ChicagoSun-Times Mayoral Poll Results

Polling Date(s): Jan. 21-23, 2019               Responses: 644    Margin

          of Error:  ±3.88%

Which of the current candidates running for Chicago Mayor are you most likely
to vote for on Election Day?

%
Dorothy Brown 4.7%
Gery Chico 9.3%
William Daley 12.1%
Amara Enyia 3.1%
Robert Fioretti .9%
La Shawn Ford 1.2%
Jerry Joyce .9%
John Kozlar .6%
Lori Lightfoot 2.8%
Garry McCarthy 3.7%
Susana Mendoza 8.7%
Toni Preckwinkle 12.7%
Paul Vallas 4.3%
Willie Wilson 9.0%
Undecided 25.8%
NET 100.0%
NOTE: Neal Sales-Griffin was included in this poll but received no support.

If the race for Chicago Mayor were between Toni Preckwinkle and Susana
Mendoza, for whom would you vote?
%
Toni Preckwinkle 35.1%
Susana Mendoza 43.5%
Undecided 21.4%
NET 100.0%
 If the race for Chicago Mayor were between Toni Preckwinkle and William Daley,
for whom would you vote?

%
Toni Preckwinkle 38.2%
William Daley 40.1%
Undecided 21.7%
NET 100.0%

If the race for Chicago Mayor were between Susana Mendoza and Garry
McCarthy, for whom would you vote?

%
Susana Mendoza 54.0%
Garry McCarthy 24.2%
Undecided 21.7%
NET 100.0%

Which of the following list of issues do you think is MOST important to you as a
Chicago resident?

%
Chicago's Crime 29.2%
Chicago's Financial Crisis 22.0%
Quality of Chicago Schools 21.1%
Political corruption 9.0%
Race relations 7.1%
Police reform 7.8%
None of these 3.7%

Crosstabs begin on next page

Crosstabs

Choice for Mayor by GENDER

Column % Female Male
Dorothy Brown 5.4% 3.7%
Gery Chico 8.6% 10.3%
William Daley 10.2% 14.7%
Amara Enyia 3.2% 2.9%
Robert Fioretti 1.1% .7%
La Shawn Ford 1.1% 1.5%
Jerry Joyce 1.1% .7%
John Kozlar .5% .7%
Lori Lightfoot 2.7% 2.9%
Garry McCarthy 2.7% 5.1%
Susana Mendoza 9.7% 7.4%
Toni Preckwinkle 12.4% 13.2%
Paul Vallas 3.8% 5.1%
Willie Wilson 9.1% 8.8%
Undecided 28.5% 22.1%
NET 100.0% 100.0%

Choice for Mayor by ETHNIC ORIGIN

African Other /
Column % Asian Hispanic White
American Refused
Dorothy Brown 8.9% 16.7% 2.4% .0% 1.5%
Gery Chico 4.9% 16.7% 17.1% .0% 12.2%
William Daley 7.3% .0% 14.6% 9.5% 16.8%
Amara Enyia 4.9% 16.7% .0% 9.5% .8%
Robert Fioretti .8% .0% .0% 4.8% .8%
La Shawn Ford 3.3% .0% .0% .0% .0%
Jerry Joyce .0% .0% .0% .0% 2.3%
John Kozlar .0% .0% 2.4% .0% .8%
Lori Lightfoot 1.6% .0% .0% .0% 5.3%
Garry McCarthy .0% .0% .0% 9.5% 7.6%
Susana Mendoza 4.9% .0% 19.5% .0% 10.7%
Toni Preckwinkle 11.4% 16.7% 14.6% 28.6% 10.7%
Paul Vallas 4.1% .0% 4.9% .0% 5.3%
Willie Wilson 20.3% 16.7% .0% 9.5% .8%
Undecided 27.6% 16.7% 24.4% 28.6% 24.4%
NET 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Choice for Mayor by AGE BRACKET

