Professional Documents
Culture Documents
What is Statistics?
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1.2
Percent
0.0%
0.0%
12.9%
11.4%
12.6%
11.9%
12.2%
13.0%
12.8%
13.2%
Cum Percent
0.0%
0.0%
12.9%
24.4%
37.0%
48.9%
61.0%
74.0%
86.8%
100.0%
1.3
400
200
0
010
10
-2
0
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30
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-8
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-9
90 0
-1
00
Frequency
Histogram
Final Grade
1.4
In todays world
we are constantly being bombarded with statistics and
statistical information. For example:
Customer Surveys Medical News
Political Polls Economic Predictions
Marketing Information Scanner Data
How can we make sense out of all this data?
How do we differentiate valid from flawed claims?
Three types of liars!
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.
1.5
Information
Information: Knowledge
communicated concerning
some particular fact.
1.6
Sample
A sample is a set of data drawn from the
population. [Part of a population]
Potentially very large, but less than the population.
E.g. a sample of 1000 voters exit polled on election day.
Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.
1.7
Statistic
A descriptive measure of a sample.
- Of the 1000 exit voters polled, 550 indicated that
they voted for Mary Poppins or 550/1000 = 0.55 or
55%
1.8
Sample
Subset
Parameter
Statistic
1.9
Descriptive Statistics
are methods of organizing, summarizing, and presenting data in a
convenient and informative way. These methods include:
Graphical Techniques (Chapter 2), and
Numerical Techniques (Chapter 4).
The actual method used depends on what information we would like
to extract. Are we interested in
Your weight each Monday when you are on a 6 month diet.
The amount of medication in blood pressure pills.
The starting salaries for business students from TCU, SMU,
and UTA.
Others
1.10
Inferential Statistics
Descriptive Statistics describe the data set thats being
analyzed, but doesnt allow us to draw any conclusions or
make any interferences about the data, other than visual It
looks like .. type statements. Hence we need another
branch of statistics: inferential statistics.
Inferential statistics is also a set of methods, but it is used to
draw conclusions or inferences about characteristics of
populations based on data from a sample.
1.11
Statistical Inference
Statistical inference is the process of making an estimate,
prediction, or decision about a population based on a sample.
Population
Sample
Inference
Statistic
Parameter
1.12
Statistical Inference
Rationale:
Large populations make investigating each member impractical
and expensive + its been shown that observing 100% of a
population is not perfect.
Easier and cheaper to take a sample and make inferences about
the population from the sample.
However:
Such conclusions and estimates are not always going to be correct.
For this reason, we build into the statistical inference measures of
reliability, namely confidence level and significance level.
1.13
1.14
1.15
1.16