Professional Documents
Culture Documents
05.01.2012
INTRODUCTION
Schedule converts action plan into operating time table Basis for monitoring and controlling project Scheduling more important in projects than in production, because unique nature Sometimes customer specified/approved requirement Based on Work Breakdown Structure (WBS)
NETWORK
Graphical portrayal of activities and event Shows dependency relationships between tasks/activities in a project Clearly shows tasks that must precede (precedence) or follow (succeeding) other tasks in a logical manner Clear representation of plan a powerful tool for planning and controlling project
NETWORK TECHNIQUES
PERT
-Program Evaluation and Review Technique - developed by the US Navy with Booz Hamilton Lockheed - on the Polaris Missile/Submarine program 1958
CPM
Critical Path Method Developed by El Dupont for Chemical Plant Shutdown Project- about same time as PERT
Both use same calculations, almost similar Main difference is probabilistic and deterministic in time estimation Gantt Chart also used in scheduling
4
Requires 3 estimates of activity time Calculates mean and variance of time Used where times cannot be estimated with confidence. Unfamiliar or new activities
Example: construction projects, Example: Involving new building one off machines, ships, activities or products, research etc and development etc
Consistent framework for planning, scheduling, monitoring, and controlling project. Shows interdependence of all tasks, work packages, and work units. Helps proper communications between departments and functions. Determines expected project completion date.
Identifies so-called critical activities, which can delay the project completion time.
Identified activities with slacks that can be delayed for specified periods without penalty, or from which resources may be temporarily borrowed Determines the dates on which tasks may be started or must be started if the project is to stay in schedule. Shows which tasks must be coordinated to avoid resource or timing conflicts. Shows which tasks may run in parallel to meet project completion date
7
Benefits of CPM/PERT
Useful at many stages of project management Mathematically simple Give critical path and slack time Provide project documentation Useful in monitoring costs
Limitations to CPM/PERT
Clearly defined, independent and stable activities Specified precedence relationships Over emphasis on critical paths Deterministic CPM model Activity time estimates are subjective and depend on judgment PERT assumes a beta distribution for these time estimates, but the actual distribution may be different PERT consistently underestimates the expected project completion time due to alternate paths becoming critical
To overcome the limitation, Monte Carlo simulations can be performed on the network to eliminate the optimistic bias
Gantt Charts:
Even though a lot of info, easy to read and , understand to monitor and follow progress.
10
Event
Network
PRECEEDING
EVENT
11
Sales
(2,4)
Sales
(2,3)
Production
(3,4)
Accounting
(4,5)
Treasurer
10
Job Identification a b c d e
Job Description Forecasting unit sales Pricing sales Preparing production schedules Costing the production Preparing the budget
4
e b
14 days
5
d
2
c
3
Project Graph of Budgeting Process
Job Identification
Job Description
Immediate predecessor
Department
a Forecasting unit sales a Surveying competitive pricing b Pricing sales c Preparing production schedules d Costing the production e Preparing the budget
a,a a
Sales
14 3
3 7
b,d
10
Job Identification a b c d e
Job Description Forecasting unit sales Pricing sales Preparing production schedules Costing the production Preparing the budget
