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Span and Aging Meta-Analysis

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Running Head: MEMORY SPAN AND AGING META-ANALYSIS

Aging and Verbal Memory Span: A Meta-Analysis

Kara L. Bopp and Paul Verhaeghen

Syracuse University
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Abstract

This meta-analysis provides a quantitative examination of age differences in eight verbal span

tasks using Brinley analyses. The main conclusions are: (a) There are age differences in all

verbal span tasks; (b) the data support the conclusion that working memory span is more age-

sensitive than short-term memory span; and (c) there is a linear relationship between span of

younger adults and span of older adults. A linear model indicates the presence of three distinct

functions, in increasing order of size of age effects: (1) simple storage span; (2) backward digit

span; and (3) working memory span.


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Aging and Verbal Memory Span: A Meta-Analysis

In this article, we provide a meta-analysis of the effects of adult age on verbal short-term

memory and verbal working memory span tasks, using graphical analysis on the original span

metric.

Memory span

Span tasks are a popular measure in cognitive psychology and neuropsychological

testing. Two types of tasks can be distinguished: short-term memory span and working memory

span.

Measures of short-term memory include forward digit span (Wechsler, 1955; 1981), letter

span (Kinsbourne, 1974; Taub, 1975), and word span (Baddeley, 1986; Talland, 1965). In each of

these a series of stimuli (digits, letters, or words, respectively) is presented, visually or auditorily,

typically at the rate of one stimulus per second. The task of the participant is to repeat the stimuli

in the order they were presented. Testing usually begins with a series length of two stimuli and

increases by one after two trials. Testing ends when a participant is incorrect on two trials of the

same length. Span can be calculated in a number of ways, including the total number of words

recalled, proportion of words per set, number of words in correct trials, or as the longest series

correctly recalled. The current study includes both the final scoring method, because this is the

method overall most frequently used, and the WAIS/WAIS-R method for scoring, which is

frequently used in digit span measures. (Note that in the Results section, we explicitly test for

differences between these methods, to ascertain that method effects do not influence the results.)

Beginning in the 1980’s, working memory span measures were introduced into the

literature. Working memory refers to the dynamic relationship between passive storage and active 

manipulation or transformation of information held in memory (Baddeley & Hitch, 1974;


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Miyake & Shah, 1999; Kane, Bleckley, Conway, & Engle, 2001; Miyake, Friedman, Emerson,

Witzki, Howerter, & Wagner, 2000; Oberauer, Süβ, Schulze, Wilhelm, & Wittmann, 2000). An

important feature of the model is the system’s limited capacity, which forces the resources to be

shared between storage and processing. Working memory span measures such as reading span

(Daneman & Carpenter, 1980), listening span (Babcock & Salthouse, 1990; Salthouse &

Babcock, 1991), sentence span (an average of reading and listening span; Morrow, Menard,

Stine-Morrow, Teller, & Bryant, 2001), and computation span (Babcock & Salthouse, 1990;

Salthouse & Babcock, 1991) capture this interaction between concurrent storage and online

processing. Reading span requires participants to read sets of sentences while remembering the

last word of each sentence. Participants are sometimes asked to answer a question about the

sentences in true/false or multiple-choice format. Listening span task requires participants to

listen to sentences and answer a simple question about the sentence, while remembering the last

word of each sentence. Scores on listening span and reading span are sometimes averaged into a

measure of sentence span. In computation span, a series of arithmetic problems is presented to

participants to solve while the participants must also remember the last digit from each problem.

Typically, in these working memory span tasks, three sets of trials are given for each span length.

As with the short-term memory span tasks, the current study only examines span as measured by

the longest series that is correctly recalled.

In cognitive aging research, a further distinction is often made within short-term span

tasks (Craik, 1986; Gregoire & Van der Linden, 1997; Myerson, Emery, White, & Hale, 2003).

Mere storage tasks, such as forward digit span, are distinguished from tasks requiring short-term

memory reordering, such as backward digit span and alphabet span. In backward digit span a

series of digits is presented auditorily, and the subject’s task is to repeat the digits in reverse
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order (Wechsler 1955; 1981). Reordering span tasks differ from short-term memory tasks proper

in that the item manipulation presents a task requirement that goes beyond mere storage. While

both working memory span tasks and reordering span tasks require processing and storage, the

type of processing differs. It is likely that reordering tasks differ from working memory span

tasks in that item processing occurs after all items have been stored given that the presentation

time is too fast for it to occur on-line. The current study only examines backward digit span due

to a lack of studies utilizing other reordering span tasks. Note that the tradition in the

psychometric literature (most notably Wechsler, 1955) is to add scores for forward and backward

digit span to obtain a single span for short-term memory. Only studies that provided separate

scores were used in the current analysis.

