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MASTERS PROJECT ( PS1) PRESENTATION: LIFETIME PREDICTION AND ESTIMATION OF POWER TRANSFORMER
STUDENT
SUPERVISOR :DR MOHD TAUFIQ B. ISHAK Click to edit Master subtitle style CHAIRMAN PANEL :DR KOK BOON CHING :PM. DR ZAINAL ALAM B. HARON DR DUR MUHAMMAD SOOMRO
CONTENT
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INTRODUCTION
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LITERATURE REVIEW
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LITERATURE REVIEW
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LITERATURE REVIEW
Journal Objective Method Outcome
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Transformer Life i. Prediction Using Data from Units Removed from Service and Thermal ii. Modeling
Predict the transformer life Condition assessment: by using insulating paper i. Dissolve Gas Analysis from scrapped transformers ii. Degree of Analyze for degree of polymerization polymerization (DP)
Condition based replacement means that statistical analysis of failure rates is not helpful in modeling lifetimes, but data from scrapped and failed transformers has been used to demonstrate that age-related failures
Evaluating Mean Life of Power System Equipment With Limited End of Life Failure Data
i.
ii.
Introduce two methods to estimate the mean life of a power system equipment Use information data including both died and surviving components
i.
ii.
The estimates of the mean life using the normal and Weibull distribution models are close in this case. Comparison between the estimates using the presented methods and the sample mean technique, the presented methods provide more reasonable results
Prediction of Remaining i. Life of Power Transformers Based on Left Truncated ii. and Right Censored Lifetime Data
Prediction of the remaining life of power transformer. Use left truncated and right censored data
i.
ii.
Log-location-scale distribution for lifetime model for left truncated and right censored data. Weibull distribution method
Better predictive model that would more accurately predict individual lifetimes by using environmental information for the individual transformers
METHODOLOGY
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, .
Relationship between failure rate and age for a Normal probability distribution
Relationship between failure rate and age for a Weibull probability distribution
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least square method to estimate the mean life and standard deviation Age year the sum of squares of all errors Me an Standard Deviation
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Initial and
obtain
Obtain by using .
Me an
EXPECTED RESULT
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CONCLUSION
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REFERENCE
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REFERENCE
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