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Sunspot Cycle and War & Violence

A.L. Tchijevsky, a Russian professor of Astron


omy and Biological Physics, compiled the hist
ories of 72 countries from 500 BC to 1922 AD
to provide a strong database to articulate his
correlations. After rating the most significant
events, Tchijevsky found that fully 80% of the
most significant human events, mostly relate
d to war and violence, occurred during the 5
years or so of maximum sunspot activity.

Events Around Heights of Sunspot Cycle


1776
79

American Revolution

1788
91

French Revolution, US Constitution

1803
06

Napoleon conquers Europe

1815
17

Two wars to defeat Napoleon; German, English and


Serbian riots; Brazil, Chile and Argentina declare
independence

1828
32

Revolts in Turkey, Mexico, Belgium, Poland, France, Britain;


Virginia slave
revolt

1837
40

Constitutional revolts in Canada, slavery debate outlawed


in US, Texas
Independence, Boer separatists occupy African lands,
British-Afghan war;
Opium War

1848
51

Revolts and revolutions in Poland, Switzerland, Paris,


Vienna, Berlin, Milan,

Events Around Heights of Sunspot Cycle


1869
72

Franco-Prussian War; Paris Revolutionary Commune

1883
86

Big US labor strikes, revolt in Sudan, First Indian Congress


meets

1893
95

Zulu revolt, Cuban revolution

1905
08

German miners, Hottentots, Turks, Indians, Honduras,


Russians revolt

1916
18

World War I, Irish and Indian revolts, Russian Revolution

1927
31

Mussolini and Hitler build power on economic unrest;


revolts in Vienna, China; formation of Red Army; Spanish
Republic formed; mass civil disobedience in India

1937
40

US steel strike, Spanish Civil War, Germany and Japan start


World War II,
mass civil disobedience in India

1947
51

Greek Civil War, First Israeli-Arab War, Indian-Pakistani


riots, Red Army

Events Around Heights of Sunspot Cycle


1967
69

Height of Vietnam War, peace demonstrations, worldwide


student uprisings, Chinese cultural revolution continues,
Czechoslovakian uprising/USSR invasion, US inner city
riots, Israeli Arab war, Woodstock and height of hippy
movement

1979
82

Polish Solidarity takes off, US anti-tax movement reaches


heights and elects Reagan, Shah of Iran overthrown, IraqIran war begins, USSR invades Afghanistan, Falklands War,
Sandinistas oust Somas, Zimbabwe gains independence,
anti-nuclear and peace demonstrations increase worldwide

1989
91

Chinese student uprising crushed, peaceful revolutions in


Eastern Europe, dissolution of Soviet Union/end of
Communist Party domination, Saddam Hussein invades
Kuwait, end of apartheid in South Africa, beginnings of
patriot and militia movements in US, Somalia civil war,
Yugoslavia begins slaughter in Bosnia, Sandinistas lose
Nicaraguan elections, First Gulf War

2000
02

September 11, 2001 Terrorist attacks on World Trade


Center/Pentagon and Second Gulf War

Sunspot Cycle and Economic Depressio


n
There was a rather strong connection betw
een major recession and the peaks of the s
unspot cycles. There was one major except
ion, the last Great Depression, the bottom o
f which (1933) can be seen in the trough bet
ween sunspot peaks. The collapse of the st
ock market, however, paralleled right on th
e peak of the solar cycle in late 1929.

Is there a correlation between sunspot cycle and Dow Jones I


ndustrial?

Not really, the only direct connection that a


ppears is as a breaking signal. During the
sunspot peak, the speculative Bull Run bub
bles in stock break and an economic reces
sion begins fairly soon thereafter. This ofte
n leaves the stock prices headed down even
while sunspots are still rising. This destroys
any statistical averages which can be used f
or prediction.

11 Year Sunspot Cycle & Stock Market


During the 20th Century, the peak of stock
market will be usually 3 to 6 months ahea
d of the peak of sunspot cycle. There is o
nly one wrong prediction in the past whic
h was in 1957.

Sunspot and Stock Market 1800 to 1900

Sunspot and Stock Market 1900 to 2000

Sunspot Cycle and Interest Rate


The US 13 Week Treasury Bill rate peaked
at the same time as the sunspot during th
e last several decades

Sunspot and US 13 Week Treasury Note Yiel


d

Sunspot and Soybean Price


If the sunspot cycle does affect the weath
er and in turn how well soybean grows th
en we would expect the variations to be g
o beyond optimum condition in two direc
tions (be it too hot and too cold or too we
t and too dry) and therefore in one sunsp
ot cycle there would be two cycles in soyb
ean growth.

Sunspot & Soybean 1959 to 2006

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