Memory span and aging: Developmental theory

Age differences in memory span measures are expected by most extant theories of

cognitive aging. In fact, the concepts of age-related deficits in short-term memory and/or

working memory, more notably in attentional/executive working memory control (Baddeley,

1986, Engle, Kane, & Tuholski, 1999; Kane, Bleckley, Conway, & Engle, 2000; Miyake,

Friedman, Emerson, Witzki, Howerter, & Wagner, 2000) have been invoked as a mechanism to

explain age-related declines in a wide variety of tasks of fluid cognition, either as a direct causal

mechanism (e.g., Hasher & Zacks, 1988; Mayr & Kliegl, 1993), or as a mediator between a

rather general decrease in processing resources and higher-order cognition (e.g., Salthouse,

1996).

Many aging theories also predict larger age-related effects for working memory span than

for short-term memory span. First, processing resource theories (e.g., Belleville, Rouleau, &

Caza, 1998; Craik, Morris, & Gick, 1988; Dobbs & Rule, 1989; Foos, 1989; Light, Zelinski &
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Moore, 1982; Salthouse, Babcock, & Shaw, 1991) state that aging depletes the cognitive

resources available for processing. The concomitant expectation is that working memory tasks,

with their demands on both processing and storage, will yield larger age effects than short-term

memory tasks, which require mere storage.

Second, theories focusing on coordinative task requirements (e.g., Mayr & Kliegl, 1993),

predict larger age differences in working memory span than short-term memory span, because

working memory tasks require the coordination of concurrent storage and processing demands, a

demand absent in short-term memory tasks. Coordination theory furthermore predicts that span

tasks can be separated into distinct categories namely tasks that do and do not require

coordination, with step functions in the observed age differences.

Third, the speed theory of cognitive aging (Salthouse, 1996) predicts that age-related

slowing of computational processes will cause a decrease in short-term memory/working

memory span, either because items are not encoded sufficiently well (Salthouse’s ‘limited-time

mechanism’), or – in the case of working memory tasks – because items that are stored away in a

temporary visual or verbal buffer might have decayed from that buffer by the time they are

needed for subsequent processing (Salthouse’s ‘simultaneity mechanism’). Statistically

controlling for speed has indeed been found to reduce the magnitude of age-related differences in

short-term memory/working memory performance (Salthouse, 1991; Verhaeghen & Salthouse,

1997). The speed theory would predict age differences in mere storage tasks (where the limited-

time mechanism operates), and larger age differences still in tasks requiring concurrent

processing and storage (governed by both the limited-time and simultaneity mechanism). The

existence of a simultaneity mechanism would furthermore lead to the prediction that tasks
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requiring reordering (such as backward digit span) yield larger age differences than simple

storage spans.

Fourth, the inhibition theory of cognitive aging (Hasher & Zacks, 1988) states that an

age-related breakdown in inhibitory control leads to an increase in the number of simultaneously

active messages, thereby effectively shrinking the size of short-term memory/ working memory.

With regard to span measures, Hasher and colleagues have suggested that working memory tasks

require successful management of previous information, that is, that in order to be successful on

a span task it is necessary to effectively inhibit stimuli from previous sets (Chiappe, Hasher, &

Siegel, 2000; Lustig, May, & Hasher, 2001; May, Hasher, & Kane, 1999). Therefore, the

inhibition theory would predict that span tasks with repeated information should yield larger age

differences. Consequently, forward digit span and letter span should be more age-sensitive than

word span. Also, tasks that use similar stimuli for storage and processing (i.e., reading span,

listening span, sentence span, computation span) would be expected to yield larger age

differences than tasks that use different stimuli for storage and processing (i.e., operation span).

