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Capital Budgeting
Presented By:Amarinder Singh Manan Sharma Arvind Kumar Indorjot singh Mohit singla MBA General (Sec-A)
Case Study-1
1.
2.
The company is situated in Western India. Its sales are expected to grow about three times from Rs 360 million in 2003-04 to Rs 1,100 million in 2004-05.
The company is considering of commissioning a 35 km pipeline between two areas to carry gas to a state electricity board. The project will cost Rs 250 million. The pipeline will have capacity of 2.5MMSCM. The company will enter into a contract with the state electricity board (SEB) to supply gas. The revenue from the sale to SEB is expected to be Rs 120 million per annum.
3. 4. 5. 6.
7.The pipeline will also be used for transportation of LNG to other users in the area. This is expected to bring additional revenue of Rs 80 million per annum.
8.The company management considers the useful life of the pipeline to be 20 years.
9.The financial manager estimates cash profit to sales ratio of 20% per annum for the first 12 years of the projects operations and 17% per annum for the remaining life of the project. 10.The project has no salvage value. The project being in a backward area is exempt from paying any taxes. The company requires a rate of return of 15 per cent from the project.
Discussion Questions:
1. What is the projects payback and ARR? 2. Compute the projects NPV and IRR. 3. Should the project be accepted? Why?
Particulars
Cost of project (Rs million) Revenue from SEB (Rs million) Revenue from other users (Rs million) Total revenue (Rs million)
Cumulative Year Cash Cash flows flows (in mm.) (Rs mm.)
250 120 80 200 40 34 37.6 125 30.1% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 -250 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 -250 -210 -170 -130 -90 -50 -10 30 70 110
Cash profit,20% from year 1 to 12 (Rs million) Cash profit, 17% from year 13 to 20 (Rs million) Average cash profit (Rs million)
Average investment (Rs million) ROI ARR
Payback
15%
10
40
150
PV of cash profit, year 1 to 12 (Rs million) PV of cash profit, year 13 to 20 (Rs million) NPV (Rs million)
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
190 230 264 298 332 366 400 434 468 502
Pay back
Case Study-2
OPTION 1 :
BUY: 4 Machines CAPACITY:30,000 tanks per year COST: Rs.15 million each MANUFACTURING COST OF TANK: Rs. 535
OPTION 2 : BUY: 1 Machine CAPACITY: 1,20,000 tanks per year. COST: Rs.120 million MANUFACTURING COST OF TANK: Rs.400
The Company has a required rate of return of 12 percent and it does not pay any taxes.
Problems for Discussion: P.1:- Which option shall the company accept? P.2:- Why do you think that the method chosen by you is the most suitable method in evaluating the proposed investment? Give the computation of the alternative methods.
Considering Alternative-1
Number of tanks 1,20,000
Price (Rs)
Revenue(Rs million)(1,20,000*700) Small machines Cost of four small machines(Rs million) (15 * 4) Op. and mfg. cost(Rs) Total Op. and mfg. cost(Rs million) (0.12 * 535) Net revenue (Rs million) (84 - 64.2) Discount rate
700
84 60 535 64.2 19.8 12%
6
4.1114 81.4 21.4 24%
Considering Alternative-2
Large machine Cost of large machine (Rs million) Op. and mfg. cost (Rs) Total op. and mfg. cost (Rs million) (0.12 * 400) Net revenue (Rs million) (84-48) Discount rate Project life (years) PVFA 6, 12% PV of cash inflows (Rs million) (36 * 4.114) NPV (Rs million) (148 - 120) IRR 120 400 48 36 12% 6 4.1114 148 28.0 20%
Incremental Approach
Incremental cash flows Cost (Rs million) (120 - 60) Net revenue (Rs million) (36 - 19.8) 60 16.2
Discount rate
Project life (years) PVFA 6, 12% PV of cash inflows (Rs million) (16.2 * 4.114) NPV (Rs million) (66.6 - 60) IRR
12%
6 4.1114 66.6 6.60 16%
INTERPRETATIONS
As we observe from the tables, NPV is greater in case of the alternative of buying the larger machine whereas IRR is greater in the case of alternative of buying smaller machines. This leads to a conflicting situation.
The reason is while the NPV method is based on the total yield/earnings/NPV, IRR are concerned with the rate of return/earnings on investment. .
The NPV method is conceptually superior to that of the IRR method as the former has the virtue of having a uniform rate which can be consistently applied to all investment proposals.
While IRR method is not compatible with the objective of financial decision making of the firm, the recommendation of NPV is consistent with the goal of the firm of maximizing shareholders wealth.
The NPV method is the more suitable method of evaluation so we will select the alternative of buying larger machine .
The conflict between NPV and IRR can be resolved by modifying the IRR (by adopting the incremental approach)to give results identical to the NPV method. The logic is that the firm would get the profits promised by the smaller outlay investment project plus the profit on the incremental investments required in the project involving larger outlay.
As the IRR of differential cash flow exceeds the required rate of return so we would select the project having greater investment outlays. By this convention we would choose the alternative of selecting the larger machine as it involves greater investment outlays.
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