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Start with the Cobb-Douglas production model and add an equation describing the
accumulation of capital over time.
Capital Accumulation
the capital stock next year equals the sum of the capital started with this year plus the
amount of investment undertaken this year minus depreciation
Depreciation is the amount of capital that wears out each period ~ 10 percent/year
Labor
the amount of labor in the economy is given exogenously at a constant level, L
Investment
the amount of investment in the economy is equal to a constant investment rate,
s, times total output, Y
It = s Yt
Total output is used for either consumption or investment
therefore, consumption equals output times the quantity one minus the investment
rate
Ct = (1 - s) Yt
w = MPL, r = MPK
the real interest rate, r, (measured in constant dollars, not in nominal dollars)
= the amount a person can earn by saving one unit of output for a year
= the amount a person must pay to borrow one unit of output for a year measured
in constant dollars, not in nominal dollars
= Yt - Ct = It
r = MPK
These two equations, the capital accumulation relation and the production
function, are all we need to solve the Solow model
The Solow Diagram graphs the production function and the capital
accumulation relation together, with Kt on the x-axis:
Investment,
Depreciation
At this point,
dKt = sYt, so
Capital, Kt
Investment: s Y
Net investment
K0
K*
Capital, K
Investment,
Depreciation
green at K0:
Saving = investment is
So Kt > 0 because
Since Kt > 0, Kt increases
from K0 to K1 > K0
K0
K1
Capital, Kt
So Kt < 0 because
K 1 K0
Capital, Kt
No matter where
we start, well
transition to K*!
At this value of K,
dKt = sYt, so
K*
Capital, Kt
Y*
So we also have
dynamics toward a
steady-state level of
income, Y*
K*
Capital, Kt
=YI
Investment, depreciation,
and output
Output: Y
Y*
Consumption
Depreciation: d K
Y0
Investment: s Y
K0
K*
Capital, K
Once we know K*, then we can find Y* using the production function:
This solution also tells us about per capita income in the steady state, y*, and per capita
consumption as well, c*
c* = y* - sy* = (1 s) y*
Differences in Y/L
the Solow model gives more weight to TFP in explaining per capita output
than the production model does
Just like we did before with the simple model of production, we can use this
formula to understand why some countries are so much richer
take the ratio of y* for a rich country to y* for a poor country, and assume
the depreciation rate is the same across countries:
45 = 18
x 2.5
Now we find that the factor of 45 that separates rich and poor countrys
income per capita is decomposable into:
A 103/2 = 18-fold difference in this productivity ratio term
A (30/5)1/2 = 61/2 = 2.5-fold difference in this investment rate ratio
In the Solow Model, productivity accounts for 18/20 = 90% of differences!
the economy will settle in a steady state because the investment curve, sY, has
diminishing returns
however, the rate at which production and investment rise is smaller as the
capital stock is larger
a constant fraction of the capital stock depreciates every period, which implies
depreciation is not diminishing as capital increases
both constant
Depreciation: d K
New investment
exceeds depreciation
Old investment: s Y
K*
K**
Capital, K
Depreciation: d K
Output: Y
Y**
Y*
New
investment:
s Y
Old
investment:
s Y
K*
K**
Capital, K
Y**
Y*
2000
2020
2040
2060
2080
2100
Time, t
New
depreciation:
d K
Old
depreciation:
dK
Depreciation
exceeds
investment
Investment: s Y
K**
K*
Capital, K
New depreciation: dK
Output: Y
Y*
Y**
Investment:
s Y
Old depreciation: d K
K**
K*
Capital, K
Y*
Y**
2000
2020
2040
2060
2080
2100
Time, t
Summary
1. The starting point for the Solow model is the
production model of Chapter 4. To that framework,
the Solow model adds a theory of capital
accumulation. That is, it makes the capital stock an
endogenous variable.
2. The capital stock is the sum of past investments.
The capital stock today consists of machines and
buildings that were bought over the last several
decades.
South Korea
U.S.
Philippines
Year
Output: Y
Y*
Depreciation: d K
Y0
Investment: s Y
K0
K*
Capital, K
Y*
Y0
2000
2020
2040
2060
2080
2100
Time, t