It should be noted that the status of expected age differences in span measures requiring

reordering (backward digit span) is somewhat unclear. It seems that most developmental theories

(with the exception of the coordination theory) would expect that age differences in these tasks

fall somewhere in between the smaller effect on short-term memory span and the larger effect on

working memory span. While some would place backward digit span closer to working memory

span due to the requirement of effortful processing (Lezak, 1995), others consider it closer to

short-term memory tasks due to it’s similarity to forward digit span (Wechsler, 1955).

All four theories, therefore, agree that age differences should be larger for working

memory span than for short-term memory span. The coordination theory is the only theory that
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does not assume that age differences should emerge in simple storage tasks, although it is not

incompatible with that result. A few predictions, however, are theory-specific: the inhibition

theory is the only theory that makes a clear distinction between the types of items used for recall;

the coordination theory has an all-or-none character claimed by none of the other theories.

The meta-analysis

In the present meta-analysis we extend the findings of the two previously published meta-

analyses (Verhaeghen et al., 1993; Verhaeghen & Salthouse, 1997). Those meta-analyses focused

on effect sizes (i.e., mean standardized differences between younger and older adults or age-by-

span correlations) for broad classes of short-term memory and working memory tasks. Our

analysis involves a more detailed examination of most verbal span measures. The emphasis is on

graphical analysis (see Cerella, Poon, & Williams, 1980, for an early example), that is, span data

were compiled and used to construct a Brinley plot, which displays performance of older adults

on a given span task as a function of performance of younger adults on the same task. This

allows for the examination of span scores in their original metric. The current graphical analysis

allows for examination of variability and consistency across studies utilizing span tasks. In the

context of aging research, Brinley plots have been used to test (and account) for a mathematical

relation between performance of older and younger adults. Very often, it is found that average

performance of a group of older adults can be predicted reliably from the average performance of

a group of younger adults across tasks that measure similar types of processing (e.g., Cerella,

1990; Cerella, Poon, & Williams, 1980; Myerson, Hale, Wagstaff, Poon, 1990; Verhaeghen,

2000; Verhaeghen & Cerella, 2002; Verhaeghen & Marcoen, 1993; Verhaeghen et al., 2002). The

number of mathematical functions needed to adequately explain the data are taken to be an

indication of the number of age-related mechanisms involved (Dunn & Kirsner, 1988).
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It should be noted that, typically, Brinley plots are derived from a wide variety of tasks or

of experimental manipulations (e.g., Cerella, 1994; Verhaeghen, 2000), leading to a wide range

of values on the x-axis. This is not the case for the Brinley analysis performed here: The

difficulty range on the abscissa is presumably generated by minor variations in procedure and by

sampling differences, rather than by careful manipulation of task characteristics. In addition, the

restricted range of span scores might lead to an underestimation of the true young-old

correlations. Also note that although explicit mathematical models exist to explain age effects

and task effects in the context of latency data (e.g., Cerella, 1990; Verhaeghen, 2000; Verhaeghen

& Cerella, 2002), no analytical models have been constructed to deal with age and task effects in

the present context, that of memory span. Therefore, the analyses presented here are primarily

bottom-up, that is, our interpretation of and explanation for age and task effects is built ad hoc

from an examination of the best-fitting linear models.

Method

Sample of studies

Studies were collected by consulting the PsycINFO electronic database, using keywords

such as ‘memory span’ and ‘working memory’. In addition, because many studies on cognition

and aging report span measures as part of the descriptive information about their samples, we

manually examined a sizeable proportion of articles contained in the main journals in the field,

namely Psychology and Aging (volume 1(1) – 17(3)), Journals of Gerontology: Psychological

Sciences (volume 36(1) – 57B(3)), The Gerontologist (volume 26(6) – 42(5)), and Aging,

Neuropsychology, and Cognition (volume 1(1) – 9(2)). The reason for not manually searching

older volumes of the Journals of Gerontology and The Gerontologist was the relative lack of

prevalence of articles examining span in these journals. References cited in selected studies and
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in review papers were used to identify additional studies. All studies were included that (a)

compared a younger (mean age < 30 years old) versus an older (mean age < 60 years old) adult

sample, both groups free of any cognitive problems; and (b) assessed participants on at least one

memory span task. Data collection was concluded in November 2002.