FIGURE 2
Job Identification a b c d e
Job Description Forecasting unit sales Pricing sales Preparing production schedules Costing the production Preparing the budget
a
a
FIGURE 3
Job Identification
Job Description
Immediate predecessor
Department
a a b c
Forecasting unit sales Surveying competitive pricing Pricing sales Preparing production schedules
a,a a c b,d
14 3 3 7 4 10
3
0 days
1
a
5
f
d
10 days
7 days
4
FIGURE 4
Alternate
Job Description
a
aa f b c d e
(1,2)
(1,3) (2,3) (2,4) (2,3) (3,4) (4,5)
a A,f a c b,d
Sales
sales Sales Productio n Accountin g Treasurer
14
3 0 3 7 4 10
Job Identification a b c d e
3
f
2
c
g
5
e
4
FIGURE 5
Immediate predecessor A a a
b
h1
3
h4 h3
d f e
2
c
5
h5
h2
4
FIGURE 6
h2(dummy)
h3(dummy) h4(dummy) h5(dummy) d e f
(2,4)
(2,5) (3,5) (4,5) (3,6) (4,6) (5,6)
a
a b,h1 c,h2 b,h1, c,h2 h3.h4,h5
a
2
Job Description
Immediate predecess or
Department
Job Identificati on
Job Description
a a b
Forecasting sales
unit
a,a
Sales
14 3
Departm ent
to Job
Produ ction
Accou nting Treas urer
Sales
d e
c b,d
4 10
a,3
b,3
Start
e,10
Finish
a,14
FIGURE 9
C,7
d,4
Table 4
Job Identification a b c d e
d b c
FIGURE 10 a
Finish
START
Job Identification
Table 6
a b c d e f
d a c
START
f
e
Finish
FIGURE 10b
Description
Finish carpentry Finish roofing and flashing Fasten gutter and downspout Lay storm drains Sand and varnish floors Paint Finish electric work Finish grading Pour walks and l;andscape
Immediate Predecessor K D
A B N,s l.m S P,q u
Time(Days0
3 2 1 1 2 3 1 2 5
A4
Q1
START
U2
V5
D8
O2
P1 R2 N3
finish
B2
C4
H2
T1
E1
F2
I4
J10
K3
L1
G3
N H A O I B P J C Q D R K E S F L T M G U v
Finish carpentry Install rough wiring Excavate ,Pour footers Finish roofing and flashing Install air conditioning Pour Concrete foundations Fasten gutter and downspout Fasten frame and roof Erect plaster and plaster Lay storm drains board Lay Brick work Sand and varnish floors Lay finished flooring Install Drains Paint Pour basement floor Install Kitchen equipment Finish electric work Install finishedplumbing Install rough plumbing Finish grading Pour walks and l;andscape
M2
S3
FIGURE 11
Alternate (1,2) (2,3) (3,4) (4,5) (3,6) (6,7) (6,8) (4,8) (4,7) (7,8) (8.9) (9,10) (10,12) (10,11)
Install air conditioning Fasten plaster and plaster board Lay finished flooring Install Kitchen equipment
Time(Days 0 4 2 4 8 1 2 3 2 4 10 3 1 0
Job Nam e M N O P Q D3 R S T U v
Description
Alternat Immediate Time(Days0 e Predecessor (11,12) (10,13) (5,14) (14,15) (3,15) (13,16) (13,18) (12,16) ((16,18) (15,17) (17,18) K K D O B S D3,N l.M S P,Q U 2 3 2 1 1 2 3 1 2 5
Install finished plumbing Finish carpentry Finish roofing and flashing Fasten gutter and downspout Lay storm drains Dummy Sand and varnish floors Paint Finish electric work Finish grading Pour walks and l;andscape
TABLE 9
A B C D E F G Excavate ,Pour footers Pour Concrete foundations Erect frame and roof Lay Brick work Install Drains Pour basement floor Install rough plumbing Install rough wiring (1,2) (2,3) (3,4) (4,5) (3,6) (6,7) (6,8) A B C B E E 4 2 4 8 1 2 3
H D1 Dummy I Install air conditioning J Fasten plaster and plaster board K Lay finished flooring L Install Kitchen equipment D2 DUMMY
2
4 10 3 1
M Install finished plumbing N Finish carpentry O Finish roofing and flashing P Fasten gutter and downspout Q Lay storm drains D Dummy 3 R Sand and varnish floors S Paint T Finish electric work U Finish grading v Pour walks and l;andscape
K K D O B
2 3 2 1 1
(13,16)
(13,18) (12,16) ((16,18) (15,17) (17,18)
S
D3,N 2 l.M S P,Q U 3 1 2 5
1
a 2 4 g 3 7 1 c 3 4 Q 1 6 2 D1 h a 4 d
M N O P Q D3 R S T U v
