202-3).7
Mandela, despite his loyalty to dictators who previously supported
and now probably funded the ANC, liked to bask in the approval of the
world’s human rights ‘community’ (if we can call it that). Mbeki much
preferred African and global-south validation, as he first showed in
shaping South Africa’s (pusillanimous) response to Nigerian strongman
Sani Abacha (Gumede 2005: 178-9; Gevisser 2007: 703-706; Johnson
2009: 222-8). Again, there was nothing inevitable about the ANC
choosing this course rather than building on its potential role as a
continental and global moral leader that Mandela, with Archbishop
Desmond Tutu at his elbow, demonstrated in the euphoric infancy of
the ‘rainbow nation’. The ANC had always played to different audiences
and, with the Cold War over, it could have played quite comfortably to
the cross-ideological (but primarily left-liberal) global audience for a
politics of democracy, human rights and social justice. Guided by Mbeki
it chose not to and, indeed, chose a new kind of pariah-hood.
Still, Gevisser, in his chapter, is surely right to cast a sceptical eye upon
Mbeki’s current universal bogeyman role. Contrary to a widespread
myth there was no democratic, debate-loving ANC that Mbeki wrecked.
The ANC in exile was a hierarchical, secretive organisation, largely
controlled by a Communist Party elite. Dissidents and suspected spies
in its ranks faced torture or assassination. The much-romanticised UDF
harboured intolerant sectarians and revolutionary enforcers who were
implicated in sometimes brutal popular violence (see, e.g., Bozzoli 2004;
Jeffery 2009). Mbeki’s governance included nothing comparably violent.
Nor is there evidence that his departure has heralded a renewed
commitment to democratic ways, despite celebration by some of a
supposed Polokwane opening. While Mbeki may have brought with him
a particular brand of imperial presidentialism he was, on the democracy
issue, no wild outlier in ANC history.
33
Fairness demands that both Mbeki and the ANC be given some credit
for South Africa’s broadly democratic trajectory since 1994. The man
and the party both proved ideologically adaptive enough to sign up to
constitutional liberal democracy. The ANC’s electoral dominance has
enabled it to serve as a source of stability, just as does its cross-ethnic
appeal. We cannot be sure that the ANC’s break-up into politically
warring factions will be good for democratic peace. It could stir ethnic
and ideological passions that find expression in violence. Its electoral
successors, should there one day be some, may see their own time in
office simply as their turn to ‘eat’, in the established sub-Saharan pattern.
Still, we should not mistake the ANC for an instinctively democratic
force, or fail to note the paradoxical nature of the argument that one
party ought to remain forever in office in order to preserve democracy.
Prudential arguments for the ANC’s ascendancy are plausible only
because the democratic institutions of South Africa are unproven. Nor
should we avert our eyes from the costs of the ANC’s 15 years of rule.
Those were arguably made greater than they need have been by the
way Mbeki personally steered the ruling party.
How, in 2010, does Thabo Mbeki figure in the South African collective
mind? The corporeal person is largely invisible, despite the odd
appearance in, for example, negotiations over the future of Sudan.
There is evidence in his interview with the journal Thinker (founded
by former Mbeki sidekick Essop Pahad) that he is still quietly awaiting
his vindication, notably on HIV/AIDS.
ANC members aggrieved at Mbeki’s treatment during and after the
Polokwane Conference broke away to form the Congress of the People
(Cope), which won a respectable 7% of the vote in the 2009 general
elections but is now self-destructing. The extent of the former president’s
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Gevisser puts it) the ‘lightning rod’ of the bad past, freeing the ANC
to start afresh.
Third, and again related, Mbeki appears now, as it were, in the
negative: in style at least, the new government is setting out to be
everything that Mbeki was not, including being honest about South
Africa’s problems, accounting for itself to the ANC leadership and
seeking to unite South Africans across racial and ideological lines. This
is Mbeki as the inverse of the present.
Finally, and in partial contradiction of the above, there is continuity
with the Mbeki era: continuity not only on the ground, as measurable
in the absence of radical policy breaks, but continuity as a theme in
public discourse. Racial minorities and businesspeople needed to be
reassured that nothing fundamental was going to change in economic
policy with the arrival of the populist, left-backed Zuma. In the
discourse of reassurance offered them, Mbeki-era economic prag-
matism is still with us, signalled by the retention of Trevor Manuel in
the economic policy team and by the continuation of the Reserve
Bank’s inflation-targeting mandate. Mbeki is, thus, many things at
once, and perhaps different things to different audiences. No longer
an active agent, he now serves whatever role the new leadership
chooses for him to play.
