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India 2010
1210 million 2.97 million km2 USD 1057.45 billion USD 212.50 billion USD 330.26 billion
Part of the BRIC economies expected to show strong growth over the next few years
Average Grade of Political Freedom and Civil Liberties (1=best grade; 7= worst grade)
Population: 193 million 5th largest in the world Area: 8.5 million km 5th largest in the world Stabilised democracy
A successful process of democratization since the eighties
Ranking
Quartz 1st
Bauxite 2nd
Source: USDA and US Department of the interior and US Geological Survey; Information as of August, 31, 2010.
4%
7%
25%
6% Mexico Argentina
4% Peru Brazil
Source: IMF, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research; Information as of August, 2010 Source: IBGE; World Bank, IMF *PPP (Purchase Power Parity) criteria; Freedom House
Source: IBGE; World Bank, IMF. HSBC Asset Management, February 2011,
Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future. Source: Bloomberg MSCI Dollar returns, Data as at 4 March 2011. Data is of the most recent available date and is intended to depict the trend only.
60%
56.57
54.94
50%
42.30
40%
43.95
30%
20%
15.14 8.81
10%
0% Brazil Russia India Emerging Emerging Emerging Markets Markets Markets Taiwan BRIC Korea China Europe World USA Japan
Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future. Source: Bloomberg. Based on the performance of the respective MSCI indices. Total return in US dollar terms. Returns are total returns annualized for the period from 01 January 2009 to 31 December 2010
Source: Bloomberg, HSBC. Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future.
MSCI World
MSCI Brazil
MSCI India
Source: Bloomberg. Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future.
2010 26 8 23 27 29
2011 28 17 12 32 21
2012 14 13 11 13 5
th
So u
ze ch
ep
MSCI World (in USD) MSCI EM (in USD) Sensex (in USD) Ibovespa (in USD) 01-Jan-08 1578.1 1246 515 33817 31-Dec-10 1280.1 1151 459 41714 % change -18.88% -7.62% -10.87% 23.35%
Source: Bloomberg, HSBC Global Asset Management. Data as at December 2010. Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future.
Brazil
Brazilian Real 3.000.000 Household
India
5.000.000 Indian R upees Household Government 4.000.000 Net exports Investments 3.000.000
55,1%
62,62%
1.500.000
11,1%
2.000.000
1.000.000
20,77%
1.000.000
40,1%
500.000
16,69%
0 2000 -500.000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
-0,08% 2009
-1.000.000
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
-6,3%
Source: HSBC Global Asset Management; Information as of June 2010. * Brazilian Institue for Geograpy & Statistics (IBGE)
The middle class is growing and also has the largest share of income
Source: Exame December 30, 2010
2003 Precio de labasic Price of Cesta Basica de food basket Alim entos 225 162
2010
510 200
100
200
300
400
500
600
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Source: Folha de Sao Paulo Information as of April, 2010.
Data is of the most recent available date and is intended to depict the trend only.
Brazil: Infrastructure Investment Plans (R$ billion) Sectors Investments 2010 - 2013 Ports and Highways R$ 47 billion Railways and Sanitation R$ 69 billion Telecommunication R$ 67 billion Electrical Energy R$ 92 billion
Source:Morgan Stanley, Brazil Infrastructure, Paving the way, May 5 2010
Period of observation
95 90
1.500.000
85
1.000.000
20,77%
80 75
Industry Exports Investments
500.000
16,69%
0 2000 -500.000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
-0,08% 2009
Source: HSBC Global Asset Management; Information as of October, 2010. Data is of the most recent available date and is intended to depict the trend only.
Summary
EM VALUATION
P/E (x) 12M 12.6 13.6 11.1 15.3 10.9 11.9 11.7 9.0 10.8 10.4 10.7 12.9 11.5 13.0 6.7 14.7 14.3 15.3 11.8 10.0 11.6 10.8 10.6 8.8 13.4 9.6 PROSPECTIVE 10E 15.9 16.5 14.7 NM 13.4 14.7 14.2 11.0 12.9 12.5 11.2 14.4 14.9 16.2 8.0 19.3 17.1 17.6 14.2 10.5 13.4 13.7 10.3 11.9 15.9 11.1 11E 12.8 13.8 11.3 15.5 11.1 12.1 11.9 9.2 11.0 10.6 10.9 13.2 11.7 13.3 6.8 14.9 14.5 15.5 12.0 10.2 12.0 10.9 10.6 9.1 13.7 9.9 12E 11.3 12.1 10.0 13.7 9.7 10.5 10.5 8.0 9.6 9.4 9.9 11.5 10.1 10.9 5.9 13.1 13.1 13.8 10.7 9.1 9.8 10.4 10.2 7.4 11.4 8.2 TRAILING FWD P/BV (x) CURRENT PROSPECTIVE TRAILING 1.9 2.3 1.7 1.2 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.6 2.1 1.8 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.5 1.1 3.1 2.2 2.2 3.4 1.8 2.1 1.6 2.0 1.3 2.4 1.2 11E 1.7 2.0 1.6 1.1 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.3 1.0 1.2 2.0 2.0 2.9 1.7 2.0 1.5 1.9 1.2 2.3 1.2 12E 1.6 1.8 1.4 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.8 1.8 2.0 0.9 1.2 2.0 1.9 2.5 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.8 1.2 2.0 1.1
Source: Bloomberg; Information as of 6 August, 2010. Data is of the most recent available date and is intended to depict the trend only.