Install finished plumbing Finish carpentry Finish roofing and flashing Fasten gutter and downspout Lay storm drains Dummy Sand and varnish floors Paint Finish electric work Finish grading Pour walks and l;andscape
(11,12) (10,13) (5,14) (14,15) (3,15) (13,16) (13,18) (12,16) ((16,18) (15,17) (17,18)
2 3 2 1 1 2 3 1 2 5
A B C D E F G H D1 I J
Excavate ,Pour footers Pour Concrete foundations Erect frame and roof Lay Brick work Install Drains Pour basement floor Install rough plumbing Install rough wiring
Dummy
6
b 2 e 2
I 4
J 10 9 K 3
10
11
D2
L
2 1
M
12
K L D2 DUMMY
Install air conditioning Fasten plaster and plaster board Lay finished flooring Install Kitchen equipment
(1,2) (2,3) (3,4) (4,5) (3,6) (6,7) (6,8) (4,8) (4,7) (7,8) (8.9) (9,10) (10,12) (10,11)
A B C B E E C C D1 GH I J K K
S
16
D3
13
T 1
2
18
O 2
14
1 U
15
P 2
17
FIGURE 12
SMALL PROJECT
JOB A B C D E F G A A B,C B,D C,D B.D.E.F IMMEDIATE PREDECESSORS JOB A B C
X X X X
E
F G
X
X X
X
X X X X
JOB A B C D E F G
X X O O O O X1 X1 O X1 X2 O X2 X3 X3 X3 X4 X5
Focused attention on the circled Xs which signal redundancy . Thus job B is a redundant predecessor for job E (Since predecessor D also has B as a predecessor ). All these redundancies could be eliminated without changing the logic of network. (The X part of the circled Xs would disappear, but the circles would remain ,indicating more distant predecessor relationship)
Job Name A B C D E F
Job Description A drives from SF to Santa Barbara A lunches with wife A drives from Santa Barbara to Los Angeles B drives from SF to Bakers Field B lunches with customer B drives from Bakers Field to Los Angeles
Time (hours) 8 2 3 5 2 3
3 US 99
BS ROUTE
5
SAN FRANCISCO LOS ANGELES
3 AS ROUTE
US 101
FIGURE 1 ROUTES FROM SAN FRANSCISCO TO LOA ANGELES
SANTA BARBARA
Job Name A B C
Job Description A drives from SF to Santa Barbara A lunches with wife A drives from Santa Barbara to Los Angeles B drives from SF to Bakers Field B lunches with customer B drives from Bakers Field to Los Angeles
Immediate Predecessor A B
Time (hours) 8 2 3
D E F
D E
5 2 3
Job Name A
Alternate (1,2)
Immediate Predecessor -
Time (hours) 8
B
C D E F
(2,3)
(3,4) (1,4) (4,5) (5,6)
A
B D E
2
3 5 2 3
4
D 5
5
F 3
1
8
C
A 3
B 2
2
2
1
4
5 2
6
3
7
A :: A 1-2-5-8 1-2-5-8
3
2
4
B :: 1-3-5-8 B 1-3-5-8
FIGURE 3
PROJECT AS SHOWN
BS ROUTE
D;5
E;2
F;3
START; 0
CRITICAL PATH
FINISH;0
A;8
B;2
AS ROUTE
C;3
2
2
3 5
1
3
3 1
6
3
7
A :: A 1-2-5-8 1-2-5-8
3
2
4
B :: 1-3-5-8 B 1-3-5-8
FIGURE 3
PROJECT AS SHOWN
a Forecasting unit sales a Surveying competitive pricing b Pricing sales c Preparing production schedules d Costing the production e Preparing the budget
a,a a c b,d
Sales
14 3 3 7 4 10
1. The early start of a job in a project is the earliest possible time that the job can begin . 2. Labeled it as ES(). Thus early job denoted as ES(a) or ES(1;2). 3. Jobs early finish time is its start time plus the time needs to complete it. 4. EF(a)= ES(a) +ta 5. Start time of the job can only begins after completion of its predecessor job
Job Identification
Job Description
Immediate predecessor
Department
a a b c
Forecasting unit sales Surveying competitive pricing Pricing sales Preparing production schedules
a,a a c b,d
14 3 3 7 4 10
4
0(22;22)
F(14;14)
e(25;35)
10(25;35)
C(14;21)
7(14;21)
3
FIGURE 4
For job b , slack time is 1. TS(b)=LS(b)-ES(B)=22-14=8 days 2. TS(b)= LF(b)-EF(b)=25-17=8 days 3. This means job b can start any time between day 14 and day 22 and still not delay the completion of the project
4
0(22;22)
F(14;14)
e(25;35)
10(25;35)
C(14;21)
7(14;21)
3
FIGURE 4
(21;26)
V;5
(30;32) (10;16)
D;6
(29;30) (16;18)
O;2
(32;37)
(21;27)
(27;29)
(32;34) R;2