The resulting database includes 123 studies, contained in 104 articles of memory span

and aging. Several studies contained more than one span task. The data set includes 64 studies of

forward digit span, 5 studies of letter span, 13 studies of word span, 57 studies of backwards

digit span, 28 studies of reading span, 12 studies of listening span, 10 studies of sentence span

(reading and listening span data combined), and 14 studies of computation span. The mean age

reported of the younger adults in the articles ranged from 16 to 29 years old (M = 21.2, SD = 2.4)

and ranged from 60.7 to 77.8 years old for older adults (M = 70.1, SD = 2.84). The age

difference between the younger and older adults averaged across all studies had M = 48.8, SD =

3.9. All articles are listed in the reference section, marked with an asterisk. Given the large

sample of studies, we decided not to include the full tabulation of spans by study in the article.

Interested readers can obtain this tabulation under the form of an Excel spreadsheet from either

author.

Brinley Analysis

In Brinley analysis, performance of older adults is plotted as a function of performance of

younger adults (Brinley, 1965; Cerella, Poon, & Williams, 1980). In Brinley space, the diagonal

represents the same score for younger and older adults, or no age difference. In the reaction time

literature, several explicit models have been advanced to explain the shape and parameters of

young-old functions (for an overview, see Cerella, 1990). The relevant interpretable shapes

include a linear function, a power function through the origin (the information-loss model), and a
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quadratic function through the origin with a linear coefficient fixed at unity (the overhead

model). In the present analysis, we decided to only fit linear models, mainly because the

rationales behind the nonlinear models are specific to reaction times, and do not generalize easily

to accuracy. The Brinley analyses were conducted using the weighted least squares algorithm,

weighting for sample size.

Initial Brinley model runs were found to be suspect (viz., small R2s and unusual

parameter values); therefore an outlier analysis using leverage values and Cook’s d was

conducted. For this analysis, we regressed span of older adults on span of younger adults for

each of the three task types (simple storage, reordering, and working memory) separately. Three

data points were identified and removed as outliers from all further analyses. The Cook’s d

values were 1.89 for forward digit span (younger: 9.9, older: 7.8) in Kemper and Sumner (2001),

1.45 for backward digit span (younger: 8.2, older: 5.4) in Kemper and Sumner (2001), and 0.01

for backward digit span (younger: 10.6, older: 8.3) in Fisk, Cooper, Hertzog, Anderson-Garlach,

& Lee (1995). The three studies leverage values were 0.15, 0.08, 0.39, respectively. No obvious

aspects of methodology or subject sampling differentiated these studies from the studies that

remained in the analysis, but we note that the span scores reported for younger adults in each of

these studies is unusually large.

Results

Figure 1 shows the plot of mean span scores of older adults as a function of mean span

scores of younger adults (k = 203). Descriptive statistics on these means are provided in Table 1.

Prior to the full Brinley analysis, we conducted one preliminary analysis to check for method

effects. In this analysis, we compared data from the same types of span tasks, forward digit span

and backward digit span, using different methods, namely: (a) the WAIS versions prior to the
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1981 WAIS-R (k = 17 and 14, for forward digit span and backward digit span, resp.); (b) the

1981 WAIS revision (WAIS-R; k = 15 and 13, resp.); and (c) other methods not disclosed in the

article (k = 30 and 30, resp.). A Brinley plot of the data is provided in Figure 2. As can be seen,

the different methods yield overlapping clouds of data points. One single line sufficed for

forward digit span (R2 = .72; when separate intercepts and slopes for each of the three methods

were entered, ∆R2 = .013; incremental F(4,56) = 0.69, ns). A single line fit the data quite well for

backward digit span (R2 = .78); there were, however, significant differences between methods

(when separate intercepts and slopes for each of the three methods were entered, ∆R2 = .061;

incremental F(4,53) = 4.94, p < .05). The WAIS version of backward digit span separated from

the other two methods. For the WAIS version, the intercept was –0.02 (SE = 0.71) and the slope

was 0.88 (SE = 0.16); the common line for the two other backward digit span methods had an

intercept of 1.89 (SE = 0.31) and a slope of 0.59 (SE = 0.05). The suggestion is that there are no

age differences on backward digit span when measured by the WAIS (the line is statistically

indistinguishable from the diagonal); age differences do emerge when the WAIS-R and other

methods are being used. The number of data-points obtained from studies using the WAIS is

quite small; therefore, we decided not to split the backward digit span measures into subgroups.

