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GCE Examinations Advanced Subsidiary / Advanced Level

Statistics Module S2

Paper A

MARKING GUIDE

This guide is intended to be as helpful as possible to teachers by providing concise solutions and indicating how marks should be awarded. There are obviously alternative methods that would also gain full marks. Method marks (M) are awarded for knowing and using a method. Accuracy marks (A) can only be awarded when a correct method has been used. (B) marks are independent of method marks.

Written by Shaun Armstrong & Chris Huffer

Solomon Press
These sheets may be copied for use solely by the purchasers institute.

S2 Paper A Marking Guide


1. (a) (b) median = 125 m IQR = middle half = 25 m (or 137.5 112.5) e.g. likely to have higher prob. dens. near median and some values more than 25 m away from median = 1 F(5) = 1 f(x) = F (x) = f(x) = (c) f(x)
1 4 1 32 1 64 1 64

A1 M1 A1 B2 M1 A1 M1 A1 A1 (5)

2.

(a) (b)

(80 25) =

9 64

(16 2x) 0 x 8, otherwise.

(8 x),

0,

O 3. (a)

B3

(8)

e.g. requests for repairs likely to occur singly, at random and at a constant rate = 180 = 4.5 40 let X = no. of repairs per day X ~ Po(4.5) (i) P(X = 0) = 0.0111 (ii) P(X > 6) = 1 P(X 6) = 1 0.8311 = 0.1689 let Y = no. of days he repairs more than 6 Y ~ B(10, 0.1689) P(Y = 3) = 10C3(0.1689)3(0.8311)7 = 0.158 (3sf) e.g. quicker; may not be able to get all pupils to respond school roll let X = no. of students who play tennis X ~ B(120, H0 : p =
1 20 1 20

B3 A1

(b)

A1 M1 A1 M1 M1 A1 B2 B1 ) M1 B1 M1 M1 A1 A1 A1 (10) (10)

(c)

4.

(a) (b) (c)

H1 : p

1 20

Using Po approx. X ~ Po(6) P(X 2) = 0.0620; P(X 10) = 0.9574 C.R. is X 2 or X 11 (d) 0.0620 + 0.0426 = 0.1046

S2A MARKS page 2

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5.

(a)

let X = no. out of 10 shares that have gone up X ~ B(10, 0.35) (i) P(X = 6) = 0.9740 0.9051 = 0.0689 (ii) P(> 5 gone down) = P(X 4) = 0.7515 let Y = no. out of 80 shares that have gone down Y ~ B(80, 0.65) N approx. D ~ N(52, 18.2) P(Y > 55) P(D > 55.5) = P(Z > 55.5 52 ) = P(Z > 0.82)
18.2

M1 M1 A1 M1 A1 M1 M1 A1 M1 A1 A1 B1 B1 M1 A1 M1 A1 M1 A1 B1 M1 A1 A1 (11)

(b)

= 1 0.7939 = 0.2061 6. (a) (b) (c) Poisson with = 4 e.g. more people shopping probably sell more so higher (i) (ii) (iii) (d) let X = no. of sales per hour X ~ Po(4) P(X > 4) = 1 P(X 4) = 1 0.6288 = 0.3712 let Y = no. of sales per half-hour Y ~ Po(2) P(Y = 0) = 0.1353 (0.3712)3 = 0.0511 (3sf)

H0 : = 4 H 1 : > 4 P(X 7) = 1 P(X 6) = 1 0.8893 = 0.1107 more than 5% not significant, insufficient evidence of increase

(12)

7.

(a)

k[ 1 t3 + 2t] 0 = 1 3 k[(9 + 6) (0)] = 1; 15k = 1; k = (b) f(t)


11 15 2 15

3 0

k(t2 + 2) dt = 1
3

M1 A1
1 15

M1 A1

O (c) (d) 3 E(T) = = = (e) E(T 2) = = = Var(T) =

B3 A1

3 0

1 t 15 (t2 + 2) dt =

1 15

1 15 1 15

[ 1 t4 + t2] 0 4

3 0

t3 + 2t dt

M1 M1 A1

[( 81 + 9) (0)] = 4
3

39 20

or 1.95
1 15

M1 A1 t4 + 2t2 dt M1 A1 M1 A1

1 t2 15 (t2 + 2) dt =

3 1 1 5 [ t + 2 t3] 0 15 5 3 1 [( 243 + 18) (0)] = 111 15 5 25 39 2 255 51 111 ( 20 ) = 400 = 80 = 25

3 0

0.6375

M1 A1 Total (19) (75)

std. dev = 0.6375 = 0.798 (3sf)

Solomon Press

S2A MARKS page 3

Performance Record S2 Paper A

Question no. Topic(s)

1
rect. dist.

2
c.d.f., p.d.f.

3
Poisson, binomial

4
sampling, Po appr. to binomial, hyp. test

5
binomial, N approx.

6
Poisson, hyp. test

7
p.d.f., mode, mean, variance

Total

Marks Student

10

10

11

12

19

75

S2A MARKS page 4

Solomon Press

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