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Alain Vervaet
CEO, ING Lease Holding
New leasing volumes; source: Leaseurope 2006 Annual Survey and local leasing associations
New Leasing Volumes in Europe
Total New Leasing Volumes Reported
297.5
in Leaseurope Annual Surveys bio€
300
250
CAGR: 10.9%
200
Billions of €
150
85.5
bio€
100
50
0
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
HP explicitly included from 2003, automotive long term rental members figures included (when available) in 2006
New Leasing Volumes in Europe
Equipment & Real Estate
300,000
CAGR: 10.63%
250,000
150,000
100,000
150,000
83.84%
83.84%
100,000
50,000
0
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
UK 55.0 bio€
New Leasing Volumes in Europe
New Leasing Volumes per Cluster in 2006
UK 55.0 bio€
Germany 50.4bio€
New Leasing Volumes in Europe
New Leasing Volumes per Cluster in 2006
UK 55.0 bio€
Germany 50.4bio€
Italy 48.1 bio€
New Leasing Volumes in Europe
New Leasing Volumes per Cluster in 2006
UK 55.0 bio€
Germany 50.4bio€
Italy 48.1 bio€
UK 55.0 bio€
Germany 50.4bio€
Italy 48.1 bio€
UK 55.0 bio€
Germany 50.4bio€
Italy 48.1 bio€
UK 55.0 bio€
Germany 50.4bio€
Italy 48.1 bio€
UK 55.0 bio€
Germany 50.4bio€
Italy 48.1 bio€
16% 15.24%
13.47%
14% 12.84%
11.69% 11.62%
12%
10.66%
10%
8.35%
CAGR: 10.9% 7.92%
8% 7.23%
6.89%
6%
4%
2.71%
2%
2006:
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Lower RE 2006
growth
France 4,33%
-2,50%
UK
2,58%
Germany
2004/2005 2005/2006
Annual growth rates calculated based on a homogenous sample of members reporting in the previous year
Growth in Europe
Total Equipment Leasing Growth
30%
25%
20%
15.29%
15%
10% 7.20%
5% 2.49%
CAGR: 11.01%
0%
-5%
-10%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Equipment
Annual growth rates calculated based on a homogenous sample of members reporting in the previous year
Growth in Europe
Equipment vs Real Estate Leasing Growth
30.04%
30%
25%
20%
CAGR: 10.63%
15%
10%
5.61%
5%
0%
-5% -8.73%
-10%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Annual growth rates calculated based on a homogenous sample of members reporting in the previous year
Growth in Europe
Equipment Leasing Growth in
Europe Compared to the US
30%
25%
20%
15.64%
15%
8.37%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10% -12.55%
-15%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Europe US
Annual real growth rates, US data source: ELFA
Growth in Europe
Equipment Leasing Growth in Europe
Compared to the US and Japan
30%
25%
20%
15%
9.94%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10.02%
-10%
-15%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Europe US Japan
Annual real growth rates, Japan data source: World Leasing Yearbook 2007 & JLA
Growth in Europe
Equipment Leasing Growth in Europe
Compared to the US, Japan & Australia
30%
27.65%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
3.61%
0%
-5%
-7.39%
-10%
-15%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
2,50%
2,00%
1,50%
1,00%
0,50%
0,00%
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Leaseurope average, calculated as new leasing volumes from Leaseurope Annual Surveys divided by GDP from
Eurostat for countries with available data
Contribution to the
European Economy
Leasing Growth Compared to
Investment Growth
Investment growth 05/06
30%
EE
25%
20%
DK
CZ
15% SI
SK
10% SE BE FI NL
UK ES
5% IT
DE FR AT
CH PT
0%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
-5%
New leasing growth 05/06
Investment = GFCF – investment in private dwellings; source: Eurostat
Contribution to the
European Economy
Leasing Growth Compared to
Investment Growth
Investment growth 05/06
30%
25%
PL
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70%
-5%
New leasing growth 05/06
Investment = GFCF – investment in private dwellings; source: Eurostat
Contribution to the
European Economy
Leasing Growth Compared to
Investment Growth
Investment growth 05/06
30%
EE
25%
20%
DK
CZ
15% SI
2
SK
R = 0.3015
10% SE BE FI NL
UK ES
5% IT
DE FR AT
CH PT
0%
-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
-5%
New leasing growth 05/06
Investment = GFCF – investment in private dwellings; source: Eurostat
Contribution to the
European Economy
CAGR (97-06) for Leasing Compared to Investment
30%
25%
20%
Overall
CAGR: 4.82%
< Overall
CAGR: 8.94%
15%
10%
5%
0%
AT BE CH CZ DE DK EE ES FI FR HU IT NL NO PL PT SE SI SK UK
24%
19.02%
19% 17.25%
14.83% 15.08%
12.50% 13.02%
14% 11.89%
9%
4%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Total PR
Source: Leaseurope data & investment figures from Eurostat; Incl. hp from 2003 & new LT members in 2006
European Leasing Penetration
Average Leasing Penetration
28.43%
29%
24.30%
24%
21.64%
20.23%
19.02%
19% 17.67% 17.35% 17.25%
16.06%
14.83% 15.08%
12.50% 13.02%
14% 11.89%
9%
4%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Total PR Equip
Source: Leaseurope data & investment figures from Eurostat; Incl. hp from 2003 & new LT members in 2006
European Leasing Penetration
Average Leasing Penetration
28.43%
29%
