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Policy Overview
Fixed, Cellular Mobile policies delivered objectives of rate reduction, coverage and affordability Broadband Policy 2004 defines Broadband as:
Always on internet connection with a minimum download speed of 128 kbps connectivity (now redefined in framework) All telecom policies are neutral to choice of technologies
Overall penetration:
Karachi is 0.319% Lahore is 0.48 % Islamabad 0.6% The situation in rest of country is more poor. Smaller cities are showing 0% penetration or second degree of decimal on maximum at best
Policy Stocktaking
Critical Mass of fixed line infrastructure achieved:
3 undersea cables, Fiber connectivity up to 1200 cities, 4 Fiber optic backbone networks Substantial improvement in customer choices, prices and reach Reach and penetration of upto + 75% population (80.3 m subscribers) 70% geographic coverage Network expansion and roll-out on accelerated pace
Besides PTCL and NTC, Wateen, Linkdot, WOL,World Call Brain-net are few Broadband Service Provider owning some infrastructure
Poor availability of Local content Poor availability of quality and need-based e-services
Supply Side:
Non-availability of dependable power supply Relevant wireless coverage and spectrum Quality of Access Low Corporate absorption strength
Do we have enough demand pull and supply push to proliferate broadband beyond developed countries?
Opportunities
Critical Mass of Infrastructure available
Reach of high capacity fiber upto 45% Tehsils. Very good coverage of above 80 %
Universal Service Fund Co (USF) taking infrastructure to rural and un-served areas R&D Fund Co working towards improvement of intellectual capital to create critical mass of R&D within the country Can we capitalize on these opportunities and leapfrog the developed world?
Future Trends
Broadband will be an individual need Fixed broadband Service and Wireless broadband will co-exist. Wireless may catch up at a faster pace After 2010, the global broadband user number would exceed the 1 billion mark with 6 billion population. This means that every one person out of 6 would be an individual broadband user In Pakistan, broadband delivery in mobile sector is hardly moving from low speed data rate to high speed data rate delivery systems like HSPA, WIMAX (various segments) and other wireless options. Economic uptake can lead to 3/4 Cellular Broad-Band. Today there are about 400 million broadband subscribers worldwide and among them nearly 160 million are using mobile broadband Are we on-track to meet challenges of upcoming future trends?
for
Citizens
With the help of Govt/USF operator efforts, the target 1.6M may be achieved till 2010 (including Broadband for schools, colleges, institutions etc) and 5% penetration by 2015
Overcoming the initial delays USF Co would be on accelerated broadband pace beyond 2010. Pakistan may assume a very good position in the global ICT setup by 2015
Sustained efforts will improve country ranking vis--vis WSIS indicators from Low to Medium average country. International IP bandwidth consumption may rise from current 7Gbps to 3035 Gbps by 2010 and over 100 Gbps (2015) Low income society segment may also benefit once affordable broadband is ensured Is this Vision realizable or optimistic?
Description
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
250,000
380,000
500,000
Wireless
50,000
150,000
400,000
1000,000
200,000
400,000
780,000
1500,000
Continuity of policy adopted for 14 LL regions, LDI and integrated licenses in broadband framework Benchmark availability of at least three BSPs in each region
Conclusions
The Future is High Speed Broadband. Focus would be on all Fixed and Wireless Technologies. Government is fully Cognizant of the Trends Revised implementation Framework has been developed through stakeholder consultation
Sensitivity, business and policy options analysis already conducted Study has been circulated and accommodates all options
Should Pakistan Leapfrog the Developed World in Broadband penetration? There is no definite answer
Challenge indeed exists