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National Communications Forum:

Session PCS 10
Wireless Broadband Access
Session: PCS 10
Tuesday, October 17

Judith Hellerstein, President


Hellerstein & Associates
2400 Virginia Avenue NW, Suite 1023C
Washington, DC 20037
Phone: (202) 333-6517 Fax: (509) 355-9792
Judithh@jhellerstein.com www.jhellerstein.com

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OUTLINE

 Demand drivers for broadband access


 What is fixed broadband wireless access?
 Four types of access technologies
 MMDS
 LMDS
 DEMS
 38 GHz
 Benefits and challenges
 Target markets and market deployment

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Market Size
 Services
 Two Analyst views
Strategis: 2003 – $9.6B
Pioneer: 2007 – $14B
 Major Investments
 Sprint MMDS acquisitions Apr/99 for $870M
 MCI MMDS acquisitions Apr/99 for $805.6M
 Significant equipment R&D investments

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Demand Drivers for Broadband Access

 Internet growing at exponential rates. By 2002, data will account for


99% of all traffic through the network
 By 2003, more than 50% of all Internet access will be through
broadband: DSL, Cable and Wireless
 More than half of all broadband access will be through DSL
 One in four users will be in smaller markets
 Strong demand in small, midsize and semi-rural markets
 Data traffic demand is driving access market to provide high-capacity
transport
 Limitations of Fiber/DSL technology are driving the broadband
wireless industry

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Bandwidth/Voice Supply & Demand
Gbps Global Bandwidth Demand
70,000
63,222
60,000

50,000 44,497

40,000
28,789
30,000

20,000 16,721

10,000 5,405
3,137

0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Source: Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Research

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Estimated Growth in Consumer Broadband
Access
50,000
42,500
# of Households

40,000 36,900
31,400
30,000 25,800

19,900
20,000
14,100
9,200
10,000
4,600
1,750
0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Source: Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Research

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Broadband is Changing the Shape of
Business Access
Business Access Revenue Forecasts
$50,000
Revenues $ Millions

Dial-up & ISDN


Fixed Wireless
$40,000 $1,339
DSL $1, 12 5

Copper T1 $957 $1, 2 9 0 $5, 76 5


$893
$114 $4 , 2 3 5
Fiber
$30,000 $161 $1, 3 4 3 $7, 0 4 3
$2 , 6 57 $5, 4 4 0

$3 , 70 1
$19 $1, 3 0 3 $6 , 2 52
$7, 0 9 4
$20,000 $1, 16 8 $2 , 2 0 0
$7, 153

$5, 8 2 2 $6 , 754
$9 71
$751
$4 , 8 6 4
$10,000 $5, 2 6 1 $17, 12 0 $18 , 6 6 9
$14 , 4 2 2
$11, 4 52 $11, 556
$8 , 3 3 5
$6 , 0 8 3

$0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Source: Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Research

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Bandwidth Requirements for
Broadband Applications
Business Applications Bandwidth Required
Telecommuting/SOHO .014-6 Mbs

Internet .500-1.5 Mbs

Desktop Video Conferencing .128-1.5 Mbs

Local W ebsite Hosting .5-6 Mbs

Computer Telephony Integration .300-1.5 Mbs

Consumer Applications Bandwidth Required


Internet .500-1.5 Mbs

Education .5-6 Mbs

Video on Demand 3-7 Mbs

Shopping .500-1.5 Mbs

Interactive Video Games .300-1.5 Mbs

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What is Broadband Wireless Access?
 Wireless broadband access uses radio spectrum rather than
copper or fiber optic cable as a medium for transporting
telecommunications and data traffic
 Uses spectrum from24 GHz to 42 GHz
 Value of spectrum depends on the frequency selected
 Targeted deployment
 Interface supports voice, data,a nd video services
 Bandwidth is shared among users in a cell.
 Wireless infrastructure:
 Mobile: unable to provide broadband services
 Fixed: able to overcome the bottleneck in the first or last mile
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Fixed Broadband Wireless Technology
 Technology used to deliver wireless access:
 Point-to-point
 Point-to-multipoint
Allows high speed, high capacity two way multimedia service to
be delivered quickly to consumer.
 Fixed wireless access uses spectrum between 24-42 GHz
 ATM air interface supports voice, data, and video
services
 Bandwidth shared among users in a cell