Rather, as a control analysis, all Brinley regression analyses reported below were repeated

omitting the WAIS data from the backward digit span pool. This did not change the pattern of the

results.

Model fitting was done incrementally, that is, we started off with a baseline comparison

model (Model 1), assuming that a single regression line suffices to capture the age differences.

Subsequent models (Models 2-3) refined this analysis in a nested fashion, by allowing different

intercepts and slopes for different types of span tasks.


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The baseline model (Model 1) assesses the fit of a single linear regression line.

spanolder = a + b spanyounger. (1)

This model fits the data quite well (R2 = .90). The estimated slope was 1.02 (SE = 0.02) and the

estimated intercept -0.87 (SE = 0.14). The intercept was significantly different from 0; the slope

was not significantly different from 1. This line, then, is parallel to the diagonal, suggesting that,

regardless of the nature of the span task, older adults retain about 1 item less than younger adults.

The mean span score (weighted for sample size) is 5.61 for younger adults, and 4.87 for older

adults.

The second model (Model 2) separates short-term memory tasks (i.e., forward digit span,

backward digit span, word span, and letter span; k = 139) from working memory tasks (i.e.,

computation span, listening span, reading span, and sentence span; k = 64), by allowing distinct

intercepts and slopes for these two sets of tasks. The intercepts were not found to be significant

so the model was run without intercepts. Compared to a single regression line without a constant

(R2 = .985), the second model separating short-term memory and working memory tasks fit

significantly better (R2 = .991; ∆R2 = .006; incremental F(1, 201) = 131.65, p < .05). The slope

was found to equal 0.92 (SE = 0.01) for the short-term memory tasks, and 0.74 (SE = .02) for the

working memory tasks. For both regression lines, the slopes were reliably smaller than 1. The

mean span scores for older adults on the short-term memory span tasks were 6.03 and 3.01 on

the working memory span tasks. For younger adults, these numbers were 6.59 and 4.03,

respectively.

In our third model (Model 3), we separated backwards span scores (k = 57) from the

short-term memory measures requiring simple storage (k = 82), while still keeping working

memory separate. The intercepts for short-term memory and working memory were still not
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found to be significant, so the model was run with only an intercept for backward span. This

third model fits the data significantly better than Model 2 (R2 = .991; ∆R2 = .000; incremental

F(2, 199) = 3.15, p < .05). For the simple storage tasks, the slope equals 0.92 (SE = 0.01). For

backward digit span, the intercept equals 0.76 (SE =0.35) and the slope equals 0.78 (SE = 0.07).

For the working memory tasks, the slope equals 0.74 (SE = 0.02). All slopes, with the exception

of the slope for simple storage tasks, are significantly smaller than 1. The intercept for backward

digit span is significantly larger than 0. Additional splits of the data were considered, but did not

yield significant improvements in model fit.1 This third model then provides the best empirical

account of the data. It is shown in Figure 1, overlaid on the data.

Discussion

The present meta-analysis supports four main conclusions: (a) There are age differences

in all aspects of memory span; (b) there is a mathematical relationship between span of younger

adults and span of older adults; (c) working memory span is more age-sensitive than short-term

memory span; (d) backward digit span is more age-sensitive than short-term memory span, but

less than working memory span.

Reliable age differences in all span tasks

In our Brinley analysis, we found evidence for three groupings of age effects on the

temporary memory buffer (see below). Age effects were significant in all three groupings, as

indicated by intercepts smaller than 0, slopes smaller than 1, or both. Moreover, only 16 out of

the 203 studies included in the Brinley analysis showed a positive age effect (i.e., a higher mean

for older than younger adults). Nine of these were in forward digit span, six in backward digit

span, and one from the reading span task. The evidence points overwhelmingly to the existence

of negative age differences in verbal span measures.


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We note one potential method effect: data gathered using the WAIS and showed a smaller

age deficit in backward digit span than data gathered using other methods, including the later

WAIS-R version. It is unclear what accounts for this effect. It is possible that sampling

differences or cohort effects play a role. It should be noted that approximately 50% of the studies

did not report the methodology used to obtain forward and backward digit span scores, and

therefore true methodological differences could not be tested in the current study.

