Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SCORING MODEL consumer credit risk assessing creditworthiness (ie. predicting delinquency)
CREDIT SCORE Statistically based model for attributing a number score to a candidate which indicates the predicted probability that it will exhibit a certain behavior.
CBIP
building retro t precedents
Identify catalytic issues in current zoning, green initiatives and building precedents.
3. recommendation
Propose probability of future design performance and social value assessing failure potential (and success)
likelihood
impact
uncertainty
projection of multiple design scenarios [measuring uncertainty] probability assigned to design scenarios
-vs-
uncertainty tied to a value currency [measuring risk] probability and value currency assigned to design scenarios [ SCENARIO EXCHANGE MARKET ]
RISK
Deficiencies of Scoring Methods. measurement as an act of reducing uncertainty; not achieving an exact quantity.
Ranking on an Ordinal Scale Relative order of whats being assessed Scores de ne an isolated rank-order
excellent
very good
good
fair
Additive Weighted Scores (Point System Rating) Addition of mutiple rank-order scores to produce an aggregate score
[ rank order scores ]
good
very good
[ aggregate score ]
only units of measure apply Mathematical laws of addition dont apply to rank-order scores
excellent
high
[ ordinal scale ]
Consequence
likelihood
impact
[ aggregate score ]
RISK
low
unlikely
likely
very likely
perceived likelihood
likelihood
[ probability of frequency ]
[ vector]
impact
[ magnitude of intensity ]
[ vector ]
RISK
[ design scenario ]
RISKworth
[ vector space ]
pa r] ct
cto
[ vector space ]
RISKworth
threat
vulnerability
consequence
[ aggregate score ]
RISK
im
[ ve
[ vector ]
RISK
likelihood
[ vector]