 Bandwidth applications from 64K to 155 Mb


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Microwave

 Licensed and unlicensed


 Licensed, MMDS, LMDS, DEMS, 38-39
GHZ
 Unlicensed 900-904 MHz, 2.4 GHz- 5.7
GHz

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Frequencies
 Frequencies available for delivering broadband
 Spectrum used is typically above 2 GHz
 Lower frequencies are often used for mobile applications, while
higher frequencies are used for fixed wireless access
 Fixed Wireless technologies include: LMDS, MMDS, and DEMS
 Fixed wireless spectrum lies between 24-42 GHz
 Both Licensed and unlicensed bands are available
 Unlicensed bands include 2.5, 5, 18, and 60 GHz bands (ex.
Metricom’s Ricochet)
 Licensed bands include 2.6, 24-26, 28-30, and 38-40 GHz bands
 In the US, about 100 MHz is available in the MMDS band near 2.6 GHz and 1.3
MHz is available in the LMDS band near 30 GHz and 1.4 GHz is available near
40 GHz

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Fixed Wireless Systems Architectures

 Point -to-Point
 Point-to-Multipoint
 Point to Consecutive point

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Fixed Wireless Systems

 Point -to-Point
 Network Architecture consists of a single link between two
points, typically two rooftop antennas
Base Single
Station Customer

 Line of sight connection is needed between the two


antennas
 Each point must be within 1-3 miles of the system’s hub site

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Point-to-Point (contined)

 The hub aggregates the traffic from multiple radios


and then the traffic is backhauled to the company’s
switch

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Benefits of Point-to-Point Architecture

 Much less expensive than building a fiber


network.
 Additional links added as need arises
 Ease of additional provisioning
 Highly flexible and easy to control

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Equipment

 The major providers are:


 DigitalMicrowave
 Harris Corporation
 Wavespan
 Glenayre

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Point-to-Multipoint
 Systems are comprised of four main elements
 Hubs
 Radios
 Customer premise equipment (CPE), and
 Network management systems
 Customers access the network by sending voice and data
traffic over the local network to a central hub-site as a radio
signal. At the hub-site, the signal is converted back into
voice and/or data traffic

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Point-to-Multipoint (continued)
 Operates as a “hub and spoke” linking a single radio hub
with multiple rooftop antennas

Base
Up to several thousand customers
Station
 Since each hub site serves several buildings, this type of
technology enables service providers to offer faster,
cheaper, and more comprehensive serivces
 Multiple radios can then be combined to offer 100%
coverage.

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Point-to-Multipoint (continued)
 Enables costs to be spread out more evenly among
customers
 Uses spectrum more efficiently than point-to-point systems
 Difficulty in adding additional spectrum because of FCC
imposed spectrum caps
 Enables bandwidth on demand on a pay per use basis

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Equipment providers

 The major providers are


 Nortel
 Newbridge Networks
 Lucent
 Alcatel
 Spike Technologies

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Point to Consecutive Point
 Being deployed by Advanced Radio Telecom using Triton’s technology
 The technology is configured as a point-to-point redundant ring
architecture capable if providing 100 Mbs of bandwidth in each
direction of the ring
 Ring configuration allows network operators the ability to expand the
geographic area covered by an operator
 Capacity can be expanded by deploying additional rings in the area
 Network is fully redundant
 Rings are self healing
 Architecture is similar to SONET

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Four Types of Access Technologies

 MMDS (Multichannel Multipoint Distribution Services)


 DEMS (Digital Electronic Messaging Service)
 LMDS (Local Multipoint Distribution Service)
 38-39 GHZ

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Wireless DSL Consortium
 Wireless DSL Consortium formed in July 2000
 New group composed of Fixed Broadband Wireless equipment and
chip manufacturers, system integrators, and service providers
whose goals are:
 To define, develop, and implement a set of open interfaces for MMDS
products.
 Enable quality of service control to the end-user
 Improve Wireless broadband coverage to non line-of-sight customers
 Create protocol specifications, interoperability standards, and
validation methods for testing of new standard.
 Members include, ADC Telecommunications, Conexant Systems,
Gigabit Wireless, Intel, Nortel Networks, Nucentrix, Sprint, Vyyo,
and Worldcom
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Standards-based Fixed Broadband Wireless