The mathematical relation between span of older adults and span of younger adults

The Brinley analysis demonstrates that there is a mathematical relation between span of

older adults and span of younger adults. It can be captured well by a linear model. About 93% of

the variance in older adults’ mean span length can be explained by knowing (a) younger adults’

mean span length; and (b) the nature of the task (i.e., whether it concerns a simple storage short-

term memory task, a backward digit span task, or a working memory task). Young adults’ mean

span alone (i.e., without the task type specification) explained 90% of the variance. Such strong

mathematical relations are typically taken as evidence that age differences are quantitative rather

than qualitative (e.g., Cerella, 1994; Cerella et al., 1980; Verhaeghen, 2000). That is, it suggests

that, within each of the three groupings, span of older adults is tightly tied to span of younger

adults, and that whatever variations in procedure and stimuli drives span differences in younger

adults will result in similar effects in older adults.

The linear function is characterized by an intercept that is zero (for simple storage span

and working memory span) or positive (for backward digit span) and a slope smaller than 1. At

first blush, this model seems quite strange: The implication is that larger age differences are

observed for conditions that yield higher spans for younger adults, that is, the conditions that are

presumably easier. This implication goes against the complexity hypothesis (e.g., Cerella, et al.,
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1980; Salthouse, 1991), which states that the more complex or more difficult tasks will yield the

larger age differences.

This apparent discrepancy with the literature becomes understandable if we interpret our

findings as follows: For simple storage span and for working memory span, older adults simply

lose a constant proportion of items, compared to younger adults. That proportion is indicated by

the slope of the linear function, that is, for simple storage span, older adults retain about 90% of

elements in working memory that younger adults can retain; for working memory span, this

proportion goes down to about 75%. The line for backward digit span can be explained as

deriving from a bipartite structure. That is, one interpretation of our findings is to consider the

line for backward span as bifurcating from the line for forward span. Inspection of Figure 1

suggests that the point of bifurcation is close to the point where younger adults retain about 4

items. After this point, age differences increase proportionally with the span of the young2. This

interpretation raises the intriguing possibility that the age deficits in backward digit span may be

related to the size of the focus of attention, which is often believed to be about 4 items (e.g.,

Cowan, 2001). The focus of attention is defined as the number of items held in working memory

that is immediately available and accessible for processing. The interpretation is then that the

size of the focus of attention changes little or not at all with aging; an additional assumption is

that reordering items within the focus of attention occurs at little cost. Specifically, in older

adults, the access processes within the focus of attention appear to be about 95% efficacious

compared to access processes in younger adults; larger age differences (75% relative efficacy)

only emerge when it becomes necessary to shunt items in and out of the focus of attention for

reordering.
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The focus-of-attention interpretation might also explain why age differences are slight in

simple storage tasks: items can be retrieved without shunting, and why they are large in working

memory tasks: in such tasks the focus of attention may shrink to include one and only one item

(e.g., Garavan, 1998; McElree, 2001; Oberauer, 2002), which would necessitate shunting

operations for all items. If this explanation is correct, then age differences in all span tasks might

be explained by a single mechanism, namely the mechanism that drives the 75% information loss

for items stored outside the focus of attention. This could be the simultaneity mechanism of

cognitive slowing (Salthouse, 1996), or mechanisms related to age differences in volume and

activation of the prefrontal cortex (Park, Polk, Mikels, Taylor, & Marshuetz, 2001; Raz, 2000;

Reuter-Lorenz, et al, 2000; Rypma & D'Esposito, 2000). Circumstantial evidence for this model

would include demonstrations of the absence of age differences in retrievability of items within

the focus of attention coupled with an age deficit for availability of items outside the focus of

attention. At least two studies have obtained such results (Verhaeghen & Basak, in press;

Verhaeghen & Hoyer, in press).

Another unusual aspect of the model is that the positive intercept for backward digit span

implies that when the tasks are very difficult and very small span scores are obtained the line will

lie above the diagonal, that is, older adults will actually perform better than younger adults. One

should keep in mind, however, that these are empirical functions and that they are only defined

in the range from which they have been derived. Figure 1 shows that, for each of the task

families, only a few data points actually fall in the span range for which the curves would lie

above the diagonal.


