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Dave Becker
US Army Corps of Engineers
Omaha, Nebraska
402-697-2655
dave.j.becker@usace.army.mil
Project Risk?
What happened to my dozer?
Figure 1-3
10
11
What is RRM?
Site investigation
Remedy selection
Remedy implementation
Site closure
12
Planning
Executing
Verifying
13
Part of
Figure 1-1
Overall Remediation
Project Success
14
Project Risk
Project Decisions
15
Project Risk
Part of
Figure 1-1
Project Decisions
16
17
All programs
Sump removal at
a plating shop
CERCLA
RCRA
UST
Brownfields
All sizes of
project
18
t ic
Pr
ac
ion
Re
me
dia
t
PBEM - 2004
Be
tt
er
ng
eri
RPO Team
2001-2005
RRM Team
2008 - 2010
RRM - 2008
e
gin
En
SC&M Team
2002-2007
GSR
2009
GSR Team
2009 - 2011
lue
Va
Performance-Based
Environmental Management
2004-2007
es
ITRC Teams:
SC&M Sampling, Characterization and
Monitoring
GSR Green and Sustainable Remediation
RRM Risk and Remediation Management RPO Remediation Process Optimization
19
RRM
considered
20
PA
SI
RI
Define
Characterize
Problem
Site and
and Land
develop
Use
CSM
ROD
FS
Risk
Management
Strategy
Objectives
Analysis
Decision
Logic
Exit Strategy
RA-D
RA-C
Contracting
Strategy
RA-O
LTM
SC
Remediation
Process
Optimization
Validate
the
Decision
Identify
implementation
Risks
Identify, Evaluate,
Mitigate, Monitor and
Report Risks
21
Figure A-1
22
Monitored Natural
Attenuation (MNA) and
Land Use Controls
(LUCs) most popular
Alternate
Concentration Limits
(ACLs) least common
ACLs
Co
mb
ina
tio
Other
MNA
n
Land Use
Controls
Additional
Modeling
er
v
i
a
W
I
T
Long-Term
Monitoring
Figure A-2
Source: Aug/Sep 2008 RRM Team State Survey
23
24
What is RRM?
25
Manage/control inherent
project risks
26
27
Site
Characterization
Remedial
Alternatives
Evaluation
Remedy
Selection
Remedy
Performance
Remedy
Complete
Long-Term
Managemen
t
CERCLA/
Superfund
Remedial
Investigation
Feasibility
Study or
EE/CA
ROD
Remedial
Action
Response
Complete
LTM/LTMgt/
LTMO
Corrective
Measures
Implementatio
n
Certification
of Remedy
Completion
or
Construction
Complete
Post
Closure
Care
RCRA
UST/ LUST
State
RCRA Facility
Investigation
Corrective
Measures
Study
RCRA
Permit
Varies by State
28
29
30
31
32
Department of Energy
Department of Defense
Environmental Protection Agency
33
risk identification
Evaluation
Mitigation
Monitoring
Reporting
Project
Risk
34
Objectives
35
Remedy/technology performance
Prior to remedy selection
Post-remedy implementation
Human health
Environmental/ecological
Regulatory
Economic
Project schedule, staffing,
financials
Legal
Political, geographic, and social
See Section 3.0, Project Risk Management for Site Remediation (RRM-1)
36
Objectives
risks)
37
Guideline for
Qualitative Assessment
You would be surprised if this happened.
Unlikely
Likely
Very Likely
38
Significant
Critical
Low risk
Crisis
Very unlikely
Low risk
Low risk
Low risk
High risk
Unlikely
Low risk
Low risk
Likely
Low risk
High risk
High risk
Very likely
Low risk
Moderate risk High risk
High risk
Table 2-3. Example Qualitative Evaluation of a Project Risk
High risk
39
Risk ID #
Risk title
Risk event description
Likelihood
Project objective #1
(e.g., cost)
Impact
Risk level
Project objective #2
(e.g., schedule)
Table 4-2. Example of a Completed Risk
Impact
Registry, Project Risk Management for Site
Risk level
Remediation (RRM-1)
40
Objectives
41
42
Objectives
43
Objectives
Inform decision-makers
Document risk analysis and basis for decisions
44
meetings
45
46
47
48
Key Questions/Analyses
Identification
Evaluation
Mitigation
Monitoring
Reporting
49
RRM analysis?
Who is responsible for implementing
mitigation strategy, monitoring and
reporting?
What group of stakeholders are
involved in different steps of the
RRM process?
Will results be shared with all
stakeholders?
Which stakeholders make
decisions regarding acceptable
project risks?
Figure 1-3
50
Checklists, worksheets
Valuable tools for assessing and recording
Risk register
Compile risks and consequences for cost,
51
Response
(yes/no)
Comments
52
Date prepared:
Critical
Risk Level
High
See Table 4-1, Project Risk Management for Site Remediation (RRM-1)
53
High
Likelihood of schedule
impacts:
Schedule impacts:
Schedule risk level:
Risk mitigation strategy:
Likely
Critical
High
Ensure site characterization data are adequate to allow
optimal oxidizing reagent injection design and
implementation. Conduct treatability studies to refine
remedial design. Drill test borings during and after
injection to evaluate and verify penetration and coverage
of reagent into the contaminated media. Develop realistic
performance criteria.