The IPCA (ndice Nacional de Preos ao Consumidor Amplo, Brazil) or Extended Consumer Price Index, is calculated by IBGE, a government agency, and reflects the average cost of living in 11 major Brazilian cities for families with income up to 40 minimum salaries. The IPCA is used by the government to set benchmark rates and make monetary policy decisions
Source: Bloomberg, HSBC Global Asset Management; as of 31 July, 2010. Data is of the most recent available date and is intended to depict the trend only.
Figures in %
6.0
5.0
Pre-Salt (already auctioned) Existing Reserves - Other Players Existing Reserves - Petrobras
4.0
Nigeria Lybia
3.0
Russia UAE
2.0
1.0
Iran Canada
Saudit Arabia 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275
29
2007 GDP (%) CPI (%) Nominal interest rate 6,1 4,46 11,25 40,0 1,6 1,77
Economic growth
GDP has gone through some moderation in the last few quarters
Industrial production stability reflecting both imports increase and inventories adjustment; We remain optimistic about the economy in the next few quarters; Key drivers indicating a still solid domestic demand growth; GDP forecast at 4.5% in 2011.
Trade Balance (USD bi) Current Account (USD bi) BRL Currency
Inflation Given our view for activity, we keep our CPI forecast at a level above the
center of the target; Demand-sensitive groups showed acceleration in the last months, with further deterioration of Inflation expectation.
Monetary policy
We expect two additional interest rates hikes (Selic at 12.75%); There are some uncertainties regarding CB next steps (total budget and macro prudential measures
Source: HSBC Global Asset Management Information as of March, 2011
*Source: Bloomberg, HSBC Global Asset Management. Returns in USD terms Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future.
HSBC Group has a good track record and a long standing presence in Emerging Markets, its roots were formed in China and India in the 19th century HSBC Global Asset Management has approximately $145billion asset under management in Emerging Markets (as of 31 December 2010) Over 200 dedicated investment professionals focused on Emerging Markets in 20 key offices A wide range of Emerging Markets funds including the largest manager of Brazilian and Indian equity mutual funds* Second largest manager of China funds and the fourth largest manager of BRIC funds**
Source: HSBC Global Asset Management * Data as on 30 June 2010 ** EPFR data as at 31December 2009 BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) geographic focus.
Best Single Country Hedge Fund (Global Asset Management's India Alpha Fund) Best Global Emerging Markets Manager of the Year
2008, European Pensions awards
Key features
The primary investment objective of the Scheme is to provide long term capital appreciation by investing predominantly in units / shares of HSBC Global Investment Funds (HGIF) Brazil Equity Fund. The Scheme may, at the discretion of the Investment Manager, also invest in the units of other similar overseas mutual fund schemes, which may constitute a significant part of its corpus. The Scheme may also invest a certain proportion of its corpus in money market instruments and / or units of liquid mutual fund schemes, in order to meet liquidity requirements from time to time. INR 10,000 Entry Load Nil; Exit Load -1% if redeemed /switched out within 1 year from the date of allotment. Otherwise Nil. Growth, Dividend (Payout & Dividend Reinvestment) Available MSCI Brazil 10/40 Index HSBC Global Investment Funds (HGIF) Brazil Equity Fund
Investment Objective
Asset Allocation: No capitalization or sector restrictions. The fund is expected to fully invest its
cash, but is allowed a maximum tactical allocation of cash to 10%. The fund does not hedge currency exposures
Turnover: Expected to be moderate given long term investment horizon Stocks: A concentrated portfolio of preferred 40 to 60 stocks. Subject to the 10/40 rule and a
maximum tracking error of 15%
Investment vehicles: HGIF Brazil Equity Fund (Fund size : USD 2733 mn*). Segregated
institutional mandates as well.
HGIF Brazil Equity Fund Benchmark - MSCI Brazil 10/40 (IC class)
Returns in % Since Inception 3 Years Date - 03/03/2006 -1.81 10.68 -1.04 11.81
Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future. Data as on 28 February 2011. All returns are compounded annualised. The above
performance figures are calculated in USD and changes in the rate of currency exchange may affect the value of your investment. The benchmark returns quoted above are basis the MSCI Brazil 10/40 IC Class Price Index performance as available on Bloomberg. Price indices capture an indexs market price performance only and are calculated by MSCI on a daily and a real time basis. Each price index measures the sum of the free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted returns of all its constituents on a given day. Dividends paid by the underlying securities are not reinvested in the indexthe value of the dividends is essentially dropped from the index value.
