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Course No. MGT521 Course Title: SECURITY ANALYSIS AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT L: 4 T: 1 P: 0 Cr: 5
TextBook
1. Chandra,Prasanna, Security Analysis and Portfolio Management,Tata Mc Graw Hills, New Delhi, 2008.
Other Readings
Sr. No. Jouranls atricles as compulsary readings (specific articles, Complete reference)
9 "Its all a matter of perspective Market performance in BRIC countries depends on one vintage point"http://www.russell.com/indexes/about/articles.
10 CAPM vs. APT with macro economic variables: evidence from the Indian stock markethttp://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_6771/is_1_4/ai_n28532457/pg_5/?tag=content;col1
12 Efficient Market Theory: In relation with Bonus isssues Announcement in Indian Market, paradgm, Vol XII, No.2, July-Dec 2008, Pp 62-71
13 Semi Strong Form Efficiency: Market Reaction to Dividend and earnings Announcements in Malaysian Stock Exchange", Vol.16, No.2, July 2010, Pp 36-55
14 "Prediction of Stock Returns for Growth firms- A Fundamental Analysis" Vision, Vol 13, No. 3, July- Sept 2009, Pp 31-39
Relevant Websites
Sr. No. Web adress (only if relevant to the courses) Salient Features
18 www.yahoofinance.com Provide all current and past data related to stock prices
21 Capital line database providing historical and current data information about the stock prices
Part 1
Week 1 Lecture 1 Introduction to security analysis. Investment vs. speculation, Investment vs. Book :1,1/ Ch1 1/ Ref. 6/ Indian stock market-
Savings, Portfolio management process, Ch2 A Strong Emerging market in
Asia
Lecture 2 Investment Alternatives and their evaluation Approaches to investment Book :1,1/ Ch1 Case- Meet 3 Murthy 5/
decision making Pp-18-19
Lecture 3 Securities Market-Primary and Secondary Market, Trading Mechanism Book :1,1/ Ch3
Lecture 4 Fundamental Analysis: Economic Analysis including Macro economic analysis Book :1,1/Ch14 HomeWork 1 Allocation Ref. 14/ Prediction of Stock
Returns for Growth firms-
A Fundamental Analysis
Week 2 Lecture 5 Industry analysis: Types of Industry, Industry life cycle Book :1,1/Ch14
Week 3 Lecture 9 Dividend discount model: Multi period valuation model, Book :1,1/Ch13
Lecture 10 constant growth model, Two stage growth model, ->Reference :4,4/Ch11 HomeWork 1 Practical Problems
->Reference :1,1/ Ch 13 Submission
Lecture 11 Three phase model, Free Cash Flow Model. Book :1,1/Ch13 HomeWork 2 Allocation
->Reference :4,4/ Ch 11
Lecture 12 Earning Multiplier approach: Price ratio Book :1,1/Ch13
Week 4 Lecture 13 Expected Return & Growth ->Reference :1,1/ Ch 13 Term Paper 1 Allocation
Part 2
Week 4 Lecture 15 Bond yield, Risk in Bonds, Ratting of Bonds ->Reference :1,1/ Ch 11 Practical Problems
Lecture 18 Technical Analysis: Introduction, assumptions, technical trading rules ->Reference :4,4/ ch 13 Ref. 7/ Navigating with
Technical and Fundamental
Analysis
Lecture 19 Dow theory: introduction, trend: Primary and secondary trend ->Reference :4,4/ Ch 13
Lecture 20 support and resistance level, indicators: volume of trade, short sales, odd lot ->Reference :4,4/ Ch 13 HomeWork 2
trading Submission
Week 6 Lecture 21 Moving Average: index and stock prices moving average, comparison of two ->Reference :4,4/ Ch 13
moving averages
Lecture 23 Charts: Tops and bottoms; Head and shoulders, triangles; flags, candle and ->Reference :1,1/ Ch 9
sticks
Lecture 24 Efficient market thery: Random walk theory and efficient market hypothesis, ->Reference :1,1/ Ch 9 Quiz 1 Ref. 12/ Efficient Market
weak form of Efficient Market Hypothesis Theory: In relation with
Bonus isssues
Announcement in Indian
Market
Week 7 Lecture 25 Empirical evidence on weak form efficient market hypothesis, Test of weak ->Reference :1,1/ Ch 9
form efficient market
Lecture 26 Serial Correlation tests, Run test, Filter rules tests ->Reference :1,1/ Ch 9 Practical Problems
Lecture 27 Semi strong Form: Empirical evidence on semi strong form portfolio study, ->Reference :1,1/ Ch 9 Ref. 13/ Semi Strong Form
Strong form efficient market Efficiency: Market Reaction
to Dividend and earnings
Announcements in
Malaysian Stock Exchange
Lecture 28 Event study & Market inefficiencies and implications ->Reference :1,1/ Ch9
MID-TERM
Part 3
Week 8 Lecture 29 Portfolio-Risk Return Analysis: Examples and Problems ->Reference :1,1/ Ch7
->Reference :4,4/ Ch17