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Working memory span is more age-sensitive than short-term memory span

The Brinley analysis shows confirmation of prior findings of an age-related dissociation

between simple storage span and working memory span. The former yields 95% relative

retention of items in older adults as compared to younger adults; while the latter yields 73%. It

should be noted that although mean span for short-term memory and working memory is quite

different, possibly complicating our Brinley analysis, there is a region on the abscissa, between

the span values of 4 and 6, where data are available for both short-term memory and working

memory measures. Inspection of Figure 1 shows that for that region, there is little overlap

between the data clouds for short-term memory and those for working memory measures. This

vertical spatial separation in a region of horizontal overlap can be taken as additional strong

evidence for the existence of distinct age effects on the two task types (Perfect, 1994).

The raw data show the same effect (Table 1): the average age difference in simple storage

spans combined (weighting for sample size) is 0.59 items; the average age difference in working

memory span is 1.02 items. Anomalies exist, however, at the level of individual tasks: reading

span, a working memory task, shows a small age deficit (0.63 items), whereas letter span, a

simple storage task, shows a large effect (0.97 items). The larger age deficit in letter span may be

due to increased susceptibility to interference with advancing age – many letters sound alike, and

the code of short-term memory for letters is primarily auditory. Reading span also yields the

lowest overall score, and the smaller age deficit in this measure might be caused simply by a

floor effect.

Age differences in backward digit span

The finding of a distinction between forward and backward digit span in the Brinley plot

should be appealing to those researchers that identify short-term memory and working memory
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by task requirements: mere storage (forward digit span) versus reordering (backward digit span).

Previous findings comparing forward and backward digit span have yielded mixed results. In

agreement with the current findings, Sliwinski and Buschke (1999), in a longitudinal study, found 

significant age­related declines on the backwards digit span test, but failed to find age effects on 

the forward digit span. Babcock and Salthouse (1990), in a meta­analysis (14 studies FS/BS), also 

found slightly larger age differences for backward digit span compared to forward digit span. The

current result is, however, not in line with prior meta-analytic reports of equivalent effect sizes

for forward and backward digit span (Verhaeghen, Marcoen, & Goosens, 1993), nor with three

large-sample studies which likewise failed to find an increase in age difference between the

forward and backward digit span over the adult life span (Gregoire & Van der Linden, 1997;

Myerson, Emery, White, & Hale, 2003; Park et al., 2002)3.

Figure 1 suggests a possible source of this discrepancy. The age differences between

mere-storage spans and reordering spans is slight, and are only observed when the reordering

span task yields scores of 6 or higher for younger adults. Under typical conditions, in which

reordering span scores of younger adults are close to 6 (see Table 1) our model predicts that age

differences will not be observed. As such, the age difference in backward digit span (0.54) and

forward digit span (0.53) are not significantly different by examining averaged data.

Summary and outlook

In summary, we found that adult age differences are present in all span measures, that is,

in tasks requiring mere storage (short-term memory) as well as in tasks requiring storage and

processing (working memory). Simple storage span tasks yield smaller age effects than working

memory span tasks (this replicates results of earlier meta-analyses; Verhaeghen et al., 1993;

Verhaeghen & Salthouse, 1997), the age effects of reordering tasks (only backward digit span in
Span and Aging Meta-Analysis
20
the current study) fall in between. These results are in line with most of the aging theories

described in the introduction. Inhibition theory, however, predicts larger age differences in

forward and backward digit span than in other mere storage tasks, and this was not the case

(Table 1). Coordination theory does not predict the observed dissociation between digit span

backward and digit span forward.


Span and Aging Meta-Analysis
21
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Author notes

Kara L. Bopp and Paul Verhaeghen, Department of Psychology and Center for Health and

Behavior, Syracuse University. Kara Bopp is currently at Hamilton College.

This research was supported in part by a grant from the National Institute on Aging (AG-

16201). The research was conducted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the first

author’s doctoral degree. We thank John Cerella and Martin Sliwinski for helpful comments on

earlier versions of this paper.

Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Kara Bopp, Department of

Psychology, 198 College Hill Road, Clinton, NY 13323; or Paul Verhaeghen, Department of

Psychology, 430 Huntington Hall, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York 13244-2340.

Electronic mail may be sent to kbopp@hamilton.edu, or pverhaeg@psych.syr.edu.