AFTER MBEKI
The outlines of the post-Mbeki era are still forming. Prior to the 2009
elections many middle-class South Africans assumed that Zuma’s
ascendancy would trigger a descent into populism, a rollback of
democratic rights, and runaway corruption. From his inauguration
onwards Zuma surprised many with an almost statesmanlike
inclusiveness, which, however, segued into a seeming reluctance to
demonstrate clear leadership in a country confronting desperate
36
challenges. More recently the coalition that bore Zuma to office has
begun to tear itself apart in public, leaving in shreds the ANC’s
legendary discipline. So, what is to be the hallmark of the Zuma era?
Collective leadership under a benign figurehead? Mob rule? Essential
continuity with Mbeki, for good and ill? A leftward thrust? All this
remains to be seen.
Zuma-ism represented a phenomenon that Mbeki despised:
populism. The movement propelling the ‘Zunami’ fostered a cult of
leadership, lacked ideological coherence and appeared sometimes to
disregard constitutional order. It mobilisied an inchoate coalition of
the disenchanted, including the left, rural traditionalists and the urban
poor, against the country’s urban-based political, intellectual and
cultural elites. Its demagogic and expressive political style contrasted
with Mbeki’s urbane intellectualism and predilection for order and
control. Populist revolts against the ANC leadership have dotted ANC
history: most were led by Africanists, some by the left, some articulated
an ideologically indeterminate or issue-driven discontent. Mostly these
revolts were held off, including by previous ANC presidents Albert
Luthuli, Tambo, Mandela and Mbeki. In Zuma one such revolt, a
particularly ideologically capacious one, seemed to win out.
Having borne Zuma to power, is this populism now spent? There are
competing possibilities. Since the election the ANC leadership has
emphasised economic policy continuity, even while threatening crack-
downs on corruption, cronyism and incompetence. But economic policy
remains unresolved, delegated by Zuma to an ‘economic cluster’ whose
ideologically diverse members jostle for pre-eminence. Some in Zuma’s
coalition seek a break with capitalism; the majority in the executive
branch favours a socially responsive, developmental version of it.
Muddling through economically, as the country has done since the mid-
1970s, seems much more likely for now than either scenario. Meanwhile,
a dynamic of radicalisation has been introduced by the ANCYL, which
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the South African National Civic Organisation and the SACP are
detectable in public sector strikes and local ‘service delivery protests’.
In these senses, the rebellious spirit of Polokwane – which some saw
as a heroic pushback against the ‘iron law of oligarchy’ that supposedly
governs large-scale organisations – has not subsided, even if it paused
for the 2010 soccer World Cup hosted by South Africa.
Yet those of a democratic or constitutionalist bent will find little that
is reassuring in the demagogic rhetoric and personal attacks exchanged
recently by competing factions of the Tripartite Alliance. These do not
constitute ‘democratic debate’. (It is thus difficult to know whether the
ANC’s official disciplining of Malema, an authoritarian demagogue given
to turning the police on his rivals, was good or bad news for democracy;
the danger lies in the precedent it sets for the disciplining of others who
speak out.) Meanwhile, Zuma has rewarded shady-seeming loyalists with
senior positions in the security apparatus and moved swiftly to place
supporters in the Judicial Service Commission and Constitutional Court.
The police, now remilitarising their system of ranks, are on order still
to ‘shoot to kill’ criminal suspects. Media freedom is under seriously
alarming assault, with plans afoot for protection-of-information legis-
lation and a statutory tribunal to curb newspaper reporting on
corruption and perhaps to limit oppositional journalism generally.
Meanwhile, liberal-left fears of regressive policies on gender and sexuality
have been revived by news of fresh Zuma sexual conquests outside an
already expanding polygamous marriage and by the appointment of a
confirmed homophobe as ambassador to Uganda, perhaps the world’s
most homophobic land.
Zuma is more friendly than Mbeki to racial minorities. He seems
to picture South Africans as a racially mixed family united under the
ANC, with himself as benign patriarch. He has made elaborate
gestures of reconciliation towards, in particular, white Afrikaners –
see, notably, his inclusion of the Vryheidsfront Plus in the Cabinet and
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40
Finally, the brief history of the Zuma era so far reminds us that the
ANC is larger than Mbeki. His departure has done nothing to arrest
the party’s authoritarian drives or ideological divisions. Far from having
the last word on the shape of post-1994 South Africa Mbeki manifestly
left unresolved fundamental questions about the type of society South
Africans wish ultimately to constitute. Will it be free-market, social-
democratic or Leninist-socialist? Non-racial, multicultural or racially
majoritarian? Western-oriented or authentically African? Democratic
or Putinesque? The battle to resolve these issues has been a signature
spectacle of the Zuma era thus far – with the president himself largely
(it seems) an onlooker.