Lecture 30 Markowitz Model: Parameters ,criteria ->Reference :1,1/ Ch7
->Reference :4,4/ Ch17
Lecture 31 Risk Return Optimization, Efficient Frontier ->Reference :1,1/ Ch7 HomeWork 4 Allocation
->Reference :4,4/ Ch17
Lecture 32 Sharpe Index Model, Corner Portfolio ->Reference :4,4/ Ch18
Week 9 Lecture 33 Sharpe Index Model: Optimal Portfolio ->Reference :4,4/ Ch18
Lecture 34 Two factor and multi factor models ->Reference :4,4/ Ch18
Lecture 35 Optimum Portfolio, Optimum Portfolio with Short Sales ->Reference :4,4/ Ch18 Case- Quan Tech Partners 2/
Pp 629
Week 12 Lecture 45 Treynors index & Jensens index ->Reference :4,4/ Ch20 Practical Problems
->Reference :5,5/ Ch22 Pp
478-489
Lecture 46 Forecasting Portfolio Performance ->Reference :5,5/Ch22 PP 489
Lecture 47 Portfolio Revision- Passive & Active Management ->Reference :4,4/Ch21 Quiz 2 Case- I thought Low PE was
->Reference :5,5/Ch21 beeter, 5/ Pp466-467
Spill Over
Week 14 Lecture 53 Investment strategies of Warren Buffet Ref.11
Lecture 54 Basic Terminology of Derivative and Commodity Market ->Reference :1,1/ Ch 17 -18
Homework 1 Fundamental analysis: Students will choose one company and perform Economic, company and industry Individual
analysis and determine the intrinsic value of the company's stock
Homework 2 Valuation of stocks of specific companies using different valuation models- Group of Four students each will Group
be assigned one specific company and they will apply the valuation techniques as and when these are
discussed in the class
Homework 3 Dummy Portfolio Management- Students will be divided into group of 5-10 each & they have to manage a Group
dummy portfolio as per the guidelines issued by COS-F. This assignment will be taken back at the end of
11th week. The groups will present their portfolio strategies in a contest which will be held in 12th week
Homework 4 Event Study- group of Four students each will conduct an event study taking the stock market data and Group
assessing the impact of specific announcements on the profitability of stocks. Evaluation will be based upon
written Report and Viva
*Normally all the homeworks shall be submitted online but in special courses where homeworks cannot be submited online , the insructor can edit the mode of submission while entering the IP Details
Homework 3 4 15 45
Quiz 2 15 30
Term Paper 1 25 25
Total :- 100
* In ENG courses wherever the total exceeds 100, consider x best out of y components of CA, as explained in teacher's guide available on the UMS
List of suggested topics for term paper[at least 15] (Student to spend about 15 hrs on any one specified term paper)
Sr. No. Topic
1 Capital Asset Pricing Model- analysis of means of describing relationship between risk and return in an efficient market,
assumption and functions
2 Market anomalies- Evidence from the Indian market
3 Empirical investigation into stock price volatility
4 Performance evaluation of mutual funds
5 Market Fluctuation and Trend Analysis(including) stock price changes along with Sector index as well as bench mark Index
and analysis of the trends by using recent statistical measures.
6 Efficient Frontier: Analysis of Graphs of efficient frontier of Indian stock and Bonds and Comparison of these graphs
with the graphs from around the world
7 Short selling- concept, Practice of selling borrowed securities in anticipation that market price will fall over in near term,
Controls and relationship to market behaviour
8 On line trading mechanism of Indian stock market
9 Beta analysis and Random Walk: Use of risk factor calculation and pattern determination in investment and portfolio
analysis
10 Causal relationship between FII trading and stock price movements
11 Application and Evaluation of Indian Stock Market: Use of Markowitz Model
12 NISM-Series-V-A: Mutual Fund Distributors Certification Examination
13 Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management Module
14 Equity Research Module
Tutorial 2 Securities Market: Case Getting even with inflation 5/ Pp75-76 Case analysis
Tutorial 6 Moving Average and First review of Term paper Problem solving
Tutorial 7 Discussion on the Article: Efficient Market Theory: In relation with Ref. 12
Bonus isssues Announcement in Indian Market
After Mid-Term
Tutorial 8 Event study- Practical example through Excel
Tutorial 11 CAPM: Beta Estimations in the Indian Stock Market: Stability, Ref. 15
Sationarity and Computational Considerations
Tutorial 13 Revision