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2.1 Abstract
Given the increasing cases of corporate distress and bankruptcy, there is a high
need for empirical research efforts with a sound theoretical basis in the context
of turnaround management. While the causes of crises have been investigated to
a certain degree already, there is an enormous lack of empirically tested turn-
around models that could serve as a guide for management in turnaround
situations. Concomitant with this, the factors behind turnaround success have
insufficiently been identified. To encourage such studies, I provide a guide to the
current state of the art concerning the research field of turnaround management.
Based on this review, I identify research gaps and recommendations for further
research. I conclude by categorizing open research questions and issues to be
considered in future research efforts.
2.2 Introduction
In the scholarly literature, there have been few efforts to provide empirically
tested turnaround models that could help rescue distressed companies. According
to Wild (2010), for example, the research community has not made noteworthy
progress in the identification of success factors for turnarounds in recent
decades. This lack of well-founded research is particularly surprising in light of
the increasing number of bankruptcies in western economies such as Germany
and the US. In 2010, bankruptcies have set new records (Creditreform, 2010;
American Bankruptcy Institute, 2010; United States Courts, 2010), and in 2011,
bankruptcy rates have been stagnating (Euler Hermes, 2011).
The latest and most important wave of empirical examinations of turnarounds
took place in the late 1980s and 1990s. This was a reaction to the far-reaching
changes in the US corporate world during the 1980s, which resulted in many
comprehensive strategic, organizational and financial restructurings (Jensen,
1991; Hoskisson & Johnson, 1992; Bethel & Porter Liebeskind, 1993; Hoskis-
son, Johnson & Moesel, 1994; Johnson, 1996). For example, in the summer 1993
special issue of the Strategic Management Journal, Schendel (1993) refers to the
high number and diversity of restructurings in the 1980s and the resulting need
for research. John, Lang and Netter (1992) even describe this restructuring wave
as an unprecedented opportunity for scholars to investigate different aspects of
corporate and managerial behavior. Hence, it is conjecturable that the current,
not yet survived economic crisis will be followed soon by a refocusing of the
research community on topics related to turnarounds.
In practice, turnaround management aims to prevent a company from filing
bankruptcy or, once involved in the bankruptcy reorganization process, prevent-
ing its liquidation. Thus, this study defines turnaround management as a reaction
to a company’s crisis situation, meaning that the focus lies on coping with a
company crisis, not preventing or predicting it (cf. Altman, 1968; Altman, Hal-
deman & Narayanan, 1977; Altman, 1984; Baetge, Dossmann & Kruse, 2000;
Baetge & Jerschensky, 1999).
Given the lack of well-founded theoretical and empirical research on turn-
arounds (Pearce & Robbins, 1993) and the practical relevance, this topic de-
serves more attention – not only in light of the recently abating economic crisis.
Rather, unlike back in the 1980s, turnarounds and restructurings are part of daily
management today even during upturn phases. Hence, this study aims to provide
a systematic and comprehensive literature review and research agenda to en-
courage other scholars to investigate topics related to turnaround management.
This literature review focuses on the most important articles published in scho-
larly journals ranked as A and A+ (based on the German VHB-JOURQUAL
Ranking in 2003, cf. Hennig-Thurau et al., 2003).
This study is organized as follows. In Chapter 2.3, I define the term “crisis”
including its characteristics and causes. Understanding the causes of crisis is cru-
cial, as the specific cause determines the choice of an adequate turnaround
strategy (Schendel, Patton & Riggs, 1976; Schendel & Patton, 1976; Ashta,
Diaz-Bretones & Tolle, 2005). Depending on the specific cause of the crisis, dif-
ferent actions might be needed to achieve the turnaround. In Chapter 2.4, I
present different existing models of turnaround management. Chapter 2.5 derives
success factors based on existing theoretical and empirical research. Drawing
upon the literature analyzed and calls by researchers, I conclude with a set of
future research directions and questions in Chapter 2.6.
2.3 Crisis and its causes 11
below 10 percent. John, Lang and Netter (1992) classify companies as turn-
around companies if they show negative profits for more than one fiscal year. By
contrast, Goodman (1982) defines a turnaround situation for a company as given
when the observed company repeatedly shows below industry-average profits.
Bibeault (1982) rates companies as turnaround companies if they face perform-
ance decline in three consecutive years without cease, after which the intensity of
the decline might differ. According to one of the most established attempts of
operationalization by Pearce and Robbins (1993), a turnaround situation means
that a company has faced several consecutive years of performance decline,
preceded by a period of success (cf. also Bibeault, 1982; Hambrick & Schecter,
1983; Schendel, Patton & Riggs, 1976; Zammuto & Cameron, 1985).
While there is disagreement in the research community about when a turn-
around situation is prevalent, similarly there is disagreement when it comes to
the definition of the requirements of classifying a turnaround as successful.
According to Schendel and Patton (1976), a turnaround situation is prevalent
when a company’s operating growth rate is below the GDP growth rate for a
minimum of four consecutive years. Turnaround success, by contrast, is achieved
when the operating growth rate is above the GDP growth rate for a minimum of
four consecutive years. Hambrick and Schecter (1983) define a company as
being in need of a turnaround if the ROI is below 10 percent (two-year average
before taxes), while requiring a ROI above 20 percent (two-year average before
taxes) for a turnaround success.
Lohrke, Bedeian and Palmer (2004) suggest solutions for the problems of
defining a turnaround situation and turnaround success for future research in
their literature review. First, they point out problems that might occur when ob-
serving a company’s development (e.g. modifying the beginning of the turn-
around situation by “creative accounting”). As a solution, they mention com-
paring profitability with objective benchmarks such as risk-free interest rate. In
addition, they point out the importance of adding qualitative information by
asking relevant external stakeholders such as consultants their opinions on the
financial performance and overall situation of the company. As a third point,
they mention the extension of the stakeholders asked in order to gain qualitative
information. According to the authors, when it comes to collecting information,
researchers should focus on more than only shareholder-oriented KPIs. For
example, relationships to other stakeholders such as banks, suppliers and co-
2.3 Crisis and its causes 13
+ Bankruptcy –
– +
Low Medium High
Severity
The causes of crisis can be divided into external and internal causes. Although
managers often claim that their company faces crises mainly owing to market
changes, competitive pressure or other external factors, many research studies
suggest that the causes of crises are often internal (of course, this finding is not
necessarily true during extraordinary economic conditions such as during the
worldwide economic crisis in 2009). The most frequently found internal cause of
crisis is management mistakes. Altman and Hotchkiss (2006) confirm this in
their investigation of US companies. Management mistakes may result from the
incompetence or failure of management when it comes to perceiving and inter-
preting early warning signals. Even if the final cause of bankruptcy is a shortage
of liquidity, the initial cause of the problem is management mistakes. For
example, Lovallo and Kahneman (2003) state that excessive optimism and the
overestimation of own talents, skills and control over certain procedures and
events are the typical characteristics of managers that lead to management
mistakes (and finally to a crisis in the worst case). Furthermore, a too strong em-
phasis on growth might foster crisis proneness (Finkin, 1985; Goodman, 1982;
Slatter, 1984; Sloma, 1985), as a strong growth orientation might lead to blind-
2.3 Crisis and its causes 15
Causes related to
Causes related to
the personality of
the value creation
the entrepreneur or
process
dominant manager
Latent crisis
Manifested crisis
Bankruptcy
Causes related to
Causes related to
the institution or
financial issues
governance