Portfolio Strategy
30%
5% 0% Building Materials Financial Services Infrastructure Oil & Petrochemicals Sugar & Ethanol Consumer Goods & Beverages Steel & Mining Healthcare Pulp & Paper Agribusiness Real Estate Education Capital Goods Data Services Telecom Utilities Retail
Rationale
Investment process
The Brazil Equity team is headed by Jos Cuervo and supported by Natalia Kerkis in Sao Paulo Each of the ten analysts, based in London and Sao Paolo, has a number of sectors to cover, and they all meet regularly - both formally and informally to share thoughts and ideas
Investment resources
HSBC Global Asset Management Brazil Resources HSBC Global Asset Management Brazil Resources
Portfolio Managers
Ricardo Maluf Assistant Portfolio Manager
Jose Cuervo
Natalia Kerkis
HSBC Resources
Global Reach Local investment team views, idea generation, cross check
Economists
Small, effective team of decision makers supported by substantial pool of research resource
Global resources
Significant support
Strong team of over 70 investment and support resources allows investment focus
Proprietary research
Performance orientation
Brazil
Last 10 years annualised return
(as on 31 March 2010)
India
12.8% p.a.
19.5% p.a.
9.7
13.5
25.6%
21.3%
19.4%
10.4%
Thank You
Disclaimer
This document has been prepared by HSBC Asset Management (India) Private Limited (HSBC) for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer for purchase of any of the funds of HSBC Mutual Fund. All information contained in this document (including that sourced from third parties), is obtained from sources HSBC, the third party believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified and HSBC, the third party makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. The information and opinions contained within the document are based upon publicly available information and rates of taxation applicable at the time of publication, which are subject to change from time to time. Expressions of opinion are those of HSBC only and are subject to change without notice. It does not have regard to specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this document. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies that may have been discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that the views regarding future prospects may or may not be realized. Neither this document nor the units of HSBC Mutual Fund have been registered in any jurisdiction. The distribution of this document in certain jurisdictions may be restricted or totally prohibited and accordingly, persons who come into possession of this document are required to inform themselves about, and to observe, any such restrictions. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks. Please read the Statement of Additional Information and Scheme Information Document carefully before investing. Copyright. HSBC Asset Management (India) Private Limited 2011, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, on any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of HSBC Asset Management (India) Private Limited. HSBC Asset Management (India) Private Limited; 314, D. N. Road, Fort, Mumbai 400 001. Tel: 6614 8819.
Risk Factors
Investors may obtain Scheme Information Document, Statement of Additional Information and Key Information Memorandums along with application forms from the office of HSBC Mutual Fund, 314, D.N.Road, Fort, Mumbai 400 001. Tel: 022-6666 8819. Statutory Details: HSBC Mutual Fund has been set up as a trust by HSBC Securities and Capital Markets (India) Private Limited (liability restricted to the corpus of Rs.1 Lakh). The Sponsor/associates of the Sponsor/AMC are not responsible or liable for any loss or shortfall resulting from the operation of the Scheme. The Trustees of HSBC Mutual Fund have appointed HSBC Asset Management (India) Private Limited as the Investment Manager. Risk Factors: All investments in mutual funds and securities are subject to market risks and the NAV of the Scheme may go up or down depending on the factors and forces affecting the securities markets. There can be no assurance that the objectives of the Scheme will be achieved. Past performance of the Sponsor, AMC, Mutual Fund or any associates of the Sponsor/AMC does not indicate the future performance of the Scheme. Country specific information could yield results substantially different than that be set herein. Investors shall bear the risks and recurring expenses of the underlying scheme(s) into which the Scheme invests. HSBC Brazil Fund (HBF) is the name of the Scheme and does not in any manner indicate the quality of the Scheme or its future prospects or returns. Scheme Classification and Objective: HBF (an open ended Fund of Funds scheme) seeks to provide long term capital appreciation by investing predominantly in units/shares of HSBC Global Investment Funds (HGIF) Brazil Equity Fund. The Scheme may, at the discretion of the Investment Manager, also invest in the units of other similar overseas mutual fund schemes, which may constitute a significant part of its corpus. The Scheme may also invest a certain proportion of its corpus in money market instruments and/or units of liquid mutual fund schemes, in order to meet liquidity requirements from time to time. Asset Allocation: Units/shares of HGIF Brazil Equity Fund95 to 100%; Money Market instruments (including CBLO & reverse repo) and/or units of liquid mutual fund schemes0 to 5%. Please read the Scheme Information Document and Statement of Additional Information carefully before investing.
Appendix
350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
8% Average 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1901 - 1945 Agricultural Economy 1946 - 1980 Planned Economy 1981-1993 Reality Check 1994-2003 Initial Reforms 2004-2008 Sustainable Growth Volatility
Source: IPEA
40 2001 30 2008
30 20 10 0
20
-10 -20
10
-30
0 AB > 2900 C 670 to 2900 D 460 to 670 E < 460
-40 -50 AB C D E
Furniture Household appliances Leisure & traveling Phone & mobile Computer Car TV or media appliances Decorative items Real estate Tools Motorcycle Sporting equipment
38% 37% 32% 23% 22% 21% 17% 14% 12% 10% 9% 8%