(34;34)
Finish
(0;4)
(10;12)
H;2
(32;35)
(35;37) (37;37)
Start S=0
(3;3)
A;4 (3;7)
(15;17) (10;14)
(14;24)
(27;28)
E;1
(10;11)
F;2
(13;17) (7;10)
G;3
I;4
(13;17)
J;10
L;1
(31;32)
(32;33)
T;1
(36;37) (29;32)
(17;27)
FIGURE 7
(14;17)
(27;29)
M;2
S;3
(32;35)
(30;32)
PERT
MODEL
(Tp-To/6)^2 Variance
2 5 1 6 3 2
5 14 4 15 12 5
14 17 7 30 21 8
6 13 4 16 12 5
2 2 1 4 3 1
2
4
4 4 1 16 9 1 Each activity arrow are numbers representing the three time estimates To, Tm & Tp
1
3
5
The Expected Length of a Critical Path
3 2 5
Vt=1
4
Vt=1
1
6
Numbers are in months
Critical Path
The longest path (time); determines the project duration
Critical Activities
All of the activities that make up the critical path
56
Critical Path
The longest path (time); determines the project duration
Critical Activities
All of the activities that make up the critical path
57
Forward Pass
Earliest Start Time (ES) earliest time an activity can start ` Earliest finish time (EF) earliest time an activity can finish earliest start time plus activity time EF= ES + t
Backward Pass
Latest Start Time (LS) Latest time an activity can start without delaying critical path time LS= LF - t Latest finish time (LF) latest time an activity can be completed without delaying critical path time LS = minimum LS of immediate predecessors
58
Here Z is the number of standard deviations by which D exceeds Te. Note D(Due date) might be less than Te in which case Z is negative .
Z=D-Te/St
Z PROBABILITY OF MEETING DUE DATE 0.999 0.997 0.995 0.992 0.986 Z PROBABILITY OF MEETING DUE DATE 0.788 0.726 0.665 0.579 0.500 0.421 Z PROBABILITY OF MEETING DUE DATE 0.115 0.081 0.055 0.036 0.023 0.014 0.008 0.005 0.003 0.001
-1.2 -1.4 -1.6 -1.8 -2.0 -2.2 -2.4 -2.6 -2.8 -3.0
2.0 1.8
1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0
0.977 0.964
0.945 0.919 0.885 0.841
-0.4
-0.6 -0.8 -1.0
0.345
0.274 0.212 0.159
57
Activity A B C
Immediate predecessors B
Assemble product
A,C
Immediate predecessors for a particular activity are the activities that, when completed, enable the start of the activity in question.
61
Sequence of activities
Can start work on activities A and B anytime, since neither of these activities depends upon the completion of prior activities. Activity C cannot be started until activity B has been completed Activity D cannot be started until both activities A and C have been completed.
1
B
A C
2
Nodes correspond to the beginning and ending of activities
63
Sequence of activities
Can start work on activities A and B anytime, since neither of these activities depends upon the completion of prior activities. Activity C cannot be started until activity B has been completed Activity D cannot be started until both activities A and C have been completed.
1
B
A C
2
Nodes correspond to the beginning and ending of activities
65
Example 2
Develop the network for a project with following activities and immediate predecessors:
Activity A B Immediate predecessors -
C
D E
B
A, C C
F
G
C
D,E,F
3
E
5
We need to introduce a dummy activity
67
3
dummy
D E F
Note how the network correctly identifies D, E, and F as the immediate predecessors for activity G. Dummy activities is used to identify precedence relationships correctly and to eliminate possible confusion of two or more activities having the same starting and ending nodes Dummy activities have no resources (time, labor, machinery, etc) purpose is to PRESERVE LOGIC of the network
68
A B C D E F G H I
This information indicates that the total time required to complete activities is 51 weeks. However, we can see from the network that several of the activities can be conducted simultaneously (A and B, for example).
