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Chapter One

What is Statistics?

Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.1

FYI Past Grades in This Statistics Course


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84
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30
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45
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94
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41
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69
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94
66
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29
27
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79
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21
72
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25
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83
87

54
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88
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82
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61
68
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21
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85
82
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80
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25
31
66
24
28
75
77
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25
44
63
73
34
30
68
79
75
74
30
62
56
91
98
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70
85
35
69
23
82
65
26
72
88
85
70
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88
89
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97
97
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49

78
38
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89
60
23
29
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37
41
40
82
92
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38
68
25
89
95
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93
99
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51
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74
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80
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99
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83
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95
64
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92
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90
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63
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35
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92
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96
66
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21
25
67
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65
64
45
64
88

Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

90
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68
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40
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36
26
34
89
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92
97
82
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80
100
28
96
79
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53
55
29
52
66
23
22
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93
25

76
21
92
32
36
29
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82
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27
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65
42
39
22
32
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45
33
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48
62
26
61
37
86
55
24
86
20
51
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30
72
87
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85
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73
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39

56
55
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75
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67
51
95
52
71
69
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82
33
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60
89
33
39
30
57
88
50
69
73
73
39
41
74
92
40
91
33
67
38
81
98
24
43
27
51
46
61
29
22
22
33

30
78
46
30
79
52
95
29
55
92
32
92
39
97
81
93
24
42
42
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94
99
89
62
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44
83
83
92
27
20
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77
72
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46
89
31
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96
42
41
48
23
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55

29
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60
44
85
86
59
25
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28
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87
84
59
84
84
56
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49
37
44
71
36
81
41
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65
91
79
21
25
23
77
28
23
61
65
87
64

30
21
90
93
36
76
81
95
67
69
45
61
24
57
74
56
61
20
34
73
82
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100
82
49
29
33
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56
95
58
90
97
88
78
72
84
93
93
32
30
81
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37
88
59
84
28
38
69

72
43
29
55
78
94
20
27
66
83
31
94
56
51
30
39
40
44
44
38
49
85
51
21
33
37
92
38
33
75
98
36
80
92
21
91
65
29
89
38
62
96
68
49
55
91
99
41
39
36

47
72
63
28
88
30
91
27
28
57
20
32
69
20
78
33
75
64
48
85
82
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49
50
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65
43
64
43
92
38
72
37
29
21
66
82
37
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31
73
29
70
72
71
97
66

35
60
84
91
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44
62
87
30
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29
33
59
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22
36
80
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97
81
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88
71
53
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73
21
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61
21
53
64
34
38
92
35
81
97
69
61
44
97
40
29

53
91
24
31
86
82
91
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76
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37
95
69
58
30
89
82
59
33
38
97
40
65
83
80
35
84
78
96
49
67
45
32
34
21
78
54
36
79
92
24
33
50
62
63
99
20
41
70

55
29
76
52
92
80
25
89
44
38
61
93
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48
92
67
82
29
66
43
96
30
31
96
66
72
29
95
32
50
91
50
40
23
47
28
27
77
34
48
64
79
89
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22
40
38
97

77
41
59
69
48
27
29
77
73
74
24
43
80
89
73
100
56
74
21
67
77
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85
68
34
27
59
27
90
75
61
61
97
80
76
83
78
68
78
55
66
34
77
85
38
44
21
60
23
34

33
88
56
44
59
42
74
21
27
44
92
32
31
91
63
80
86
55
33
70
23
29
60
55
78
75
31
51
90
26
85
64
28
53
40
82
88
89
83
45
43
97
58
95
82
72
92
86
91
90

44
26
63
86
56
70
97
37
26
80
85
90
24
51
27
82
92
70
99
31
73
96
82
40
83
70
87
53
42
35
83
98
88
21
78
59
47
29
76
24
24
96
34
76
53
58
73
98
76
34

88
70
31
34
56
21
43
83
51
99
64
55
78
71
28
31
75
70
79
39
31
65
31
99
78
88
83
84
69
40
69
22
95
25
26
60
76
88
27
67
57
92
51
96
70
42
71
88
37
51

59
24
96
65
51
60
21
73
22
39
87
37
36
67
28
54
90
68
50
36
73
42
32
46
58
80
29
87
37
77
47
55
75
97
80
27
64
21
76
78
55
89
70
28
37
93
88
76
45
99

78
86
68
29
74
71
49
35
75
98
40
23
57
46
55
23
47
29
58
73
82
31
35
87
61
88
32
92
53
30
81
45
82
77
97
87
57
46
70
57
61
43
56
91
55
92
74
74
30
47

32
31
95
97
43
38
46
75
61
87
27
97
54
94
50
56
54
58
72
39
33
86
41
75
97
23
95
54
69
63
66
59
98
76
99
61
22
77
96
32
82
59
36
59
55
73
75
80
78
90

33
63
99
62
22
47
53
24
56
27
90
98
54
46
47
84
68
67
81
87
26
66
76
78
90
80
68
49
99
87
69
72
26
73
34
78
84
87
26
90
77
94
39
29
92
46
28
44
27
80

68
34
49
37
70
42
85
86
58
29
68
31
97
92
94
48
67
54
72
75
23
79
55
35
94
23
97
67
65
65
45
51
88
78
56
91
52
43
87
67
73
78
33
58
36
71
37
68
36
50

49
67
100
59
56
68
47
32
33
40
92
66
73
55
87
45
43
62
49
91
84
28
59
64
52
64
38
63
46
34
62
26
28
94
88
91
47
84
41
53
36
88
43
72
65
81
41
62
76
36

