Scotland

50

35 year trend
40

Support for independence (%)

50

Four in ten support independence but half oppose*

Q: Do you agree that Scotland should be an independent country?
Yes No yes 39% undecided 11% no 50%

INTRODUCTION OF THE POLL TAX IN SCOTLAND

DEVOLUTION REFERENDUM

SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT OPENS SNP FORM MINORITY GOVERNMENT SNP FORM MAJORITY GOVERNMENT

40

30

30

20
DEVOLUTION REFERENDUM

20

10

10

0 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

0 2012

Gender
60

Age

Deprivation of area

Born in Scotland?

Devolution Max

For better for worse

Who are you?

Scottish or British
More Scottish Scottish Equally not than Scottish British British & British More British than

40

65%
10%

59%
87% 24%

20

have heard of Devolution Max

think that there should be a separate Devo Max question on the ballot

37%
Oppose 38%

Q: Do you think the following will improve, stay the same of get worse?
If Scotland were to become independent

think the ballot should only contain one question

Support 57% Personal finance Job security* Scottish economy Scotlands world standing

By demographic

In the next 5 years

British not

Scottish Scottish

men women

18-24 25-34 35-54 55+

most

least

yes

no

Support for Devolution Max (%)

71%

+4% -1% -5% +22%

-14% -7% -11% +9%

All Scottish born Support independence Oppose Independence

24% 28% 46% 8%

30% 34% 31% 26%

31% 32% 15% 44%

4% 2% 3% 6%

7% 3% 3% 12%

43%

have definitely decided to vote No

29%

have definitely decided to vote Yes

29%

are undecided or might change their mind

* based on all those who are certain to vote in a referendum (780)

Support independence

Overall

Oppose independence

* based on all currently in work (546)

Referendum timescale
Q: When should the referendum be held?
50 40 30 20 10 0 50 40 30 20 10 0

Party support for...

Independence Devolution Max

Alex Salmond Vs...

Q: Who should lead the no campaign?

Technical details
Results are based on an Ipsos MORI survey of 1,005 adults (18+) living in Scotland Fieldwork dates: 27th January 29th January 2012 conducted by telephone Data are weighted by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS 2007-2008 data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of dont know categories Results are based on all respondents (1,005) unless otherwise stated

80 60 40 20 0

80 60 40 20 0

55%
25%
Cameron

of Scots could not name someone

of those who could...

9%

Lamont

7%

Darling

2012

2013

2014

2015

Never

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