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Importance:
CRC envolves specialtys in mode multidisciplinary
Sinergy in different hits: screening, treatment, prevention
Two hard dependent factores: Mortality and Readmissions
Epidemiology
Third malign more frecuent tumour
15% of turmoral incidence in Spain
25.000 new episodes/year at Spain
Second etiology of tumoral death: 13,000 deaths/year
Spain has no developed predictive models in mortality
No specific models on clinical-administrative data sets
PM por mortality in CCR
POSSUM
P-POSSUM
Cr-POSSUM
CGBI
Physiological Score
Patological Score
MODELLING PREDICTIVE MODELS
(*) p<0.001
*
p=0.04
*
RESULTS II
(*) p<0.001
*
* *
*
*
RESULTS III
p<0.001
LOGISTIC MODEL FOR TRAINING COHORT
MODEL DISCRIMINATION
HOSMER LEMESHOW.
6000
CALIBRATION
5000
4000
3000 Observado
Esperado
2000
1000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
p<0,005
CONCLUSIONS
● Los pacientes con EP son una casuística especial dentro del grupo de
hospitalizaciones por CCR
Dependent Variable
In Hospital Mortality
Independent Variables
Dates: Born-Admission-Discharge
Age (years) Type of Admission: (UI-PI)/ Type of
Year (2008-2014) discharge
Sex (male-female) CIE Diagnostic (14 places)
AACC (Méth. Foster/SMR) CIE Procedures (20 places)
Surgery(Yes-No) Mortality
Tumour Localization Clinical-Surgycal Comorbidities
Financials Clinical-Surgycal Complications
Results
Adjusted by:
CCAA agruped by SMR Cirugía Length of Stay
Procedure number Type of AdmissionTipo Admission Dyslipidemia
PROSPECTIVE