24.30%
24%
21.64%
20.23%
19.02%
19% 17.67% 17.35% 17.25%
16.06%
14.83% 15.08%
12.50% 13.02%
14% 11.89%
9%
6.32% 6.14%
5.62% 5.51%
4.75% 4.87% 4.97%
4%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Total PR Equip RE
Source: Leaseurope data & investment figures from Eurostat; Incl. hp from 2003 & new LT members in 2006
European Leasing Penetration
Country Level Penetration Rates
(2006)
10% – 15%
Leasing Penetration
Country Level Penetration Rates
(2006)
15% – 20%
10% – 15%
Leasing Penetration
Country Level Penetration Rates
(2006)
20% – 25%
15% – 20%
10% – 15%
Leasing Penetration
Country Level Penetration Rates
(2006)
> 25%
20% – 25%
15% – 20%
10% – 15%
Leasing Penetration
Average Leasing Penetration in Europe vs US
39%
33.10%
34% 31.00% 31.00%
28.90% 28.43%
27.60% 27.70%
29%
24.30%
24% 21.64% 27.70%
20.23%
17.67% 17.35%
19% 16.06%
14%
9%
4%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Europe US
Source: ELFA
Leasing Penetration
Average Leasing Penetration in Europe vs Canada
39%
34%
28.43%
29%
24.30%
21.64%
24% 25.90%
20.23% 24.90%
17.67% 17.35%
19% 16.06% 22.90%
14%
9%
4%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Europe US Canada
Source: CFLA
Leasing Penetration
Average Leasing Penetration in Europe vs Australia
41.82%
39% 38.98% 39.32%
38.35% 37.43%
36.41%
34% 33.91%
28.43%
29%
24.30%
21.64%
24%
20.23%
17.67% 17.35%
19% 16.06%
14%
9%
4%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
100% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 5%
90%
80% 28% 27% 29%
32% 34% 37% 37%
70%
60%
18% 18%
50% 14% 18%
16% 16% 16%
40%
30%
20% 32% 33% 31% 30% 30% 29% 29%
10%
0%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
100% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 5%
90%
80% 28% 27% 29%
32% 34% 37% 37%
70%
60%
18% 18%
50% 14% 18%
16% 16% 16%
40%
30%
20% 32% 33% 31% 30% 30% 29% 29%
10%
0%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
100% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 5%
90%
80% 28% 27% 29%
32% 34% 37% 37%
70%
60%
18% 18%
50% 14% 18%
2000: 16% 16% 16%
40%
2006:
Bank Related: 33% Bank Related: 42%
30%
20% Captive:
32% 18%
33% 31% 30% 30% Captive: 16%
29% 29%
10% Independent: 32% Independent: 28%
0%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
40
30
20
10
0
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
% of tot market
2001 Ref Line
European Market Players
Concentration of European Leasing Companies
50
# of firms
40
30
20
10
0
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
2001 2003
% of tot market
European Market Players
Concentration of European Leasing Companies
50
# of firms
40
30
20
10
0
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
40
30
20
10
0
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
50% 50%
CVs RE
47.9 bil€ 46.8 bil€
16% 16%
Source: Leaseurope 2006 Annual Survey. Includes data for Leaseurope’s new automotive long term rental
members (when available)
Equipment Leasing
New Equipment Leasing Volumes per Asset
Category (2006)
5%
6%
21%
Total
Equipment
Volume:
8%
250.7 bil€
41%
19%
10%
0%
8%
41%
19%
10%
8.78
Ships, Rail, Computers &
8% Plane, etc Business
0% Machines 3.23
Passenger
Cars
41% 2.73
Road
17.54
19% Transport
Vehicles
16.25 20%
20%
Machinery & Industrial Equip
Passenger
Cars 17.54
2.73 Road Passenger
Transport Cars
Vehicles 9.02
18.38
Road
Transport
Vehicles
Growth calculated based on a homogenous sample of members reporting in the previous year
Equipment Leasing
Cluster Specialisation (2006)
Germany UK France Italy
9% 5% 12% 1%
15% 11%
3% 10%
24%
11%
9%
38% 19%
48%
13%
11%
15%
49%
49% 18%
24% 4%
33% 2% 13%
3% 34%
16%
30%
53%
21%
31% 23%
100%
Other client categories
90% 16% 15% 16%
16%
80% 4% 5% 5% Consumers
4%
70%
Public Sector
60%
44% 44% 45%
50% 47% Services
40% Industry &
30% Construction
20% 29% 27% 27%
Agriculture, Forestry,
22%
10% Fishing
0%
2006 2005 2004 2003
Real Estate Leasing
Cluster Specialisation (2006)
Germany UK France Italy
1% 14%
15%
49% 51%
85% 86%
99%
79%
94%
92% 99%
Vehicles financed/purchased
All
# (mil) 6,2 0,9 0,7 7,7
€ (bil) 115,4 21,4 27,9 164,7
Portfolio/fleet
All
# (mil) 12,3 2,1 1,5 15,9
€ (bil) 256,3 40,5 60,2 357,0
Based on figures reported in the 2006 Annual Survey & Leaseurope estimates; includes figures from short term
rental associations except for fleet value (€)
Passenger Cars
Leaseurope PCs as % of New Registrations
70%
60%
Leaseurope
50%
Average:
35.5%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
AT BE CH CZ DE DK ES FI FR GR HU IT LU NL NO PL PT SE SI SK UK
New cars bought or financed (used cars excluded, all product types together) compared to new PC registrations
taken from ACEA
Passenger Cars
Leaseurope PC Fleet as % of Country Fleet
18%
16%
Leaseurope
14%
Average:
12%
6.5%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
AT BE CY CZ DE DK EE ES FI FR GR HU IT LT LU LV NL PL PT SL SK UK
Leaseurope fleet ’06 as share of total fleet (’05) taken from EC’s “EU Energy & Transport in Figures “
A Closer Look at Trends in
Europe & Beyond
Alain Vervaet
CEO, ING Lease Holding