Column % 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Refused

Dorothy Brown .0% 15.4% 9.1% .0% 7.4% 1.5% .0%
Gery Chico 7.7% 2.6% 12.1% 12.2% 7.4% 11.4% .0%
William Daley 15.4% 2.6% 3.0% 17.1% 13.0% 15.9% .0%
Amara Enyia 7.7% 5.1% 9.1% 4.9% 1.9% .8% .0%
Robert Fioretti .0% .0% 3.0% .0% 1.9% .8% .0%
La Shawn Ford 7.7% .0% .0% .0% .0% 1.5% .0%
Jerry Joyce .0% .0% 3.0% .0% 1.9% .8% .0%
John Kozlar .0% 2.6% .0% 2.4% .0% .0% .0%
Lori Lightfoot .0% .0% 3.0% 4.9% .0% 4.5% .0%
Garry McCarthy .0% 2.6% .0% 7.3% 1.9% 5.3% .0%
Susana Mendoza 7.7% 23.1% 15.2% 4.9% 13.0% 3.0% .0%
Toni Preckwinkle 7.7% 2.6% 15.2% 9.8% 16.7% 12.9% 44.4%
Paul Vallas 7.7% .0% .0% 7.3% 3.7% 6.1% .0%
Willie Wilson 15.4% 5.1% .0% 7.3% 11.1% 10.6% 22.2%
Undecided 23.1% 38.5% 27.3% 22.0% 20.4% 25.0% 33.3%
NET 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

CROSSTABS CONTINUE ON NEXT PAGE

Choice between Preckwinkle & Mendoza by GENDER

Column % Female Male

Toni Preckwinkle 33.9% 36.8%
Susana Mendoza 45.7% 40.4%
Undecided 20.4% 22.8%
NET 100.0% 100.0%

Choice between Preckwinkle & Mendoza by ETHNIC ORIGIN

African Other /
Column % Asian Hispanic White
American Refused
Toni Preckwinkle 40.7% 33.3% 22.0% 57.1% 30.5%
Susana Mendoza 39.0% 50.0% 63.4% 14.3% 45.8%
Undecided 20.3% 16.7% 14.6% 28.6% 23.7%
NET 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Choice between Preckwinkle & Mendoza by AGE BRACKET

Column % 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Refused

Toni Preckwinkle 38.46% 12.82% 30.30% 34.15% 37.04% 40.91% 55.56%
Susana Mendoza 61.54% 66.67% 42.42% 36.59% 48.15% 36.36% 22.22%
Undecided .00% 20.51% 27.27% 29.27% 14.81% 22.73% 22.22%
NET 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

CROSSTABS CONTINUE ON NEXT PAGE

Choice between Preckwinkle & Daley by GENDER

Column % Female Male

Toni Preckwinkle 38.2% 38.2%
William Daley 38.2% 42.6%
Undecided 23.7% 19.1%
NET 100.0% 100.0%

Choice between Preckwinkle & Daley by ETHNIC ORIGIN

African Other /
Column % Asian Hispanic White
American Refused
Toni Preckwinkle 43.1% 66.7% 39.0% 42.9% 31.3%
William Daley 35.0% 33.3% 48.8% 23.8% 45.0%
Undecided 22.0% .0% 12.2% 33.3% 23.7%
NET 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Choice between Preckwinkle & Daley by AGE BRACKET

Column % 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Refused

Toni Preckwinkle 53.8% 43.6% 42.4% 31.7% 40.7% 34.8% 44.4%
William Daley 38.5% 33.3% 42.4% 36.6% 44.4% 40.9% 33.3%
Undecided 7.7% 23.1% 15.2% 31.7% 14.8% 24.2% 22.2%
NET 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

CROSSTABS CONTINUE ON NEXT PAGE

Choice between Mendoza & McCarthy by GENDER

Column % Female Male

Susana Mendoza 58.1% 48.5%
Garry McCarthy 19.9% 30.1%
Undecided 22.0% 21.3%
NET 100.0% 100.0%

Choice between Mendoza & McCarthy by ETHNIC ORIGIN

African Other /
Column % Asian Hispanic White
American Refused
Susana Mendoza 53.7% 50.0% 75.6% 42.9% 49.6%
Garry McCarthy 21.1% 16.7% 14.6% 9.5% 32.8%
Undecided 25.2% 33.3% 9.8% 47.6% 17.6%
NET 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Choice between Mendoza & McCarthy by AGE BRACKET

Column % 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Refused

Susana Mendoza 69.2% 71.8% 54.5% 53.7% 57.4% 46.2% 44.4%
Garry McCarthy 23.1% 10.3% 21.2% 24.4% 22.2% 31.8% .0%
Undecided 7.7% 17.9% 24.2% 22.0% 20.4% 22.0% 55.6%
NET 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