Span and Aging Meta-Analysis
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Footnotes
1
There is some heterogeneity in methods to estimate span. To assess the effect of

these discrepancies, the models were reestimated, including only those studies that

utilized exactly identical procedures within each type of span task (k = 126). The

procedures included used two or three trials per length in serial order. Computation span

procedure required math to be generated orally and memory for the second digit in the

equation (Salthouse & Babcock, 1991). Listening span required auditory presentation and

memory for the last word (Salthouse & Babcock, 1991). Reading span procedure had

visual presentation and memory for the last word without any additional task beyond

reading (Hartley, 1986). Sentence span procedure was same as described by Stine and

Wingfield (1990) combining previously mentioned reading span and listening span.

Letter span could not be included due to heterogeneity in procedures. Word span

procedure required auditory presentation and oral participant response. Finally, WAIS and

WAIS-R procedures were included for forward digit span and backward digit span

(Wechsler, 1955; 1981). The model fits were not significantly better compared to

previous analysis (without intercepts); R2 = .988, R2 = .992, R2 = .993 for Model 1, 2, and

3, respectively, and the parameter values did not differ substantially from those obtained

on the full sample of studies. The analysis suggests that procedural differences are not

responsible for the observed variability among span scores.


2
To be exact, forward digit span and backward digit span regression lines cross at

Span Younger = 3.42.


3
One of the reviewers mentioned the possibility that the aggregation of digit

forward span with word span and letter span might account for the discrepancy between
Span and Aging Meta-Analysis
43
our result and the large-scale individual studies mentioned above. To test for this

possibility, we ran a regression analysis allowing separate slopes within simple storage

span (forward digit span versus word and letter span), in addition to the functions for

backward span and working memory span already included in our final model. The

model fit was significantly better than that of the final model, R2 = .992; ∆R2 = .000;

incremental F(1, 198) = 8.10, p < .01). For forward span, the slope equaled 0.93 (SE =

0.01), and the slope for word span and letter span combined equaled 0.86 (SE = 0.03).

Therefore, the relationship between simple storage span and backward span was not

altered by the separation of forward digit span from word and letter span.
Span and Aging Meta-Analysis
44
Table 1.

Means, Medians, Standard Deviations, Minimum, and Maximum Span Scores for Younger and

Older Adults Included in the Brinley Analyses, weighted for sample size.

Note. k = number of studies.


Task Age group k Mean SD Min Max Age
difference
Forward digit span Younger 64 7.59 0.99 5.91 10.50 0.53
Older 7.06 1.02 4.19 9.80
Word span Younger 13 5.17 0.47 4.29 6.02 0.65
Older 4.52 0.37 3.90 5.15
Letter span Younger 5 5.86 0.32 5.09 6.43 0.97
Older 4.89 0.30 4.47 5.30
Backward digit span Younger 57 5.88 1.10 4.40 8.93 0.54
Older 5.34 0.96 4.04 8.00
Computation span Younger 14 4.58 1.14 3.28 6.70 1.54
Older 3.04 1.05 1.83 5.18
Listening span Younger 12 3.74 0.58 2.85 5.40 1.27
Older 2.47 0.47 1.66 4.30
Reading span Younger 28 3.49 0.57 2.40 5.00 0.63
Older 2.86 0.49 2.01 4.30
Sentence span Younger 10 4.81 0.65 2.70 5.30 1.01
Older 3.80 0.53 2.32 4.50
Span and Aging Meta-Analysis
45
Figure Captions

Figure 1. Brinley plot of young-old span scores, overlaid with the best fitting linear model,

assuming three separate lines (STM = short-term memory, i.e., simple storage, regression line

indicated by full ine; BS = backward digit span, regression line indicated by dashed line; and

WM = working memory, regression line indicated by dotted line).

Figure 2. Brinley plot of young-old span scores: (a) forward digit span, separated by assessment

method (WAIS prior to the 1981 revision; WAIS-R; and non-WAIS procedures); (b) backward

digit span, separated by assessment method (WAIS prior to the 1981 revision; WAIS-R; and non-

WAIS procedures).
Span and Aging Meta-Analysis
46

Figure 1

12
STM

BS
10
WM

Regression
STM
8 Regression
BS
Regression
WM
6

Span Older
4

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Span Younger
Span and Aging Meta-Analysis
47
Figure 2.

12

10

8
fds
WAIS
6
WAIS-R
Span Older
4

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Span Younger

12

10

8 bds
WAIS
6 WAIS-R

Span Older Other


4 WAIS

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Span Younger

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