See Table 4-1, Project Risk Management for Site Remediation (RRM-1)
54
If mitigation is warranted
If not
55
UPS-2
Excavation
Uncertainty
UPS-3
In situ
Chemical
Oxidation
Effectiveness
See Table D-3, Project Risk Management for Site Remediation (RRM-1)
56
57
58
Illustrative Example
Introduction
RRM Overview & Roadmap
RRM Principles & Elements
Planning & Implementation
1st Question and Answer Break
Illustrative Example
59
redevelopment
Nearby residential neighborhoods
Hydrogeology
Alluvial sands, clay layers, over
weathered shale
Groundwater at ~20 feet bgs
Downgradient 450-gpm production
well
60
Site investigation
TCE, 1,1,1-TCA, Cr(VI) impacted groundwater, soils
Detected TCE in municipal well
Remedy selection
Groundwater hot-spot treatment using in situ chemical
oxidation (ISCO) with appropriate oxidant
Excavation of hot spot
metals-contaminated soil
Wellhead treatment using air
stripping, vapor-phase granular
activated carbon (GAC)
Net present value
~ $0.63 million
61
62
63
Environmental/ecological project
risks
Greenhouse gas emissions
Excavation equipment
ISCO equipment, chemical
production
Wellhead treatment pumps
Project team commute trips
Consumption of landfill space
64
Redevelopment economics
65
UPS-5
In situ Chemical Oxidation Effectiveness
Incomplete contact may result in contaminant
concentrations in the source area not being reduced
uniformly to target levels, requiring additional
mobilizations to the site by the ISCO contractor or
remedy changes.
Date prepared:
Critical
Risk Level
High
See Tables D-2, Project Risk Management for Site Remediation (RRM-1)
66
Significant
Likely
High
Significant
Likely
High
Critical
Likely
High
Marginal
Unlikely
Low
Significant
Unlikely
Moderate
See Table D-3, Project Risk Management for Site Remediation (RRM-1)
67
68
architecture
Financial contingencies
for additional injection
events
Excavation encountering
drums, debris
Conduct pre-excavation
geophysical survey
Have equipment/materials
for debris removal on-site
69
70
use of oxidant
Proper equipment sizing, variable-speed drive
motors
71
Regulatory
Coordinate early with regulators to streamline submittal
and review process for plans and reports
Reimburse regulatory oversight costs
Economic
Early involvement of municipal authorities
regarding future zoning plans
Phasing of project to accelerate
redevelopment of parts of the site
72
73
Displaced by excavation
Separate-phase solvent (dense non-aqueous
phase liquid) encountered at top of
fractured/weathered rock
Report occurrence to
management,
stakeholders
Reconsider risk of
remedy failure
Evaluate management
options
74
Presentation Overview
Introduction
RRM Overview & Roadmap
RRM Principles & Elements
Planning and Implementation
1st Question and Answer Break
Illustrative Example
Case Studies & Conclusion
Remedy design: Industrial Facility in CA
Remedy selection: Hill Air Force Base
Remedy implementation: NPL Site
Remedy operation: LLNL Site 300
Conclusion
2nd Question and Answer Break
75
76
Site setting
77
Evaluation
Risk Management
78
Component
Piping
What If
Hazard /
Operability
Concern
Consequence
Safeguard
Piping leaks
Reduced flow to
treatment system;
Worker exposure to
contaminated water
Verify secondary
containment pipe
requirement. Install pipe
as per manufacturer's
instructions; worker
personal protective
equipment
Piping is
subjected to
pressure surges
Worker health;
additional
maintenance labor
and cost
Piping material is
incompatible with
landfill leachate
Worker health;
additional
maintenance labor
and cost
79
Tysons Lagoon
Site setting
Site investigation/remediation
Selected remedy: excavation of lagoon materials and
off-site disposal
Reconsidered remedy
Pilot studies for treating lagoon material, groundwater
Project risk evaluation
80
Evaluation
Recommendations
1800 Feet
ee
t
BTEXN
Upper 50 feet of shallow aquifer
Plume appears to be shrinking
15
00
F
81
TCE
At depths of 50 to 100 feet
Plume appears to be shrinking
MTBE
At depths of up to 185 feet in
shallow aquifer
Plume appears to be expanding
Principle of Non-Degradation
Off-base migration unlikely
82
83
Probability Density
4%
0%
4%
2%
0%
4%
2%
0%
0
Figure E-2
20
40
60
80
100
6%
4%
2%
0%
Probability of
Occurrence
Response Level
Confidence
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
18.95%
18.95%
80.28%
99.23%
0.77%
100.00%
84
Evaluation
Relative importance of uncertainties
Trigger, consequence, mitigation, tracking
Lessons learned/highlights
Considering biofouling
Oxygenation that reduces effectiveness of
Recommendations
P&T greater risk than Monitored Natural
85
Site information
High explosive test facility
Radionuclides, TCE, dioxin
metals, etc.
86
5%
Cost impacts
Schedule impacts
None
Expected value
Urgent response
No
Mike T.
Risk category
87
88
89
RRM Summary
90