TUGAS

STATISTIKA (MAS 601)

(Ordinal regression)

By

GEOFREY SSEKALEMBE : 101814553017

DENILAY RICHARDO RAMBING : 101814553011
 Ordinal Regression Analysis
Ordinal regression is one of the various types of analysis that are specifically
used if the dependent variable is multilevel ordinal categorical data. The
term multilevel category is also commonly referred to as ordinal or ranking.

Ordinal or ranking is one type of data scale that has categorical

characteristics but each categorical one has different level, where there are
low, middle, high or bad, worse, worst or good, better, best, etc.
An example is the Tuberculosis status, where there is a categorical level of
low TB, moderate TB and severe TB.
 Objective of the Research
This study aims to examine the effect of the Gender and Sex on the
Tuberculosis status of a patient
 Population and sample
The sample in this study amounted to 200 Tuberculosis patients.
 Hypothesis

Ho : Age and gender affect Tuberculosis status

H1 : Age and Gender do not affect Tuberculosis status

Where Ho is the Null hypothesis and H1 is the Alternative.

 Research Variables
Dependent variable Independent Variable

Clinical severity of Tuberculosis Age and Gender of the patient

determined by the Bandim TB
score where:
• Severe: >8
• Moderate: 5-8
• Mild: <5
Description characteristics of the
study
In the sample,

There are more Males (68.5%)

than Females (31.5%)
Description of the study
From the sample,

The mean age of TB patients is

33.17 years (4 years as minimum
and 74 years as Maximum) with a
standard deviation of 12.624.
Histogram and Distribution curve
Distribution:

Almost Normal because the Mean

is almost equal to the Median
Description of the study
In the sample,

There are more patients in a

moderate status (69.5%) as
compared to severe (16%) and
least with Mild status (14.5%)
 Ordinal regression analysis results

The output tables below results show from the ordinal regression
analysis of how Age and Gender affect Tuberculosis status
•From the table,

= 0.004 < 0.05,

Hence, the model is significant.

In the model fitting equation, we
want only statistically significant
variables
We would like to fail to reject
(Accept) the null hypothesis for
where the Pvalue > 0.05,

Hence we shall accept the null

hypothesis.
Here, we interpret the middle
value (0.065).

The model explains 6.5% of the

variance of the Tuberculosis status
(Dependent variable)
Note: Gender (2 = Female), TB-status (3 = Severe) are taken as the reference variables.
Here the interest is focused on the significance of the independent variable and constants as
a result of the dependent variable.
Pvalue of Age = 0.002 < 0.05, significant and is included in the model
Pvalue of Gender (Male = 1) = 0.116 > 0.05, Not significant and is not included in the model
Pvalue of constant (TB_status = 1) = 0.517, not significant and so, will not be included in the
model.
 Model
•
 Prediction
•
A patient of 26 years,

The probability of a patient 26 years old having a Mild Tuberculosis status (Tb status = 1)
is 0.724
 Prediction
A
• patient of 26 years,

The probability of a patient 26 years old having a Moderate Tuberculosis status (Tb status
= 2) is 0.986
Webaale nnyo ~
Obrigado