CROSSTABS CONTINUE ON NEXT PAGE

Most Important Issue by GENDER

Column % Female Male

Chicago's Crime 34% 22%
Chicago's Financial Crisis 20% 25%
Quality of Chicago Schools 25% 16%
Political corruption 6% 13%
Race relations 3% 13%
Police reform 9% 7%
None of these 3% 4%

Most Important Issue by ETHNIC ORIGIN

African Other /
Column % Asian Hispanic White
American Refused
Chicago's Crime 39.8% .0% 7.3% 28.6% 27.5%
Chicago's Financial Crisis 8.9% .0% 24.4% 19.0% 35.1%
Quality of Chicago Schools 19.5% 66.7% 36.6% 9.5% 17.6%
Political corruption 7.3% 33.3% 9.8% 9.5% 9.2%
Race relations 11.4% .0% 12.2% 4.8% 2.3%
Police reform 11.4% .0% 4.9% 9.5% 5.3%
None of these 1.6% .0% 4.9% 19.0% 3.1%

Most Important Issue by AGE BRACKET

Column % 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Refused

Chicago's Crime 30.8% 17.9% 27.3% 19.5% 35.2% 32.6% 44.4%

Chicago's Financial Crisis 15.4% 23.1% 12.1% 39.0% 24.1% 19.7% 11.1%

Quality of Chicago Schools 30.8% 43.6% 24.2% 19.5% 22.2% 14.4% .0%

Political corruption 7.7% 10.3% 21.2% 7.3% 5.6% 8.3% .0%

Race relations 15.4% .0% 12.1% 2.4% 5.6% 9.1% .0%

Police reform .0% 5.1% 3.0% 9.8% 7.4% 9.8% 11.1%

None of these .0% .0% .0% 2.4% .0% 6.1% 33.3%

Most Important Issue by CHOICE FOR MAYOR

Quality
Chicago's Political
Chicago's of Race Police None of
Column % Financial corrup-
Crime Chicago relations reform these
Crisis tion
Schools
Dorothy Brown 7.4% 1.4% 7.4% 3.4% .0% 4.0% .0%
Gery Chico 9.6% 9.9% 5.9% 13.8% 17.4% 4.0% 8.3%
William Daley 17.0% 21.1% 5.9% 6.9% .0% 8.0% .0%
Amara Enyia 2.1% 2.8% 5.9% 3.4% 4.3% .0% .0%
Robert Fioretti 2.1% 1.4% .0% .0% .0% .0% .0%
La Shawn Ford 1.1% .0% .0% 3.4% 8.7% .0% .0%
Jerry Joyce 1.1% 1.4% .0% 3.4% .0% .0% .0%
John Kozlar .0% 2.8% .0% .0% .0% .0% .0%
Lori Lightfoot 3.2% 2.8% .0% .0% 4.3% 12.0% .0%
Garry McCarthy 2.1% 8.5% 1.5% 6.9% 4.3% .0% .0%
Susana Mendoza 8.5% 11.3% 11.8% 6.9% 4.3% .0% 8.3%
Toni Preckwinkle 7.4% 7.0% 20.6% 3.4% 21.7% 16.0% 41.7%
Paul Vallas 4.3% 4.2% 2.9% 10.3% .0% 8.0% .0%
Willie Wilson 10.6% 7.0% 5.9% 10.3% 8.7% 20.0% .0%
Undecided 23.4% 18.3% 32.4% 27.6% 26.1% 28.0% 41.7%
NET 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Methodology

This poll was conducted January 21-23, 2019 using live-operator interviews by two different calling 
centers. In total 644 registered voters completed the live-interview questionnaire after confirming
their intention to vote in the upcoming Primary. Half of the responses came from cell phones, with
the  remaining responses from landline phone. The voters were dialed from a randomly selected
list of likely Chicago voters.

Our sampling methodology ensures that We Ask America Polls™ results are "projectable," meaning
that if every resident in a given geography were dialed, the results would not differ from the
reported poll results by more than the stated margin of error at a 95 percent confidence level (the
industry standard) if the survey was repeated. For this case, results with a margin of error of ±3.88
percent at the 95  percent confidence level means that if the same survey were conducted 100
times, 95 times the results would not vary in either direction by more than ±3.88 percent in either
direction.

All polls should be be viewed as a snapshot in time.