69
70
71
5 7 6
4 1
3
Earliest start time rule: The earliest start time for an activity leaving a particular node is equal to the largest of the earliest finish times for all activities entering the node.
72
74
5 7 6
4 1
The latest finish time for an activity entering a particular node is equal to the smallest of the latest start times for all activities leaving the node.
75
2
ES 5 LS 8 EF 9 EF 12 LF-EF = 12 9 =3 LS-ES = 8 5 = 3
LF-ES-t = 12-5-4 = 3
76
A B C D E F G H I
0 0 5 5 5 6 10 9 24
0 6 8 7 5 6 10 12 24
5 6 9 8 6 10 24 21 26
5 12 12 10 6 10 24 24 26
0 6 3 2 0 0 0 3 0
Yes
IMPORTANT QUESTIONS
What is the total time to complete the project? 26 weeks if the individual activities are completed on schedule.
What are the scheduled start and completion times for each activity?
ES, EF, LS, LF are given for each activity.
What activities are critical and must be completed as scheduled in order to keep the project on time? Critical path activities: A, E, F, G, and I.
How long can non-critical activities be delayed before they cause a delay in the projects completion time
Slack time available for all activities are given.
78
1.
Slack or Float shows how much allowance each activity has, i.e how long it can be delayed without affecting completion date of project
Critical path is a sequence of activities from start to finish with zero slack. Critical activities are activities on the critical path. Critical path identifies the minimum time to complete project If any activity on the critical path is shortened or extended, project time will be shortened or extended accordingly
2.
3. 4.
79
1.
Slack or Float shows how much allowance each activity has, i.e how long it can be delayed without affecting completion date of project
Critical path is a sequence of activities from start to finish with zero slack. Critical activities are activities on the critical path. Critical path identifies the minimum time to complete project If any activity on the critical path is shortened or extended, project time will be shortened or extended accordingly
2.
3. 4.
80
6.
7.
8.
Dont waste resources on non-critical activity, it will not shorten the project time.
If resources can be saved by lengthening some activities, do so for non-critical activities, up to limit of float.
9.
81
G H I J K L M
Install rough plumbing Install rough wiring Install air conditioning Fasten plaster and plaster board Lay finished flooring Install Kitchen equipment D8 Install finished plumbing
E C Cf Ghi I K K
3 2 4 10 3 1 2
A4
B2
C4
H2
E1
F2
I4
J10
K3
G3
Q1
U2
D8
O2
START
A4
B2
C4
H2
Job Nam e A B C D E F
G H I J K L M
Description
Excavate ,Pour footers Pour Concrete foundations Erect frame and roof Lay Brick work Install Drains Pour basement floor Install rough plumbing Install rough wiring Install air conditioning Fasten plaster and plaster board Lay finished flooring Install Kitchen equipment Install finished plumbing
Immediate Predecess or A B C B E
E C Cf Ghi I K K
Time(Days0
E1
4 2 4 8 1 2 3 2 4 10 3 1 2
F2
I4
G3
A4
Q1
START
U2
V5
D8
O2
P1 R2 N3
finish
B2
C4
H2
T1
E1
F2
I4
J10
K3
L1
G3
N H A O I B P J C Q D R K E S F L T M G U v
Finish carpentry Install rough wiring Excavate ,Pour footers Finish roofing and flashing Install air conditioning Pour Concrete foundations Fasten gutter and downspout Fasten frame and roof Erect plaster and plaster Lay storm drains board Lay Brick work Sand and varnish floors Lay finished flooring Install Drains Paint Pour basement floor Install Kitchen equipment Finish electric work Install finishedplumbing Install rough plumbing Finish grading Pour walks and l;andscape
M2
S3
FIGURE 11