24
37
43
77
41
91
84
91
61
41
99
43
42
90
42
97
47
77
58
66
76
62
80
47
75
53
83
22
29
46
28
32
74
89
47
45
48
32
91
67
23
83
60
25
34
98
22
64
75
81

88
87
83
37
86
73
20
23
78
47
86
42
86
37
43
79
81
56
62
66
64
92
70
57
54
77
39
58
36
55
81
62
40
87
33
61
33
43
52
99
99
85
60
65
28
81
41
86
78
26

84
81
88
74
94
66
94
57
54
24
57
20
23
44
36
82
34
70
47
94
65
84
79
68
98
53
39
53
27
54
25
23
59
85
48
89
81
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80
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74
92
24
81
49
82
47

1.2

FYI Past Grades in This Statistics Course


Grades
0-10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
70-80
80-90
90-100
Total =

Frequency Relative Freq


0
0.000
0
0.000
323
0.129
286
0.114
316
0.126
297
0.119
304
0.122
324
0.130
319
0.128
331
0.132
2500

Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

Percent
0.0%
0.0%
12.9%
11.4%
12.6%
11.9%
12.2%
13.0%
12.8%
13.2%

Cum Percent
0.0%
0.0%
12.9%
24.4%
37.0%
48.9%
61.0%
74.0%
86.8%
100.0%

1.3

FYI Past Grades in This Statistics Course

400
200
0

010
10
-2
0
20
-3
0
30
-4
0
40
-5
0
50
-6
0
60
-7
0
70
-8
0
80
-9
90 0
-1
00

Frequency

Histogram

Final Grade

Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.4

In todays world
we are constantly being bombarded with statistics and
statistical information. For example:
Customer Surveys Medical News
Political Polls Economic Predictions
Marketing Information Scanner Data
How can we make sense out of all this data?
How do we differentiate valid from flawed claims?
Three types of liars!
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.5

What is Statistics? Where does this Data come from?

Statistics is a way to get information from data


Statistics
Data
Data: Facts, especially
numerical facts, collected
together for reference or
information.

Information
Information: Knowledge
communicated concerning
some particular fact.

Statistics is a tool for creating new understanding from a set of numbers.


Definitions: Oxford English Dictionary
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.6

Key Statistical Concepts


Population
a population is the group of all items of interest to
a statistics practitioner.
frequently very large; sometimes infinite.
E.g. All 5 million Florida voters who voted in todays election.

Sample
A sample is a set of data drawn from the
population. [Part of a population]
Potentially very large, but less than the population.
E.g. a sample of 1000 voters exit polled on election day.
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.7

Key Statistical Concepts


Parameter
A descriptive measure of a population.
- the true percent of Florida Voters who will vote for
Mary Poppins

Statistic
A descriptive measure of a sample.
- Of the 1000 exit voters polled, 550 indicated that
they voted for Mary Poppins or 550/1000 = 0.55 or
55%

Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.8

Key Statistical Concepts


Population

Sample

Subset

Parameter

Statistic

Populations have Parameters,


Samples have Statistics.
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.9

Descriptive Statistics
are methods of organizing, summarizing, and presenting data in a
convenient and informative way. These methods include:
Graphical Techniques (Chapter 2), and
Numerical Techniques (Chapter 4).
The actual method used depends on what information we would like
to extract. Are we interested in
Your weight each Monday when you are on a 6 month diet.
The amount of medication in blood pressure pills.
The starting salaries for business students from TCU, SMU,
and UTA.
Others

Descriptive Statistics helps to answer these questions


Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.10

Inferential Statistics
Descriptive Statistics describe the data set thats being
analyzed, but doesnt allow us to draw any conclusions or
make any interferences about the data, other than visual It
looks like .. type statements. Hence we need another
branch of statistics: inferential statistics.
Inferential statistics is also a set of methods, but it is used to
draw conclusions or inferences about characteristics of
populations based on data from a sample.

Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.11

Statistical Inference
Statistical inference is the process of making an estimate,
prediction, or decision about a population based on a sample.
Population
Sample
Inference

Statistic

Parameter

What can we infer about a Populations Parameters


based on a Samples Statistics?
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.12

Statistical Inference
Rationale:
Large populations make investigating each member impractical
and expensive + its been shown that observing 100% of a
population is not perfect.
Easier and cheaper to take a sample and make inferences about
the population from the sample.

However:
Such conclusions and estimates are not always going to be correct.
For this reason, we build into the statistical inference measures of
reliability, namely confidence level and significance level.

Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.13

Confidence & Significance Levels


The confidence level is the proportion of times that an interval estimate
for a population parameter will be correct.
E.g. a confidence level of 95% means that, interval estimates based on this form
of statistical inference will be correct 95% of the time.
I am 95% confident that the TRUE mean IQ of female business students at
UTA is between 120 and 122.

When the purpose of the statistical inference is to test a claim about a


population parameter, the significance level measures how frequently a
true claim is accidently rejected.
E.g. a 5% significance level means that, in the long run, a true claim will be
rejected 5% of the time.
Coin flips should result in 50% heads, on average. A 5% significance level
implies that we run a 5% risk of concluding that heads do not occur 50% of the
time, on average [even though everyone in this room most likely believes that
heads do occur 50% of the time].
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.14

Confidence & Significance Levels


We use (Greek letter alpha) to represent the significance
level when testing a claim about a population parameter ,
and
1 to represent the confidence level when we wish to
estimate a population parameter.

Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.15

Statistical Applications in Business


Statistical analysis plays an important role in virtually all
aspects of business and economics.
Throughout this course, we will see applications of statistics
in accounting, economics, finance, human resources
management, marketing, operations management, and my
favorite, Quality Issues,associated with manufacturing and
service processes.

Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

1.16

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