 Allows service providers to mass deploy Fixed Broadband Wireless


equipment and service
 Lack of standards leads to market fragmentation, low volumes, and
high cost
 Promotes interoperability of technologies and leads to increased
customer choice
 Allows the market to provide more product and supplier
alternatives than possible without a standard
 Helps focus industry on resolving other challenges necessary to
reach mass deployment
 Lowers costs to suppliers and to consumers
 Increases choice of providers and greater selection of products
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MMDS
 Frequency Band: 2.5 GHz
 Formerly a one-way service, but in September 1998 FCC rules allowed
for the commencement of two-way service
 In August 2000, the FCC began accepting applications by carriers wishing
to convert their one-way MMDS spectrum into two-way spectrum
 Data rates: 128 Kbit/s ~ 1.544 Mbit/s
 Originally designed for the delivery of cable TV signals
 Supercell approach
 Market players: Sprint & MCI WorldCom have the potential to cover
60% of US households

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DEMS

 Frequency Band:24 GHz


 Requires a cell radius of 2~3 miles
 Data rates: 1.54 Mbit/s
 Market player: Teligent holds between 80
and 400 MHz of spectrum in 74 markets
 Only commercial carrier in the market

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LMDS
 Frequency band: 28-31 GHz
 Largest block of spectrum ever authorized
by the FCC
 Capability:
 multichannelvideo programming
 two-way voice and data services
 Data Rates: 64 Kbps ~ 155 Mbps
 Market player: Nextlink
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Typical LMDS User Equipment
Roof Antenna/Transceiver Indoor Unit

Rx
Network Ethernet User Interface
RF Unit Power
Interface Unit
(Outdoor Unit)
Tx (Indoor Unit)
Prime AC Power
User
Terminal
1-10 Mbps

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Projected World Market LMDS Service Revenue

Total Annual Service Revenue

$9,000
$8,000
Revenue US$ Millions

$7,000
$6,000
$5,000
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
$0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Year

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38 GHz

 FCC recently auctioned off spectrum


 Previously licensing of companies had been
done on a case-by-case basis
 Market players:
 Winstar
 Advanced Radio Telecom (ART)
 AT&T

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Target Markets

 Target Markets
 SOHO
 Small Business
 Medium Business
 Residential
 Demand for high speed access over the past
two years has resulted in 35-40% growth
rates
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Benefits of Fixed Broadband Wireless

 Provides bandwidth and access speeds equal or greater than ADSL or


cable modems
 Offers quick installation as compared to wired systems
 Can extend the reach of fiber or coax by providing the “last mile” of the
network
 Fast market entry for service providers as compared to wired systems
 Low startup and entry costs
 Pay as you go approach: carriers only required to add equipment as the
number of users grow
 Operator control over facilities
 Flexibility of deployment, especially in medium--high population
densities where penetration rates are initially low

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Services

 High speed data bursting as high as 20 Mbs


 Local Exchange and Long Distance
 Video Conferencing
 Training and Distance Learning
 Remote medical diagnostics
 Virtual Private Networks

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Benefits and Comparison
Wireless
Wire-line
LMDS MMDS

Time to
Deploy
Months Hours

Cost of
Infrastructure
$150K/mile $15K/mile $1.5K/mile

Environmentally
Fixed Coverage, Environmentally
Deployment Challenged,
Most Expensive Advantaged,
Characteristics Small Coverage
for Small Users Wide coverage
Area

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Alternative High-speed Access Technologies

 Cable modem
 DSL
 Broadband Satellite
 Fiber
 Mobile- 3G service

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Challenges
 Overcoming line-of-sight limitations, such as terrain and tree foliage
 Weather related signal loss
 Broadband wireless technology is not as well understood as broadband
wired technologies
 Although spectrum is available, equipment is not readily available
 Technology for the higher frequencies is just now coming to market
 Lack of any high volume production of equipment needed
 155 Mb modems are only produced in low-volume, high-cost production
 Technology for low-cost, high speed burst modems is available but systems
have not been produced.

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Conclusion
 Fixed BWA will provide alternatives to ADSL, T1 lines
and HFC systems to deliver broadband services to both
business and residential customers.
 Fixed BWA will complement, not replace wired systems.
 Fixed BWA systems will be used to extend the connectivity
to fiber optic networks.

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Questions, Comments, Suggestions?
Judith Hellerstein, President
Hellerstein & Associates
2400 Virginia Avenue NW Washington, DC 20037
Phone: (202) 333-6517 Fax: (509) 355-9792
Judith@jhellerstein.com www.jhellerstein.com

Thank You

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